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  • Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 4

    Good Luck on day #63 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    NHL Hot and Not


    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Jacksonville State 65, Belmont 59— Bruins went 15-1 in OVC, lost first tourney game. Most famous JSU alum? Maybe Dieter Brock, longtime CFL QB who led Rams to playoffs in 1985.

    — Princeton 73, Harvard 69— Tigers are 13-0 in Ivy; Harvard was 13-28 on arc, still lost.

    — Campbell 66, Redford 50— 17-16 Camels (#7 seed) are in the Big South finals.

    — Western Michigan 88, Central Michigan 80— Broncos head to MAC tourney on an 8-game win streak.

    — Akron 66, Kent State 56— Surprisingly intense rivalry game in the MAC.

    — Noah Syndergaard’s salary this year? $605,500.

    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

    13) Former players at Georgetown are grumbling about the program’s recent struggles, but they won’t go on record with complaints, because they’re afraid of former coach John Thompson, father of current coach John Thompson III. Grown men are actually afraid of him.

    JTIII got the Hoyas to the Final Four ten years ago, but they’ve only made the NCAA’s one of last four years and since ’07, Georgetown is 3-7 in NCAA tournament games, losing to mid-majors like Davidson-Ohio U-VCU-Florida Gulf Coast.

    Apparently lot of the program’s biggest donors are former Hoya players, so if you alienate the elder Thompson, you risk losing those donors, who are loyal to him, meaning JTII probably gets to keep his job as long as he wants it. Must be fun to be the athletic director.

    12) Longtime LA Kings radio announcer Bob Miller is retiring after 44 years with the team; he is beloved by hockey fans in southern California.

    11) Best wishes to Minnesota Vikings’ coach Mike Zimmer, who is having his 5th/6th procedures on his damaged eye that caused him to miss a game last season.

    10) Jake Elmore is a baseball journeyman; he’s appeared in 197 games over the last five years, but here’s the thing— he’s been on a different team all five years.

    2012— 73 plate appearances in 30 games for Arizona
    2013— 136 PA in 52 games for Houston
    2014— 12 PA in five games for Cincinnati
    2015— 158 PA in 51 games for Tampa Bay
    2016— 99 PA in 59 games for Milwaukee

    He’s played all nine positions, even pitching an inning for the Astros. This spring, he is in camp with the Blue Jays.

    9) I’ve never seen numbers on this, but I’m thinking the hardest free throw for any player is the first one they take in a game, especially for visiting players.

    First time you shoot with a different background, it can be tough. Someone with a fancy computer should do a study on this, but if I was coaching and we needed to foul late in the game, I’d go after a guy who hadn’t been at the line yet in that game.

    8) Valparaiso tied for first place in Horizon League, but Alec Peters, their best player, has a stress reaction in his leg and is done for the season, which is a huge blow to their chances to win the conference tournament.

    UCLA’s TJ Leaf sprained his ankle Wednesday night; he didn’t return to the game- they haven’t said how bad it is, but Bruins have very little depth, so if he is out for a few weeks, it is bad news.

    7) Boise State’s Nick Duncan is from Australia; apparently he had never seen snow before coming to Boise, so when it snowed his freshman year and it snows a lot in Idaho, he didn’t know what to do. Wish I had never seen snow.

    6) This is probably a coincidence, but DeMarcus Cousins has been suspended for two games this year because he has 18 technical fouls— his teams won both of those games easily.

    5) Odd Stat of the Day: Chicago Bulls have won their last 18 home games that were telecast on TNT.

    4) Canada’s team in the World Baseball Classic has Freddie Freeman, Joey Votto and Justin Morneau, so 1B/DH are spoken for, just not sure what Morneau is going to do.

    3) Basketball teams are Cincinnati, Houston will be displaced next season while their arenas get facelifts. Think I heard one facelift costs $60M, the other $85M.

    Cincinnati will play home games seven miles away next year, in Northern Kentucky’s arena just over the bridge from Cincy.

    2) In a Nationals-Astros game Thursday, umps called a ball a home run that replay showed never left the park- it hit the top of the fence in two different places but stayed in the ballpark.

    It amazes me that there are people who would prefer to have no replay and instead waste time having managers arguing with umpires, which accomplishes nothing. Replay corrects a lot of missed calls and while not a perfect system, is good for the game.

    1— People bet on exhibition baseball and I’ve often wondered why, but thought of a solid angle today that could actually work. I’m probably late with this, but…….

    Teams play their best lineups when they’re televising back to their home markets; for instance, as I type this, the Mets are on SNY and they’re playing their top guys against a rag-tag group of Astros. Syndergaard pitched a couple innings; they put their best foot forward today, as much as they would in a game on March 3rd. No guarantees, but it gives them an edge.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, March 4


      Road side won seven of last nine Dallas-Florida games; Stars won three of last four visits to South Beach. Three of last four series games went over. Dallas Stars lost last four games on road- this is their first road game in 16 days- they’re 3-2 in last five games overall. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Panthers lost four of last five games, three of last four at home; under is 2-0-1 in their last three games.

      Lightning won one of last ten games with Buffalo; they won last four visits to western NY. Under is 3-1-4 in last eight series games. Tampa Bay won four of last six games overall; they split last four road games. Last three Lightning games went over the total. Sabres lost four of last five games; they split last six home games. Four of their last five games went over the total.

      Bruins won six of last eight games with New Jersey; under is 5-0-2 in last seven series games. Devils lost their last four visits to Boston. New Jersey lost their last five games, last four by one goal; they lost last two road games. Over is 3-2 in their last three games. Boston won seven of last nine games overall, four of last five at home. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

      Rangers lost five of last six games with Montreal; three of last four series games went over the total. Canadiens won their last three visits to Manhattan. Montreal won its last four games, allowing total of six goals; they won last three road tilts, all in OT/SO. Under is 7-1 in their last seven games. New York is 6-4 in its last ten games but lost last three games at home. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

      Winnipeg won four of last six games with Colorado; four of last five series games stayed under total. Avalanche lost 3-2/4-1 in last two visits to Manitoba. Colorado lost five of its last six games; they scored total of eight goals in last seven (1-6) road games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Winnipeg is 4-3 in its last seven games but lost four of last six at home (over 4-2).

      Ottawa won six of last nine games with Columbus; under is 4-1 in last five series games played in Ottawa. Blue Jackets won three of last five games in this building. Columbus won five of last seven games; they’re 3-4 in last seven road games. Over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Senators are 5-3 in last eight games; they split last four home contests. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

      Washington won three of last four games with Philly; under is 3-0-3 in last six series games. Flyers lost three of last four visits to Washington. Philly is 3-2 in its last five games but lost three of last four on road; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Capitals won four of last five overall; they won their last five home games. Under is 5-1-1 in Washington’s last seven games.

      Chicago won seven of last ten games with Nashville; teams split last four series games played in Music City. Last three series games played here pushed the total. Blackhawks won six games in row, nine of last ten-t hey won last five road games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Predators won four of last five games, winning last three at home. Nine of their last ten games went over the total.

      Detroit won eight of its last ten games with Edmonton; they won three of last four visits here. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Red Wings are 3-7 in their last ten games, losing four of last six road contests. Under is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Edmonton is 6-3 in last nine home games; they’re home for first time in two weeks, after 3-3 road trip- four of those six games stayed under the total.

      Kings won four of last six games with Vancouver; under is 5-2-3 in last ten series games. Canucks lost their last three games in Staples Center. Vancouver lost six of last seven games; they were outscored 11-4 in losing last three road games. Under is 2-0-3 in their last five games. Los Angeles lost six of last nine games but they did win last two home games. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL

        Saturday, March 4


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        Trend Report
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        7:30 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
        Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
        Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games

        8:00 PM
        COLORADO vs. WINNIPEG
        Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
        Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

        8:00 PM
        COLUMBUS vs. OTTAWA
        Columbus is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games
        Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Columbus

        8:00 PM
        DALLAS vs. FLORIDA
        Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
        Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

        8:00 PM
        MONTREAL vs. NY RANGERS
        Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        Montreal is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
        NY Rangers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
        NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Montreal

        8:00 PM
        NEW JERSEY vs. BOSTON
        New Jersey is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
        New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
        Boston is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing New Jersey
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games

        8:00 PM
        TAMPA BAY vs. BUFFALO
        Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
        Tampa Bay is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
        Buffalo is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games at home

        9:00 PM
        CHICAGO vs. NASHVILLE
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games
        Nashville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games at home

        11:00 PM
        DETROIT vs. EDMONTON
        Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
        Detroit is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
        Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games

        11:00 PM
        VANCOUVER vs. LOS ANGELES
        Vancouver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
        Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
        Los Angeles is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Vancouver
        Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Long Sheet

          Saturday, March 4


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DALLAS (25-29-0-10, 60 pts.) at FLORIDA (29-23-0-11, 69 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 25-39 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games this season.
          DALLAS is 9-17 ATS (-9.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
          DALLAS is 4-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Saturday games this season.
          DALLAS is 8-16 ATS (-9.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
          DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
          DALLAS is 47-29 ATS (+17.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
          DALLAS is 65-60 ATS (+139.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
          DALLAS is 97-97 ATS (+217.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
          FLORIDA is 197-220 ATS (-72.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
          FLORIDA is 149-225 ATS (+393.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          FLORIDA is 177-170 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          FLORIDA is 167-201 ATS (-72.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 3-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TAMPA BAY (29-26-0-8, 66 pts.) at BUFFALO (27-26-0-11, 65 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TAMPA BAY is 29-34 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
          TAMPA BAY is 12-26 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
          TAMPA BAY is 355-406 ATS (-123.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          TAMPA BAY is 45-24 ATS (+13.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
          BUFFALO is 7-18 ATS (+33.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TAMPA BAY is 9-2 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          TAMPA BAY is 9-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW JERSEY (25-26-0-12, 62 pts.) at BOSTON (33-25-0-6, 72 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW JERSEY is 7-3 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
          NEW JERSEY is 13-10 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 15-18 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 13-18 ATS (-13.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
          BOSTON is 16-18 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          BOSTON is 92-84 ATS (-70.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON is 6-2 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON is 6-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MONTREAL (36-21-0-8, 80 pts.) at NY RANGERS (41-21-0-2, 84 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NY RANGERS are 41-23 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games this season.
          NY RANGERS are 9-2 ATS (+6.4 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
          NY RANGERS are 19-7 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
          NY RANGERS are 231-224 ATS (-113.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
          NY RANGERS are 189-223 ATS (-142.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MONTREAL is 6-2 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
          MONTREAL is 6-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          COLORADO (17-42-0-3, 37 pts.) at WINNIPEG (29-30-0-6, 64 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          COLORADO is 17-45 ATS (+84.5 Units) in all games this season.
          COLORADO is 5-20 ATS (+35.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
          COLORADO is 8-22 ATS (+36.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
          WINNIPEG is 15-9 ATS (+26.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
          COLORADO is 74-56 ATS (+131.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
          COLORADO is 229-229 ATS (+482.8 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
          COLORADO is 21-20 ATS (+49.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
          WINNIPEG is 12-24 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          WINNIPEG is 10-18 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          COLORADO is 7-7 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
          WINNIPEG is 7-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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          COLUMBUS (40-16-0-6, 86 pts.) at OTTAWA (34-22-0-6, 74 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OTTAWA is 34-28 ATS (+0.1 Units) in all games this season.
          OTTAWA is 33-20 ATS (+54.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
          OTTAWA is 19-12 ATS (+33.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
          OTTAWA is 14-8 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          COLUMBUS is 40-22 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games this season.
          COLUMBUS is 17-11 ATS (+31.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
          COLUMBUS is 20-5 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
          COLUMBUS is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
          COLUMBUS is 16-9 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OTTAWA is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
          OTTAWA is 5-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA (30-26-0-7, 67 pts.) at WASHINGTON (43-13-0-7, 93 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHILADELPHIA is 16-41 ATS (+70.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 43-20 ATS (+70.8 Units) in all games this season.
          WASHINGTON is 43-15 ATS (+20.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 22-6 ATS (+10.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
          WASHINGTON is 55-20 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 37-36 ATS (+82.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 21-27 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHILADELPHIA is 8-9 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 9-8-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.9 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHICAGO (41-18-0-5, 87 pts.) at NASHVILLE (32-23-0-9, 73 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NASHVILLE is 230-189 ATS (+37.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
          NASHVILLE is 193-167 ATS (+13.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
          CHICAGO is 41-23 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
          CHICAGO is 18-7 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
          CHICAGO is 9-3 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents this season.
          CHICAGO is 37-17 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          NASHVILLE is 80-80 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          NASHVILLE is 4-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHICAGO is 13-6 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          CHICAGO is 13-6-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.5 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DETROIT (25-26-0-11, 61 pts.) at EDMONTON (34-22-0-8, 76 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 10:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 11-19 ATS (-15.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
          DETROIT is 117-78 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
          DETROIT is 24-15 ATS (+43.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
          EDMONTON is 35-53 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
          EDMONTON is 175-173 ATS (-27.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DETROIT is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
          DETROIT is 3-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          VANCOUVER (26-30-0-7, 59 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (31-27-0-6, 68 pts.) - 3/4/2017, 10:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          VANCOUVER is 368-336 ATS (-105.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games on Saturday games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 31-33 ATS (+70.3 Units) in all games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 38-39 ATS (-33.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 27-33 ATS (-25.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          VANCOUVER is 5-7 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
          LOS ANGELES is 7-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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