Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/2

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, February 2

Good Luck on day #33 of 2017!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Underdogs covered 11 of the last 15 Super Bowls.

— Clemson signed 14 football players Wednesday, from 10 different states.

— Washington Wizards won their last 15 home games (13-1-1 vs spread).

— Pro Bowl got higher TV ratings than 34 of 40 college bowl games.

— Former LSU coach Les Miles’ son is going to Nebraska, as a fullback.

— Cavaliers were 7-8 in January, Lebron James’ first losing month since 2006.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) Must admit, I watched some of the National Signing Day stuff on TV Wednesday and it is interesting, because the teams with the best players win, but when did self promotion become such a big deal? Have people (kids/parents alike) become such attention junkies that there has to be a news conference to announce where you’re going to college?

One kid had a Florida t-shirt on over a Florida State shirt over a USC shirt; it was like watching the old game show To Tell the Truth to see where he was going to college by what shirt was showing when he finally stopped undressing.

12) As one coach wrote in an article a few years back, “You have to recruit like hell to get them, but then when you get them, you have to de-program them.” Most college football players sit out as redshirts their first year, they just practice and get more physically mature, so the kids we saw sign today, most of them won’t see game action until 2018.

11) This year in the NFL, 48 QB’s threw 50+ passes; New England faced only two of the top 15 in passer rating this season, Matt Moore (Miami’s backup) and Ben Roethlisberger.

10) Michael Bidwill, president of the Arizona Cardinals, was once a federal prosecutor for six years.

9) Julian Javier was a 2B for the St Louis Cardinals in the 60’s/early 70’s; decent player. He had a career batting mark of 2-16 against Nolan Ryan, which doesn’t sound like much until you realize that his 16 AB’s vs Ryan, with no strikeouts, are the most AB’s by any player EVER against Ryan with no strikeouts.

Javier’s son Stan won a World Series ring as an OF with the ’89 A’s.

8) Nevada sportsbooks made $219.1M last year, their 3rd-best year ever, but 5.4% down from LY.

7) Raiders-Patriots will be playing a regular season game in Mexico City next season.

6) Irony; back in 1998, it looked like the Patriots were moving to Hartford, CT, but one of the main people involved in getting them a new stadium in Foxboro was an NFL employee not too many football fans knew about back then. Without this guy, the Patriots would be in the Nutmeg State.

That guy was Roger Goodell.

5) Sitting court side at the Mississippi State-Ole Miss Tuesday night? The great actor Morgan Freeman, who apparently goes to a lot of Ole Miss games.

4) Alabama signed two QB’s Wednesday; they just came thisclose to winning a national title with a freshman QB playing the whole season. Granted the incumbent QB isn’t a good passer yet, but he is a leader and he won a lot of games this year- why would a top prospect go there, when you know pretty much you might not start until 2020?

The incumbent QB sure as hell won’t be going to the NFL early, so the new kids will have to beat him out. Good luck there.

3) Colorado’s football coaches were sitting around a big table in their conference room, when this young lady comes sprinting into the room with a signed NLI in her hand— she gives it to Coach MacIntyre and he hi-5’s her and she sprints out. She had an Olympic medal around her neck.

Turns out the young lady won a bronze medal in track at the Olympics; pretty good gimmick for the Buffaloes on live TV.

2) Clemson’s new football facility opened the day before Signing Day, complete with a bowling alley, a barber shop and a nap area that resembles sleeping cars you see on a train.

1— One poor kid wanted to go to Alabama; he verbally committed, but the school doesn’t have a scholarship for him, so he is in limbo and may “grayshirt” which means he does nothing next fall, enters Alabama in January of 2018 and is a freshman-eligibility wise in the fall of 2018.

I would advise a recruit to “go where you are wanted” and it doesn’t sound like Alabama wants this kid that much. Hope things work out for him.

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 2

Home side won last seven Montreal-Philly games; Canadiens lost four of last five games in this building. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Montreal is 0-4 in game following its last four wins; they lost three of last four road games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Flyers won three of last four games, both overall and at home. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Rangers were outscored 12-7 in losing their last three games with Buffalo; New York won three of last four visits to western NY, in series where visitor won five of last seven games. Four of last five series games went over. Rangers are 3-5 in last eight games but won four of last five on the road; three of their last four games stayed under. Sabres won their last three home games but this is their first home game in 13 days. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Lightning won six of last eight games with Ottawa; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Senators were outscored 13-4 in losing last three visits here. Ottawa lost three of last four games overall, but won three of last four on road; four of their last six games stayed under. Tampa Bay lost five of last six games; three of their last four went over the total. Lightning lost four of their last five home games.

St Louis won four of last six games with Toronto but Leafs won last two; teams split last four series games played here. Over is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Toronto lost four of last six games overall; they split last six on road. Four of their last five games stayed under. Blues lost five of last six games; they changed coaches yesterday- five of their last six games went over the total.

Nashville won its last seven games with Edmonton, blanking the Oilers in their last two visits to Music City. Oilers lost last three visits here in series where under is 4-0-3 in last seven series games. Edmonton won seven of last nine games, winning last three on road by combined score of 15-4. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Predators won four of last six games overalll, three of last four on road- their last four games went over.

Winnipeg won three of last four games with Dallas; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Jets lost three of last four visits to Texas. Winnipeg won four of last six games, winning 5-3/5-3 in last two games. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Dallas Stars won their last two games after a 1-5 skid; over is 6-3 in their last nine games- they split their last six home games.

Chicago won its last five games with Arizona, outscoring Coyotes by combined score of 24-12. Blackhawks won their last three visits to the desert. Three of last four series games went over the total. Chicago was outscored 13-6 in losing its last three games; they split last four games on road. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Arizona won three of last four games, all home games; they’re 5-2 in last seven home games. Over is 3-1-2 in their last six games.

Road team won last ten San Jose-Vancouver games; Sharks won last five visits to Vancouver, outscoring Canucks 17-8 in those games. Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games. San Jose won seven of its last eight games, three in row on road- their last two road games went over. Vancouver lost six of last nine games but they won last two at home. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, February 2

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. BUFFALO
NY Rangers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
NY Rangers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing NY Rangers

8:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. PHILADELPHIA
Montreal is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Montreal

8:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. NASHVILLE
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

9:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. DALLAS
Winnipeg is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Winnipeg's last 15 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas's last 15 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
Arizona is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

11:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. VANCOUVER
San Jose is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vancouver's last 13 games


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 2

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MONTREAL (30-14-0-7, 67 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (25-20-0-6, 56 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-32 ATS (+67.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-22 ATS (+54.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 6-2 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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NY RANGERS (31-18-0-1, 63 pts.) at BUFFALO (20-20-0-9, 49 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 5-11 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a division game this season.
BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+10.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
BUFFALO is 16-7 ATS (+24.9 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 217-209 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 204-210 ATS (+460.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 15-6 ATS (+8.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
NY RANGERS are 42-23 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 17-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 20-10 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 17-9 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 5-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

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OTTAWA (26-16-0-6, 58 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (22-23-0-6, 50 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 43-23 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 205-215 ATS (+501.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
OTTAWA is 26-22 ATS (+50.4 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 45-33 ATS (+80.2 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 30-19 ATS (+52.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-10 ATS (+26.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
OTTAWA is 6-1 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-29 ATS (+52.5 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-8 ATS (-6.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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TORONTO (23-16-0-9, 55 pts.) at ST LOUIS (24-21-0-5, 53 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 31-72 ATS (+125.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 36-56 ATS (-22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-31 ATS (+46.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 8-14 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 2-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (28-16-0-8, 64 pts.) at NASHVILLE (24-18-0-8, 56 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 72-74 ATS (+153.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 12-21 ATS (-16.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 7-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)

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WINNIPEG (24-25-0-4, 52 pts.) at DALLAS (21-20-0-10, 52 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 9-21 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 12-5 ATS (+17.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 21-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 1-9 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
DALLAS is 3-10 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-6-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

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CHICAGO (30-17-0-5, 65 pts.) at ARIZONA (16-27-0-6, 38 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 333-334 ATS (-135.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 142-161 ATS (-83.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ARIZONA is 27-20 ATS (+57.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 8-25 ATS (+45.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
ARIZONA is 4-16 ATS (+23.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-73 ATS (+131.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-1 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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SAN JOSE (32-17-0-2, 66 pts.) at VANCOUVER (23-21-0-6, 52 pts.) - 2/2/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 386-309 ATS (-115.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 191-155 ATS (-69.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 11-6 ATS (+19.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 34-16 ATS (+17.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 25-12 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 231-222 ATS (-115.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-5 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 5-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, February 2

Montreal at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Montreal: 10-1 SU after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game
Philadelphia: 3-12 SU off a road loss

NY Rangers at Buffalo, 7:35 PM ET
New York: 6-0 SU in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3
Buffalo: 7-8 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

Ottawa at Tampa Bay, 7:35 PM ET
Ottawa: 13-8 SU after one or more consecutive overs
Tampa Bay: 3-8 SU in a home game where where the total is 5.5

Toronto at St Louis, 9:05 PM ET
Toronto: 8-28 SU off a road loss by 2 goals or more
St Louis: 27-10 SU after 2 or more consecutive losses

Edmonton at Nashville, 8:05 PM ET
Edmonton: 6-1 sU in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Nashville: 2-10 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs

Winnipeg at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
Winnipeg: 7-1 sU after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games
Dallas: 0-7 SU off a home win by 2 goals or more

Chicago at Arizona, 9:05 PM ET
Chicago: 20-9 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders
Arizona: 1-12 SU revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more

San Jose at Vancouver, 10:05 PM ET
San Jose: 34-16 SU in a road game where where the total is 5 or less
Vancouver: 2-6 SU after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, February 2


San Jose @ Vancouver

Game 65-66
February 2, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.947
Vancouver
8.826
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 3
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-150); Under

Chicago @ Arizona

Game 63-64
February 2, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
9.498
Arizona
10.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+150); Over

Winnipeg @ Dallas

Game 61-62
February 2, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
11.736
Dallas
10.827
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-135
6
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+115); Over

Edmonton @ Nashville

Game 59-60
February 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
13.380
Nashville
10.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 3
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+125); Under

Toronto @ St. Louis

Game 57-58
February 2, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
12.541
St. Louis
11.397
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+100); Under

Ottawa @ Tampa Bay

Game 55-56
February 2, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
8.666
Tampa Bay
12.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-145
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-145); Over

NY Rangers @ Buffalo

Game 53-54
February 2, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
12.936
Buffalo
9.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(-135); Under

Montreal @ Philadelphia

Game 51-52
February 2, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
11.870
Philadelphia
10.917
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(-140); Over