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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/11

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 11

    Good Luck on day #11 of 2017!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Longest shots to win the 2017 World Series:

    150-1— Cincinnati Reds

    100-1— Brewers-Rays-Diamondbacks

    80-1— A’s-Padres-Twins

    75-1— Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies

    60-1— Los Angles Angels

    50-1— Colorado Rockies, Chicago White Sox

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) Milwaukee Bucks came into the NBA in 1968; they went 27-55 in their first season, but 56-26 in their second season, then 68-16 with an NBA title in their third season.

    This is fairly graphic evidence that Kareem Adbul-Jabbar is the greatest basketball player ever; they won a coin flip with the Phoenix Suns for the top pick in the ’69 draft and the right to select Kareem. Add in his 88-2 record as a college player, and you get the point.

    They outlawed the dunk in college basketball because of Kareem.

    No one dominated the sport like Abdul-Jabbar did, but because he has a surly personality, doesn’t do a lot of commercials, he fell out of public consciousness, unlike Michael Jordan, whose Jordan Brand shoes/apparel is still a huge money maker for Nike.

    Then there is this: freshmen were ineligible to play college ball back then. UCLA won the national title when Kareem was a senior in high school— his freshman team beat the UCLA varsity by 20 that year, and the UCLA varsity was the defending national champs.

    12) Underdogs were 25-15-1 vs spread in bowl games this season.

    11) ACC went 9-3 in bowl games; they were underdog in seven of the 12 games.

    10) Alabama RB Josh Scarbrough broke his leg in Monday night’s game, which no doubt will be brought up next year if/when a running back sits out a bowl game to keep himself healthy for the NFL Draft.

    9) Wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if college football scrapped the rule that says the clock stops after every first down. National title game took over four hours to play and ratings were a bit down, even though it was a great game. Knee-jerk reaction will be to shorten games.

    My theory on the ratings being down? Two teams from the south played; people in other regions of the country aren’t as interested if their teams aren’t playing.

    8) College football coaches don’t go on vacation now that the games are over; National Signing Day is February 1, three weeks from today, so coaches will be working their butts off on the phone between now and then, recruiting players who will win games down the road.

    Games that will be played from 2018-2021 will be partially determined by who signs where on February 1st. Football recruiting is a big. big business.

    7) Giants’ DE Jason Pierre-Paul says he won’t sign a 1-year contract next season; what happens if no one offers him a multi-year deal? Will he retire?

    6) March is going to feel a little different this year; the ACC tournament is in Brooklyn, for some reason. The Big 14 tourney is in Washington DC because of Maryland being in the league, but it doesn’t make much sense. Big 14 should have their tournament in the midwest; the ACC tourney should be somewhere on Tobacco Road.

    5) I worked for New York State for 34 years in a mundane office job; if I needed a day off that I hadn’t asked for previously, had to call in sick and tell a person in charge that I wasn’t coming in that day. Failure to do so meant you went LWOP (Leave With-Out Pay), meaning there would be no pay for that day— I never did that once in 34 years.

    My job wasn’t very important, certainly not as critical to my agency as a point guard is to an NBA team. Derrick Rose didn’t bother to call/text the Knicks Monday, when he flew to Chicago and missed their game; when they called him, he couldn’t be bothered to answer the phone.

    I’m very curious how much the team fined him, but no one is saying. Rose makes a little over $260,000 PER GAME- he is a free agent this summer. I’m curious where he’ll wind up.

    4) Quick work-related story from my mediocre career with New York State- this happened back in the late 80’s. I was 28 or 29 at the time.

    In mid-afternoon on a Thursday, this is in mid-October, my boss’ boss calls me into her office. She was kind of a stern woman, we had very little interaction, but she had a job for me to do.

    “We need a World Series pool and I want you to run it. You think you can do that?”

    I’m trying not to laugh as I sat there, but quickly agreed and went about my duty and we had a good World Series pool that year. Sometimes, working for the government was fun.

    3) Tuesday’s college hoop:
    — West Virginia 89, Baylor 68— Bears lasted one day at #1- they had 29 turnovers.
    — Villanova 79, Xavier 54— Surprisingly easy win for the Wildcats.
    — Kentucky 87, Vanderbilt 81— Commodores had their chances in last minute.
    — Florida State 88, Duke 72– Seminoles are 4-0 in ACC for first time.

    2) Oakland Raiders let OC Bill Musgrave walk after his contract expired, promoted QB coach Todd Downing to OC, telling the world they think Downing was more responsible for Derek Carr’s improved play than Musgrave was. Interesting decision.

    1— Remember Warrick Dunn, the running back for the Buccaneers? His mom was a police officer who was killed in the line of duty, when Dunn was 18. He used her life insurance to buy a house for himself and four younger siblings- there was no father in the picture.

    After Dunn became an NFL player, he started a charity that has put 152 families into affordable homes, just great work. If there was a People Hall of Fame, Dunn would be in it.

    Back in 2006, one of the families Dunn’s charity gave a home to was Clemson QB Deshaun Watson’s family.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, January 11


      San Jose @ Calgary

      Game 57-58
      January 11, 2017 @ 9:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      San Jose
      12.152
      Calgary
      9.707
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Jose
      by 2 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Jose
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Jose
      N/A

      Pittsburgh @ Washington


      Game 55-56
      January 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Pittsburgh
      11.731
      Washington
      13.179
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 1 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Washington
      -135
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      (-135); Over

      Montreal @ Winnipeg


      Game 53-54
      January 11, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Montreal
      13.846
      Winnipeg
      12.366
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Montreal
      by 1 1/2
      7
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Montreal
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Montreal
      N/A

      Florida @ NY Islanders


      Game 51-52
      January 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Florida
      12.260
      NY Islanders
      11.123
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Florida
      by 1
      3
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Islanders
      -130
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Florida
      (+110); Under





      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, January 11


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      FLORIDA (18-16-0-8, 44 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (15-15-0-8, 38 pts.) - 1/11/2017, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      FLORIDA is 29-58 ATS (+94.3 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
      NY ISLANDERS are 17-5 ATS (+10.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
      NY ISLANDERS are 78-118 ATS (-41.1 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      FLORIDA is 7-6 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
      FLORIDA is 7-6-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MONTREAL (25-10-0-6, 56 pts.) at WINNIPEG (20-20-0-3, 43 pts.) - 1/11/2017, 7:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 2-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PITTSBURGH (26-8-0-5, 57 pts.) at WASHINGTON (26-9-0-5, 57 pts.) - 1/11/2017, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PITTSBURGH is 21-29 ATS (-17.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 88-46 ATS (+27.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 90-55 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 47-23 ATS (+14.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 93-82 ATS (+183.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
      PITTSBURGH is 37-18 ATS (+11.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      PITTSBURGH is 9-8 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      PITTSBURGH is 9-8-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SAN JOSE (24-14-0-2, 50 pts.) at CALGARY (22-19-0-2, 46 pts.) - 1/11/2017, 9:35 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CALGARY is 7-5 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      CALGARY is 7-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, January 11


      Islanders are 5-3 in last eight games with Florida; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Florida lost three of last four visits to Brooklyn. Panthers lost six of last nine games overall, but won last three road games- their last seven games stayed under total. New York lost three of last four games, losing last two in OT/SO. Six of their last eight games went over the total.

      Montreal won seven of its last ten games with Winnipeg, but lost 5-2/4-2 in last two visits to Manitoba. Last three series games went over total. Canadiens won three of last four overall, four of last five on road; over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Winnipeg won three of its last four games; they split last four at home. Four of their last six games went over the total.

      Home side won last six Pittsburgh-Washington games; Penguins lost last two visits here, by 3-1/7-1 scores. Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games. outscored opponents 22-10 in winning their last five games; they lost two of last three on road. Over is 5-2 in last seven Penguin games. Capitals won their last six games, allowing one goal in last three; under is 2-1-2 in their last five games.

      Calgary is 6-4 in last ten games with San Jose; road team won four of last five series games. Sharks won 5-4/2-1 in last two visits to Saddledome. Under is 2-0-1 in last three series games. San Jose won six of last nine games, splitting last four on road; their last three games went over the total. Flames won last three home games, outscoring foes 11-4; three of their last four games overall stayed under total.




      NHL

      Wednesday, January 11


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:00 PM
      FLORIDA vs. NY ISLANDERS
      Florida is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 8 games
      NY Islanders are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games

      8:30 PM
      MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
      Montreal is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games on the road
      Winnipeg is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Montreal
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal

      9:00 PM
      PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
      The total has gone OVER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 21 games
      Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
      Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

      10:30 PM
      SAN JOSE vs. CALGARY
      San Jose is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
      San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing at home against San Jose
      Calgary is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Short Sheet

        Wednesday, January 11


        Florida at NY Islanders, 7:05 PM ET
        Florida: 17-27 SU after having won 2 of their last 3 games
        New York: 10-1 SU after playing 4 consecutive road games

        Montreal at Winnipeg, 7:35 PM ET
        Montreal: 7-1 SU after allowing 2 goals or more in the third period last game
        Winnipeg: 1-9 SU after playing a game where 4 or fewer total goals were scored

        Pittsburgh at Washington, 8:05 PM ET
        Pittsburgh: 45-23 SU after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
        Washington:7-10 ATS when playing their 8th game in 14 days

        San Jose at Calgary, 9:35 PM ET
        San Jose: 25-37 SU after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games
        Calgary: 14-7 SU revenging a loss versus opponent

        Comment

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