Announcement

**Udog** · 01-03-2017, 08:21 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Florida 30, Iowa 3— Hawkeyes lost their fifth bowl in a row, last three by an average score of 40-16.

— Wisconsin 24, Western Michigan 16— Broncos hung in there, but lost for first time this season.

— Portland State’s basketball team was 4-21 on the foul line in a game over the weekend- they lost 73-59 to Northern Colorado. Kids should be able to shoot 4-21 if they’re drunk.

— Average exit velocity on a major league home run last year was 103.4 mph.

— Out of 2,430 major league baseball games LY, seven ended on a bases-loaded walk.

— A 32-year-old Starbucks barista named Damon won more than $900,000 in the Westgate SuperContest, the most prestigious football handicapping contest in the world. He went 54-28-3 with his weekly picks. Life-changing money; good for him.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..

13) USC 52, Penn State 49— Tremendous game; Penn State scored TDs on seven straight possessions….and lost!!!! Sam Darnold is Trojans’ freshman QB who will be very wealthy in a couple years. Looks a little like Andy Dalton, plays a little like Drew Brees.

12) Mike Krzyzewski is having a back operation Friday, will take a leave of absence from his job as Duke’s basketball coach. This happened once before, in 1996 and it didn’t go well- Blue Devils went 13-18 that year and Pete Gaudet, the interim coach then, wound up teaching phys ed at an Ohio college.

Jeff Capel will be the interim coach now; he was the best player on that ’96 Duke team. He’s been the head coach at VCU/Oklahoma, so he is capable, but very big shoes to fill.

11) Couple of other Duke-related issues:
a) When does Grayson Allen come back? I said all along he would be back for the Florida State game on January 10; maybe he comes back on Saturday when Capel coaches his first game.

b) Every Duke assistant coach is a former Duke player; this is a bad idea- they need an older guy who Coach K can trust to give him honest input. A former player is less likely to disagree with his boss. Joe Paterno needed someone like that at Penn State, to avoid the situation he wound up in.

10) I met a guy in Las Vegas who owns a home in Laguna Beach, CA, where the chairman of the home planning board is Eve Plumb, better known as Jan from the Brady Bunch. This guy was at odds with Ms Plumb for most of the last year over his house being remodeled. At odds to the point that she accused him of stalking/terrorizing her. Fun times.

I had no idea you needed approval to remodel your home, but still, it must be nice to live near a beach.

9) Lane Kiffin is out as OC at Alabama; he won’t be at the national title game. Nick Saban is a control freak and apparently Kiffin’s act became a bit too dramatic, so he was told to take a hike. Steve Sarkisian will be the Alabama OC. Clemson has to be a live underdog, right?

8) This week I heard a college basketball analyst say, “He isn’t a real high percentage shooter” which is a nice way of saying, “Damn he is a lousy shooter.”

7) There are 40 bowl games that are jammed with Chik-fil-A commercials; least they could do if they show all these commercials is to put a Chik-fil-A in the Albany area, right?

6) There were two twins born in San Diego late Saturday night; one was born at 11:56pm, the other at midnight, meaning there are twin girls who were born in different years. Unusual.

5) Do people still use pencils? I saw a pencil in a movie the other night; had forgotten about them.

4) When I see NBA players taking nights off to “rest” I think of this: John Stockton played all 82 games in 17 of his 19 NBA seasons. Players are becoming more babyfied (is that a word?) these days. Kids in AAU play 2-3 games a day, it isn’t that hard to play 82 games in 162 days.

3) Tyreke Hill has been a huge steal for the KC Chiefs, a 5th-round pick who has been dynamic as hell as a WR/returner. Why did he slip in the draft? He had domestic violence issues while at Oklahoma State, so teams laid off drafting him. Whoops.

You’re going to see kids in Hill’s shoes get drafted higher this April, because teams have to be kicking themselves for passing on Hill.

You lose you get fired and no one gives you bonus points if you passed on drafting a kid because he got into a fight with his girlfriend. It is a cut-throat business where you have to win to keep your job and talented players help you win.

2) Pet Peeve #1 of 2017: Red zone efficiency in football. Instead of TD %age, it is something that needs to be measured by points per possession.

Say Team A has three trips to red zone and kicks three FGs, that is 0%, but nine points.

Team B scores one TD, goes for 2 and makes it; they also lose two fumbles in red zone.

Team B has a 33% TD rate in red zone but only 2.67 pts/possession. Team A has 0% but 3.00 ppp. Points per possession is a more accurate measure of efficiency.

1) Over last three years in NFL Wild Card round, road team is 8-4 SU, 5-1 in games involving the #’s 3-6 seeds.

**Udog** · 01-03-2017, 08:39 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 3

Blue Jackets won five of last six games with Edmonton; Oilers last last four visits to Ohio. Over is 8-1 in last nine series games. Edmonton won four of last six games, but is 2-3 in last five on road. Under is 7-0-1 in Oilers’ last eight games. Columbus won its last 13 games, outscoring foes 22-9 in winning last five home games; four of their last five games went over total.

Washington won seven of last nine games with Toronto; four of last five series games here went under the total. Maple Leafs lost their last five visits here (under 4-1). Toronto won its last five games with last three wins in OT/SO; they won last four road games, allowing total of five goals. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Washington won its last two games 6-2/2-1; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

New Jersey/Carolina split their last ten games; Devils lost three of last five visits here. Under is 5-1-4 in last ten series games. New Jersey lost eight of last ten games, losing five of last six road games. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four road games. Hurricanes won four of last six games; they’re 4-1 in last five home games. Under is 4-0-2 in their last six games.

Buffalo won last two games with Rangers after losing previous eight series games; Sabres lost four of last five visits to Manhattan. Last four series games went over total. Buffalo lost six of last seven games, scoring total of 12 goals; they lost four of last five road games. Three of their last four games went over total. New York won its last three games, scoring 16 goals; their last five games went over total.

Lightning won four of last five games with Winnipeg; Jets won three of last four visits here, in a series where visitor won five of last six series games. Four of last five series games went over total. Winnipeg lost 5-3/6-2 in last two games; they’re 2-3 in last five road games. Under is 2-0-2 in their last four road games. Tampa Bay won four of last six games, four of last five at home. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Nashville won its last three games with Montreal; Canadiens lost three of last five visits to Music City. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Montreal lost four of last five games; their last three games were all decided in OT. Four of their last six games went over total. Predators lost three of last four games overall; they lost last five at home. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games.

Kings lost seven of last nine games with San Jose, losing three of last four visits to Shark Tank. Under is 3-1-3 in last seven series games. Los Angeles lost five of last seven games, scoring total of four goals in losing last three road games. Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight games. San Jose won four in row at home, eight of last ten overall. Under is 1-0-5 in their last six games.

**Udog** · 01-03-2017, 08:41 AM

NHL

Tuesday, January 3

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY RANGERS
Buffalo is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
NY Rangers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games

8:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. COLUMBUS
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games
Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

8:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. WASHINGTON
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

8:30 PM
WINNIPEG vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

9:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. NASHVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Nashville
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nashville's last 10 games when playing Montreal
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal

10:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. SAN JOSE
Los Angeles is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games
San Jose is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-03-2017, 11:18 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 3

Los Angeles @ San Jose

Game 63-64
January 3, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
12.961
San Jose
11.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(+130); Under

Montreal @ Nashville

Game 61-62
January 3, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
10.461
Nashville
8.858
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+110); Under

Winnipeg @ Tampa Bay

Game 59-60
January 3, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
12.948
Tampa Bay
11.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+150); Over

Buffalo @ NY Rangers

Game 57-58
January 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
9.469
NY Rangers
11.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-240
5
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(-240); Under

New Jersey @ Carolina

Game 55-56
January 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
9.469
Carolina
10.652
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-155); Over

Toronto @ Washington

Game 53-54
January 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.730
Washington
13.579
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-165); Under

Edmonton @ Columbus

Game 51-52
January 3, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
12.191
Columbus
11.207
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+145); Over

**Udog** · 01-03-2017, 11:20 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 3

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EDMONTON (19-12-0-7, 45 pts.) at COLUMBUS (26-5-0-4, 56 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 4-17 ATS (+28.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a division game this season.
COLUMBUS is 26-9 ATS (+36.0 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 49-33 ATS (+82.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
COLUMBUS is 16-4 ATS (+20.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COLUMBUS is 15-6 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
COLUMBUS is 11-3 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
COLUMBUS is 12-2 ATS (+9.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
COLUMBUS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.2 Units)

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TORONTO (17-12-0-7, 41 pts.) at WASHINGTON (22-9-0-5, 49 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 20-52 ATS (+95.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-21 ATS (+30.2 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-66 ATS (+116.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 59-89 ATS (-40.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 60-32 ATS (+15.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 45-17 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-66 ATS (-48.1 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (15-16-0-7, 37 pts.) at CAROLINA (16-13-0-7, 39 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 6-5 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-5-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.6 Units)

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BUFFALO (13-15-0-8, 34 pts.) at NY RANGERS (26-12-0-1, 53 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 137-90 ATS (+288.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 14-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NY RANGERS are 13-4 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 65-29 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 62-59 ATS (+137.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 225-216 ATS (-120.2 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 58-64 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 36-49 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 117-117 ATS (-56.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 126-125 ATS (-78.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 92-105 ATS (-42.5 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 5-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 5-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.7 Units)

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WINNIPEG (17-19-0-3, 37 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (19-15-0-4, 42 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 17-32 ATS (-16.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 351-400 ATS (+770.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 162-198 ATS (-72.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

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MONTREAL (22-9-0-6, 50 pts.) at NASHVILLE (16-14-0-6, 38 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 13-27 ATS (-18.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 64-68 ATS (-36.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 5-11 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a division game this season.
NASHVILLE is 14-23 ATS (-18.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 1-10 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-1-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (18-15-0-4, 40 pts.) at SAN JOSE (23-13-0-1, 47 pts.) - 1/3/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 107-99 ATS (-41.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 36-53 ATS (-26.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 9-14 ATS (-13.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 47-47 ATS (-28.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 20-9 ATS (+7.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 33-16 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 44-24 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 68-58 ATS (+134.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 12-3 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-7 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 33-35 ATS (-15.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 30-31 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 161-137 ATS (-74.5 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 52-50 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 90-73 ATS (-65.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 11-7 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 11-7-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/3

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/3

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