Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, December 19

Good Luck on day #354 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 15 of the Westgate SuperContest:

6) Patriots (430) -3.5- W

5) Lions (433) +4- L

4) Ravens (456) -5.5- L

3) Raiders (501) -3- T

2) Buccaneers (593) +6.5- W

1) Steelers (603) -3- W

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Giants 17, Lions 6— Seattle jumps Detroit into #2 seed in NFC after an inept offensive performance by Lions in their 3rd (and last) outdoor game of year. Giants are 8-1 in last nine games, now head on road to Philly/Washington to end season. Last eight Detroit games stayed under the total, as have last six Giant games.

Steelers 24, Bengals 20— Bengals led 20-6 wth 2:51 left in first half, but Steelers kicked FG’s on five consecutive drives, then finally scored TD and won/covered fifth game in row, with four of those wins on road- they’ve now won seven of last eight games with Cincinnati. Favorites are 8-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games this season.

Ravens 27, Eagles 26— Eagles scored TD with 0:04 left, went for two points and the win, a play I just disagree with, especially on road with a rookie QB who had just run for a TD. Tennessee did it, failed but wound up winning anyway. Philly has now lost nine of last ten games after a 3-0 start; they’re 1-7 on road. Ravens won its last five home games (4-1 vs spread).

Every TV announcer “loves the aggressive nature of going for two” in that spot. Without fail, they cover the coach’s butt by saying that, but I disagree. Let your entire team decide the game.

Packers 30, Bears 27— Green Bay blew a 27-10 4th quarter lead, but Rodgers hit Jordy Nelson with a 60-yard bomb to set up the GW field goal with 0:03 left. Packers have now won last seven games in Chicago, but Bears have to like what they see out of 3rd-string QB Barkley.

if Dallas wins Sunday night, Packers are tied with Tampa Bay for last Wild Card slot.

Colts 34, Vikings 6— Stunning no-show by Minnesota that basically ends their season; game was 27-nil at the half. I spent 50 Sunday afternoons watching Sam Bradford play for the Rams, so I’m not totally surprised by all this, and the Norv Turner resignation should’ve raised the red flag about as high as it can go, that there were big problems with this team.

Bills 33, Browns 13— Worst thing for the Browns is that they still have zero idea who their QB is as they move towards 2017. Cleveland is 2-12 vs spread; ’08 Lions went 0-16, but were 7-9 against spread. In its last four games, Cleveland was outscored 65-9 in first half. Buffalo is 7-1 if they allow 21 or less points, 0-6 if they allow more. Over is 11-2 in Buffalo’s last 13 games.

Titans 19, Chiefs 17— Chiefs led 14-0 after 10:31 of play but lost. Kansas City had the ball with 3:12 left up 17-16 and Tennessee had no timeouts left (other than 2:00 warning), but Chiefs couldn’t get a first down and lost 19-17 at home for the second time in five weeks (Bucs were other loss). Tennessee has now won four of last five games; they went for two-point conversion and the lead with 3:12 left, down 17-16 and won despite not getting it.

Texans 21, Jaguars 20— Houston benched Brock Osweiler after his second INT; he has $37M in guaranteed money coming his way. Bill O’Brien coached this game like he was getting fired if Houston misses the playoffs— Tom Savage may have saved O’Brien’s butt by leading this comeback that makes the Texans 6-1 at home this season. Jaguars lost their ninth game in a row; they fired coach Gus Bradley after the game- at least he’ll get to spend Christmas with his family.

Saints 48, Cardinals 41— 20 possessions in this game; 11 TD’s, three FG’s tried, not a lot of defense played. Cardinals have now allowed 30.9 pts/game their last seven games, giving up 22 TD’s on opponents’ last 72 drives. NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 10-2 vs spread this season. Except for Seattle, NFC West has been a dumpster fire in 2016.

Falcons 41, 49ers 13— First three times they had the ball, Atlanta ran 22 plays for 157 yards and a quick 21-nil lead— Falcons coasted the rest of the way, running ball for 248 yards, throwing for 302. 49ers haven’t won since Week 1; they allowed 12.6 yards/pass attempt in this game. In their last three games, Niners have been outscored 52-0 in second half. I’m going to spend Christmas Eve in a sportsbook watching Rams-49ers; Feliz Navidad. Over is 12-2 in Falcon games this season.

Patriots 16, Broncos 3— In their last three games, Denver has two offensive TDs on 35 drives; we’re going to find out this winter how patient John Elway is. Will he go after Tony Romo and try to jumpstart his offense for 2017? Patriots won for just second time in last eight visits here. Under is 8-3 in last 11 Denver games, 4-1 in last five Patriot games.

Raiders 19, Chargers 16— Two years ago, Oakland went 3-13 with rookie Derek Carr at QB; things have improved for him. Oakland is 6-1 in true road games this year; they’re 8-1 in games decided by 7 or less points, thanks in large part to a +15 turnover ratio. San Diego is 1-7 in games decided by 7 or less points; their TO ratio is -6. There is a very fine line between winning and losing in the NFL.

Cowboys 26, Buccaneers 20— Prescott went 32-36/280 in this highly entertaining game; putting to rest any potential QB controversy. Jameis Winston is going to be really good; this was his first game in the brightest of NFL spotlights. Bucs’ 5-game win streak is snapped. Packer fans were rooting like hell for Dallas, Giant fans were rooting for Tampa Bay.

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 19

Flyers won their last four games with Nashville; Predators lost four of last five games in this building. Over is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Nashville lost six of last eight games, three of last four on road; over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Philadelphia won ten of its last 11 games; winning last five at home. Over is 4-2-1 in Flyers’ last seven games.

Detroit won seven of last ten games with Carolina; three of last four series games went over the total. Red Wings won their last four visits to Raleigh. Detroit is off a 1-4 homestand but they did win last two road games; over is 4-2-2 in their last eight games. Hurricanes is 4-3 in its last seven games, but 0-3 in game following last three wins- they won three of last four at home. Over is 3-1 in Carolina’s last four games.

Toronto won eight of its last nine games with Anaheim; Ducks were outscored 21-11 in losing last four games in this building. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Anaheim won four of last six games but lost four of last five road games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Maple Leafs lost six of last eight games, four of last five at home. Last eight Toronto games stayed under the total.

Edmonton won last two games with St Louis after losing previous eight to the Blues; Oilers were outscored 17-8 in losing last four visits here. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Edmonton lost five of last seven games overall, three in row on road. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. St Louis lost three of last four games; they’re 4-2 in last six home games. Blues’ last three home games went over total.

Calgary won its last three games with Arizona with last two wins in OT; Flames won three of last five trips to desert. Eight of last nine series games stayed under. Calgary lost last two games 6-3/4-1 after winning six in row before that- they won last two road games. Flames’ last three road games stayed under. Coyotes lost three of last four home games, are 3-7 in last 10 games overall. Under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.




NHL

Monday, December 19

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CAROLINA
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Nashville is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville

8:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. TORONTO
Anaheim is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Anaheim's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Anaheim

9:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
Edmonton is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Calgary is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 19

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NASHVILLE (13-12-0-5, 31 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (19-11-0-3, 41 pts.) - 12/19/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 13-17 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
NASHVILLE is 8-15 ATS (-12.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 13-17 ATS (-9.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 3-10 ATS (-8.1 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) in December games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-10 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 222-180 ATS (+30.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 189-165 ATS (+361.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-54 ATS (-21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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DETROIT (14-14-0-4, 32 pts.) at CAROLINA (13-11-0-7, 33 pts.) - 12/19/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-22 ATS (-15.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 420-305 ATS (-117.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
DETROIT is 116-73 ATS (+25.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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ANAHEIM (16-11-0-5, 37 pts.) at TORONTO (12-11-0-7, 31 pts.) - 12/19/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-2 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 220-173 ATS (+32.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 112-108 ATS (+239.5 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 26-10 ATS (+12.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 71-123 ATS (-112.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-10 ATS (-6.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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EDMONTON (16-12-0-5, 37 pts.) at ST LOUIS (17-11-0-4, 38 pts.) - 12/19/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 2-15 ATS (+25.3 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 15-41 ATS (+75.6 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 5-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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CALGARY (16-15-0-2, 34 pts.) at ARIZONA (11-15-0-5, 27 pts.) - 12/19/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 14-6 ATS (+7.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 122-123 ATS (+269.3 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
CALGARY is 106-106 ATS (+240.1 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 102-102 ATS (+227.3 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 11-5 ATS (+16.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-26 ATS (+47.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-38 ATS (+64.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 29-75 ATS (+160.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 8-4 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 19

Calgary @ Arizona

Game 59-60
December 19, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
12.157
Arizona
10.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-150); Over

Edmonton @ St. Louis

Game 57-58
December 19, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.094
St. Louis
12.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-140); Under

Anaheim @ Toronto

Game 55-56
December 19, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
12.867
Toronto
10.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+105); Over

Detroit @ Carolina

Game 53-54
December 19, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.370
Carolina
10.515
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+120); Under

Nashville @ Philadelphia

Game 51-52
December 19, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
11.128
Philadelphia
12.211
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-125); Over

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, DECEMBER 19

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

DET at CAR 07:00 PM

DET +135 *****

O 5.0

NAS at PHI 07:00 PM

O 5.5 ***** ( TOTAL OF THE NIGHT )

ANA at TOR 07:30 PM

ANA +110 ***** ( DOG OF THE NIGHT )

U 5.5 *****

EDM at STL 08:00 PM

EDM +115 *****

O 5.5

CAL at ARI 09:00 PM

ARI +115 *****

U 5.0 *****