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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/14

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 14

    Good Luck on day #349 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    My six most interesting bowl games:

    — South Florida-South Carolina— Want to see USF’s mobile QB against an SEC defense.

    — Michigan-Florida State— Seminoles played better late in year; there are tensions between the coaches, regarding recruiting.

    — West Virginia-Miami— Hurricanes lost their last six bowls.

    — Eastern Michigan-Old Dominion— Monarchs’ first bowl, Eagles’ first since 1987.

    — Miami OH-Mississippi State- Miami started season 0-6.

    — Clemson-Ohio State— Woody Hayes’ last game was against the Tigers, when he slugged a Clemson LB late in game.

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    We start the day with a couple of odd stories……..
    13) Wake Forest’s football team fired one of its radio guys, an alum and former assistant coach, after they found out he “attempted to provide confidential and proprietary game preparations on multiple occasions, starting in 2014.” Yikes.

    The guy was a Wake Forest assistant coach for 11 years under Jim Grobe, but was let go when the school changed coaches three years ago.

    Sidebar: Are any ACC football coaches nervous? If they bought info from this guy, could be.

    12) Morehead State basketball coach Sean Woods was charged with misdemeanor assault in Indiana by two of his players, who say Woods assaulted them during/after a game in Evansville. Woods has been suspended by the school pending a resolution of the case.

    Hard to imagine him keeping his job, but he has a contract thru 2020; if the legal charges go away, then the school has to make a decision. Would be expensive to fire him without cause.

    11) On November 28, High Point beat Morgan State 62-61 in one of those games you never notice, except that in this game, High Point trailed by 13 with 1:35 to play. At that point, a win was virtually a statistical impossibility, but the Panthers pulled it off.

    High Point is coached by Scott Cherry, who is from Saratoga up here in my neck of the woods; he sat the bench for four years at North Carolina- the great coach Dean Smith was a family friend.

    10) Packers @ Bears Sunday; game time temperature is expected to be one degree. One.

    9) Miami Dolphins signed TJ Yates to be backup QB; Yates is 4-3 as an NFL starter going 2-0 for the Texans LY. He also won a playoff game for the Texans in 2011; not many backup QBs in the NFL have a playoff win under their belt.

    8) Lebron James was named Sportsman of the Year by Sports Illustrated; I’m a little surprised, thought Joe Maddon might get the call for that.

    7) All ten basketball teams in the Big X are in the top 75 right now. Very tough league; a good team is going to finish last.

    6) Then there is the Mountain West, which has only one team in the RPI top 100, Nevada at #29. San Diego State has regressed; this is a one-bid league again this year.

    5) Underreported story; former Ohio State football coach Jim Tressel is at Youngstown State, but he isn’t the football coach or the AD. He is the President of the whole freakin’ school.

    4) Florida defensive coordinator Geoff Collins is the new football coach at Temple. if Paul Finebaum says he’s a good hire, thats good enough for me.

    3) NFL will have four London games next year, hopefully not at 9:30am: Ravens-Jags, Vikings-Browns, Saints-Dolphins and Rams-Cardinals. Arizona-Baltimore-Cleveland will be playing in England for the first time.

    2) Cleveland Browns are 0-13 this season, 2-11 vs spread; by way of comparison, the last winless NFL team, the ’08 Lions were 0-16 but went 7-9 against the spread.

    1) More sad news, unfortunately. TV personality Alan Thicke, 69, passed away Tuesday after he collapsed while playing hockey with his son. Thicke was talented and funny; he had a talk show on TV for a while that was good but never quite caught on. Seemed like a good guy. RIP, sir.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, December 14


      Senators won their last five games with San Jose; Sharks lost 4-2/5-2 in last two visits here. Last six series games went over total. San Jose won seven of its last ten games but lost four of last six on road. Sharks are 3-1 if they played night before. Under is 3-0-4 in their last seven road games. Ottawa lost five of its last seven games, two of last three at home. Over is 3-0-1 in Senators’ last five games.

      Bruins won seven of last eight games with Pittsburgh; Boston won its last three games in this building, outscoring Pitt 11-4. Bruins lost three of last four games; five of their last eight games went to OT. Under is 2-1-1 in their last four road games. Penguins won their last six games, outscoring foes 35-14; four of those six games were at home. Last 11 Pittsburgh games went over the total.

      Lightning won five of last seven games with Calgary; Tampa Bay won three of last five games in Saddledome. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Tampa Bay lost seven of last eight games, losing last five on road; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Flames won their last six games, outscoring opponents 24-9, with four of those six at home; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten games.

      Philly-Colorado split last ten games with home side winning 8 of 10 (0-2 last two). Flyers lost four of last five games in this building. Three of last four series games went over. Philly won its last nine games, with four wins in OT/SO, three of those nine were on road. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Avalanche lost last five home games, seven of last nine overall; three of their last four games went over.




      NHL

      Wednesday, December 14


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:00 PM
      SAN JOSE vs. OTTAWA
      San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      San Jose is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
      Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing San Jose

      8:30 PM
      BOSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
      Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      10:30 PM
      TAMPA BAY vs. CALGARY
      Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
      Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
      Calgary is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

      11:00 PM
      PHILADELPHIA vs. COLORADO
      Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
      Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, December 14


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN JOSE (17-11-0-1, 35 pts.) at OTTAWA (16-11-0-2, 34 pts.) - 12/14/2016, 7:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OTTAWA is 5-0 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        OTTAWA is 5-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.3 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOSTON (16-12-0-2, 34 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (19-7-0-3, 41 pts.) - 12/14/2016, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PITTSBURGH is 83-52 ATS (+25.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 20-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 185-207 ATS (+448.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BOSTON is 5-1 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        BOSTON is 5-1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TAMPA BAY (14-13-0-2, 30 pts.) at CALGARY (16-13-0-2, 34 pts.) - 12/14/2016, 9:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
        TAMPA BAY is 0-5 ATS (-7.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        TAMPA BAY is 3-10 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        TAMPA BAY is 3-10 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
        CALGARY is 14-4 ATS (+9.2 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 39-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
        TAMPA BAY is 3-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHILADELPHIA (18-10-0-3, 39 pts.) at COLORADO (11-15-0-1, 23 pts.) - 12/14/2016, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 14-38 ATS (+61.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 36-53 ATS (-28.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 6-20 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        COLORADO is 222-174 ATS (-15.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
        COLORADO is 25-21 ATS (+46.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 16-12 ATS (+32.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in December games this season.
        COLORADO is 10-20 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 5-13 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Wednesday, December 14


          Philadelphia @ Colorado

          Game 7-8
          December 14, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          10.386
          Colorado
          9.233
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 1
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          -140
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          (-140); Over

          Tampa Bay @ Calgary


          Game 5-6
          December 14, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tampa Bay
          13.371
          Calgary
          12.197
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tampa Bay
          by 1
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Calgary
          -125
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tampa Bay
          (+105); Under

          Boston @ Pittsburgh


          Game 3-4
          December 14, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Boston
          10.055
          Pittsburgh
          12.503
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 2 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Pittsburgh
          -160
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (-160); Over

          San Jose @ Ottawa


          Game 1-2
          December 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          San Jose
          10.233
          Ottawa
          11.456
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Ottawa
          by 1
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          San Jose
          -125
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Ottawa
          (+105); Under

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Short Sheet

            Wednesday, December 14


            San Jose at Ottawa, 7:05 PM ET
            San Jose: 25-32 SU after a 2 game unbeaten streak
            Ottawa: 8-3 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3

            Boston at Pittsburgh, 7:35 PM ET
            Boston: 20-10 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
            Pittsburgh: 2-6 SU in home games off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more

            Tampa Bay at Calgary, 9:35 PM ET
            Tampa Bay: 25-8 SU after 2 or more consecutive losses
            Calgary: 44-67 SU after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8

            Philadelphia at Colorado, 10:05 PM ET
            Philadelphia: 8-1 SU after a 2 game unbeaten streak
            Colorado: 5-13 SU in home games in non-conference games

            Comment

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