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**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 08:43 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 14 of the Westgate SuperContest:

6) Green Bay Packers +2.5 (408)- W

5) Minnesota Vikings -3 (420)- W

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (440)- W

3) Washington Redskins -1 (481)- W

2) Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5 (558)- W

1) Baltimore Ravens +7 (577)
Strong week for popular opinion

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…..

Titans 13, Broncos 10— Tennessee has to be excited; they’re 7-6, tied for first in AFC South and they have the Rams’ #1 draft pick next year, so they’ll clean up next April and get even better. This was an ugly game; Titans scored 10 points on first two possessions, then held on for the win despite gaining only 178 yards the rest of the game. Mariota was 6-20/88 passing, but his team won. Five of last six Denver games stayed under the total.

Panthers 28, Chargers 16— San Diego turned ball over five times (-4). I have a question: Why can’t the Chargers just stay in San Diego and play in Qualcomm? Why is it better for them to move to LA and be a second rate tenant in a new ballpark? Who will go to their games there? At least in San Diego they have a whole city behind them, buying their gear, Maybe I’m an idiot, but seems to me every NFL team doesn’t need a brand-new stadium.

Texans 22, Colts 17— Houston is tied for first with Titans in AFC South; they ran ball for 185 yards, had 3 takeaways (+2), kicked five FGs- usually when a team scores one TD and kicks five FGs, they lose. Colts are 1-4-1 vs spread this year in game following a win; some teams cannot stand prosperity. This is only second time Texans have won in Indy (2-13). Under is 5-2 in last seven Houston games, 4-0 in Colts’ last four home games.

Bengals 23, Browns 10— I’m still amazed that an NFL franchise is worth roughly $1B, give or take, and the Browns are being run by Jonah Hill’s character from Moneyball. Seriously, why would you have a guy who spent most of the last 15 years as a baseball executive run your NFL team? It makes zero bleeping sense. Cleveland is 1-5-1 vs spread as a home underdog, losing home games by 5-20-3-25-15-14-13 points

Steelers 27, Bills 20— Pittsburgh ran ball for 240 yards in the snow, amidst rumors that Rex Ryan is going to get fired. If Ryan and Jeff Fisher both get fired, then maybe their teams can hire coaches who actually care about offense and the league will put out a better product. Pittsburgh has now won/covered its last four games.

Non-football observation: if you’re going to be outside in a snowstorm for 3.5 hours, put on a goddamn coat. Rex Ryan wore same clothes for this game he wore in the LA Coliseum when the Bills played there. Even his brother wore a parka.

Dolphins 26, Cardinals 23— Game was played in a monsoon; Arizona’s kicker had an awful day, but did make a 56-yard FG. Miami kicked FG on last play to win, but they lost QB Tannehill to an ACL injury, so looks like Matt Moore gets to run the ball club the rest of the way- their #3 QB is former Western Kentucky QB Doughty. Arizona needs to draft a QB next spring; Carson Palmer is getting up there in years.

NFC West went 0-4 Sunday, turning ball over 15 times and 49ers didn’t have any turnovers.

Lions 20, Bears 17— Detroit is now 9-4 despite trailing in 4th quarter in 12 of 13 games. You know it might be the Lions’ year when Stafford throws a pick-6 to give Chicago a 17-13 lead with 7:07 left, but Detroit drives back down field to score game-winning TD with 3:17 left. Lions are 6-1 at home with four wins by exactly three points.

Pretty sure I’m going to be in Las Vegas when the NFL schedule comes out for 2017; first thing I’m going to do is bet the under on the Lions’ win total for next year.

Vikings 25, Jaguars 16— Minnesota ran ball 29 times for 85 yards (28 for 70 if you take out one Bradford scramble for 15 yards); they scored only 16 points on five red zone drives, but won anyway. Jaguars are 0-6 at home, have lost eight games in a row (2-6 vs spread). Vikings had been 2-6 this season when they didn’t score a TD on defense/special teams, now they’re 3-6.

Mike Zimmer coached this game with his right eye totally covered by tape; he is one tough human. He wore sunglasses when Minnesota had the ball, but took them off so he could read his defensive call charts when Jaguars had the ball. Lot of admiration for coach Zimmer.

Bucs 16, Saints 11— Sean Payton was yukking it up two weeks ago when he ran the score up on the sorry Rams, but since then his team scored a total of 24 points in losses to Detroit, Tampa Bay. New Orleans is 5-8 and going nowhere with an aging QB; they’re 0-6 when they score less than 25 points. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, 2-0-1 in Bucs’ last three.

Tampa Bay has won five games in a row and is looking smart for drafting Jameis Winston.

Redskins 27, Eagles 22— Washington won last five meetings with Philly, with average total in last six series games, 53.8; Eagles scored one offensive TD on 17 drives in two games with Redskins this year. Over is 11-2 in Washington games this season.

Jets 23, 49ers 17 OT— Niners snatched defeat from the jaws of victory, blowing a 17-3 halftime lead, losing their 12th straight game. Bryce Petty gets his first NFL win. Weird that SF was favored in its last two games, despite being an awful team.

I’m wondering if the networks stopped showing Colin Kaepernick kneeling during the National Anthem because he said he didn’t vote on Election Day. Just curious, thats all.

Packers 38, Seahawks 10— Seattle has now lost their last seven visits here; they’re 1-4-1 this season when scoring less than 26 points. Somehow, Green Bay’s defense has revived itself, allowing 36 points in last three games, after allowing 153 points in the four games before that- they had six takeaways in this game. Seattle is 2-4-1 on the road and they’ve fallen out of the #2 slot in the NFC, so they might be going on the road in the second week of the playoffs.

Falcons 42, Rams 14— Observations from this game and with apologies to the Falcons, I’ve got nothing to say about them— picked them last week and they lost.

— Rams should fire their head coach today, just to save everyone three more weeks of aggravation.

— Last three weeks: L21-49, L10-26, L14-42. Unacceptable results. Sometimes divorce is a good thing— just ask my ex-wife (its a joke!!!)

— The next coach should a) be an offensive guru or b) hire an offensive guru to be OC and yes, I’m thinking of Norv Turner, if we go the OC way.

— Find the best offensive line coach in America and pay him a boatload of cash to come to LA.

— They can keep Gregg Williams and John Fassel; defense/special teams ain’t the problem.

— Here are some W-L records of how QBs did their rookie year: Elway 4-6, PManning 3-13, EManning 1-6, Aikman 0-11, Stafford 2-8, Marino 7-2. Playing QB in the NFL is a hard job.

— I pay more money than I should for DirecTV, for one reason; to watch NFL games on Sundays, specifically the Rams. 13 consecutive non-winning seasons is getting my money’s worth.

Giants 10, Cowboys 7— Dak Prescott grew up in Louisiana; wonder if he ever played in a frigid night game before? Dallas is 11-2 with two losses to the Giants by total of four points. If playoffs started tomorrow, NFC Wild Card game would be Bucs @ Giants. AFC would be either Miami/Denver @ Oakland. Last five Giant games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 09:09 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 12

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ARIZONA (9-13-0-5, 23 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (18-7-0-3, 39 pts.) - 12/12/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-19 ATS (+34.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-20 ATS (+42.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 82-52 ATS (+160.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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BOSTON (15-12-0-2, 32 pts.) at MONTREAL (19-6-0-3, 41 pts.) - 12/12/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 18-28 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 14-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games first half of the season this season.
MONTREAL is 13-2 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 14-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-12 ATS (+6.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-6 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 79-67 ATS (+150.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
BOSTON is 184-207 ATS (+447.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 9-2 (+7.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 9-2-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 12

Penguins won three of last four games with Arizona; six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Coyotes lost six of last seven games, were outscored 10-2 in losing last three road games. Under is 8-1 in Arizona’s last nine games. Pittsburgh scored 28 goals in winning its last five games; their last ten games went over total. Penguins won last four home games, outscoring opponents 23-13.

Montreal won eight of last ten games with Boston; over is 4-1-2 in last seven series games. Bruins are 2-3 in last five visits to Molson Centre. Boston lost its last three games, outscored 12-6; three of their last four games went over. Bruins lost three of last four home games. Canadiens won three of last four games overall, four of last five at home; over is 3-0-1 in their last four games.

NHL

Monday, December 12

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

8:30 PM
BOSTON vs. MONTREAL
Boston is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Montreal
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

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**Udog** · 12-12-2016, 01:06 PM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 12

Boston @ Montreal

Game 3-4
December 12, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
12.408
Montreal
11.653
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+130); Under

Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Game 1-2
December 12, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
9.162
Pittsburgh
12.617
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-300
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-300); Over

Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/12

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/12

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