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Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-1, +13.67
Profit: +70.15
Yield: +2.02%
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5/12/2016
Game NHL - Arizona @ Columbus
Bet #196Columbus -1.5 @2.26
Risk 32.00
Bonus - Analysis:
My Projected Lines and the odds
I have projected, that Columbus has 76.4% of chance to win this game, with that I have projected, that they should be favoured at 1.31. Bookmakers give me more than 1.40. I also projected, that it could happen more than 6 goals in this one (projected: 6.72).
Match Up
Columbus beat Arizona in the last game by 3-2 on the road. They were all over them. They put 60 shots on a goal. Do you know, that leage average is around 30 shots and they are much better team than Arizona this season. In fact Columbus is one of the best teams this season in NHL. Based on points, they are 5th best and right now, they will play at home, where, they are a 8-4, with 3.7 goals per game and they allow only 2.4 goals per game there. Arizona on other side is 27th team out of 30 teams and they are 3-9 on the road. They play bette at home and especially if they have their best goalie in the net - Mike Smith. The problem is that they will give the chance to second goalie - Domingue, who has SV% of 0.880 on the road and the record 2-5. If Mike Smith saved them from disaster at home against Columbus, when he faced 60 shots, I think they will have tough time here in Columbus. Columbus is flying right now, winning 4 of last 5 games.
Reason for pick
Arizona lost 6 of last 7 visits to Columbus and the home team is 11-5 in last 16 meetings. They will play with their backup goalie, who is struggling on the road and they are below average team. Columbus is very good team and especially at home, they put a lot of pressure on other teams. If they placed 60 shots on the road against Arizona, I can only imagine what will they do here at home. I will take Columbus to win by 2 goals.
Play Columbus -1.5
OTT 147
PIT -147
ARI 324
CBJ -324
BUF 236
WSH -236
FLA 145
BOS -145
Last Picks: 1-1, +13.67
Profit: +70.15
Yield: +2.02%
----------------
5/12/2016
Game NHL - Arizona @ Columbus
Bet #196Columbus -1.5 @2.26
Risk 32.00
Bonus - Analysis:
My Projected Lines and the odds
I have projected, that Columbus has 76.4% of chance to win this game, with that I have projected, that they should be favoured at 1.31. Bookmakers give me more than 1.40. I also projected, that it could happen more than 6 goals in this one (projected: 6.72).
Match Up
Columbus beat Arizona in the last game by 3-2 on the road. They were all over them. They put 60 shots on a goal. Do you know, that leage average is around 30 shots and they are much better team than Arizona this season. In fact Columbus is one of the best teams this season in NHL. Based on points, they are 5th best and right now, they will play at home, where, they are a 8-4, with 3.7 goals per game and they allow only 2.4 goals per game there. Arizona on other side is 27th team out of 30 teams and they are 3-9 on the road. They play bette at home and especially if they have their best goalie in the net - Mike Smith. The problem is that they will give the chance to second goalie - Domingue, who has SV% of 0.880 on the road and the record 2-5. If Mike Smith saved them from disaster at home against Columbus, when he faced 60 shots, I think they will have tough time here in Columbus. Columbus is flying right now, winning 4 of last 5 games.
Reason for pick
Arizona lost 6 of last 7 visits to Columbus and the home team is 11-5 in last 16 meetings. They will play with their backup goalie, who is struggling on the road and they are below average team. Columbus is very good team and especially at home, they put a lot of pressure on other teams. If they placed 60 shots on the road against Arizona, I can only imagine what will they do here at home. I will take Columbus to win by 2 goals.
Play Columbus -1.5
OTT 147
PIT -147
ARI 324
CBJ -324
BUF 236
WSH -236
FLA 145
BOS -145
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