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**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:31 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 13 in the Westgate Super Contest

— Detroit Lions +6 (564) W

— Atlanta Falcons -4 (516) L

— New Jersey Giants +6.5 (515) L

— Green Bay Packers -6.5 (447) W

— Seattle Seahawks -6.5 (417) W

— Washington Redskins +2.5 (408) L

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Broncos 20, Jaguars 10— Jaguars have now lost seven games in a row; QB Bortles threw his 11th career pick-6 in this game- he has 10 career wins. Jags are -16 in turnovers their last eight games. First career win for rookie QB Paxton Lynch. AFC South underdogs are 7-13 vs spread, 2-6 at home.

Chiefs 29, Falcons 28— Eric Berry scored 8 points; he had a pick-6 in last 1:00 of first half when score was tied, then scored game-winning two points on a pick-2 in 4th quarter, after Falcons had taken a 28-27 lead. Atlanta also gave up a TD on a 55-yard fake punt. Over is 10-2 in Falcon games this season. Not a good day at all for the Atlanta coaches.

Packers 21, Texas 13— You say Texans should struggle in cold weather, being a dome team and all, but QB Osweiler grew up in Montana; shouldn’t he be used to it? Houston is 1-5 on road, 1-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 27-18-18-7-8 points- its not the cold, they’re just bad on the road.

Bengals 32, Eagles 14— Philly has now lost seven of last nine games after its 3-0 start; Eagles lost last six road games, are 1-4 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 1-7-6-5-11-18 points.

As far as rookie QB’s go, here are some W-L records of rookie QB’s:
John Elway 4-6, Troy Aikman 0-11, Eli Manning 1-6, Peyton Manning 3-13, Dan Marino 7-2. Oddly enough, Marino is only one of those five who never won a Super Bowl.

Lions 28, Saints 13— Didn’t see Sean Payton celebrating much on the sidelines today. Detroit is now 8-4, atop NFC North; this was first game all year they didn’t trail in 4th quarter. Lions are 4-1 as road underdogs this year. Last six Detroit games stayed under total.

Bears 26, 49ers 6— On a snowy day in Windy City, 49ers completed 5 of 15 passes for a net of six yards. Bears had six sacks in a game where neither side completed a pass in first quarter, but Chicago wound up 11-18/184 passing. Under is 4-1-1 in Chicago home games.

Patriots 26, Rams 10— My three favorite football movies:
1) Any Given Sunday 2) Invincible 3) Friday Night Lights

Some Christmas trivia: the Rockefeller Center Christmas tree in New York City is 94 feet tall and weighs over 30,000 pounds.

It is accurate to say that Sunday afternoon wasn’t a happy one in my living room.

Ravens 38, Dolphins 6— Miami’s 6-game win streak was put to an emphatic end- this game was 24-0 at half; Ravens have won four of last five games- they’ve allowed 11.4 pts/game in last five home games.

Raiders 38, Bills 24— Buffalo led 24-9 halfway thru third quarter but got outscored 29-0 from that point on. On their last six drives, Oakland ran 34 plays for 230 yards and four TD’s, with two short TD drives of 38-16 yards. Over is 10-2 in Raider games this season.

Buffalo was -2 in turnovers; teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 7-64 in the NFL this season.

Buccaneers 28, Chargers 21— Tampa Bay has won four straight road games for first time ever; they’re 5-1 on road this year, NFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 12-2 vs spread this season, 9-1 on road.

Bucs are tied with Atlanta atop NFC South and would be the #2 Wild Card now; as for San Diego, sounds like they’re moving to the new stadium in LA, which opens in 2019. They need to draft a QB in April, someone who will be in place as a starter when they try to sell tickets in their new location.

Cardinals 31, Redskins 23— Washington’s loss drops them out of the playoff picture, for now; they’re half-game behind the Wild Cards. Arizona was 10-16 on third down, and didn’t turn the ball over; they had turned it over nine times in previous four games. Over is 10-2 in Redskin games this season.

Steelers 24, Giants 14— Pittsburgh won its third straight game, allowing total of 30 points- they’re 4-1 as home favorites this year. Giants had 6-game win streak snapped, in game where Victor Cruz had zero targets. Under is 7-2 in Giants’ last nine games.

Seahawks 40, Panthers 7– Carolina benched QB Cam Newton for first series of this game, a HUGE red flag; chances are it was for more than one offense. First series lasted one play, an INT on a tipped ball, and game went downhill from there. Your QB is one of the team’s leaders, for better or worse- this isn’t a good sign.

**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 09:36 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 5

Penguins won five of last six games with Ottawa; four of last five series games went over. Senators lost five of last six visits to Steel City. Ottawa won five of its last seven games overall and three in row on road. Five of their last six games stayed under. Penguins won three of last four games, scoring 15 goals while winning last three at home. Last seven Pittsburgh games went over the total.

Columbus won its last three games with Arizona; four of last six series games went over total. Coyotes lost three of their last four visits here. Arizona lost its last three games, all by one goal, two in OT/SO; they lost three of last four road games. Four of their last five road games stayed under. Columbus won its last three games, allowing five goals; they won three of last five home games (under 3-2).

Washington won five of its last six games with Buffalo, winning last three here by combined score of 14-4; over is 3-2-1 in last six series games. Sabres are 4-3 in last seven games but lost three of last four on road; under is 4-3 in their last seven games. Caps were outscored 9-3 in losing last three games; they won four of last six home games. Three of last four Washington games stayed under total.

Bruins won four of last five games with Florida (under 3-1-1); Panthers lost three of last four games in this building. Florida lost three of last four games; four of their last seven games went OT/SO (under 6-0-1). Boston won three of last four games but scored twice in each of last three games- they’re 3-2 in last five home tilts. Under is 4-0-2 in their last six games overall.

NHL

Monday, December 5

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. COLUMBUS
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Columbus is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Buffalo's last 19 games
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Buffalo

8:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida's last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Florida

8:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 12-05-2016, 10:04 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, December 5

Florida @ Boston

Game 57-58
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
12.817
Boston
11.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+125); Over

Buffalo @ Washington

Game 55-56
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
9.813
Washington
11.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-235
5
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-235); Under

Arizona @ Columbus

Game 53-54
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.254
Columbus
12.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-250
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-250); Under

Ottawa @ Pittsburgh

Game 51-52
December 5, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
11.569
Pittsburgh
10.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-250
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+200); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 5

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OTTAWA (15-8-0-2, 32 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (15-7-0-3, 33 pts.) - 12/5/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 23-16 ATS (+39.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OTTAWA is 7-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-1 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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ARIZONA (8-11-0-4, 20 pts.) at COLUMBUS (14-5-0-4, 32 pts.) - 12/5/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 9-31 ATS (+54.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-18 ATS (+32.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 9-37 ATS (+73.1 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 28-71 ATS (+135.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 23-65 ATS (+130.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 14-9 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 14-9 ATS (+1.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 9-4 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COLUMBUS is 38-32 ATS (+77.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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BUFFALO (9-10-0-5, 23 pts.) at WASHINGTON (13-7-0-3, 29 pts.) - 12/5/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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FLORIDA (12-11-0-2, 26 pts.) at BOSTON (14-10-0-1, 29 pts.) - 12/5/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 12-4 ATS (+16.1 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 14-6 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 17-6 ATS (+23.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 29-17 ATS (+46.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BOSTON is 7-13 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 192-161 ATS (-64.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/5

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/5

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