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**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 07:52 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in Week 12 of the Westgate Super Contest

— Tennessee Titans, -4.5 (514)- W

— Atlanta Falcons, -4 (480)- W

— Washington Redskins +7 (405)- W

— Baltimore Ravens -4 (387)- W

— Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 (380)- W

— Oakland Raiders -3 (379)- W

Season record: 28-43-2

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chargers 21, Texans 13— First home loss for Texans; Chargers are now 2-4 on road. Houston turned ball over four times (-3); teams who were -2 or worse in turnovers this week are 0-5 this week, 7-59 for the season.

Titans 27, Bears 21— Tennessee is 6-6 and heads into its bye week half a game behind the Texans in a lame AFC South. Barkley threw for 316 yards in his first NFL start, converted 9-17 on third down, but also threw two picks and Bears fell to 2-9. Over is 8-1 in Titans’ last nine games.

Bills 28, Jaguars 21— Jax has now lost six games in a row, last four all by 7 or less points. Bills are 6-5 but winning a Wild Card in AFC is an uphill climb. Over is 8-2 in last ten Buffalo games. I’m guessing Jaguars are changing coaches after the season; curious to see if they hire Tom Coughlin, who is approaching 70 but would be better than some guys who have HC jobs.

Ravens 19, Bengals 14— Justin Tucker nailed three 50+-yard FG’s, all in the first half. Cincy is 1-5-1 in its last seven games, losing last five true road games; I am not a fan of promoting from within when hiring coordinators, which Cincinnati has done a lot recently, losing three coordinators to HC jobs the last three years. Go out and find new blood, new ideas. Bengals’ last four games (0-3-1) were decided by a total of 7 points. Under is 6-1 in last seven Baltimore games.

Falcons 38, Cardinals 19— Hope coach Arians is alright after a medical scare earlier in week; his team isn’t alright, losing three of last four games. Arizona was outscored 41-16 in second half of last three games. Falcons scored five TDs on nine drives, with two TD drives of less than 50 yards. Over is 9-2 in Atlanta games this season.

Dolphins 31, 49ers 24— Miami won its sixth game in row, will be tied for second Wild Card with loser of KC-Denver game. Dolphins led 31-14 with 8:00 left but Kaepernick led comeback which fell a couple yards short as time expired. 49ers have lost ten games in a row, with over 7-3 in those games. Miami is +10 in turnovers during its winning streak.

Saints 49, Rams 21— This game was personal between Sean Payton/Gregg Williams, who won a Super Bowl together in New Orleans. Saints threw a pass with 2:30 left, up 49-21. They’ll be another day for that stuff. NFC West underdogs are 4-11 vs spread outside their division this season.

Jeff Fisher is in his fifth year coaching the Rams: he makes $7M a year. His teams have been 7-8-1/7-9/6-10/7-9 and now this 4-7 disaster (they still have games at both New England/Seattle). If I was paying someone $7M a year to coach, I’d expect better results and most of all, I wouldn’t be very freakin’ happy when my team quit on the field, the way the Rams did in this game.

Giants 27, Browns 13— Cleveland is now 1-4-1 as a home underdog; they’ve been outscored 83-24 in second half of their last five games. Giants won their last six games, getting a defensive TD from Pierre-Paul to put game out of reach. If season ended today, Giants would host Washington in NFC Wild Card game. Good news for Cleveland; next week is their bye.

Buccaneers 14, Seahawks 5— Just second 14-5 game in NFL history; 49ers-Falcons played one in 1984. Bucs had six sacks, held Seattle to 1-11 on third down- they’ve won three games in a row, allowing total of 32 points. This is same Tampa defense that gave up 37 points to the Rams in Week 3. Everyone in NFC West lost today.

Raiders 37, Panthers 32— Oakland has won/covered five games in a row; Derek Carr had a dislocated pinky in third quarter, when Carolina had ball four times, scored four TDs, but they also had PAT blocked and went 0-2 on 2-point conversions. Carr played 4th quarter with a glove on his right hand.

Only two defensive TDs of day were scored by Giants/Raiders. Newton was 3-12 passing for 18 yards in first half, 11-17 for 226 yards in second haldf, including an 88-yard TD pass to Ted Ginn Jr. Over is now 9-2 in Raider games this season.

Patriots 22, Jets 17— New England is 4-0 (3-1 vs spread) with Brady on road; Jets are now 1-4 at home. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 13-8 vs spread this season. Jets’ last four games were all decided by 5 or less points. under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven games.

Chiefs 30, Broncos 27 OT– Santos banked game-winning FG in off left upright to give Chiefs win after they blew lead late in regulation. Denver tried but missed a 62-yard FG to end game earlier in OT. Dolphins are glad game didn’t end in a tie; would’ve left them behind both teams in Wild Card race.

**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 07:58 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 28

Dallas @ St. Louis

Game 3-4
November 28, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.703
St. Louis
11.238
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+150); Under

Calgary @ NY Islanders

Game 1-2
November 28, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
8.712
NY Islanders
9.725
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-130
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-130); N/A

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 28

Islanders won their last four games with Calgary; under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Flames lost four of last five visits to LI/Brooklyn. Calgary is 4-3 in its last seven games, winning four of last six road games. Under is 5-1-2 in their last eight games. Islanders lost six of their last seven games; they’ve lost four of last five home games. Under is 3-1-3 in their last seven games.

Blues are 6-4 in their last ten games with Dallas, splitting last four meetings here. Over is 4-0-3 in last seven series games. Dallas Stars are 3-4 in their last seven games, losing 5-2/5-4 in last two road games. Four of last six Dallas games stayed under. St Louis won five of last six games; they’ve outscored opponents 14-7 in winning last four home games. Last three Blues games went over.

NHL

Monday, November 28

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
CALGARY vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
Calgary is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Dallas is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

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**Udog** · 11-28-2016, 09:21 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 28

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CALGARY (10-13-0-1, 21 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (6-10-0-4, 16 pts.) - 11/28/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-0-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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DALLAS (9-8-0-5, 23 pts.) at ST LOUIS (12-7-0-3, 27 pts.) - 11/28/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 32-19 ATS (+5.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 189-155 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-22 ATS (+58.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 92-86 ATS (+192.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 11-7 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 11-7-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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Announcement

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/28

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/28

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