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Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/11

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  • Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, November 11

    Good Luck on day #316 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    My six favorite Bill Murray movies:

    6) Quick Change– Saw this on my first date with my future ex-wife.

    5) St Vincent– Any time a guy takes a little kid he is babysitting to the racetrack, the movie has a chance.

    4) Caddyshack– This was more of a Rodney/Chevy Chase movie.

    3) Stripes– The late Harold Rams should’ve acted in more movies.

    2) Meatballs– Morty, the guy who ran the summer camp, later wound up as a judge on Law and Order.

    1) Lost in Translation– Underrated movie with Scarlett Johansson.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Bottom 5, Top 8 in the NFL

    32) Browns— Cleveland is 0-10, but not the only team that has trailed all its games in 4th quarter. 5-4 Lions have trailed all nine of their games in 4th quarter- they easily could be 0-9, or 8-1.

    31) 49ers— Allowed a 100-yard rusher in each of their last seven games, which doesn’t happen very often.

    30) Jaguars— Ran ball better last week than they have all season but teams that turn ball over four times almost never win. Host a Houston team this week that is 0-3 on the road.

    29) Bears— They should start playing better with Cutler back at QB and Bucs-Titans-49ers on schedule in next month. For what it is worth, Jay Cutler grew up in a town called Santa Claus, IN; wonder what the high school’s mascot is?

    28) Rams— I let this slide Monday because there were so many other things to be annoyed about, but Rams’ only TD against the Panthers came on a 4th-and-goal play from the 10 in last 0:40 when LA trailed 13-3. Going for it on 4th-and-goal from the 10, when you had an easy FG and you needed 10 points, was coaching malpractice.

    Just because the play worked doesn’t make it a good decision; in a lot of ways, this ticked me off more than losing the damn game.

    8) Broncos— Wade Phillips feels better, may be back on sidelines for this week’s game; if his defense doesn’t create opportunities for the Denver offense, it’ll be a long second half of the season— Broncos’ offense isn’t very good.

    7) Giants— One of three teams (Cards, Jags) that haven’t scored a point yet on their first drive of the game. Wentz threw INTs on Eagles’ first two drives, so Giants got TDs on drives of 31-30 yards on their 2nd/3rd drives of the game, but when the coach is also the playcaller, shouldn’t they do better on their first drive?

    6) Seahawks— Long trip east to Foxboro on a short week Sunday nite; they play Patriots for first time since their Super Bowl loss to New England. Seahawks’ rushing attempts in last three games: 19-17-12- they need more balance on offense. They also need a more mobile Wilson.

    5) Chiefs— Have NFL’s best record (17-3) in their last 20 games, but only one of those wins was a playoff game. Alex Smith is back at QB this week, which should improve their play in red zone.

    4) Falcons— 6-3 with bye week in Week 11, so they should be well-rested for stretch run, with little bit of a soft schedule, other than the KC game. Will Kyle Shanahan be a head coach elsewhere in ’17?

    3) Raiders— Last time they were in the playoffs was 2002, when they lost Super Bowl to Tampa Bay. They’ll be there this year. First game after their bye is against the Texans on a Monday night in Mexico City.

    2) Cowboys— If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it; at 7-1, no reason for Dallas to change QBs; they seem to be set there for the next 10-12 years. Interesting game in Pittsburgh this week, against the banged-up Steelers.

    1— Patriots— After playing Seattle this week, their next three games are against 49ers-Jets-Rams; they’ll have to guard against boredom, playing those three stiffs in a row.

    I’m not kidding; closest game they’ve had since Brady came back is 11 points- you need to play in close games during season to tighten up for the playoffs, when games will be close.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, November 11


      New Jersey won five of last six games with Buffalo; under is 6-1-2 in last nine series games. Devils won last three visits here by combined score of 9-4. New Jersey is 5-3 in its last eight games but is 1-5 on road (under 4-1-1). Sabres lost three of last four games; their last eight games stayed under. Buffalo is 1-4 at home this season.

      Flyers lost three of last four games with Toronto; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Philly won three of last five visits to Toronto. Maple Leafs won three of last four games; they’re 4-2 at home (over 3-3). Flyers lost their last two games; three of their last four went OT/SO. Philly is 3-4 on road; six of their last eight games went over the total.

      Ottawa won its last three games against the Kings; five of last six series games went over total. LA won three of its last five games in this building. Kings won three of their last four games; eight of their last nine stayed under the total. LA is 2-5 on the road. Senators won four of last six games; they’re 5-2 at home. Last six Ottawa games stayed under the total.

      Washington won four of last five games with Chicago (under 4-0-1); Caps lost three of last four visits to Windy City, in series where home side won seven of last eight meetings. Washington won five of its last six games; they’re 3-3 on road (over 2-2-2). Blackhawks won last seven games, last two in OT; they’re 7-2 at home. Three of last four Chicago games stayed under.

      Home side won six of last seven Dallas-Edmonton games; under is 6-3 in last nine series tilts. Dallas Stars lost 4-0/2-1ot in last two visits here- they won in Calgary last nite, just their 2nd win in last eight games. Stars are 2-5 on road; four of their last five games went over. Edmonton lost four of last six games; they’re 4-2 at home. Three of Oilers’ last four games went over total.

      Winnipeg won its last three games with Colorado; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Jets are 2-3 in last five visits to Denver, but won last two- they won three of last four games overall, are 4-4 on road; four of last five Winnipeg games went over the total. Avalanche lost four of last five games, outscored 14-5; they’re 2-3 at home. Under is 6-4 in last ten Colorado games.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL

        Friday, November 11


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        8:00 PM
        NEW JERSEY vs. BUFFALO
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
        New Jersey is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
        Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey

        8:00 PM
        PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing Toronto
        Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia

        8:30 PM
        LOS ANGELES vs. OTTAWA
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games
        Los Angeles is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
        Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

        9:30 PM
        WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
        Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
        Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Washington
        Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

        10:00 PM
        DALLAS vs. EDMONTON
        Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Dallas
        Edmonton is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing Dallas

        10:00 PM
        WINNIPEG vs. COLORADO
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Colorado
        Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
        Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Long Sheet

          Friday, November 11


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW JERSEY (6-3-0-3, 15 pts.) at BUFFALO (5-5-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/11/2016, 7:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW JERSEY is 5-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          NEW JERSEY is 5-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA (6-6-0-2, 14 pts.) at TORONTO (5-5-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/11/2016, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PHILADELPHIA is 10-37 ATS (+57.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 31-52 ATS (-32.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 16-29 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          TORONTO is 77-93 ATS (-54.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
          TORONTO is 17-42 ATS (+73.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
          TORONTO is 26-49 ATS (+93.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TORONTO is 3-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          TORONTO is 3-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LOS ANGELES (7-7-0-0, 14 pts.) at OTTAWA (8-5-0-0, 16 pts.) - 11/11/2016, 7:35 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OTTAWA is 3-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
          OTTAWA is 3-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          WASHINGTON (8-3-0-1, 17 pts.) at CHICAGO (10-3-0-1, 21 pts.) - 11/11/2016, 8:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WASHINGTON is 164-204 ATS (-71.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          CHICAGO is 419-406 ATS (-94.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
          WASHINGTON is 70-36 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 36-13 ATS (+17.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 59-66 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DALLAS (5-6-0-3, 13 pts.) at EDMONTON (9-4-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/11/2016, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 188-153 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
          DALLAS is 41-29 ATS (+71.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
          DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+38.8 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
          DALLAS is 29-22 ATS (+57.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          DALLAS is 91-86 ATS (+191.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
          EDMONTON is 41-59 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
          EDMONTON is 167-167 ATS (-26.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          EDMONTON is 75-84 ATS (-59.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 4-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 4-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          WINNIPEG (7-7-0-1, 15 pts.) at COLORADO (5-7-0-0, 10 pts.) - 11/11/2016, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          COLORADO is 31-21 ATS (+56.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
          COLORADO is 112-118 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
          COLORADO is 8-15 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WINNIPEG is 6-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Dunkel

            Friday, November 11


            Winnipeg @ Colorado

            Game 61-62
            November 11, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Winnipeg
            11.209
            Colorado
            12.314
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Colorado
            by 1
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Colorado
            -145
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Colorado
            (-145); Under

            Dallas @ Edmonton


            Game 59-60
            November 11, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Dallas
            10.447
            Edmonton
            8.921
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dallas
            by 1 1/2
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Edmonton
            -160
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (+140); Over

            Washington @ Chicago


            Game 57-58
            November 11, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Washington
            12.767
            Chicago
            9.266
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 3 1/2
            4
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            -115
            5
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (-115); Under

            Los Angeles @ Ottawa


            Game 55-56
            November 11, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Los Angeles
            11.094
            Ottawa
            9.851
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Los Angeles
            by 1
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Ottawa
            -140
            5
            Dunkel Pick:
            Los Angeles
            (+120); Over

            Philadelphia @ Toronto


            Game 53-54
            November 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Philadelphia
            12.940
            Toronto
            11.781
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 1
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            -115
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (-115); Over

            New Jersey @ Buffalo


            Game 51-52
            November 11, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New Jersey
            12.805
            Buffalo
            12.024
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Jersey
            by 1
            3
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Buffalo
            -120
            5
            Dunkel Pick:
            New Jersey
            (+100); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              NHL
              Short Sheet

              Friday, November 11


              New Jersey at Buffalo, 7:05 PM ET
              New Jersey: 3-2 SU after one or more consecutive overs
              Buffalo: 1-8 SU when playing their 8th game in 14 days

              Philadelphia at Toronto, 7:05 PM ET
              Philadelphia: 20-13 SU after losing their previous game in overtime
              Toronto: 17-42 SU after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game

              Los Angeles at Ottawa, 7:35 PM ET
              Los Angeles: 13-10 SU when playing on back-to-back days
              Ottawa: 6-8 SU off a road win against a division rival

              Washington at Chicago, 8:35 PM ET
              Washington: 27-12 SU as a road favorite of -200 or less
              Chicago: 59-64 SU in home games on Friday nights

              Dallas at Edmonton, 9:05 PM ET
              Dallas: 11-2 SU in road games off a road win by 2 goals or more
              Edmonton: 39-55 SU in home games in November

              Winnipeg at Colorado, 9:05 PM ET
              Winnipeg: 1-14 SU after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
              Colorado: 10-2 SU after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more

              Comment

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