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  • Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, October 27

    Good Luck on day #301 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — 30 of Carlos Santana’s 34 homers this year were hit lefthanded.

    — Last grand slam in World Series? Paul Konerko for the White Sox in Game 2 of ’05 Series.

    — Opening Day rosters of the 30 NBA teams: 113 foreign players, 43 white Americans.

    — Kevin Harlan is a busy broadcaster; he did the NFL game in London Sunday, then flew to Oakland for the Spurs-Warriors game Tuesday night.

    — In their last three road games, Jets scored only one TD on 30 drives.

    — Former Wyoming hoop coach Larry Shyatt is now an assistant coach for the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA.

    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: NFL knowledge and our top 7

    Some notes about how NFL teams have done on the first drive of each half this season: in my mind, the first drive of each game goes to how coaches prepare for their opponent each week.

    First drive of the second half goes to halftime adjustments, as much as can be done in 10-12 minutes. Through seven weeks, here is some information:

    13) Dallas Cowboys, in six games, have three TDs, two FGs and a missed FG on their first drive of the game, averaging 66.7 yards/drive, by far the best in the NFL thru seven weeks.

    12) Three teams have yet to score on their first drive of a game: Arizona, Jacksonville and the Giants, who have only 79 yards on 27 plays on the first drive of their seven games.

    11) Saints/Chargers both have four TDs on their first drive, though Saints did that in six games and Chargers seven; New Orleans averages 54.2 yards/first drive, San Diego 47.1.

    10) Most surprising that I’ve found so far: Denver has allowed four TDs and a FG on opponents’ first drive of a game- their 31 points allowed on the first drive is 2nd-worst in the NFL.

    9) Less surprising is Cleveland’s defense allowing five TDs on its seven game opening drives, with foes gaining an average of 55.9 yards/drive.

    8) Giants have been outscored 30-3 on each team’s first drive of each half; Jets have been outscored 35-16. For the Giants, 66 plays, 210 yards (3.2 yards/play) on the first drive of their 14 halves is very poor.

    On to the NFL’s top 7 for this week:

    7) Chiefs— Andy Reid is this generation’s Chuck Knox— very good coach, wins a lot of games, just not any Super Bowls. Nothing wrong with winning a lot of games.

    6) Raiders— 4-0 on the road and all four games were east of Mississippi; this week is #5.

    5) Seahawks— Lost 9-3 in LA, tied 6-6 at Arizona, their two games on grass. Won the other four games. Not sure how bad Wilson’s leg injuries are, but if he doesn’t start running around soon, I’ll lose faith in Seattle.

    Related point; NBC’s Cris Collinsworth actually grouped Wilson with Brady and Roethlisberger as a pocket passer during Sunday night’s game. Um, no. Not even close.

    4) Cowboys— Is it easier for a rookie QB to be without Dez Bryant and not have him calling for the ball all the time? What Jason Garrett has done in the first six games is tremendous- their offensive line is just super.

    3) Broncos— Little queasy about having them at #3, but they’re the defending champs and they’re 5-2. I wouldn’t bet your money on them on win the Super Bowl this year.

    2) Vikings— Sam Bradford began his NFL career with the Rams, so pardon me if I’m skeptical he can lead the Vikings to the Super Bowl. He just doesn’t stay healthy.

    1) Patriots— They head into heir bye week with an actual revenge game this week; Bills beat them in Foxboro in Week 4, the last week of Brady’s suspension and also in all probability, the last NFL action Jacoby Brissett will ever see.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, October 27


      Minnesota won five of last six games with Buffalo; over is 2-0-2 in last four. Wild won four of last five visits to Buffalo (under 3-1-1). Minnesota is 1-3 on road (under 2-1-1). Sabres lost last three games (one in OT, one in SO); three of their last four games went over.

      Islanders lost three of last four games with Pittsburgh; four of last five series games stayed under the total. New York split its last four visits to Steel City. Islanders won three of last five games; they’re 0-2 on road, losing 5-3/2-1; five of their last six stayed under. Penguins won four of their five home games.

      Arizona won 2-1ot/4-3 in last two games with Philly; five of last six series games went over total. Coyotes lost three of last four visits here. Arizona lost its last five games, all on road by combined margin of 23-13 (over 4-2). Flyers lost four of their last six games (over 5-1-1); they’re 2-1 at home.

      Florida is 8-2 in its last ten games with Toronto; road team won six of last seven series games. Panthers won last four games in this building, outscoring Leafs 15-7. Florida lost three of its last four games (over 3-0-1). Toronto lost its last four games, allowing 20 goals (over 3-1).

      Canadiens won six of last seven games with Tampa Bay; three of last four series games went over total. Lightning lost last three visits here, outscored 11-5. Tampa Bay won five of its first six games, scoring 11 goals in winning its first two road games (over 3-2-1). Montreal won its last four games, outscoring opponents 16-5 (over 3-3).

      Road team won eight of nine Detroit-St Louis games; Red Wings won four of last five in series- their last three series wins all came in OT. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games. Detroit won its last five games, allowing seven goals (over 4-2-1). Blues lost three of their last four games (under 3-1).

      Dallas Stars won five of last six games with Winnipeg; over is 6-2 in last eight series games. Stars won three of last four visits to Winnipeg (over 4-0). Dallas split its first six games; three of their last four games stayed under. Jets lost four of their last five games; three of their last four stayed under the total.

      Road team won five of last six Columbus-San Jose games (over 4-2); Blue Jackets won three of last four visits to Shark Tank. Columbus is off to a 2-3 start; their last four games stayed under. San Jose won its first two home games, both by 2-1 score- under is 6-1 in their games this season.

      Nashville is 6-2 in its last eight games against Los Angeles (over 5-2-1). Predators won three of last four visits to Staples Center (over 4-1 in last five). Nashville lost four of its last five games (over 3-1)- they’re 0-3 on road. LA won its last three games, all in OT/SO; four of their last five games went over the total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL

        Thursday, October 27


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        8:00 PM
        ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
        Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Arizona
        Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

        8:00 PM
        MINNESOTA vs. BUFFALO
        Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
        Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
        Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games

        8:00 PM
        NY ISLANDERS vs. PITTSBURGH
        NY Islanders are 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
        NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
        Pittsburgh is 19-6 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

        8:30 PM
        FLORIDA vs. TORONTO
        Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games

        8:30 PM
        TAMPA BAY vs. MONTREAL
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
        Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
        Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

        9:00 PM
        DALLAS vs. WINNIPEG
        Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
        Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing Dallas

        9:00 PM
        DETROIT vs. ST. LOUIS
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
        Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of St. Louis's last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
        St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

        11:30 PM
        COLUMBUS vs. SAN JOSE
        Columbus is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against San Jose
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
        San Jose is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games

        11:30 PM
        NASHVILLE vs. LOS ANGELES
        Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
        Nashville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
        Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel

          Thursday, October 27



          Nashville @ Los Angeles

          Game 67-68
          October 27, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Nashville
          12,924
          Los Angeles
          11.578
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Nashville
          by 1 1/2
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Los Angeles
          -110
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Nashville
          (-110); Over

          Columbus @ San Jose


          Game 65-66
          October 27, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Columbus
          12.678
          San Jose
          9.301
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Columbus
          by 3 1/2
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Columbus
          -200
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Columbus
          (+170); Under

          Dallas @ Winnipeg


          Game 63-64
          October 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Dallas
          9.117
          Winnipeg
          10.666
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Winnipeg
          by 1 1/2
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Winnipeg
          -135
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Winnipeg
          (-135); Under

          Detroit @ St. Louis


          Game 61-62
          October 27, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Detroit
          9.860
          St. Louis
          12.379
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          St. Louis
          by 2 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          St. Louis
          -160
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          St. Louis
          (-160); Over

          Tampa Bay @ Montreal


          Game 59-60
          October 27, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Tampa Bay
          12.492
          Montreal
          11.006
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Tampa Bay
          by 1 1/2
          3
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Montreal
          -120
          5
          Dunkel Pick:
          Tampa Bay
          (+100); Under

          Florida @ Toronto


          Game 57-58
          October 27, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Florida
          9.826
          Toronto
          11.047
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Toronto
          by 1
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Florida
          -125
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Toronto
          (+105); Over

          Arizona @ Philadelphia


          Game 55-56
          October 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Arizona
          9.531
          Philadelphia
          12.432
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 3
          7
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          -175
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          (-175); Over

          NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh


          Game 53-54
          October 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          NY Islanders
          10.471
          Pittsburgh
          12.995
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Pittsburgh
          by 2 1/2
          6
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Pittsburgh
          -180
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Pittsburgh
          (-180); Over

          Minnesota @ Buffalo


          Game 51-52
          October 27, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Minnesota
          12.514
          Buffalo
          11.329
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Minnesota
          by 1
          5
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Buffalo
          -110
          5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (-110); Under

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Long Sheet

            Thursday, October 27


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MINNESOTA (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) at BUFFALO (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
            MINNESOTA is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NY ISLANDERS (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PITTSBURGH is 28-14 ATS (+7.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NY ISLANDERS is 5-4 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            NY ISLANDERS is 5-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARIZONA (1-5-0-0, 2 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ARIZONA is 8-29 ATS (+51.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            ARIZONA is 3-18 ATS (+31.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 29-50 ATS (+82.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 14-27 ATS (-19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ARIZONA is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            ARIZONA is 3-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLORIDA (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) at TORONTO (1-2-0-3, 5 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            FLORIDA is 24-10 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
            TORONTO is 60-110 ATS (-65.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            TORONTO is 6-27 ATS (+37.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLORIDA is 6-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            FLORIDA is 6-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TAMPA BAY (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) at MONTREAL (6-0-0-1, 13 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 7:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            TAMPA BAY is 9-6 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
            TAMPA BAY is 9-6-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
            10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DETROIT (5-2-0-0, 10 pts.) at ST LOUIS (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DETROIT is 94-104 ATS (-45.5 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
            DETROIT is 19-9 ATS (+29.3 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DETROIT is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
            DETROIT is 3-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DALLAS (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) at WINNIPEG (2-4-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DALLAS is 42-31 ATS (+74.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
            DALLAS is 31-14 ATS (+13.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DALLAS is 6-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 6-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
            7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            COLUMBUS (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at SAN JOSE (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 10:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            COLUMBUS is 31-27 ATS (+65.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            COLUMBUS is 32-28 ATS (+67.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN JOSE is 154-135 ATS (-78.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
            SAN JOSE is 15-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN JOSE is 4-11 ATS (-10.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
            SAN JOSE is 12-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
            SAN JOSE is 85-71 ATS (-66.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            COLUMBUS is 3-2 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
            COLUMBUS is 3-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NASHVILLE (2-4-0-0, 4 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (3-3-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/27/2016, 10:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NASHVILLE is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
            NASHVILLE is 4-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by Udog; 10-27-2016, 09:57 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NHL
              Short Sheet

              Thursday, October 27


              Minnesota at Buffalo, 7:05 PM ET
              Minnesota: 18-31 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders
              Buffalo: 9-3 SU in home games after allowing 4 goals or more

              NY Islanders at Pittsburgh, 7:05 PM ET
              New York: 0-2 SU in road games
              Pittsburgh: 4-1 SU in home games

              Arizona at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
              Arizona: 4-19 SU after allowing 5 goals or more
              Philadelphia: 9-1 SU in home games after allowing 3 goals or more 3 straight games

              Florida at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
              Florida: 21-13 SU after having lost 3 of their last 4
              Toronto: 6-27 SU vs. division opponents

              Tampa Bay at Montreal, 7:35 PM ET
              Tampa Bay: 22-9 SU as a road favorite of -200 or less
              Montreal: 8-13 SU in home games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7

              Detroit at St Louis, 8:05 PM ET
              Detroit: 6-17 SU after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
              St Louis: 28-11 SU off a home loss

              Dallas at Winnipeg, 8:05 PM ET
              Dallas: 51-39 SU in road games
              Winnipeg: 16-32 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders

              Columbus at San Jose, 10:35 PM ET
              Columbus: 18-11 SU after 2 consecutive non-conference games
              San Jose: 4-11 SU after 3 or more consecutive unders

              Nashville at Los Angeles, 10:35 PM ET
              Nashville: 7-8 SU when playing on back-to-back days
              Los Angeles: 5-1 SU off 2 consecutive close home wins by 1 goal

              Comment

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