Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/14

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, October 14

Good Luck on day #288 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Dodgers 4, Nationals 3– Kershaw got last two outs to close game out, two days after he threw 110 pitches in Game 4. Thats why you pay the guy $31M a year. Break for Cubs, who won’t see Kershaw until Game 3 now.

— Florida visits LSU November 19 in a makeup game; Bayou Bengals go to Gainesville in both 2017 and 2018.

— In his great career, WR Larry Fitzgerald has caught TD passes from 13 different Cardinal QB’s.

— Since August 2014, half the 30 major league teams have hired a new chief baseball executive. Lot of impatient owners out there.

— Thru five weeks in the NFL, no kickoffs have been run back for a TD; last time that happened was 1979.

— Open Court on NBA TV has some good discussions with both NBA coaches/GMs that were filmed in Las Vegas this summer. Good stuff.

— Big Sky conference has 12 hoop teams; 8 of the 12 teams have either 4 or 5 starters back from LY. Will that make it harder to win on the road?

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I’m looking for this weekend

13) Cam Newton should be back at QB for the 1-4 Panthers, who visit the Superdome this week. Saints allowed 34+ points in three of their four games, had their bye last week, while Carolina is traveling on short week after the Monday night loss to Tampa Bay.

12) Tennessee Vols have had a brutal schedule: Florida-Georgia-A&M the last three weeks, now Alabama on the third Saturday in October. Vols have been gritty and resilient- beating Bama is a tall order, even in Neyland Stadium. One thing in Tennessee’s favor; Crimson Tide has only played one close game- if this one is close, the Volunteers are in familiar territory.

11) Who will have more fans in Miami Sunday, the Steelers or Dolphins? Pittsburgh fans are usually everywhere, but Steelers are just 12-21-1 as road favorites the last nine years. Miami scored total of 24 points in losing its last two games. Steelers are 4-0 if they allow 16 or less points.

10) Ole Miss QB Kelly got in a fight at his brother’s high school game during his bye week; I’m sure the Ole Miss coaches were thrilled to hear that. Rebels lost 53-52 in OT to Arkansas LY; this figures to be a high scoring, fun game to watch.

9) Colin Kaepernick starting for the 49ers means that thru six weeks, 8 of 32 (25%) NFL teams have started at least two QB’s this season. Will it helps the 49ers? Kaepernick is more mobile, throws a better deep ball— he is 29-20 as an NFL QB, Gabbert 9-31, but Gabbert was also on a terrible Jaguars team.

8) North Carolina beat Miami 59-21 LY; what is the over/under on the number of times Miami coaches brought that up this week? Problem is, Miami had their rivalry game with Florida State last week and it is tough to get really fired up two weeks in a row.

7) League championship series get underway in baseball, but first, I have a question.

Cubs pinch-hit for Addison Russell in Game 4 against the Giants. When was the last time a guy with 95+ RBI during the regular season got pinch-hit for in a big spot in a playoff game?

6) Northwestern covered its last six visits to Michigan State; now they’re visiting a Spartan squad that lost three games in row for first time in seven years.

5) Eagles-Redskins is an intriguing game. Wentz played well in Eagles’ loss LW, but they did lose, after entering their bye week 3-0. Redskins have won three games in row and pass the Eagles in the standings with a win here.

4) Total in the West Virginia-Texas Tech game is 83; kickoff is noon ET, which is 11am in Lubbock, more stupid scheduling for TV purposes.

3) Oakland is 4-1, with three wins by 3 or less points. Chiefs have been dismal on road so far, but Andy Reid is 11-4 vs spread coming off a bye. Big rivalry game in the Coliseum, with the Raiders fired up for their first playoff spot since 2002.

2) Texas-San Antonio won as a 17-point home underdog LW; now they’re a 3-point road favorite at Rice this week, a historic soft spot for the favorite. Rice is 0-5, allowing 40.2 pts/game, so they’re impossible to back, but this will be an interesting result.

1) St Louis Cardinals drafted Joe Namath in the 1965 NFL Draft; Jets drafted him in the AFL Draft. How would the football world have changed if Namath had played for the Redbirds? Arizona had extra time to prep after playing on Thursday last week; they’re hoping get QB Palmer (concussion) back this week.

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, October 14


WAS 2
PIT 3 (SO)
The Capitals have now lost their last five visits to CONSOL Energy Center.


DET 4
TB 6
The Tampa Bay Lightning have now won 10 of the last 11 meetings vs the Detroit Red Wings - including the last 7 at home.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, October 14

Philadelphia @ Los Angeles

Game 5-6
October 14, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
10.719
Los Angeles
14.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-115); Over

Edmonton @ Calgary

Game 3-4
October 14, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.968
Calgary
10.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+110); Under

Chicago @ Nashville

Game 1-2
October 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
13.393
Nashville
11.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+110); Over




NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 14

Not a lot to go on for the first week or so. We’ll give you what we have.

Chicago lost its home opener 5-2 to St Louis Wednesday; Blackhawks are 6-3 in last nine games vs Nashville. Home side is 8-2 in last 10 meetings, with visitor winning last two. Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings in this building.

Edmonton beat Calgary 7-4 Wednesday as they opened their new arena; Oilers are 3-7 in last 10 games with Calgary (3-3 in last six), but lost four of last five visits to Saddledome. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games, 4-1 in this building.

Road team won six of last eight Philly-LA games, with Kings going 5-3 in those games (under 5-0-3). Flyers won four of last five games in Staples Center. LA lost 2-1 at San Jose in its season opener Wednesday.




NHL

Friday, October 14

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NASHVILLE
Chicago is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

10:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

11:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. LOS ANGELES
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, October 14

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CHICAGO (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at NASHVILLE (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/14/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 10-5 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-5-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

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EDMONTON (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at CALGARY (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/14/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 7-32 ATS (+60.1 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 14-45 ATS (+78.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 34-28 ATS (+64.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 28-21 ATS (+52.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 8-3 (+5.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.4 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (0-0-0-0, 0 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/14/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, October 14

Chicago at Nashville, 8:05 PM ET
Chicago: 10-1 SU in road games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game
Nashville: 29-35 SU vs. division opponents

Edmonton at Calgary, 9:05 PM ET
Edmonton: 14-41 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +200
Calgary: 21-13 SU after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game

Philadelphia at Los Angeles, 10:35 PM ET
Philadelphia: 8-36 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
Los Angeles: 5-2 SU in a home game where where the total is 5.5

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, October 14


Two days into the 2016-17 NHL season and most teams have hit the ice at least once. Moneyline faves taking care of business at 11-2 (84.62%)


It has been quite obvious from looking at scores or watching highlights that scoring is up 2 days into the NHL season. O-U: 8-3 (72.73%)