Announcement

**Udog** · 10-13-2016, 07:35 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Ottawa 5, Toronto 4 OT– Auston Matthews scored all of Leafs’ goals; if you have him in fantasy, you’re pretty bleepin’ happy today.

— Matthews is 5th player ever with a hat trick in his first game, first player ever with four goals in his debut.

— Former Baylor coach Art Briles is working with the Browns’ offense in Cleveland as a consultant. Browns have three former Baylor players.

— Cam Newton returned to practice in Carolina, good news for them.

— Best part of Cubs’ run is seeing 87-year old comedian Bob Newhart post pics of himself on Twitter “hoisting the W” after every Cubs win. Newhart’s great TV show in the 70’s was set in Chicago.

— Lot of recruiting sites that rate HS prospects are full of it; Denzel Valentine is in the NBA now, was a great player at Michigan State. As a high school senior, he was listed as the country’s #129 prospect. Oy.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Excerpts from an article that I think is important…….

Warriors’ coach Steve Kerr put a Washington Post article up on Twitter last night which is very interesting; it deals with how (intentionally or not) Donald Trump has exposed a problem with our country’s tax codes. This article was written by Fareed Zakaria.

I’m posting the excerpts from this article because I learned a lot from it, about how basically corrupt our entire system is in this country and how our “leaders” damn sure better fix it pretty soon.

“Donald Trump has done America a great public service. No, really. By taking advantage of the country’s tax laws in such spectacular fashion, he has shone a spotlight on the corruption that is at the heart of American politics — the tax code……..

……….The problem with American taxes is something different: their complexity. The United States has the world’s longest tax code. The scholar Sean Ehrlich tabulated its word count at 3,866,392. Germany and France have codes that are less than 10 percent as long…….

………The complexity of the tax code exists by design, because it allows for the distinctive feature of the American political system: fundraising……..

America is unique among democracies in requiring, at all levels of politics, that vast amounts of cash be raised from the private sector. In order to get this money, senators and members of Congress need something to offer in return, and what they sell are amendments to the tax code. When you pay $5,000 to have a stale breakfast with a congressman, you are not paying for his insights or personality. You and others like you are buying a line of the code, which is why it is thousands of pages long. This is the world’s ultimate “pay for play” setup.

There are only two ways to fix this problem. One would be to stop people from paying politicians. But the Supreme Court ruled in Buckley v. Valeo in 1976 that money is speech and thus constitutionally protected. (As far as I know, this is a view shared by no other Western democracy.) That leaves another path — take away what Congress sells. If the tax code were to be made short and simple, with a handful of deductions, politicians would have little to offer people as a quid pro quo. You could still pay them, for their ideas and personality, but I suspect that the flow of money would slow to a trickle. It is the simple, single solution to the cancer in American politics. And we could thank Donald Trump for highlighting it.”

**Udog** · 10-13-2016, 07:37 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 13

Anaheim @ Dallas

Game 67-68
October 13, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
13.192
Dallas
12.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+115); Over

Minnesota @ St. Louis

Game 65-66
October 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.317
St. Louis
14.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-150); N/A

Washington @ Pittsburgh

Game 53-54
October 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
11.633
Pittsburgh
14.281
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+100); Under

Carolina @ Winnipeg

Game 61-62
October 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
9.867
Winnipeg
8.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+120); Over

New Jersey @ Florida

Game 55-56
October 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
12.549
Florida
10.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+125); Under

Detroit @ Tampa Bay

Game 57-58
October 13, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
10.411
Tampa Bay
11.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-170); Under

NY Islanders @ NY Rangers

Game 55-56
October 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.612
NY Rangers
10.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+115); Over

Montreal @ Buffalo

Game 53-54
October 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
8.804
Buffalo
13.377
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+100); Under

Boston @ Columbus

Game 51-52
October 13, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.021
Columbus
11.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-120); Under

**Udog** · 10-13-2016, 07:39 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 13

Boston is 7-3 in its last ten games with Columbus; three of last four series games stayed under the total. Bruins won four of last five visits to this building (over 3-2).

Road team won five of last seven Montreal-Buffalo games (over 4-0-3); Sabres are 5-3 in last eight series games (lost last two). Canadiens are 3-2 in last five visits to Buffalo.

Islanders won last four games with the Rangers; under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Isles also won their last four visits to Madison Square Garden (over 2-1-1).

Tampa Bay won six of last seven games with Detroit; they knocked Red Wings out of playoffs in five games LY. Detroit lost its last six visits to this building (under 3-2-1). Under is 6-2-2 in last ten series games.

Devils lost three of last four games with Florida; over is 5-1-2 in last eight series games. New Jersey lost three of last four games in this building (over 2-0-2).

Blues won three of last four games with Minnesota; five of last seven series games pushed total. Wild lost three of last five visits to this building (under 1-0-4). St Louis is only team playing tonight that played last night; they won in Chicago.

Road team won seven of last ten Carolina-Winnipeg games; seven of last nine series games stayed under total. Hurricanes are 3-2 in last five visits here (under 3-2).

Penguins won four of last five games with Washington; they ousted Caps from playoffs LY in six games. Over is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Washington lost its last four visits to Steel City (over 2-0-2).

Anaheim won six of last eight games with Dallas, winning three of last four visits here (two of three wins were in OT). Four of last six series games stayed under total.

**Udog** · 10-13-2016, 07:41 AM

NHL

Thursday, October 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games

8:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BUFFALO
Montreal is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. NY RANGERS
NY Islanders are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games on the road
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh18-6-1 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:30 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. FLORIDA
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

9:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Carolina
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Minnesota is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,
St. Louis is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home

9:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. DALLAS
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Anaheim

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-13-2016, 08:31 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (42-31-0-9, 93 pts.) at COLUMBUS (34-40-0-8, 76 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 174-139 ATS (+317.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (38-38-0-6, 82 pts.) at BUFFALO (35-36-0-11, 81 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 264-230 ATS (+20.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 5-4 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 5-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (50-31-0-12, 112 pts.) at NY RANGERS (47-31-0-9, 103 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 132-127 ATS (-65.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-2 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (42-34-0-11, 95 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (57-36-0-6, 120 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 13-7 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 13-7-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW JERSEY (38-36-0-8, 84 pts.) at FLORIDA (49-29-0-10, 108 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 116-155 ATS (+289.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (35-31-0-16, 86 pts.) at WINNIPEG (35-39-0-8, 78 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 59-112 ATS (+196.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 2-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (62-22-0-10, 134 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (64-31-0-11, 139 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 28-9 ATS (+15.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 95-107 ATS (-33.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 8-7 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 8-7-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (40-37-0-11, 91 pts.) at ST LOUIS (59-33-0-10, 128 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-7 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-7-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ANAHEIM (49-29-0-11, 109 pts.) at DALLAS (57-27-0-11, 125 pts.) - 10/13/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 28-11 ATS (+11.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-13-2016, 11:16 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 13

Boston at Columbus, 7:05 PM ET
Boston: 20-11 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
Columbus: 15-18 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Montreal at Buffalo, 7:05 PM ET
Montreal: 18-13 SU on the road when the money line is -100 to -150
Buffalo: 11-28 SU as a home underdog of +100 to +150

NY Islanders at NY Rangers, 7:05 PM ET
New York: 18-27 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
New York: 38-30 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 7:35 PM ET
Detroit: 16-27 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Tampa Bay: 50-28 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

New Jersey at Florida, 7:35 PM ET
New Jersey: 16-24 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Florida: 31-22 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Carolina at Winnipeg, 8:05 PM ET
Carolina: 24-41 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +200
Winnipeg: 30-27 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Washington at Pittsburgh, 8:05 PM ET
Washington: 30-18 SU on the road when the money line is -100 to -150
Pittsburgh: 37-39 SU vs. division opponents

Minnesota at St Louis, 8:05 PM ET
Minnesota: 40-48 SU in all games
St Louis: 30-16 SU after one or more consecutive overs

Anaheim at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
Anaheim: 22-18 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
Dallas: 16-26 SU at home when the money line is -100 to -150

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/13

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/13

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