The Bum's NHL Best Bets-Trends-News Etc. !

[StarDust Bum]

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 4

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WAS at MON 01:00 PM

O 5.0

LA at PHI 01:00 PM

PHI +100

U 5.0

WIN at COL 03:00 PM

COL +145

U 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

ANA at TB 07:00 PM

U 5.5

TOR at BOS 07:00 PM

TOR +140

O 5.5

CAR at NYI 07:00 PM

CAR +100

O 5.5

OTT at BUF 07:00 PM

U 5.0

NJ at CLB 07:00 PM

O 5.5

PIT at STL 08:00 PM

O 6.0

CHI at DAL 08:00 PM

O 5.5

DET at NAS 08:00 PM

DET +195

U 5.0

MIN at VAN 10:00 PM

U 5.0

ARI at SJ 10:30 PM

ARI +225

U 5.0

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

— Happy to report that Kurt Warner was elected to the Hall of Fame last night, along with six other football greats. Looking forward to going to Ohio this summer.

— Someone bet $1.1M on the Falcons this weekend; on Thursday, someone wagered $200,000 on New England, someone else bet $485,000 on the Patriots. Imagine carrying that much money around?

— An average of $100,000 is wagered in Las Vegas every year on the Super Bowl coin flip. Just on the coin flip. Heads or freakin’ tails.

— Cal-Irvine guard Max Hazzard is the grandson of former UCLA coach Walt Hazzard. Spencer Rivers is also an Anteater, another one of Doc Rivers’ sons.

— Timberwolves lost Zach LaVine for the season with a torn ACL.

— A drone flew over Falcons’ practice Friday; you don’t think the Patr—- nah…..

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Saturday of basketball…..

13) Oregon 85, Arizona 58— It isn’t that the Ducks won, its that they led 36-11, and then it got a lot worse for the Wildcats, who had won 15 games in a row coming in. Ugly game. Oregon made 16-25 3’s- they made 10 of their first 13 behind the arc.

12) Florida 88, Kentucky 66— Rick Barry’s son Canyon is Florida’s 6th man; he’s made 30 free throws in a row, and he shoots underhanded, like his Hall of Fame father did.

Dwight Howard has missed 3,492 foul shots in his career (56.8%) yet he’s never tried shooting them underhanded— he makes $23M a year. Oy.

11) Bad Beat of the Year/Decade/Century?— VCU led by a hoop at St Bonaventure but Bonnies hit a 3-pointer with 0:00.5 left, giving them a 1-point lead. VCU was favored by a point, so if you bet on St Bonaventure, you just won your bet right? Um, not so fast.

Nitwit students stormed the court, thinking the game was over and the Bonnies had won. It wasn’t over and they hadn’t won yet. Refs called a technical foul, VCU made the foul shot and the game went to overtime.

VCU won by 6 in overtime. Very tough loss for the home side.

10) Very upsetting day in the Big X:
Iowa State (+11) won 92-89 in OT at Kansas.
Kansas State (+8.5) won 56-54 at Baylor.
Oklahoma State (+11) won 82-75 at West Virginia.

9) Game of the Day: Eastern Washington 130, Portland State 124, in triple OT. Eagles led by 16 early in second half, before things got crazy.

EWU had two players score 45 points each, first time in eight years that any D-I college team had two kids score 40+ points in same game.

8) Syracuse 66, Virginia 62— Cavaliers were up 12 at the half, but scored only 28 points in second half as Orangemen improved to 6-0 at home in the ACC.

7) Ohio 85, Akron 70— Zips lost their first MAC game of season (9-1); they also had two kids wear one white sneaker, one dark blue sneaker in this game. Interesting fashion statement.

6) Rutgers 70, Penn State 68— Scarlet Knights are now 1-23 in Big 14 road games since joining the league.

5) St Mary’s 71, San Diego 27— Yikes. Toreros were down 32-9 at the half- they were 3-2o for the game, INSIDE the arc. Just a horrible performance.

4) Texas El-Paso 57, Middle Tennessee 54— Miners were an 11-point underdog but pulled the upset; UTEP has now won six of last seven games after starting the season 2-13. Tim Floyd can really coach- in their last four games, UTEP won as underdogs of 8/14/5.5/11 points.

3) Green Bay 86, Valparaiso 69— Upset win puts the Phoenix only a half-game out of first place in the Horizon League.

2) Yale-Cornell game was suspended until Sunday with the score 2-0 due to a power outage in Ithaca.

1— Virginia, Kansas, Middle Tennessee, Wm & Mary, Tennessee, Oral Roberts; they all had double digit halftime leads Saturday- they all lost. Its been an odd season- I can’t get a handle on it yet. Teams are incredibly erratic.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 5

Home side won last three Los Angeles-Washington games; Kings 4-0/3-1 in last two visits here. Six of last nine series games stayed under. LA outscored opponents 14-3 in winning their last four games; Kings won last three road games. Under is 3-0-2 in their last five games. Capitals won their last four home games and five of last seven games overalll; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Oilers won four of last five games with Montreal; they won four of last five games in Molson Center. Four of last five series games went over. Edmonton was outscored 9-3 in losing its last three games; they’re 3-2 in last five road games. Four of last five Oiler games stayed under the total. Canadiens lost three of last four games, are 2-3 in last five home games- they’re 6-4 if they played night before. Under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games.

Rangers won seven of last nine games with Calgary; Flames were outscored 11-5 in losing last four visits to Manhattan. Three of last four series games stayed under. Calgary won its last three games with two wins in OT; that followed a 1-6 skid. Calgary is 2-3 in its last five road games. Rangers lost four of last five home games, are 4-2 in last six games overall. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.




NHL

Sunday, February 5

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. WASHINGTON
Los Angeles is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
Washington is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

2:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Edmonton

3:00 PM
CALGARY vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

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LOS ANGELES (27-21-0-4, 58 pts.) at WASHINGTON (35-11-0-6, 76 pts.) - 2/5/2017, 12:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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EDMONTON (28-18-0-8, 64 pts.) at MONTREAL (30-16-0-7, 67 pts.) - 2/5/2017, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-1 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-1-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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CALGARY (27-24-0-3, 57 pts.) at NY RANGERS (32-18-0-1, 65 pts.) - 2/5/2017, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 49-27 ATS (+9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-3 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
CALGARY is 9-5 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 226-221 ATS (-100.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, February 5


Calgary @ NY Rangers

Game 5-6
February 5, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.056
NY Rangers
12.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(-155); Over

Edmonton @ Montreal

Game 3-4
February 5, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.248
Montreal
8.973
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
N/A

Los Angeles @ Washington

Game 1-2
February 5, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
11.581
Washington
12.803
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

[StarDust Bum]

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

LA at WAS 12:00 PM

LA +145

U 5.0

EDM at MON 01:00 PM

EDM +120

O 5.0

CAL at NYR 02:00 PM

O 5.5

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

— Florida State 109, Clemson 61— Losses like this get coaches fired.

— North Carolina 83, Notre Dame 76— Tar Heels out rebounded Notre Dame 44-25 in game played in Greensboro instead of Chapel Hill, because of a water main break.

— California 77, Colorado 66- Buffaloes played without couple of big men.

— Iowa 81, Nebraska 70— Cornhuskers were only down 3 with 3:57 left.

— Thunder 105, Trailblazers 99— Oklahoma City is 30-22, even without Durant.

— Raptors 103, Nets 95— Brooklyn is 9-42. Nine. and. Forty-two. Oy.

**********

Armadillo: My running diary of Super Bowl LI……..

After an interminable pre-game show, they’re actually going to play the Super Bowl. Here are some of my thoughts as I watch the game……….
6:25— Luke Bryan cranks out the National Anthem in 2:04; if you bet the under, go cash your ticket.

6:30— There is a golf playoff going on at the Phoenix Open; Webb Simpson and Hideki Matsuyama. Good competition, but am I the only person watching this?

6:33— President George H Bush (41) is flipping the coin; no matter what your politics, have to have lot of respect for this man, who went skydiving on his 75th birthday. A great American and a very tough guy— he was shot down while flying as a Navy pilot in the war.

6:38— While Atlanta won the coin toss, Simpson just left the winning putt about an inch short, just like Matsuyama did on the 18th hole. The playoff continues but now no one is watching.

6:41— An argument for Brady as the all-time best QB is that New England rarely has had a great WR; Julian Edelman was a QB in college at Kent State.

6:42— Patriots go 3-and-out; this is where I mention that in six Super Bowls, Brady-led offenses have scored zero first quarter points.

6:45— Falcons get a long run but wind up punting, first time in nine games they didn’t score a TD on their opening drive.

6:53— Budweiser had the option to have the first commercial, but turned it down- their research says commercials are better off run later in the game. Google had the first commercial instead.

6:55— Hideki Matsuyama makes a pretty long putt, wins the Phoenix Open for the second year in a row, and I put my remote away for the next three hours.

5:08 left in first quarter, 0-0. That total of 59 looks pretty daunting right now.

7:05— Scoreless first quarter. Weird stat that Brady has put up zero first quarter points out in the first quarter of his seven Super Bowls, yet won four of the first six.

7:07— New England fumbles, Falcons recover at the Atlanta 29. America cheers.

7:16— Devonte Freeman scores the first TD of the game; Atlanta is running ball down New England’s throat. 12:15 left in the half. Falcons 7-nil. Atlanta is 9-1 this year when they score first.

Referee Gene Steratore worked the Nebraska-Iowa basketball game today; someday I hope he gets to work a Super Bowl.

Good Honda commercial with some famous people talking over their high school yearbook pictures. It would take an enormous amount of money for me to show anyone my senior picture from way back when. Uh uh, no thanks.

Oh by the way, Falcons’ center Alex Mack is playing this game with a broken leg. In an age where NBA players now routinely take “maintenance days” just to rest up, a guy is playing on the offensive line with a freakin’ broken leg.

7:21— I’m still an advocate of throwing long passes towards YOUR SIDELINE; think you get an extra interference call or two a game that way.

7:28— Austin Hooper catches a TD pass from Ryan and Kyle Shanahan’s agent is doing backflips, whoever/wherever he is. Young Shanahan’s price tag is going up by the second here. 14-0 Atlanta with 8:48 left in the half.

Roger Staubach/Hank Aaron both had birthdays today; couple of pretty good ballplayers.

7:32— Total yards so far: 189-111, Falcons. Joe Buck informs me that no team has won a Super Bowl after trailing by more than ten points. Thanks, Joe.

Falcons traded five draft picks to Cleveland so they could draft Julio Jones; none of those five players is still in the NFL.

7:38— New England is dying here, but refs have called two defensive holding penalties on Atlanta on this drive. Falcons have allowed 30+ points six times this year, although only once since Halloween. Their tackling so far has been tremendous.

Lady Gaga is wearing sunglasses in an indoor stadium. With the roof closed.

Three defensive holding penalties on this drive; where were these guys when the Rams played New England in the Super Bowl?

7:45— Robert Alford picks off a pass and scores an 82-yard TD for the Falcons. Wow. Arthur Blank is looking for people to high-5 in his box. Alford showboats for the last 20 yards but for the love of God, this is a shocking result. 21-nil Falcons.

One of Mr Blank’s sons is named Max. Max Blank; is that a tremendous name or what? You could imagine a movie with a private eye named Max Blank.

Atlanta’s defensive coordinator is Richard Smith, working for his 8th NFL team in 28 years. His heartbeat has to be pretty high right now; his defense is playing its ass off!!!!

One of the endless list of prop bets was over 49.5 yards for the longest touchdown of the game, so if you had over, go cash your ticket.

7:55— Is Tom Brady the only NFL quarterback who makes less money than his wife?

A ticket to the first Super Bowl cost $12. A souvenir soda at this Super Bowl costs $11.

8:02— Troy Aikman kills Josh McDaniels’ play selection after a screen pass on 3rd down falls flat. New England kicks a field goal and it is 21-3 Falcons at halftime. I am stunned.

Time to hit the mens’ room and get some food!!!!

They opened the roof for the halftime show; seems like a good time to see what is on other channels:
— ESPN has a 30 for 30 on Allen Iverson
— ESPNU has a Memphis-USF womens’ basketball game. Do people bet on this?
— ESPN2 has the Harlem Globetrotters playing on an outdoor court.
— FX1 has motorcycle racing.
— NBC Sports Network has curling on (China 6-3 over US at the half)
— CBS Sports Network has poker on; Phil Hellmuth is playing with an Aria hat on that I declined to buy when I stayed there in December. For what I spent there, they should’ve thrown in a free hat.

8:35— Falcon offense went 68 minutes between drives; they get the second half kickoff.

Teams leading the Super Bowl at halftime are 37-10 (three games were tied).

8:47— Neither team scored on their first drive of second half; now Martha Stewart is on a commercial with Snoop Dawg. Another $5M down the drain.

8:55- Atlanta scores another touchdown; Arthur Blank is dancing again. Falcons just seem like the faster team across the board. 28-3 Atlanta; can we see Robert Kraft? Please?????

Right on cue, FOX shows Kraft and his hideous son Jonathan, who mocked Colts GM Ryan Grigson after he was fired. I understand why he would enjoy Grigson getting canned, since he helped instigate DeflateGate, but be a bigger person and keep it to yourself.

9:00— I’m in my late 50’s; right now I’m thinking of someone who is my age who became a Falcons’ fan as a little kid and has lived/died with every game of theirs since then. They must be SO EXCITED and that clock must be going so slowly for them.

Meanwhile, the Falcons have a new domed stadium opening next year; pretty good time to be selling luxury boxes/PSL’s for the new ballpark, eh?

9:05— Brady just ran for 15 yards, winning somebody a prop bet on his rushing yardage.

9:07— New England scores on a TD pass to White; time-consuming drive, and now the score is only 28-9 as Gostkowski clanks the PAT off the right upright.

Caesar’s Palace offered a prop on: “Will a PAT/FG hit the goal post?” The line was -$600 and of the $20,250 wagered, $20,o00 of it was on “No”. Whoops.

Mike Pence is sitting with Texans’ owner Robert McNair; when he was watching the Super Bowl at this time last year, Mr Pence had zero idea how much his life would change in a year. It won’t happen, but what a book he’ll be able to write if he ever wanted to.

If you had 8-0 in a square pool, you just threw something; if you had 8-9, you’re damn happy.

9:10— Onside kick fails miserably. Falcons take over at New England’s 45 with 2:06 left in the third quarter. If you’re an Atlanta fan, that clock can’t move fast enough.

17 years ago, the Rams led Tennessee 16-0 in the third quarter; a game that seemed over soon got very dicey. That freakin’ clock went so slow. Atlanta fans are not resting easily yet.

9:18— Third quarter is over. 28-9 Atlanta.

9:20— Arizona CB Tyrann Mathieu just tweeted this: “NE should have played Mike Floyd. They have no deep threats… ATL LBs too good. They aren’t any mis matches”

In NFL history, teams leading by 19+ points after third quarter in playoff games are 94-0.

9:27— New England is driving again, but Grady Jarrett (#97 on the Falcons) is having a big game; he has just tossed a few guys out of his way tonight. If you’re thinking (too early) about an MVP for this game, Jarrett deserves consideration.

Jarrett’s dad, by the way, is former Falcon linebacker Jesse Tuggle.

9:29— Patriots kick a field goal; game is 28-12 Atlanta with 9:44 left. If you’re a Falcon fan, that damn clock needs to start moving a little faster. Couple of first downs wouldn’t hurt, either.

Ryan is 7-7 for 121 yards on passes thrown in the middle third of the field. Atlanta’s offense has done very little in this game, but they have run the ball for 6.8 yards/attempt.

9:38— Ryan is sacked/fumbles and New England recovers on the Atlanta 25; if you’re a lifelong Falcon fan, your blood pressure just went up. A lot. This will be the longest hour of your life.

Random baseball stat that I just saw on Twitter: Claudell Washington struck out 39 times against Nolan Ryan, the most of any player ever.

9:40— Danny Amendola just caught a TD pass from Brady and the score is 28-20 with 5:56 left. When Amendola played for the Rams, he got hurt on every other play. Now he’s Cal Ripken.

I’ve lived through a game just like this; if you’re an avid Falcon fan, life is standing still right now; you’re ignoring the commercials and praying for Ryan to hit Julio Jones a couple times. Nothing else matters; you’re not hungry, Arthur Blank isn’t dancing anymore and your team that has never won a Super Bowl is desperately holding on.

9:45— Ryan hits Freeman for a big gain and Atlanta has the ball at midfield. Clock is under 5:00 but one of the Atlanta linemenn just got hurt.

9:49— Julio Jones just made a great catch!!! Fantastic!!! First down and Atlanta is in field goal range. Clock is at 4:40, the ball is on the 22 and those five draft picks the Falcons traded to the Browns so they could draft Jones seems like a mere pittance.

9:53— Good God. The Falcons implode, wind up with a 4th-and-33 near midfield; they’re punting with 3:38 left and New England has two timeouts left.

I’m guessing this is getting big TV ratings.

10:00— Julian Edelman just made a great catch on a deflected pass; Atlanta wasted their last challenge— they’ll lose it. That catch will go down in history as a great play but by God Atlanta, make a play!!!!

10:02— New England is inside the Atlanta 25 and Falcon fans are promising to give up any bad habits they might have if just this one time, their team can win. Even if the Patriots score a TD, they need the 2-point conversion to tie the score.

How hard is Roger Goodell rooting for the Falcons right now?

10:06— White scores another TD. 28-26. High drama. Patriots have to go for 2- they make it, so now a game that was 28-9 after three quarters is 28-28. Kraft and his creepy son are hugging in their box. Aikman just called Brady the best QB ever. I have empathy for loyal Falcon fans.

0:57 left, the Falcons have no timeouts; if you bet the over, the only way you can lose in on a safety. If you took three points or money-lined Atlanta, you’re queasy.

10:10— I saw an article this week that said if the Patriots win 31-28, Vegas sports books would be refunding tickets for a week— so many wagers would be pushed.

10:14— First overtime in Super Bowl history. 28-28. FOX executives have to be thrilled.

10:18— Patriots are -$165 in OT; Atlanta is +$145. New England has the ball first.

During the week, odds on there being overtime was +$525.

10:23— Pass interference on Atlanta; ball is on the 2-yard line. TD wins the game; if they kick a FG, Falcons will get the ball for one possession.

10:24— New England scores, the Patriots win 34-28 and my condolences to Falcon fans.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 6

Devils won seven of last eight games with Buffalo; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Sabres lost three of last four visits to the Garden State. Buffalo lost three of last four games; four of their last seven went to OT. Over is 5-0-1 in their last six road games. New Jersey lost its last four home games, is 3-4 in last seven games overall. last four Devil games went over the total.

Islanders won six of last nine games with Toronto, winning three of last five series games played here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Maple Leafs lost three of last four games; this is their 6th straight road game. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Islanders lost last two games but are 5-2 in last seven home tilts. Under is 4-3 in their last seven home games.

Home side won eight of last ten St Louis-Philly games; Blues lost four of last five games in this building. Over is 3-0 in last three series games. St Louis lost six of last eight games; they’re 3-2 in last five road games. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Flyers won four of last six games, are 3-2 in last five home games. Five of their last six games stayed under the total.




NHL

Monday, February 6

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
Buffalo is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Buffalo

8:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing NY Islanders
Toronto is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Toronto
NY Islanders are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, February 6


Buffalo @ New Jersey

Game 55-56
February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
12.929
New Jersey
9.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Jersey
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+100); Over

Toronto @ NY Islanders

Game 53-54
February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
9.111
NY Islanders
12.248
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-115
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-115); Over

St. Louis @ Philadelphia

Game 51-52
February 6, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
12.999
Philadelphia
9.986
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+105); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, February 6

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ST LOUIS (25-22-0-5, 55 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (26-20-0-7, 59 pts.) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 8-13 ATS (-8.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
ST LOUIS is 9-14 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-15 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 114-85 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-61 ATS (+101.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-26 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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TORONTO (24-17-0-9, 57 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (22-18-0-10, 54 pts.) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 32-73 ATS (+128.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 37-57 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 13-32 ATS (+49.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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BUFFALO (21-20-0-10, 52 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (22-21-0-10, 54 pts.) - 2/6/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 7-1 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 7-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 6

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STL at PHI 07:00 PM

STL +100

O 5.5

BUF at NJ 07:00 PM

U 5.0

TOR at NYI 07:00 PM

TOR +100

O 6.0

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the top minor league prospects for the Arizona Diamondbacks

1) Anthony Banda, P— Was 4-4, 3.67 in 13 AAA starts LY

2) Dawel Lugo, 3B— Hit .306 in half a season in AA Southern League

3) Domingo Leyba, 2B/3B— .288 hitter in three minor league season

4) Socrates Brito, OF— Got 95 AB’s (.179) with the parent club last summer

6) Anfernee Grier, OF— Auburn alum hit only .236 in his first pro season.

19) Jared Miller, P— Another in long line of Vanderbilt pitchers

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Looking back on Sunday night’s Super Bowl you have to tip your hat to Tom Brady; he is a great leader who finds a way to win. He has a tremendous will to win and that is obviously very important. It is also difficult to measure beforehand.

The Scouting Combine is March 3-6; kids will run the 40, lift weights, do lot of measurable things that scouts will use to justify draft picks. There is no metric to measure heart or desire and until there is, scouting will continue to be an inexact science.

Brady? 6th round pick
Russell Wilson and Joe Montana? 3rd round picks
Kurt Warner? Wasn’t even drafted
Akili Smith, Ryan Leaf, Joey Harrington, JaMarcus Russell; all first round picks.

12) Is Brady the greatest QB ever? He is right up there with Elway-Marino-Montana-Fouts-Kelly, and his five Super Bowl rings are tops in the game. He is still going strong at age 39, so his resume isn’t complete yet. His WR’s have been some unusual guys; no Jerry Rice in the group, which makes him look even better.

11) As for the Falcons, they lost OC Kyle Shanahan to the 49ers, and now they have to pick up the pieces from the biggest collapse in NFL history. You look back on the past and it says teams who lose Super Bowls suffer a hangover— this hangover could also be the worst one yet.

I’m serious; only four teams in any NFL game ever have won after trailing by more than 25 points, and two of those were playoff games. This was the freakin’ Super Bowl.

Only four comebacks that were bigger than Super Bowl LI:
— 1/3/93— Oilers led 35-3, lost 41-38 in Buffalo (playoff game)
— 12/7/80— Saints led 35-7, lost 38-35 in San Francisco
— 1/4/14— Chiefs led 38-10, lost 45-44 in Indianapolis (playoff game)
— 9/21/97— Colts led 26-0, lost 37-35 in Buffalo

10) Pirates announced that Andrew McCutchen will move from center to right field this year, to improve the Pittsburgh defense.

9) Pitcher Jason Hammel gets $16M for two years from the Kansas City Royals.

8) Houston Rockets retired Yao Ming’s #11 last week; I’m thinking a lot of basketball fans in this country (myself included) don’t fully realize the impact Yao has had in promoting basketball around the world, especially in Asia. In other words, he helped make the Rockets and the NBA a freakin’ fortune.

7) Yogi Ferrell did so well on his 10-day contract with the Dallas Mavericks that they gave him a 2-year contract. He scored 30-something in Portland the other night, got paid the next day.

6) UTEP coach Tim Floyd’s first year as a head coach was 1986 at Idaho; his three assistant coaches that year were Larry Eustachy, now head coach at Colorado State, Kermit Davis, the head coach at Middle Tennessee State and Randy Bennett, the head coach at St Mary’s. Thats a really good coaching staff.

5) Oakland A’s are going to name the ballfield at the Oakland Coliseum “Rickey Henderson Field” to honor one of their great players who is also an Oakland native.

4) http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/sto...ove-basketball

This is a great article written by Baxter Holmes about Luke Walton and how his love of basketball came to be as a young kid. Well worth your time to read.

3) Good to read no bad comments about Houston as a host city for the Super Bowl. Everyone said the same thing— they crushed it!!! If the media doesn’t complain, you know its good.

2) When the Cleveland Browns had their expansion draft in 1998, they passed on selecting a quarterback the Rams left unprotected. Bad move; guy was Kurt Warner, who is now a Hall of Famer. Warner backed up Tony Banks in ’98, which wasn’t a fun year. Nick Saban actually won a lot of games with Banks as his QB at Michigan State. Not easy.

1999 was more fun, a hell of a lot more fun.

1— First spring training baseball games are Friday, February 24. Things ramp up a little early this year because of the World Baseball Classic. Training camps open next week.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 7

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ANAHEIM (28-16-0-10, 66 pts.) at NY RANGERS (33-18-0-1, 67 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 50-26 ATS (+11.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 16-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ANAHEIM is 58-45 ATS (+106.2 Units) in road games in February games since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 503-408 ATS (+30.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 224-177 ATS (+30.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 240-220 ATS (+473.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 227-221 ATS (-100.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 58-67 ATS (-43.9 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 126-128 ATS (-63.5 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 187-220 ATS (-176.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-0 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 4-0-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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CAROLINA (24-20-0-7, 55 pts.) at WASHINGTON (36-11-0-6, 78 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 2-12 ATS (+18.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
CAROLINA is 2-15 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-17 ATS (+58.1 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-3 ATS (+10.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-1 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 51-18 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-27 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-3 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

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CALGARY (27-25-0-3, 57 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (33-13-0-5, 71 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-60 ATS (+179.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 54-28 ATS (+15.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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SAN JOSE (33-17-0-3, 69 pts.) at BUFFALO (21-20-0-10, 52 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 387-310 ATS (-116.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 192-156 ATS (-70.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
BUFFALO is 205-211 ATS (+462.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 35-16 ATS (+18.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 26-12 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 23-10 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 16-6 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 21-10 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-1 (+5.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 3-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)

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ST LOUIS (25-22-0-5, 55 pts.) at OTTAWA (27-17-0-6, 60 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 27-23 ATS (+57.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 46-34 ATS (+83.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 26-20 ATS (+47.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-6 ATS (+17.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
OTTAWA is 24-13 ATS (+37.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 25-15 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 114-85 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 25-17 ATS (+43.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 16-6 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 49-55 ATS (-39.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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COLUMBUS (33-13-0-5, 71 pts.) at DETROIT (22-21-0-9, 53 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 25-63 ATS (+115.9 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 9-4 ATS (+13.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
COLUMBUS is 33-18 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
DETROIT is 109-126 ATS (-107.8 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 7-14 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (27-22-0-4, 58 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (23-24-0-6, 52 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 116-106 ATS (-42.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 41-55 ATS (-23.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 56-54 ATS (-29.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 39-48 ATS (-25.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 4-12 ATS (-10.9 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 206-216 ATS (+503.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 23-30 ATS (-27.4 Units) in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 5-12 ATS (-7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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DALLAS (21-22-0-10, 52 pts.) at TORONTO (24-17-0-9, 57 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-1 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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MINNESOTA (34-12-0-5, 73 pts.) at WINNIPEG (25-26-0-4, 54 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 34-39 ATS (-26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-16 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-6 ATS (+6.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-17 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 10-20 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-19 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-5 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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VANCOUVER (23-23-0-6, 52 pts.) at NASHVILLE (25-19-0-8, 58 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 226-186 ATS (+38.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 192-167 ATS (+13.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 70-48 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 73-75 ATS (-21.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 9-13 ATS (-5.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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MONTREAL (30-16-0-8, 68 pts.) at COLORADO (14-33-0-2, 30 pts.) - 2/7/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 17-29 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 94-71 ATS (+166.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
COLORADO is 14-35 ATS (-39.5 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 137-136 ATS (-46.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
COLORADO is 45-54 ATS (-48.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
COLORADO is 250-225 ATS (-125.8 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 5-18 ATS (+27.1 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-17 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 46-55 ATS (-49.1 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 7

Rangers won their last four games with Anaheim by combined score of 16-6; Ducks lost four of their last five visits to Manhattan. Under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games. Anaheim lost three of last four games, both overall and on road; under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Rangers won five of last seven games but split last four at home; four of their last six games stayed under.

Washington won six of last eight games with Carolina, winning last four games here by combined score of 16-5. Four of last five series games went over. Hurricanes won their last three games, but lost three of last four on road. Over is 6-4 in their last ten games. Capitals won three in row and seven of last nine games; they won last three home games by combined score of 16-4. Over is 6-2-2 in last ten series games.

Calgary won last two games with Pittsburgh after they had lost previous eight series games; Flames lost four of last five visits to Steel City. Under is 3-2 in their last five visits here. Calgary won three of last four overall but lost four of last six road games. Seven of their last nine games went over total. Penguins won three in row, seven of last nine games; they won four of last five at home. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Sabres won nine of last ten games with San Jose; under is 3-0-1 in last four series games. Sharks lost four of last five visits to western NY. San Jose won eight of last ten overall and four in row on road. Under is 2-0-2 in their last four games. Buffalo lost four of its last five games overall but won three of last four at home- their last three games stayed under the total.

Road team won last six St Louis-Ottawa games; Blues won three of last four visits to Ottawa. Over is 3-1-2 in last six series games. St Louis lost six of its last nine games; they split last four road games. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Ottawa lost three of its last four games, both overall and at home. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Columbus won six of its last nine games with Detroit; Blue Jackets won three of their last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Columbus lost four of its last five games overall and three of last four on the road. Detroit won its last two games but lost three of their last four at home. Four of Red Wings’ last seven home games went over the total.

Los Angeles won seven of last ten games with Tampa Bay; they won three of last five visits to Bay Area. Last four series games stayed under the total. Kings won five of last six games overall, four of last five on road. Under is 4-0-3 in their last seven games. Lightning lost six of last eight games, three of last four at home. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Maple Leafs won seven of last nine games with Dallas, winning last four played here by combined score of 16-5. Three of last four series games stayed under. Dallas Stars lost seven of their last ten games; they’re on road for first time in 18 days- six of their last eight games went over total. Toronto lost four of its last five games; this is their first home game in 15 days. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four games.

Winnipeg won six of its last nine games with Minnesota; Wild lost last three visits to Twin Cities by combined score of 12-6. Under is 5-4 in last nine series games. Minnesota won four of last five games, both overall and on road; eight of their last nine games went over total. Winnipeg won three of its last four games; they split last four home games. Eight of Jets’ last nine games went over total.

Nashville is 5-3 in its last eight games with Vancouver; under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Canucks lost three of last four visits to Music City. Vancouver lost its last three games by total of 13-4; under is 4-2-2 in last eight series games- they lost four of last five road games. Nashville split its last four home games; they’re 3-0 in game following their last three losses. Four of their last six games went over total.

Montreal won four of last six games with Colorado; they beat Avalanche 10-1 in last meeting in December. Canadiens lost three of last four visits to Denver. Three of last four series games went over total. Avalanche lost nine of last ten games- they beat Winnipeg in last game. Colorado lost five of last six home games; over is 3-0-2 in their last five games overall.