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**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 07:33 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Some college football pointspreads for this fall, from the South Point casino:

-- Oct 15: Alabama (-3.5) @ Tennessee

-- Oct 20: BYU @ Boie State (-11.5)

-- Oct 29: Clemson (-1) @ Florida State

-- Nov 5: TCU @ Baylor (-7.5)

-- Nov 12: Stanford @ Oregon (-1.5)

-- Nov 26: Michigan @ Ohio State (-6.5)

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend......

13) Raptors 116, Heat 89-- Toronto is in NBA's Final Four for first time.

12) I've always wondered what the story was behind Russell Wilson transferring from NC State to Wisconsin, before his senior year, and the Wolfpack seemingly not caring if he left or not. Now Russell Wilson says coach Tom O'Brien basically fired him and told him he had no future in football. Curious to see what O'Brin has to say.

11) A's 7, Rays 6-- Danny Valencia homered three times, including the game-winner in the 9th inning, as Oakland salvaged a lousy road trip by going 2-1 in St Pete.

10) 15 baseball games Sunday; game-winning run scored in 7th inning or later in 11 of the 15 games. Pretty good day at the ballpark.

9) Rangers 7, Blue Jays 6-- Big-league brawl in this game, an offshoot of the tensions between these clubs in last year's playoffs. This was an actual fight, not the normal pushing/pulling baseball scuffle. Umps worked hard to keep the peace.

Matt Bush drilled Jose Bautista right before the brawl started; Bautista was smart enough not to go after Bush, who recently spent 3.5 years in jail. Don't want to be picking fights with guys who have done hard time.

8) Tom Dolan came up with a great stat Sunday: Lenny Dykstra had 81 HRs in 4,552 regular season career ABs. 10 HRs in 112 postseason ABs. That is a HR every 56.2 ABs in regular season games, one every 11.2 in postseason games.

7) Red Sox have scored in first inning in 12 of their 22 home games.

6) Rockies 4, Mets 3-- New Yorkers get swept in Denver.

5) Odd timing by MLB announcing Jose Reyes' suspension with New York media is in Denver for the weekend; then the Bronx Bombers brought up catching prospect Gary Sanchez the same day. There aren't many coincidences in this world........could the Bombers be interested in acquiring Reyes?

4) Why run differential is an overrated stat: Phillies are 22-16, but 14-3 in one-run games; they've got a -30 run differential but would be in the playoffs if they started today (they don't). They're maxing out on the talent they have, but wins are the only stat that truly matters and Philly has a lot of them.

3) Red Sox have scored 229 runs, 50 more than any other AL team.

2) If the baseball playoffs started today:
AL: Orioles-White Sox-Rangers. Wild Card: Boston-Seattle
NL: Nationals-Cubs-Giants. Wild Card: Phillies-Mets

1) Heading back from vacation this weekend on the Jersey shore; a tremendous place, lot of good places to eat, lot of good people, made some new friends. Walking on the beach is highly underrated.

**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 07:40 AM

NHL

Monday, May 16

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Monday's NHL Conference Finals betting preview: Lightning at Penguins
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The Lightning were able to win Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final despite losing goalie Ben Bishop to a leg injury. Bishop is doubtful to play Monday and the Penguins are out for revenge.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins (A: +165, H: -200, O/U: 5)

Lightning lead series 1-0

The Tampa Bay Lightning have hurdled every obstacle this postseason despite plenty of adversity and look to gain a stranglehold on the Eastern Conference final when they visit the Pittsburgh Penguins for Game 2 on Monday. The Lightning, who have been down two of their top players throughout the playoffs, lost Vezina Trophy finalist Ben Bishop in the first period Friday before grabbing a 3-1 win in Game 1.

Bishop was stretchered off, but Tampa Bay got good news when X-rays came back negative on his left leg and he is considered day-to-day while captain Steven Stamkos (blood clot) and top-pair defenseman Anton Stralman (broken fibula) could return at some point in the series. “It’s just being in these situations before,” Lightning coach Jon Cooper told reporters. “. … How you deal with just all the unknown circumstances that can happen. I think our guys, they’ve passed every test.” The Penguins had a 35-20 edge in shots during Game 1, but coach Mike Sullivan told reporters it was the high quality chances they gave up which is the biggest concern going forward. “I don’t think it was our best game,” Sullivan told reporters. “And that’s what we need at this point of the season.”

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS

PROBABLE GOALIES:

Lightning - Andrei Vasilevskiy (W/L: 1-0, GAA: 0.78, SAVE %: .971)

Penguins - Matthew Murray (W/L: 7-3, GAA: 2.15, SAVE %: .929)

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (55-33-5, 37-44 O/U): Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of the 26 shots he faced after replacing Bishop and the team has total confidence in the 21-year-old Russian’s readiness to take over whenever he is needed. “If there’s one thing that Vasilevskiy will never be knocked for, it’s for preparation and work ethic,” Cooper told reporters. “That’s in his DNA.” Right wing Ryan Callahan avoided suspension after his five-minute major for a hit on Pittsburgh’s top defenseman Kris Letang in Game 1 and told reporters, “I’ve never been fined or suspended. So I take pride in that, to be an honest player.”

ABOUT THE PENGUINS (56-29-9, 41-36 O/U): Center Evgeni Malkin registered a game-high seven shots on goal Friday but extended his point drought to five contests, while captain Sidney Crosby has gone seven outings without a goal. Sullivan told reporters of his two stars: “What we’ve tried to reiterate to (them) is that they have to just continue on trying to focus on playing the game with right way and taking what they give us and not trying to force plays that aren’t there in order to try to score goals.” Power forward Patric Hornqvist scored in Game 1 to take over the team lead with six goals in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
* Penguins are 0-5 in their last 5 Conference Finals games.
* Over is 12-3-2 in Penguins last 17 vs. Atlantic.
* Lightning are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
* Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Pittsburgh.

CONSENSUS: The public is crushing the Penguins as big home favorites with 71 percent of the wagers coming in on the big chalk. Over five goals is also drawing a large number at 79 percent of the Consensus picks.

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**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 07:47 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, May 16

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 8:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay: 29-10 SU when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Pittsburgh: 45-45 SU after playing a home game

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 16

Tampa Bay-Pittsburgh (TB 1-0)
Lightning are 4-1 on road in playoffs after Game 1 win; they lost star goalie Bishop to leg injury, but are not ruling him out for Game 2, which could be smokescreen. Pittsburgh is 5-2 at home in playoffs. Tampa Bay won five of its last six games with Penguins, but lost three of last five played in Igloo. Over is 7-1 in last eight series games, but under is 5-2-2 in last nine Tampa Bay games overall, over is 3-1-2 in last six games played in Pittsburgh. Lightning was 1-2 on power play in Game 1, Pittsburgh was 1-4.

Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
2nd round-- Home: 16-9, Over: 11-5-9
Conference finals-- Home 1-1, Over 0-2

NHL

Monday, May 16

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. PITTSBURGH
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

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**Udog** · 05-16-2016, 08:45 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, May 16

Tampa Bay @ Pittsburgh

Game 5-6
May 16, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
13.364
Pittsburgh
12.471
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-210
5
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+175); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, May 16

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TAMPA BAY (55-33-0-5, 115 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (56-29-0-9, 121 pts.) - 5/16/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 13-22 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 56-38 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 38-19 ATS (+7.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 37-18 ATS (+11.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 201-209 ATS (+445.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 94-106 ATS (-33.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.7 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/16

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/16

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