Announcement

**Udog** · 05-07-2016, 07:35 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Spurs 100, Thunder 96-- Spurs are 16-4 in series if they have a 2-1 lead.

-- Cavaliers 121, Hawks 108-- Do they really have to play anymore?

-- Thunder 2, Islanders 1 OT-- Tampa Bay wins both games in Brooklyn in OT.

-- Golfer Zac Blair was DQ'd after he used a putter that he bent when he smacked himself in the head with it. No bueno.

-- Marlins 6, Phillies 4-- Miami has won 11 of its last 12 games.

-- KLWheat likes Mohaymen in the Kentucky Derby.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: DD Lohaus handicaps the Kentucky Derby....

First Saturday in May; must be Kentucky Derby Day!

Snuck up on me this year which again proves that the older you get, the faster time flies.

As I write this analysis and give my picks, the weather for Saturday looks gorgeous and should allow for all runners to give their best efforts. It is with that assumption that I make my analysis and selections.

The conversation begins with Nyquist. He has done nothing wrong and has been on quite a run since last year. He has beaten another top contender in this race (Exaggerator) three times! This team has won the Derby (and Preakness) before and Nyquist will likely be favored for the race. He is a logical favorite and his versatile running style makes him very dangerous.

Mohaymen came up short in the much anticipated race with Nyquist in the Florida Derby. Trainer calls it 'a throw out' and this guy looked fantastic in his last workout (46.8). May be a bit too fast to have enough left to handle this group but also could be peaking at the right time; maybe he didn't like losing his last (and first) in Florida and will be extra motivated to turn the tables on Nyquist. A lot to like if you're willing to throw out the last.

Gun Runner, for Steve Asmussen, is a the prototypical 'sharp-looker' from a high octane outfit. Has a steady race tab and been winning quite nicely. He will have to be on his toes for this one but may be ready to step forward. Like the 6F workout; not necessarily the time but the distance; tells me he has some bottom... I would not be surprised if this one makes some noise.

Exaggerator, as mentioned earlier is a top contender but hasn't figured out how to be Nyquist. A prime post position should give him lots of choices. Not sure I like to pick a horse that's been beaten three times by the expected race favorite. He is a hard knocker who gives an honest effort and maybe he just needed to figure things out. I think he's more likely to get a minor award.

Destin has had eight weeks off since his last race; a win in the Tampa Derby. This one has the looks of a runner flying under the radar for Todd Pletcher (if that's possible). Not thrilled with his latest workout, but I wouldn't be shocked if this one shows well on Saturday. This one will offer some value and worth playing underneath top ones.

The Bets:
$20WP Mohaymen: I think this guys turns the table and runs BIG on Saturday.
$10Ex Mohaymen/Nyquist, Gun Runner, Exaggerator, Destin
$5Ex Nyquist, Gun Runner, Exaggerator, Destin/Mohaymen
$1ExBx Nyquist/Gun Runner/Exaggerator/Destin
$2Tri Mohaymen/Nyquist/Gun Runner, Exaggerator, Destin

Total Bets: $118.00

**Udog** · 05-07-2016, 07:44 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, May 7

Pittsburgh-Washington (P 3-1)
Hornqvist scored at 2:34 of OT to put Caps' bacl to wall here. Washington D Orpik is suspended one more game; he is their most physical defenseman, and a solid penalty killer; Penguins get LeTang back. Home team is 3-1 in this series. Penguins won four of last six visits here, but are 0-14 on power play in series, Washington 1-12. Pens won 11 of last 14 games; over is 7-3-3 in their last 13 games. Capitals lost two of last three home games, five of last seven games overall. Under is 6-2-3 in Washington's last 11 games.

St Louis-Dallas (2-2)
Eakin scored at 2:58 of OT to tie series, give Dallas home ice edge. St Louis won eight of last 11 games with Dallas overall-- home team won six of last nine series games, with the over 3-1-1 in last five series games. Four of last five St Louis wins in series came in OT or SO. Over is 5-1-2 in St Louis' last eight games. Dallas won eight of last 12 games overall; over is 5-1-2 in their last eight games. Stars are 1-14 on power play in series, St Louis 5-17. Blues won three of their last five visits to Lone Star State. .

Nashville-San Jose (2-2)
Home side won all four series games; Fisher scored 51:12 into OT, after Nashville tied game with 4:21 left in game. Sharks won seven of last ten games overall, four of last five vs Nashville in this building. Over is 3-0-2 in their last five games. Predators lost five of last nine games, three of last four on road; they've won last five times they scored 3+ goals; they're 1-5 in last six games scoring two or less goals. San Jose is 4-14 on power play in series, Nashville is 3-15. Under is 6-4-2 in last 11 series games. Very long game less than 48 hours ago with long plane trip mixed in there. Lot of tired legs.

Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
2nd round-- Home: 10-6, Over: 7-3-6

NHL

Saturday, May 7

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. DALLAS
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Dallas is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis

7:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

10:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. SAN JOSE
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Nashville is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Jose is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville

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**Udog** · 05-07-2016, 08:52 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, May 7

Pittsburgh @ Washington

Game 61-62
May 7, 2016 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.664
Washington
11.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-155
5
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+135); Over

St. Louis @ Dallas

Game 63-64
May 7, 2016 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
13.003
Dallas
12.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-125
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+105); Over

Nashville @ San Jose

Game 65-66
May 7, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
10.298
San Jose
13.101
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 3
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-165); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, May 7

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PITTSBURGH (55-27-0-9, 119 pts.) at WASHINGTON (61-22-0-9, 131 pts.) - 5/7/2016, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 61-31 ATS (+25.0 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-27 ATS (+17.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 55-36 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 19-12 ATS (+31.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
PITTSBURGH is 37-17 ATS (+13.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 91-80 ATS (+178.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 26-13 ATS (+8.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 11-6 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 11-6-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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ST LOUIS (55-28-0-10, 120 pts.) at DALLAS (56-25-0-11, 123 pts.) - 5/7/2016, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 56-36 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 25-17 ATS (+45.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 55-38 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 18-10 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 25-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-20 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-11 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 30-36 ATS (-8.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 11-8-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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NASHVILLE (47-32-0-14, 108 pts.) at SAN JOSE (52-32-0-7, 111 pts.) - 5/7/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 47-46 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 19-30 ATS (-16.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 23-36 ATS (+60.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 29-14 ATS (+29.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SAN JOSE is 21-10 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN JOSE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 201-149 ATS (+27.2 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 10-16 ATS (-11.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 25-28 ATS (-24.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 2-7 ATS (-9.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 8-5 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 8-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/7

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/7

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