Announcement

**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 08:28 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Orioles' SS JJ Hardy broke his foot, is out 4-6 weeks.

-- Milwaukee's Wily Peralta allowed 13 hits with no strikeouts Sunday, the first MLB pitcher to do that since Doug Fister six years ago.

-- Cubs/White Sox have combined to outscore opponents 107-39 in innings 7-9 so far this season.

-- Since 2006, Justin Verlander has 159 wins, 13 more than any other pitcher. He also got engaged to Kate Upton, so its good to be him.

-- Dallas wouldn't give the Seahawks a 2nd and 3rd round draft pick, which is why they didn't trade up to draft QB Paxton Lynch.

-- If the Indiana Pacers fire coach Frank Vogel, it is further proof that the NBA is a traveling insane asylum. Vogel is 250-181 as an NBA coach, 31-30 in playoff games. Larry Bird should fire himself for not getting Vogel a good enough team to coach.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Early season trends for AFC teams......

Ravens-- Baltimore is 13-6 vs spread as a favorite in home openers. Over is 5-2 in its last seven home openers. Home side won their last five games with Buffalo.

Bills-- Buffalo covered nine of its last 11 season openers; they're 9-5 vs spread in last 14 road openers. Bills covered seven of last nine home openers.

Bengals-- Cincinnati lost its last nine games against the Jets in Swamp Stadium; last win at the Jets was in 1981. Six of Bengals' last seven road openers went over total.

Browns-- Cleveland came back to the NFL in 1999; they've been 1-0 once since then, going 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11 openers. Over is 11-4 in their last 15 road openers.

Broncos-- Denver is 18-8-1 vs spread in last 27 home openers. Super Bowl champs are 7-3-3 vs spread in season openers the next year. Is Mark Sanchez the Denver QB?

Texans-- Houston won six of last seven season openers, five of last six at home, six of last seven on road. Under is 7-4 in their last eleven home openers.

Colts--Indy is 1-5 vs spread as a favorite in home openers; under is 4-1 in its last five season openers. Colts are 3-10-1 vs spread as an underdog in road openers.

Jaguars--Jax is 2-7 in its last nine home openers, losing last four by average score of 30-9. Under is 8-3-1 n their last 12 home openers. 8-4 in last 12 road openers.

Chiefs-- KC is 5-11 in its last 16 home openers, 2-9-1 vs spread when favored in its home opener. Under is 19-4-2 in their last 25 home openers, 7-4 in road openers.

Dolphins-- Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road openers, 1-6-1 vs spread when an underdog in road openers. Dolphins won five of their last six games with Seattle.

Patriots--NE won 11 of last 12 season openers; they're 3-4 in road openers if spead was 3 or less points. Patriots were favored in their last twelve road openers.

Jets-- Jets won last five home openers, three by 5 or less points; they've won seven of last eight season openers. Jets are 14-5 vs spread in last 19 road openers. .

Raiders-- Oakland lost 12 of last 13 season openers, but is 6-1-1 vs spread as a dog in road openers. Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 road openers

Steelers-- Pitt lost its last five road openers (0-4-1 vs spread); seven of their last nine road openers stayed under. Steelers lost season opener four of last five years.

Chargers-- San Diego covered its last four season openers; they're 8-5 vs spread as an underdog in road openers. Bolts lost 33-3/10-3 against Kansas City LY.

Titans-- Tennessee covered seven of last nine road openers (6-3 SU); under is 15-4 in its last 19 road openers. Four of of their last five season openers stayed under.

**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 08:34 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, May 3

NY Islanders-Tampa Bay (1-1)
Islanders won five of last seven games with Tampa Bay, winning last three played here, in series where over is 5-1-2 in last eight games. Islanders won three of last four games but are 2-3 in last five games in Brooklyn- under is 3-1-1 in their last five games overall. Tampa Bay won five of its last seven games, going 2-3 in last five road games. NY is 2-9 on power play in series, Lightning 1-7. Tampa Bay outshot NY 54-18 in periods 2-3 first two games of series

St Louis-Dallas (1-1)
Blues scored PP goal 10:58 into OT to even series after they blew 3-1 third period lead; St Louis won seven of last nine games with Dallas overall-- home team won five of last seven series games, with seven of last ten staying under total. Last four St Louis series wins all came in OT or SO. Dallas won seven of last ten games overall; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Stars outshot St Louis 76-57 in first two games; Stars are 0-7 on power play in series, St Louis 2-7.

Nashville-San Jose (SJ 2-0)
Sharks scored seven third period goals to win first two games; Pavelski scored GW goal with 2:40 left to snap 1-1 tie in Game 2. Both games were 1-0 after two periods, then opened up in third period. San Jose is 3-5 on power play in series, Nashville is 1-5. Sharks lost three of last four visits here; they've won seven of last eight games overall. Predators lost five of last seven games. Sharks won nine of last 11 games overall- they've won last three games with Nashville. Under is 6-3-1 in last 10 series games.

Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
2nd round-- Home: 6-3, Over: 4-2-3

NHL

Tuesday, May 3

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY ISLANDERS
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

9:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. NASHVILLE
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Jose's last 15 games when playing Nashville
Nashville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games at home

9:30 PM
DALLAS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing Dallas
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas

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**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 10:08 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Tuesday, May 3

Tampa Bay @ NY Islanders

Game 19-20
May 3, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.100
NY Islanders
11.564
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1 1/2
5 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-105); Over

Dallas @ St. Louis

Game 21-22
May 3, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
13.144
St. Louis
11.731
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+120); Under

San Jose @ Nashville

Game 23-24
May 3, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
9.656
Nashville
13.501
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 4
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-120); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 3

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TAMPA BAY (51-33-0-5, 107 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (50-30-0-10, 110 pts.) - 5/3/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 6-12 ATS (-11.0 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
TAMPA BAY is 11-22 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 14-26 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-73 ATS (+122.4 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 15-22 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 13-2 ATS (+10.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 21-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 16-6 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 16-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-16 ATS (+3.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 12-20 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 6-5 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 6-5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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DALLAS (55-24-0-11, 121 pts.) at ST LOUIS (54-28-0-9, 117 pts.) - 5/3/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 29-35 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 54-37 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 14-5 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-14 ATS (+5.5 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-9 ATS (+28.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-19 ATS (+4.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 18-10 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 55-35 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 18-11 ATS (+30.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-16 ATS (+43.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DALLAS is 24-16 ATS (+6.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-7-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

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SAN JOSE (52-30-0-7, 111 pts.) at NASHVILLE (45-32-0-14, 104 pts.) - 5/3/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 41-41 ATS (-30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 20-21 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 215-174 ATS (+427.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 21-5 ATS (+15.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 18-5 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 10-2 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights this season.
NASHVILLE is 45-46 ATS (-39.0 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 21-36 ATS (+58.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 6-5 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 6-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 01:27 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Tuesday, May 3

Tampa Bay at NY Islanders, 7:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay: 2-7 SU off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more
NY Islanders: 16-5 SU after playing 2 consecutive road games

Dallas at St Louis, 9:35 PM ET
Dallas: 33-17 SU after one or more consecutive overs
St Louis: 9-14 SU off a win against a division rival

San Jose at Nashville, 9:05 PM ET
San Jose: 21-5 SU in a road game where where the total is 5 or less
Nashville: 36-49 SU after one or more consecutive overs

**Udog** · 05-03-2016, 02:19 PM

NHL

Tuesday, May 3

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Stanley Cup Playoffs: Tuesday's NHL betting preview
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The Lightning vs. Islanders series shifts to Long Island where the Tampa Bay has lost 13 of their last 16 visits.

It's a very busy Tuesday in the Stanley Cup Playoffs with three great conference semifinal games on the board. We break down all the action on the ice in our betting preview.

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders (A: -105, H: -105, O/U: 5)

Series tied 1-1

The New York Islanders look to hold on to home-ice advantage in the second round of the Eastern Conference playoffs when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning for Game 3 at the Barclays Center on Tuesday night. The Islanders captured the first of two contests in Tampa 5-3 before being outshot 26-8 in the final two periods of a 4-1 defeat in Game 2 on Saturday afternoon.

“It’s disappointing when you get that first one that you can’t go out and do it again,” New York center Frans Nielsen told reporters. “But I think going (to Tampa), we would have taken it coming back 1-1. Going home to our building, it’s going to be a different story.” Islanders captain John Tavares said his team needs to find a way to get second and third opportunities on Lightning goalie Ben Bishop, who was named a finalist for the Vezina Trophy. Tampa Bay was much sharper defensively in Game 2 and got two goals from Tyler Johnson, who took over the team lead with 10 points. “That’s one game. We need three more,” Johnson told reporters. “It’s gonna be loud, going to be hard to play in, but we know what we need to do.”

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, TVAS

PROBABLE GOALIES:

Lightning - Ben Bishop (W/L: 5-2, GAA: 2.01, SAVE %: .927)

Islanders - Thomas Greiss (W/L: 5-3, GAA: 2.06, SAVE %: .927)

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (51-33-5, 37-52 ATS, 36-41 O/U): Right wing Nikita Kucherov (six playoff goals) did not have a point in Game 2, but was a factor with a plus-2 rating while being reunited with linemates Ondrej Palat and Johnson. Jonathan Drouin, who looked as though he would never play with Tampa Bay again after a trade request and team suspension in midseason, boasts a goal and six assists to go along with 19 shots – third on the team -- in the postseason. Forwards Erik Condra (upper body) and Mike Blunden (upper body) practiced Monday and defenseman Matt Carle (undisclosed) skated on his own.

ABOUT THE ISLANDERS (50-30-10, 38-52 ATS, 37-44 O/U): Tavares had a team-high three shots on goal in Game 2, but the Islanders did not get enough production throughout the forward corps and the line of Shane Prince-Brock Nelson-Ryan Strome was limited to one shot combined. Defenseman Ryan Pulock practiced on Monday and could return to the lineup in place of veteran blue-liner Marek Zidlicky while forward Josh Bailey (upper body) may draw back in as well. Defensemen Nick Leddy (28:31) and Travis Hamonic (27:03) lead the team in average ice time and have a combined plus-1 rating.

TRENDS:

* Lightning are 13-3 in their last 16 Conference Semifinals games.
* Islanders are 13-3 in their last 16 Tuesday games.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Lightning last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Lightning are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings in New York.

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators (A: +100, H: -120, O/U: 5)

Sharks lead series 2-0

Trailing 2-0 in their second-round playoff series against the San Jose Sharks, heading home for Tuesday night's Game 3 might not prove to be that much of an advantage for the Nashville Predators. Not only did the Predators lose twice at home in their first-round series versus Anaheim, but they are facing an opponent that posted the league's best road record.

Not only did the Sharks go 28-10-3 away from home during the regular season, but they also won all three games in Los Angeles in their first-round series. San Jose has scored seven of its eight goals against Nashville in the third period, including three empty-netters, fueling the Predators' optimism that the series is far from over. "No one's hitting the panic button in here or anything," Nashville center Ryan Johansen said. "There's still a lot of hockey to be played. We know it's going to be challenging and they know it's going to be challenging." Nashville did stave off elimination in the opening round with a big victory in Game 6 at Bridgestone Arena before ousting the Ducks in Anaheim.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, USA, Sportsnet 360, TVAS

PROBABLE GOALIES:

Sharks - Martin Jones (W/L: 6-1, GAA: 2.13, SAVE %: .918)

Predators - Pekka Rinne (W/L: 4-5, GAA: 2.48, SAVE % .909)

ABOUT THE SHARKS (52-30-7, 42-47 ATS, 45-35 O/U): San Jose goaltender Martin Jones had been flying under the radar in the postseason, but he outplayed former mentor Jonathan Quick in the opening round and is coming off a 37-save performance in Game 2 against Nashville. "I thought they were better than us for the majority of that game," said Sharks center Logan Couture, who has three goals in the first two games. "A lot of guys didn't bring their best effort tonight, and we got bailed out by Jonesy making some big saves." The power play continues to thrive for San Jose, converting on 3-of-5 chances against Nashville and producing eight man-advantage tallies in seven postseason games.

ABOUT THE PREDATORS (45-32-14, 39-52 ATS, 35-36 O/U): With the tandem of captain Shea Weber and Roman Josi leading the way, Nashville's defensemen led the NHL by posting the most points (203) and goals (55) during the regular season. Fellow blue-liner Mattias Ekholm has been the most clutch performer in the playoffs, tying for the league lead among defensemen with three tallies and either tying the game or putting his team ahead with each of his goals. "It's just the evolution of his game," Nashville coach Peter Laviolette said. "I don't think it should surprise anybody that he's got points or goals in the postseason. He's a terrific defenseman that thinks the game offensively."

TRENDS:

* Sharks are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win.
* Predators are 0-4 in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games.
* Under is 5-1-1 in Sharks last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
* Sharks are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Nashville.

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues (A: +115, H: -135, O/U: 5)

Series tied 1-1

The St. Louis Blues have benefited from working overtime against the Dallas Stars, venturing past regulation to earn three of their four wins in the regular-season series before drawing a split of the Western Conference second-round set in the same manner. After wresting away home-ice advantage, St. Louis looks to gain the upper hand in the series when it hosts Game 3 on Tuesday.

Captain David Backes celebrated his 32nd birthday in style on Sunday, scoring 10:58 into the extra session of the 4-3 triumph for his second overtime goal of the playoffs. "Jaromir Jagr in all his wisdom at 44 said, 'Who cares who scores,' and that's the way we feel in this room," Backes told reporters. "... We did our job, got one in their building, and now need to go home and play solid hockey for 60 minutes and start to establish our game." Dallas coach Lindy Ruff refused to reveal if his goaltender carousel would take another turn for Game 3, as Kari Lehtonen yielded three goals on five shots before being replaced by Antti Niemi (19 saves). Ruff has consistently shuffled netminders following a difficult start, as Lehtonen won Games 1 and 2 in the first-round series versus Minnesota before faltering in the following contest - only to get the call after Niemi sputtered in Game 5.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, Sportsnet, TVAS

PROBABLE GOALIES:

Stars - Kari Lehtonen (W/L: 4-1, GAA: 2.45, SAVE %: .906)

Blues - Brian Elliott (W/L: 5-4, GAA: 2.38, SAVE % .930)

ABOUT THE STARS (55-24-11, 42-48 ATS, 49-39 O/U): Captain Jamie Benn is enjoying quite the postseason, assisting on one goal and scoring another with 2:36 remaining in the third period of Game 2 to extend his team-leading point total to 12 (five goals, seven assists). Cody Eakin set up all three of Dallas' goals on Sunday to match Benn with seven assists in the playoffs, much to the pleasure of Ruff. "Really it's the Cody Eakin I was looking for all year long," Ruff told the team's website on Monday. "His puck possession has been way up. What he's done defensively while playing against top lines has been very good. He's a step above where I had him in the regular season and he's right where we need him to be to be effective as a team."

ABOUT THE BLUES (54-27-10, 41-50 ATS, 36-42 O/U): Two-goal leads are proving to be anything but safe for St. Louis, which squandered that advantage for the second time in the playoffs on Sunday. The Blues jumped out to a 3-1 lead after the first period of their Game 6 tilt versus Chicago in the first round, only to see the Blackhawks storm back with a vengeance and extend the series. "The worst lead in hockey is a two-goal lead," coach Ken Hitchcock told reporters. "But it's natural; you play the score. You don't want to get caught, so you put a safety net up."

TRENDS:

* Stars are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Blues are 1-7 in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Stars last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Under is 6-1-1 in Blues last 8 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis.

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Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/3

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/3

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