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Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

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  • Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, April 29

    Good Luck on day #120 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    NASCAR Schedule

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    -- Phillies 3, Nationals 0-- Suprising Phils won six of last seven, are 12-10.

    -- Hawks 104, Celtics 92-- Atlanta moves on to the second round.

    -- Capitals 4, Penguins 3 OT-- Washington wins first game in series.

    -- Marlins 5, Dodgers 3-- Miami sweeps four games in Chavez Ravine, but 2B Dee Gordon got benched for 80 games afterwards for flunking a PED test. .

    -- Giancarlo Stanton has 22 RBI in 19 career games in Dodger Stadium.

    -- '93 Buffalo Bills are last Super Bowl loser to make Super Bowl the next year.

    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Quick thoughts after the NFL Draft......

    13) Very bad night to be Ole Miss T Laremy Tunsil; someone hacked his Twitter account, posted a picture of Tunsil smoking pot while wearing a gas mask. No bueno. It definitely was Tunsil in the picture and it is going to cost him millions of dollars. Apparently he ticked off the wrong person.

    Tunsil wound up taken #13 by Miami; hope he learned his lesson. Dolphins may have gotten a great value if he has his life in order- before the Rams got the #1 pick in that big trade, Tunsil was rumored to be the Titans' #1 choice. .

    12) Jared Goff's dad hit .215 in 250 PA as a backup catcher for three teams in the 90's. I have no idea how Jared will do, but I'll be rooting like hell for him and I know this-- Bill Parcells never wanted to draft a QB unless he played for three years in college, and Goff started three years at Cal. In the Pac-12.

    11) This is a little bit random, but I'm wondering if quarterbacks with lot of siblings fare better leading a team than a guy who was an only child. When you grow up in a big family, you have to deal more with different types of personailities; with all the due diligence these professional teams do on prospects, I wonder if that plays into it at all.

    10) This was the fifth year in a row Jacksonville drafted in the top 5; its not good for a coach's job security when that happens. Jalen Ramsey figures to help out a defense that was 29th against the pass LY.

    9) Leonard Floyd (#9 to Chicago) was first SEC player taken; this was only third time in last 31 years no SEC player was taken in the first five picks of the draft. John Fox is going all-out to improve his defense this offseason.

    8) This was the third time in last five years QBs went #1-2 in the draft; before that, it had been 13 years since the top two picks were quarterbacks.

    7) Houston gave Washington a 6th round pick so they could move up one slot and draft Notre Dame WR Will Fuller, who is very fast but drops a lot of passes. A 6th-round pick doesn't sound like much, but 16 years ago, the Patriots used a 6th-round pick on someone you may have heard of-- Tom Brady.

    6) Redskins then took TCU's WR Josh Doctson, who I think is great-- TCU's offense went in the ashcan LY as soon as Doctson got hurt.

    5) Chiefs got extra 4th, 6th-round draft choices from the 49ers so SF could move up a few spots (eight?), and draft G Joshua Garnett of Stanford.

    NFL Network guys were ready to bash the 49ers for trading up just to take a lineman, but David Shaw, Garnett's college coach, was sitting next to them on the dais so they backed off.

    Shaw, by the way, is very good on TV and will have a spot waiting for him in a studio somewhere when he doesn't want to coach anymore.

    4) In the 1981 baseball draft, two-sport star John Elway was taken six picks ahead of another two-sport star, Tony Gwynn. Whoops.

    3) Eagles have $61M in guaranteed money tied up in their three QBs; Bradford, Wentz and Chase Daniel. Bradford wants a trade, but not to the 49ers; apparently he is no Chip Kelly fan. Could he wind up on the Jets?

    2) I mean, it is April 29 and Ryan Fitzpatrick is making noises like he has no intention of ever playing for the Jets again, which means they don't have an NFL-caliber QB on their roster, unless Bryce Petty somehow had an epiphany during the offseason. Trading for Bradford could make sense.

    1) NFL Network did a fine job with their coverage Thursday; I can't stand Chris Berman, so I won't watch ESPN if he is on, which he won't be tonight, so I can listen to my man Mel Kiper the next two nights. Stretching this out over three days is a debatable idea, but moving it around the country is a great idea. Philadelphia is said to be the favorite to host the draft next year.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Friday, April 29


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      ST LOUIS (53-27-0-9, 115 pts.) at DALLAS (54-24-0-10, 118 pts.) - 4/29/2016, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ST LOUIS is 9-16 ATS (-13.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
      DALLAS is 54-34 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games this season.
      DALLAS is 23-15 ATS (+2.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      ST LOUIS is 53-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
      ST LOUIS is 25-14 ATS (+10.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
      ST LOUIS is 17-9 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
      ST LOUIS is 23-13 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      ST LOUIS is 16-4 ATS (+10.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
      ST LOUIS is 28-18 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      ST LOUIS is 17-9 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      DALLAS is 28-34 ATS (-8.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
      DALLAS is 18-23 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ST LOUIS is 9-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
      9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NASHVILLE (45-30-0-14, 104 pts.) at SAN JOSE (50-30-0-7, 107 pts.) - 4/29/2016, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NASHVILLE is 45-44 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
      NASHVILLE is 21-34 ATS (+56.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN JOSE is 20-10 ATS (+4.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
      SAN JOSE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
      NASHVILLE is 215-172 ATS (+32.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
      SAN JOSE is 8-16 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
      SAN JOSE is 23-28 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN JOSE is 3-9 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
      SAN JOSE is 153-135 ATS (-77.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
      SAN JOSE is 6-11 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
      SAN JOSE is 7-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      NASHVILLE is 6-3 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      NASHVILLE is 6-3-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL
      Short Sheet

      Friday, April 29


      St Louis at Dallas, 8:05 PM ET
      St Louis: 14-9 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
      Dallas: 7-13 SU in home games off a road win

      Nashville at San Jose, 10:35 PM ET
      Nashville: 56-35 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders
      San Jose: 4-9 SU in home games off a road win




      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, April 29


      St Louis-Dallas (0-0)
      Blues won Game 7 at home over nemesis Chicago Monday; they won three of last four road games, all in Chicago. St Louis won six of last seven games against Dallas, with last three series win all in OT/SO. Blues won four of last five visits here; six of last eight series games stayed under total. Dallas Stars won Game 6 in Minnesota Sunday; they've won six of last eight games overall, eight of last nine on home ice. Over is 3-0-1 in last four games for both teams. 7 of last 9 St Louis games were decided by one goal.

      Nashville-San Jose (0-0)
      Predators won six of last nine games with San Jose but are 2-3 in last five visits here; under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games, 5-0 in last five in Shark Tank. This is only third time in franchise history Preds have gotten this far- they won three of last four road games. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five overall. San Jose had five extra days to prep for this; they haven't played in a week, Nashville won its first-ever Game 7 Wednesday. Sharks won five of last six games but are 2-3 in last five home games. .

      Playoffs tally: 1st round-- Home: 23-24, Over: 16-17-14
      2nd round-- Home: 1-1, Over: 2-0




      NHL

      Friday, April 29


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:00 PM
      ST. LOUIS vs. DALLAS
      St. Louis is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
      St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
      Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
      Dallas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

      10:30 PM
      NASHVILLE vs. SAN JOSE
      Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Jose
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
      San Jose is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
      San Jose is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Nashville


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      Last edited by Udog; 04-29-2016, 10:09 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Friday, April 29



        Nashville @ San Jose

        Game 7-8
        April 29, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Nashville
        12.656
        San Jose
        11.101
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Nashville
        by 1 1/2
        5 1/2
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        San Jose
        -170
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        Nashville
        (+150); Over

        St. Louis @ Dallas


        Game 5-6
        April 29, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        St. Louis
        11.931
        Dallas
        10.844
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        St. Louis
        by 1
        4
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Dallas
        -120
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        St. Louis
        (+100); Under

        Comment


        • #5
          Long sheet has updated.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL

            Friday, April 29


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Stanley Cup Playoffs: Friday's NHL betting preview
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            Not much rest for the Predators as they are back on the ice to start the second round at San Jose - two days after winning Game 7 in Anaheim.

            Friday night's second round Stanley Cup Playoffs action features a pair of Western Conference matchups. The St. Louis Blues travel to Dallas to take on the Stars and the Nashville Predators attempt to keep momentum on their side as they slide up the coast from Anaheim to San Jose to take on the Sharks.

            St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars (A: +100, H: -120, O/U: 5)

            Series tied 0-0

            The St. Louis Blues finally ended a string of three consecutive exits in the first round of the postseason by dethroning the reigning Stanley Cup champion Chicago Blackhawks in a riveting seven-game series. The reward for the Blues - a second-round matchup against the top-seeded Dallas Stars beginning with Friday night.'s Game 1.

            "I don't know if it's a milestone. It's a hump," St. Louis coach Ken Hitchcock told reporters after the franchise's first Game 7 win since 1999. Dallas had an easier road than the Blues in the opening series, beating the Minnesota Wild in six games to advance to the second round for the first time since 2008. The Stars finished two points in front of St. Louis for the Central Division title and No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, but the Blues won four of the five regular-season meetings - with three of the victories coming after regulation. "The games we played them this year were extremely close, so I think at the end, you end up clashing with a team that you fought the hardest with," Dallas coach Lindy Ruff told reporters.

            TV:
            8 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, TVA

            PROBABLE GOALIES:
            Blues - B. Elliott (0.930%), Stars - K. Lehtonen (0.907%).

            ABOUT THE BLUES (53-26-10, 39-50 ATS, 35-41 O/U):
            Vladimir Tarasenko, who scored four times against Chicago after leading St. Louis in goals (40) and points (74) during the regular season, has torched Dallas for eight tallies and five assists in 14 career matchups. Jaden Schwartz was limited to 33 games due to injury, but he has come alive in the playoffs with three goals and four assists during a six-game point streak while rookie Robby Fabbri recorded a goal and an assist against Chicago, setting up former ********* Troy Brouwer's game-winning goal in the series clincher. "I thought Robby was one of our best players in the series," Hitchcock told reporters. "He's really emerged as a top offensive player."

            ABOUT THE STARS (54-24-10, 42-46 ATS, 48-38 O/U):
            Captain Jamie Benn finished second in scoring this season after leading the NHL in 2014-15 and hasn't slowed down in the playoffs, netting four goals to go along with six assists while notching at least point in every game against Minnesota. With Tyler Seguin sidelined after re-aggravating an Achilles injury, Jason Spezza continued to pick up the slack following his 33-goal campaign, tallying four times against the Wild and capping his series with a four-point performance. Ruff played both of his goaltenders against Minnesota, but Kari Lehtonen has superior career numbers against this Blues, including a 1-0-1 record with two goals allowed this season.

            TRENDS:


            * Blues are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
            * Stars are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
            * Over is 3-0-3 in Blues last 6 overall.
            * Over is 5-0 in Stars last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
            * Blues are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.



            Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks (A: +145, H: -165, O/U: 5)

            Series tied 0-0

            The San Jose Sharks dispatched one Pacific Division rival in the opening round of the playoffs and may have been expecting to see another in the second round, but instead they will host the upstart Nashville Predators in Game 1 on Friday. Nashville became the final team to punch its ticket to the second round with a 2-1 Game 7 victory at Anaheim on Wednesday.

            While the Predators had an abrupt turnaround before heading up the California coast, San Jose has been idle since closing out the Los Angeles Kings in five games on April 22. "There's advantages to both," Sharks forward Tommy Wingels told reporters. "When you play every other day, you get into a bit of a routine of having a day off and bringing it the next night. So, in that aspect, I think they'll be ready to go. On the other side of it, we appreciated our rest." San Jose posted the worst home record (18-20-3) of any playoff team and must contend with an opponent that won three times in Anaheim and beat the Sharks in two of their three matchups during the regular season. "Moving forward, I think we're a better team already," Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne told reporters after the first Game 7 win in franchise history.

            TV:
            10:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN, Sportsnet, TVA

            PROBABLE GOALIES:
            Predators - P. Rinne (0.908%), Ducks - M. Jones (0.917%)

            ABOUT THE PREDATORS (45-30-14, 38-51 ATS, 34-36 O/U):
            Rinne had a number of shaky moments during the regular season and was dented for 11 goals as the Ducks won three straight games in their series, but the Finnish netminder was immense in both elimination contests - including a sensational 36-save performance in Game 7. “He was really good,” Nashville coach Peter Laviolette told reporters. “If you think that you need four wins to get out, and if you think about the four wins, you could consider him one of the best players on the ice. He was outstanding." Colin Wilson scored just six times in 64 games during the regular season, but his opening goal in Game 7 gave him seven tallies in his last 13 playoff contests.

            ABOUT THE SHARKS (50-30-7, 41-46 ATS, 44-35 O/U):
            Captain Joe Pavelski topped San Jose with 38 goals during the regular season before scoring five more times against Los Angeles, while defenseman Brent Burns registered a team-high eight points in the opening round after establishing career highs of 27 goals and 48 assists in the regular season. Netminder Martin Jones notched 37 wins in his first full season as a starter but has a rocky history against the Predators, going 0-2-2 with a 3.62 goals-against average and .863 save percentage in four career appearances (three starts). The Sharks' power play, ranked third in the regular season, converted 5-of-21 chances versus the Kings.

            TRENDS:


            * Predators are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
            * Sharks are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
            * Under is 4-0-1 in Predators last 5 games following a win.
            * Under is 5-0 in Sharks last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
            * Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in San Jose.


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