Announcement

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 07:33 AM

NHL

Thursday, April 14

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Stanley Cup Playoffs: Thursday's NHL betting previews
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The San Jose Sharks won the season series with the Los Angeles Kings 3-2 with the road team winning 4 of the 5 meetings.

Eight more teams hit the ice for the first time in the 2016 Stanley Cup Playoffs Thursday night with both number one seeds (Washington Capitals and Dallas Stars) and one of the most hyped matchups of the opening round between the San Jose Sharks and the Los Angeles Kings.

No. 8 Philadelphia Flyers at No. 1 Washington Capitals (A:+190, H:-230, O/U: 5)

After exceeding expectation by capturing the second Presidents' Trophy in franchise history, the Washington Capitals look to avoid the end result that befell them the last time the club emerged with the NHL's best record. No stranger to early exits in the playoffs, the Capitals attempt to get off on the right foot on Thursday when they host the upstart Philadelphia Flyers in Game 1 of their opening-round series.

"I can't go to the bank and they're going to give me anything," coach Barry Trotz said after his club finished 11 points better than the next closest team (Dallas). "Other than (home ice), we're entitled to nothing." While Washington had a fair amount of time to prepare for the playoffs, Philadelphia punched its ticket during its penultimate game of the regular season. The Flyers rode a blistering 15-5-3 stretch over the final 23 contests to leap over four teams and secure the final wild-card berth in the Eastern Conference. Included in that stretch was a 2-1 shootout win over the Capitals on March 30 that evened the four-game regular-season series at two victories apiece.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, TVA

ABOUT THE FLYERS (41-27-14, 46-36 ATS, 32-30 O/U): To a man, many of the Philadelphia players dedicated the team's spirited late-season surge to owner Ed Snider, who died on Monday after a two-year battle with bladder cancer. "We'll be playing with heavy hearts. But at the end of the day, I think Mr. Snider wanted us to win a Stanley Cup," forward Wayne Simmonds told Philly.com. Simmonds scored seven times in his last seven games to set a career high in goals (32) and added two more assists in that stretch to match a personal best with 60 points.

ABOUT THE CAPITALS (56-18-8, 37-45 ATS, 33-33 O/U): Captain Alex Ovechkin reached the 50-goal plateau for the seventh time in his career this season, with two of those tallies coming against Philadelphia. The three-time Hart Trophy winner traditionally has tormented the Flyers to the tune of 48 points (31 goals, 17 assists) in 41 career encounters. Goaltender Braden Holtby tied Martin Brodeur's NHL record with 48 wins in a season, but managed only two at Philadelphia's expense and owns a 6-4-6 mark with a 2.76 goals-against average versus the Flyers.

TRENDS:

* Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
* Under is 12-3-3 in Flyers last 18 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
* Under is 4-1 in Capitals last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Flyers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

No. 7 New York Islanders at No. 2 Florida Panthers (A:+120, H:-140, O/U: 5)

The visiting New York Islanders and Florida Panthers begin their first-round playoff series on Thursday in search of something neither team has seen in a long time: the second round. The Islanders last won a postseason series a staggering 23 years ago while the Atlantic Division champion Panthers' most recent visit to the second round came during their unlikely run to the Stanley Cup Final in 1996.

"I know our fan base is dying for it," New York captain John Tavares (team-leading 33 goals) said of ending the prolonged drought. "They've been itching for us to obviously get past the first round, get over that hump." Whether the club did its best to get over the hump at the end of the season is open to debate, with Rangers coach Alain Vigneault heaping criticism toward Islanders coach Jack Capuano - noting that the latter openly rested his players to avoid a date with white-hot Pittsburgh in favor of a series with Florida. The Panthers are pretty potent in their own right, setting franchise records in wins (47) and points (103). Future Hall of Famer Jaromir Jagr has tormented the Islanders like no other, recording 64 goals versus the club in his decorated career.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, CNBC, RSN, TVAS2, MSG-Plus (New York)

ABOUT THE ISLANDERS (45-27-10, 34-48 ATS, 34-40 O/U): After missing last year's first-round loss to Washington, Travis Hamonic isn't about to let history repeat itself as the defenseman eyes a return to the ice on Thursday. "I'd be lying if I said there wasn't some deja vu there, certainly, but the prognosis was better than we originally anticipated," Hamonic told the team's website. While Hamonic is a game-time decision after missing his last six contests with a lower-body injury, goaltender Thomas Greiss has been confirmed to start after posting a career high in wins (23) - including a 23-save performance in a 3-2 victory over Florida on March 14.

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (47-26-9, 41-41 ATS, 33-31 O/U): Veteran goaltender Roberto Luongo, who was selected by New York with the fourth overall pick of the 1997 draft, turned aside 81-of-87 shots as Florida took two of three in the season series. "I'm glad we are at the point we are right now, but that being said, there is still a lot of work to be done," Luongo told the Miami Herald. "So right now, I don't really want to reflect on anything but (Thursday) night." Aleksander Barkov has benefited from the presence of Jagr, scoring a team-leading 28 goals - with two tallies and three assists coming in three games versus the Islanders this season.

TRENDS:

* Islanders are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
* Panthers are 13-3 in their last 16 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
* Under is 4-1 in Islanders last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Over is 7-0-1 in Panthers last 8 home games.
* Islanders are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

No. 8 Minnesota Wild at No. 1 Dallas Stars (A:+155, H:-175, O/U: 5)

It will be a meeting of the past and the present when the Central Division champion Dallas Stars open the postseason against the visiting Minnesota Wild on Thursday night in Game 1 of their best-of-seven series. The Stars, the top seed in the Western Conference, played 26 seasons in Minnesota before bolting the state and relocating to Texas in 1993.

The ties to the past aside, Dallas may be more interested in another history - making a deep run in only its second postseason appearance in the past eight seasons. The Stars, who were bounced in the opening round two years ago, could receive a huge boost with the potential return of second-leading scorer Tyler Seguin, who missed the final 10 games of the regular season. The situation is just the opposite for the Wild, who will be without top goal scorer Zach Parise for at least the first two games. Dallas won four of the five regular-season matchups - three in overtime - and prevailed in all three meetings at Minnesota.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, TVAS3, Sportsnet360, FSN North/FSN Wisconsin (Minnesota), FSN Southwest (Dallas)

ABOUT THE WILD (38-33-11, 39-43 ATS, 29-35 O/U): Parise, who scored 25 goals and averaged 29 tallies over the past three seasons, aggravated a back injury and is listed out as indefinitely, prompting goaltender Devan Dubnyk to term his absence "an extraordinary loss for us." Forward Thomas Vanek, an 18-goal scorer, is dealing with an upper-body injury and also will miss at least the first two games while center Erik Haula (14 goals) will travel with the team to Dallas but already has been ruled out for the series opener. Dubnyk sparked last season's run to the playoffs and came on strong over the second half this year, but he lost his final four decisions following a six-start winning streak.

ABOUT THE STARS (50-23-9, 41-41 ATS, 45-36 O/U): Seguin, who was within reach of matching his career-high total of 37 goals when his Achilles tendon was sliced by a skate on March 17, practiced fully Wednesday and has been cleared to play, but coach Lindy Ruff said "First is health" when determining his availability. Dallas doesn't lack for firepower with captain Jamie Benn finishing second in scoring with 89 points after leading the NHL last season while Jason Spezza matched Seguin with 33 tallies and Patrick Sharp scored 20 times. Ruff has not settled on one goaltender, alternating the tandem of Antti Niemi and Kari Lehtonen, who each registered 25 victories this season.

TRENDS:

* Wild are 0-8 in their last 8 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
* Stars are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
* Over is 5-1-3 in Wild last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Over is 13-3 in Stars last 16 vs. Central.
* Wild are 5-22 in the last 27 meetings in Dallas.

No. 5 San Jose Sharks at No. 4 Los Angeles Kings (A:+120, H:-140, O/U: 5)

The Los Angeles Kings pulled off the near-impossible in their last postseason meeting with the San Jose Sharks, overcoming a 3-0 series deficit to win their first-round matchup, and went on to capture their second Stanley Cup championship in three years. San Jose will have revenge on its mind when the Pacific Division rivals meet in Los Angeles on Thursday for Game 1 of their opening-round showdown.

The Sharks are comfortable away from home as they set a franchise record for road wins by posting a league-best 28-10-3 record. Los Angeles is hoping its trend of winning Cups in alternate years continues as it claimed the trophy in 2012 and 2014. That likely will depend on the performance of 2012 Conn Smythe Trophy winner Jonathan Quick, who set a franchise record with 40 wins during the regular season. San Jose went 3-1-1 in the season series, winning both visits to Los Angeles.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, CNBC, CBC, TVA; CSN California (San Jose); FSN West (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE SHARKS (46-30-6, 38-44 ATS, 42-33 O/U): San Jose will turn to someone familiar with its opponent in Game 1 as former King Martin Jones will start in net. The 26-year-old goaltender, who was acquired from Boston four days after Los Angeles traded him to the Bruins last summer, went 37-23-4 with six shutouts and a 2.27 goals-against average in his first season as a starter and got the decision in all five meetings with the Kings. The Sharks likely will receive a boost on the blue line as Marc-Edouard Vlasic is expected to play in the series opener after missing the final 12 regular-season games with a knee injury.

ABOUT THE KINGS (48-28-6, 28-54 ATS, 28-32 O/U): Los Angeles is hoping to have Marian Gaborik and defensemen Alec Martinez and Matt Greene in the lineup at some point during the series, as all three participated in practice Wednesday. Gaborik has been sidelined for two months with a knee injury, Martinez sat out the final week of the regular season with an undisclosed ailment and Greene has not played since Oct. 13 because of a shoulder ailment that required surgery in December. Tyler Toffoli, who became the first King to hit the 30-goal plateau since Anze Kopitar in 2008-09 with 31, looks to carry over his strong play as he finished the season with nine points (four goals) in his final eight games.

TRENDS:

* Sharks are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Sharks are 0-4 in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Kings are 4-0 in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Under is 7-0-1 in Sharks last 8 road games.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Kings last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Sharks are 4-12 in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles.

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**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 07:42 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 14

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PHILADELPHIA (41-27-0-14, 96 pts.) at WASHINGTON (56-18-0-8, 120 pts.) - 4/14/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 233-242 ATS (-86.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 56-26 ATS (+85.2 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 45-24 ATS (+18.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-11 ATS (+31.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-16 ATS (+44.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-17 ATS (+44.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 37-44 ATS (-33.5 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-5 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 8-5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (45-27-0-10, 100 pts.) at FLORIDA (47-26-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/14/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 47-35 ATS (+84.4 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+17.2 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 20-12 ATS (+20.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
FLORIDA is 115-153 ATS (+286.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
FLORIDA is 190-211 ATS (-63.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-3 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.1 Units)

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MINNESOTA (38-33-0-11, 87 pts.) at DALLAS (50-23-0-9, 109 pts.) - 4/14/2016, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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SAN JOSE (46-30-0-6, 98 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (48-28-0-6, 102 pts.) - 4/14/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 2-9 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 53-41 ATS (+99.3 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 15-5 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
SAN JOSE is 11-4 ATS (+6.4 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 10-2 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN JOSE is 11-3 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 88-76 ATS (-7.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 46-43 ATS (-19.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 12-10 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 12-10-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 14

Philadelphia at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 11-34 SU in road games after playing a road game
Washington: 20-5 SU after 1 or more consecutive losses

NY Islanders at Florida, 8:05 PM ET
New York: 31-15 SU after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games
Florida: 41-62 SU after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7

Minnesota at Dallas, 9:35 PM ET
Minnesota: 2-8 SU when playing with 3 or more days rest
Dallas: 27-12 SU after having won 3 of their last 4

San Jose at Los Angeles, 10:35 PM ET
San Jose: 28-13 SU in road games
Los Angeles: 15-16 SU after having won 2 of their last 3

NHL

Thursday, April 14

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 5 games
NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Florida
Florida is 12-4 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Florida is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DALLAS
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
SAN JOSE vs. LOS ANGELES
San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games on the road
Los Angeles is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 08:48 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, April 14

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 57-58
April 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
11.230
Washington
12.718
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-225
5
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-225); Over

NY Islanders @ Florida

Game 59-60
April 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
9.809
Florida
11.804
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-140); Over

Minnesota @ Dallas

Game 61-62
April 14, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
12.835
Dallas
11.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-185
5
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+160); Under

San Jose @ Los Angeles

Game 63-64
April 14, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
12.835
Los Angeles
11.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(+125); Under

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 14

Philadelphia-Washington (0-0)
Flyers won seven of last ten games with Washington; they won three of last five games here. Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Philly won last two games overall, but lost three of last four on foreign ice. Caps lost four of last five games, with two OT losses, two shutouts- three of their last four games went over total. Flyers missed playoffs two of last three years; they won in first round three of last four times they were there. Washington is 4-3 in last seven first round series.

NY Islanders-Florida (0-0)
Islanders lost four of last five games with Florida; they lost three of last four visits here. Islanders won last three rtoad games, with two OT wins; they're 6-3 in last nine games overall- over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Panthers won five of last six games (over 5-2-1 in last eight)- they won last three home games. Islanders are in playoffs for third time in four years but haven't won a playoff series since 1993. Florida is in playoffs for second time in 15 years; their last playoff series win was in 1996.

Minnesota-Dallas (0-0)
Dallas Stars used to be the Minnesota North Stars. Minnesota Wild lost four of last five games against Dallas, but won three of last five visits here, in series where visitor won six of last nine games. Six of last eight series games went over the total. Minnesota lost its last five games, outscored 16-6; under is 3-1-3 in their last seven. Dallas won six of last seven games; four of their last five stayed under. Wild is 3-3 in first round series, winning each of last two years. Dallas is in playoffs for just second time in last eight years- their last series win was in 2008.

San Jose-Los Angeles (0-0)
Teams split last ten series games; road team went 6-4 in those games. Over is 3-0-2 in last five in series. San Jose won five of last seven games; three of last four stayed under- they won last three road games. Kings are 4-6 in last 10 games, 3-2 in last five at home-- three of their last four at home stayed under. Sharks missed playoffs LY for first time in 11 years; they're 9-4 in last 13 first round series. LA won Stanley Cup twice in last four years, but missed playoffs LY- they won last three first round series.

**Udog** · 04-14-2016, 08:53 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the longer shots to win the Super Bowl this coming season........

200-1-- Cleveland-- Cut seven starters; who replaces them?

100-1-- San Francisco-- Will they trade Kaepernick, or not?

80-1--- San Diego-- Will Chargers get a new stadium where they belong?

60-1-- Jacksonville-- Will Jaguars be the team that moves to London?

60-1-- Tennessee-- Will Titans draft number one pick in the draft?

50-1-- Miami-- When was last time the Dolphins were a contender?

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) Damn, the NFL schedule is coming out tonight, not next week; if I knew that, would've flown home a different day. I'll be on the plane when the 2016 NFL schedule comes out, but I'll get the WiFi on the plane and try to have some coherent thoughts about the schedule for this space tomorrow.

12) Quite a scene in Westgate Sportsbook last night, with Warriors winning their 73rd game and Kobe Bryant playing his last game. ESPN sent its #1 announce team to Oakland, but the sportsbook gave the Lakers a slight preference, as far as where the games were shown on TVs.

11) In my humble opinion, the NBA promotes its stars too much and its teams not enough, and thats why I like college ball better. The Lakers stink, but it seemed like a playoff game last night, just because Bryant was playing his last game.

10) Nobody in Oakland should hint that the Warriors are the best team ever unless they win the championship this season; thats a measure of greatmess, not your regular season record.

9) Minnesota/Sacramento fired their coach; Washington is also expected to fire those. 16 teams make the playoffs; the other 14 coaches are on the hot seat.

8) When the Bulls went 72-10 in 1995-96, Michael Jordan played in all 82 games. No resting or taking nights off for bogus reasons- he played in every game.

7) Rumors have Memphis State going after Tubby Smith, which would create an opening at Texas Tech. UNLV's newly-hired coach Chris Beard spent ten years as an assistant in Lubbock; would they be interested in hiring him?

6) Speaking of Beard, the coach has three daughters but unfortunately also has only three players who are on scholarship at UNLV right now-- everyone else jumped ship, which probably helps explain why they weren't any good the last two years.

5) Ole Miss lands transfer PG Cullen Neal, son of the New Mexico coach. Things got ugly in Albuquerque LY, so the son, a good player, transferred. Good get for Rebels' coach Andy Kennedy, who had been mentioned for the Memphis job.

4) USC is weird; they hired Lynn Swann as their new AD. Their last three ADs are all former football players; Mike Garrett, Pat Haden and now Swann. Guess they don't like outsiders too much; sounds more like Texas than California, but so be it.

3) Dee Gordon had an epic 16-pitch at-bat against the Mets Tuesday, the longest single at-bat in Marlins' history- he reached on a single. It was the longest AB in any big league game since a 16-pitch walk to Justin Turner two years ago.

2) Longest playoff drought of any baseball team? Mariners, last in playoffs in 2001.

1) Does the exhibition season matter? The results do not, but the Mets won once in their last 15 spring training games, and are struggling out of the gate in real games, so there could be something to it, at least as far as the quality of play goes.

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/14

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/14

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