Announcement

**Udog** · 04-03-2016, 07:57 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Villanova 95, Oklahoma 51-- Discouraging tank job by the Sooners.

-- You have to wonder if two Oklahoma assistant coaches getting head coaching jobs elsewhere during the week affected this game. Maybe not, but still......

-- North Carolina 83, Syracuse 66-- Good to play a 10-seed in national semis.

-- 49ers are going to trade Colin Kaepernick to Denver. What will they get back?

-- AJ Pollock broke his elbow sliding into home plate Friday. Big loss for Arizona.

-- Vanderbilt, Georgia Tech are both pursing Valparaiso coach Bryce Drew.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Brief look at all the AL teams......

Orioles-- From 1998--2011, O's were under .500 every year. Under Showalter, they're 62 games over .500 since '12, thats what a great manager Showalter is. Adding Mark Trumbo should help, but their starting pitching is shaky.

Red Sox-- Shaw beat out Sandoval at 3B; Boston owes Sandoval $72.6M over next four years. Next year he'll be the DH with Ortiz retiring. They also owe Rusney Castillo $60M over next five years and he doesn't start. Adding Price/Kimbrel elevates the pitching.

White Sox-- Added Frazier/Lawrie to give Abreu protection in lineup; LaRoche retired after hitting .207. Sox are 62 games under .500 last three years-- manager Ventura somehow kept his job. 37-year old SS Rollins takes over from departed Ramirez; not sure that is an upgrade.

Indians-- One article this spring said Tribe has best rotation in big leagues. Kluber went from 18-9 in '14 to 9-16 LY; he gave up eight more HRs (22-14) LY. Francona has been over .500 all three years in Cleveland, but win totals also decreased last two years.

Tigers-- Over next four years, Detroit has $226M wrapped up in Verlander, Cabrera; when Mike Pelfrey is your #4 starter (they dealt Price LY), pitching is a concern. Justin Upton takes over in LF, Anthony Gose in CF- they've regressed a little.

Astros-- Over last four years, no Astro has played more than 105 games in any season at 1B; White beat out fellow prospect Reed at 1B this spring. Houston's 1-3 hitters are all 26 or younger, but three of five starting pitchers are 31+, with McCullers on DL.

Royals-- World Champs have new RF in rookie Fuentes, who was 5-33 in '13 cameo with San Diego. Four of five starting pitchers are 30+. LY, seven Royals were represented by Scott Boras, and their payroll went up $20M. Heavy is the head that wears the crown.

Angels-- Big $$$ team made playoffs once in last six years, were swept that one year- they've paid $852,409,866 in salaries since its last playoff win. Improved left side of infield, adding pair of SSs in Escobar/Simmons, but who will play LF?

Twins--Went 83-79 LY, first winning season since 2010; they were in playoffs three times in last decade, but got swept 3-0 in all three series. Payroll jumped $23M LY- they signed Korean DH Park this winter. have several versatile players; who will play SS?

Bronx-- Made playoffs 18 of last 21 years, but won World Series once since 2000; Bronx fans have to be wondering why owners sit back and don't make many moves, while fans get charged big $$$ to watch a team that is only 26 games over .500 last three years. Payroll spent since last World Series title: $1,273,295,558.

A's-- Bottom fell out LY, going 68-94 after three straight playoff years. Need quality starting pitching, guys who can be depended upon to 6+ innings every game- takes strain off bullpen. Oakland should score more runs this year; they've fortified the bullpen, Doubront was supposed to be #5 starter, but hurt arm Saturday.

Mariners-- New GM, new manager after going 437-535 in previous six seasons; Cano played hurt LY, should rebound this year, but after Felix/Iwakuma, how good is their rotation? Felix Hernandez has pitched 200+ innings last eight years, 190+ two years before that, so he is as dependable a pitcher as there is in the majors.

Rays-- Always do more with less; LY was second time they ever had a payroll higher than $75M, but they've been under .500 last two years, after making playoffs four of last six years. Two games in Montreal this weekend drew 106,000; could Rays relocate?

Rangers-- Been 12+ games over .500 five of last six years, came so close to winning World Series when Washington was manager. Payroll was $141M+ LY; it was $92M+ in 2011, so new owners are stepping up with financial support. Six of nine projected starters are 30+ years old, so future is now in Arlington.

Blue Jays-- This is first time since 1970 no Canadian teams will be in Stanley Cup playoffs, so focus will be on Jays early on, and the expectations are very high north of border. Jays made playoffs LY for first time since 1993; how good is rotation with Price gone?

**Udog** · 04-03-2016, 08:02 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, April 3

Boston @ Chicago

Game 51-52
April 3, 2016 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.686
Chicago
13.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-135
5
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-135); Over

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh

Game 53-54
April 3, 2016 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
11.347
Pittsburgh
12.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
N/A

Minnesota @ Winnipeg

Game 55-56
April 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
9.321
Winnipeg
10.534
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+125); Over

St. Louis @ Colorado

Game 57-58
April 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
9.934
Colorado
10.818
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
5
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+130); Under

Dallas @ Anaheim

Game 59-60
April 3, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
9.764
Anaheim
11.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(-150); Over

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, April 3

Hot teams
-- Chicago won three of its last four games.
-- Penguins won 10 of their last 11 games. Flyers won four of last five.
-- Colorado won five of its last six games.
-- Dallas Stars won six of their last seven games. Ducks won three of their last four.

Cold teams
-- Bruins lost six of their last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost its last two games, after winning previous six. Jets lost last four games, all by one goal, two in OT.
-- Colorado lost four of its last five games.

Series records
-- Bruins won three of last four games with Chicago.
-- Penguins won last two games with Philly, after losing previous eight.
-- Winnipeg won five of its last six games with Minnesota.
-- Avalanche won three of last four games with St Louis.
-- Dallas Stars lost five of last seven games with Anaheim.

Totals
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Boston games.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Pittsburgh games.
-- Four of last six Minnesota-Winnipeg games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten St Louis-Colorado games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Anaheim games.

Back-to-backs
-- Flyers are 4-7 if they played the night before. Penguins won last five games if they played the night before.
-- Dallas Stars lost their last five games if they played the night before.

NHL

Sunday, April 3

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
BOSTON vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

5:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. PITTSBURGH
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home

8:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
St. Louis is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. ANAHEIM
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Anaheim's last 23 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-03-2016, 08:22 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 3

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BOSTON (41-29-0-8, 90 pts.) at CHICAGO (45-26-0-7, 97 pts.) - 4/3/2016, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 82-78 ATS (-31.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-33 ATS (-21.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 413-401 ATS (+820.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 9-3 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BOSTON is 56-43 ATS (+104.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 182-201 ATS (+438.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 12-16 ATS (-11.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (39-25-0-13, 91 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (45-25-0-8, 98 pts.) - 4/3/2016, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-3 (+8.4 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 8-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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MINNESOTA (38-30-0-11, 87 pts.) at WINNIPEG (31-39-0-8, 70 pts.) - 4/3/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 38-41 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-25 ATS (-14.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 29-34 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-23 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WINNIPEG is 31-47 ATS (-42.2 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 14-27 ATS (+50.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 4-10 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-19 ATS (+32.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-7 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (46-23-0-9, 101 pts.) at COLORADO (39-35-0-4, 82 pts.) - 4/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 39-39 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 46-39 ATS (+89.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 49-41 ATS (+4.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 54-41 ATS (+99.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 60-52 ATS (+114.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 16-11 ATS (+28.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
COLORADO is 16-8 ATS (+25.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
COLORADO is 19-13 ATS (+34.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 20-15 ATS (+38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 21-13 ATS (+7.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-17 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 102-81 ATS (+184.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-5 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 8-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (48-22-0-9, 105 pts.) at ANAHEIM (43-24-0-10, 96 pts.) - 4/3/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 166-104 ATS (+279.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 66-34 ATS (+9.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 33-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 236-215 ATS (+490.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 42-29 ATS (+73.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-15 ATS (+40.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-14 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 15-6 ATS (+23.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 8-6 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 8-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 04-03-2016, 11:31 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, April 3

Boston at Chicago, 12:35 PM ET
Boston: 25-15 SU in road games
Chicago: 12-16 SU revenging a loss versus opponent

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh, 5:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 1-11 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
Pittsburgh: 31-7 SU in home games after a 5 game unbeaten streak

Minnesota at Winnipeg, 7:05 PM ET
Minnesota: 4-10 SU off a close road loss by 1 goal
Winnipeg: 10-2 SU off 2 or more consecutive home losses

St Louis at Colorado, 8:05 PM ET
St Louis: 1-7 SU after allowing 6 goals or more
Colorado: 15-7 SU off a home loss by 2 goals or more

Dallas at Anaheim, 9:05 PM ET
Dallas: 11-5 SU as an underdog
Anaheim: 2-6 SU off a loss against a division rival

Announcement

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/3

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/3

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