Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/17

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, March 17

Good Luck on day #77 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting first round games the next two days.........

-- Gonzaga-Seton Hall-- Zags won their last seven first round games. Seton Hall is on heels of winning first Big East tournament since 1993.

-- Wichita State-Arizona-- Wildcats are only favored by 1.5 points.

-- Iona-Iowa State-- Fast-paced game with thin rosters in high altitude.

-- Providence-USC-- How far can Dunn/Bentil carry the Friars?

-- VCU-Oregon State-- Beavers' first appearance in NCAAs since 1990.

-- South Dakota State-Maryland-- Jackrabbits get a shot at one of the big boys.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Welcome to best four days of year.....

These are my favorite four days of the year; wall-to-wall basketball; I've been retired for over a year now, but the last time I worked this week was in 1986. Ha!!!! Here are some tidbits you might find interesting while you watch today's games.

13) I'll start by amusing you with my Final Four pick:
West Virginia-Kansas-St Joseph's-Michigan State

12) Teams that won Big East tournament are 6-2-1 vs spread in their first NCAA tournament game; thats Seton Hall this year- they play a Gonzaga squad thats won its last seven first round games.

11) Over last decade, teams that lost those Big East tournament finals are 6-4 vs spread in their first tournament game- that would be Villanova this year.

10) Arizona is 10-3 in its last 13 first round games; its losses came when they were seeded 8-8-10th- they're a 6 this year. Last time Arizona lost in first round as higher than an 8-seed was 1999, when they lost to West Virginia as a 4-seed.

9) Utah-Fresno State pits the Pac-12 against Mountain West. So far this season, teams from Pac-12 are 14-1 against Mountain West teams, 10-5 against the spread.

8) Since 2003, Ivy League champ is 1-3 vs spread in NCAAs if they're an underdog of less than 10 points; they're 5-4 if getting 10+ points (they're always underdogs). Yale is getting 5.5 points from Baylor- we're rooting for our old friend James Jones.

7) When Holy Cross plays Oregon Friday, and the TV guys start talking about Bob Cousy and Tom Heinsohn back in the 50's, one of your kids might ask you who Bob Cousy is. Show them this clip, from the movie Blue Chips-- I'm guessing your kids have heard of Shaquille O'Neal- he was in this movie, too.

6) There are two first-round matchups where both teams rank in bottom 50 in the country, in terms of tempo. Northern Iowa-Texas, Pitt-Wisconsin. Slow-paced games.

5) Iona-Iowa State is only first round game where both teams are in top 100 as far as tempo goes. Neither team is deep, game is in high altitude of Denver.

4) Stony Brook-Kentucky is only first round game where both teams won regular season in their league and then also won the conference tournament.

3) Since 2003, underdogs are 31-21 vs spread in games with 8-9 seeds playing.

2) Big Sky teams are 0-9 in NCAAs since Montana beat Nevada in a 2006 first round game. Wolf Pack beat Montana 79-75 last night, in a CBI game.

1) Last 22 years, the #12 seed in the midwest is 17-5 vs spread in its first round game. That #12 seed this year is Ark-Little Rock, getting nine points from Purdue.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 17


San Jose @ Arizona

Game 13-14
March 17, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
12.441
Arizona
9.232
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 3
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-165); Under

New Jersey @ Los Angeles

Game 15-16
March 17, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
10.355
Los Angeles
11.924
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
5 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-170); Over

Minnesota @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
March 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.936
New Jersey
10.145
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-150
4 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-150); Over

Carolina @ Pittsburgh

Game 3-4
March 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.172
Pittsburgh
12.835
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-230
5
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-230); Under

Detroit @ Columbus

Game 5-6
March 17, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
9.669
Columbus
10.712
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(+110); Over

Florida @ Toronto

Game 7-8
March 17, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.353
Toronto
11.851
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+140); Over

NY Islanders @ Nashville

Game 9-10
March 17, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
11.924
Nashville
10.818
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 1
5 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(+125); Over

Tampa Bay @ Dallas

Game 11-12
March 17, 2016 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
13.682
Dallas
12.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+100); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 17

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MINNESOTA (32-27-0-11, 75 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (33-30-0-7, 73 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-38 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-22 ATS (-15.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-16 ATS (-10.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-20 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 15-12 ATS (+31.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 15-11 ATS (+29.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 3-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 3-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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CAROLINA (31-26-0-13, 75 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (37-24-0-8, 82 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 19-48 ATS (+86.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 14-8 ATS (+22.0 Units) after a division game this season.
PITTSBURGH is 81-75 ATS (+184.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 85-104 ATS (-39.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 40-42 ATS (-34.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 22-34 ATS (-29.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-7 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-5-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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DETROIT (34-25-0-11, 79 pts.) at COLUMBUS (28-33-0-8, 64 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-15 ATS (-12.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-20 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLUMBUS is 40-37 ATS (-2.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-7 ATS (+20.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 37-19 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 2-8 ATS (-7.1 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
COLUMBUS is 6-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 13-19 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-3 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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FLORIDA (39-22-0-9, 87 pts.) at TORONTO (24-34-0-11, 59 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 158-195 ATS (-79.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 39-31 ATS (+5.3 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 14-6 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a division game this season.
FLORIDA is 15-5 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
TORONTO is 54-97 ATS (-54.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-58 ATS (-43.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-19 ATS (+34.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 31-67 ATS (+113.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 116-129 ATS (-78.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 7-2 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 7-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (38-21-0-9, 85 pts.) at NASHVILLE (35-22-0-13, 83 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 208-167 ATS (+35.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 19-7 ATS (+9.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NASHVILLE is 35-35 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 5-12 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 15-25 ATS (+41.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (40-25-0-5, 85 pts.) at DALLAS (41-21-0-9, 91 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 209-137 ATS (+27.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 28-11 ATS (+13.0 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-5 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 195-204 ATS (+435.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 13-19 ATS (-18.5 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.1 Units)

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SAN JOSE (39-24-0-6, 84 pts.) at ARIZONA (30-32-0-7, 67 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 37-37 ATS (-26.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 27-28 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-6 ATS (+20.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 14-10 ATS (+25.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 17-6 ATS (+24.8 Units) after a division game this season.
SAN JOSE is 12-4 ATS (+7.1 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
ARIZONA is 22-55 ATS (+84.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-56 ATS (+112.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 16-52 ATS (+85.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 7-30 ATS (+57.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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NY RANGERS (40-23-0-7, 87 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (42-22-0-5, 89 pts.) - 3/17/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 104-67 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 58-45 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 63-35 ATS (+15.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 15-4 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 18-8 ATS (+26.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 19-9 ATS (+29.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 82-69 ATS (+2.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-3 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 17

Hot teams
-- Pittsburgh won its last three games, allowing six goals.
-- Florida, Toronto both won three of their last four games.
-- Nashville won seven of its last ten games.
-- San Jose won seven of its last nine games. Arizona won its last two games, 4-0/4-1.
-- Los Angeles won five of last seven games. Rangers won three of their last four road games.

Cold teams
-- Devils lost last three home games, outscored 13-2. Minnesota lost three of last four games.
-- Carolina lost six of its last nine games; their last five games all went OT/SO.
-- Red Wings lost five of their last seven games. Columbus lost three of its last four.
-- Islanders lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games. Dallas Stars lost three of their last four.

Series records
-- Devils won three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Carolina won three of its last five visits to Pittsburgh.
-- Columbus won five of last seven games with Detroit.
-- Florida won six of its last seven games with Toronto.
-- Islanders won their last four games with Nashville.
-- Dallas Stars lost five of last seven games with Tampa Bay.
-- Sharks won five of their last six games with Arizona.
-- Rangers lost seven of last nine games with Los Angeles.

Totals
-- Four of last six New Jersey games went over total.
-- Three of last four Penguin games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Detroit-Columbus games.
-- Over is 4-0-2 in last six Florida games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Nashville games.
-- Eight of last nine Tampa Bay-Dallas games went over.
-- Four of last five San Jose games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Ranger games.

Back-to-backs
-- Rangers are 8-5 if they played the night before.

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, March 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. PITTSBURGH
Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Carolina
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. COLUMBUS
Detroit is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Columbus's last 19 games at home

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW JERSEY
Minnesota is 5-10-2 SU in its last 17 games ,when playing New Jersey
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. TORONTO
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida
Toronto is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. NASHVILLE
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Nashville
NY Islanders are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Nashville is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

8:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Dallas is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

10:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. ARIZONA
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Jose's last 13 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing San Jose

10:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. LOS ANGELES
NY Rangers are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Rangers


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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, March 17

Minnesota at New Jersey, 7:05 PM ET
Minnesota: 14-21 SU after playing a road game
New Jersey: 19-17 SU after 1 or more consecutive losses

Carolina at Pittsburgh, 7:05 PM ET
Carolina: 14-8 SU after a division game
Pittsburgh: 21-32 SU off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals

Detroit at Columbus, 7:05 PM ET
Detroit: 40-23 SU in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite
Columbus: 2-8 SU in home games after allowing 4 goals or more

Florida at Toronto, 7:35 PM ET
Florida: 12-4 SU off a road win
Toronto: 3-19 SU vs. division opponents

NY Islanders at Nashville, 8:05 PM ET
NY Islanders: 19-7 SU in non-conference games
Nashville: 14-20 SU off a win or tie in their previous game

Tampa Bay at Dallas, 8:35 PM ET
Tampa Bay: 21-11 SU in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses
Dallas: 4-10 SU after having lost 3 of their last 4

San Jose at Arizona, 10:05 PM ET
San Jose: 25-12 SU in road games
Arizona: 4-17 SU revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals

NY Rangers at Los Angeles, 10:35 PM ET
New York: 18-8 SU in road games in non-conference games
Los Angeles: 13-18 SU after having won 3 of their last 4