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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 14

    Good Luck on day #74 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six prominent basketball coaches who were student managers in college......

    -- Lawrence Frank-- Assistant coach with the LA Clippers.

    -- Buzz Williams-- Has Virginia Tech on rise in the ACC.

    -- Will Wade, VCU-- His Rams play Oregon State in NCAAs.

    -- Matt McCall, Chattanooga-- Worked for Billy Donovan for ten years.

    -- Bruce Pearl-- Donned the BC Eagle costume for couple games in college.

    -- Dan McHale, Eastern Kentucky-- Was a manager in college at Kentucky.

    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Initial thoughts on the field of 68......

    13) So Tulsa was the last team in, and whoever between Vandy-Wichita State wears the dark jersey was the second-to-last team in, which means that if SMU/Louisville weren't in trouble with the NCAA, those two teams would both be in the NIT.

    12) No 16-seed has ever beaten a 1-seed and it ain't happening this year. Hampton is a 24-point underdog to Virginia; I saw the Pirates play in Las Vegas Dec 22, where they lost to a bad Nicholls State team, 84-81 (Nicholls was 11-23 this year). All the upsets in conference tournaments weakened the bottom of the bracket.

    11) West Virginia vs Stephen F Austin-- Lumberjacks are only team in America that forces a higher %age of turnovers than West Virginia, but they do it more in half-court defense, not full-court. SFA is a veteran team, but Mountaineers will make them go a lot faster than they're used to going. West Virginia plays at an intensity level with lot of good players that you're not going to find in the Southland Conference.

    10) College hoop has a long season; way back in November, Syracuse beat UConn, Texas A&M in the Bahamas- those two wins got them in thie NCAAs. Orange lost five of their last six games, they went 4-5 while their coach was suspended, but they are in and are facing a Dayton team that struggled the last few weeks.

    9) Gonzaga-Seton Hall is a fascinating first round game; Zags only got in because they won the WCC tournament, while Seton Hall buzzed thru the Big East tourney-- this game is in Denver though, more Zags' territory than a Big East team.

    8) Vanderbilt-Wichita State is a great play-in game; some of the people on TV came out and said the winner of that game would beat Arizona in the first round.

    7) Pointspread that turned my head: Baylor -5.5 over Yale. Ivy League teams are 5-1 vs spread in the first round the last six years. Last time an Ivy team lost by more than nine points in first round of NCAAs was back in 2009.

    6) Stony Brook is +13.5 vs Kentucky; since Vermont upset Syracuse in '05, America East teams are 0-10 in non-play-in games, 5-5 vs spread, covering last three years, but only one of those 10 losses was by less than 12 points. Oddly, Kentucky started this season against another America East team, the Albany Great Danes (78-65).

    5) Not sure how Oregon State got a 7-seed; Tres Tinkle is hurt, they're +3.5 against VCU the 10-seed. The last six years, #7 seeds who are underdogs in first round are 3-0 against spread, with two SU upsets.

    Go back to 1987, and 7-seed underdogs are 16-10-2 vs spread in the first round.

    4) When Paul Hewitt coached at Siena, the Saints ran/pressed a lot; they made the NCAAs one year and drew Arkansas in the first round.

    In Denver. High altitude, fast-paced teams, the game went over easily.

    Now Iona of the MAAC is also heading to Denver, to play a veteran Iowa State team that isn't deep but is very good. Doug Gottlieb was babbling about the total going over about 20 seconds after he saw the brackets. No bueno.

    3) USC lost seven of its last ten games, Providence won four of its last five games; how important is momentum heading into the tournament? Friars have two really good players who are surrounded by very young players. Can Andy Enfield recapture his magic with Florida Gulf Coast in 2013, when he beat the Big East's Georgetown?

    2) UConn got a bad draw, time-wise; they're playing a Thursday afternoon game in Iowa vs Colorado, after they won the AAC tournament Sunday. Quick turnaround.

    1) NC-Wilmington presses, they go up and down, they can get Duke in foul trouble and expose their lack of depth, but the Seahawks also played the #275 pre-conference schedule and lost to Georgetown by 5, their only top 100 non-conference game. Guys on TV totally overlooked this game, analyzed Duke-Baylor in second round instead.

    Not so fast, my friend.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Monday, March 14



      Florida @ NY Islanders

      Game 51-52
      March 14, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Florida
      12.406
      NY Islanders
      9.970
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Florida
      by 2 1/2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Islanders
      -140
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Florida
      (+120); Under

      Los Angeles @ Chicago


      Game 53-54
      March 14, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Los Angeles
      12.033
      Chicago
      11.144
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Los Angeles
      by 1
      5 1/2
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Chicago
      -130
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Los Angeles
      (+110); Over

      Nashville @ Edmonton


      Game 55-56
      March 14, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Nashville
      12.566
      Edmonton
      11.406
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Nashville
      by 1
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Nashville
      -145
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Nashville
      (-145); Over

      St. Louis @ Calgary


      Game 57-58
      March 14, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St. Louis
      12.406
      Calgary
      10.311
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      St. Louis
      by 2
      4
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      St. Louis
      -165
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      St. Louis
      (-165); Under

      Winnipeg @ Vancouver


      Game 59-60
      March 14, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Winnipeg
      10.503
      Vancouver
      9.033
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Winnipeg
      by 1 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Vancouver
      -120
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Winnipeg
      (+100); Over

      New Jersey @ Anaheim


      Game 61-62
      March 14, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New Jersey
      12.401
      Anaheim
      11.167
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      New Jersey
      by 1
      3 1/2
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Anaheim
      -260
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Jersey
      (+240); Under

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, March 14


        Hot teams
        -- Florida won its last two games, scoring 11 goals; they lost four of last five on road.
        -- Kings won seven of their last ten games.
        -- St Louis won its last six games, three in OT/SO.
        -- Canucks won three of their last four games.
        -- New Jersey won three of its last four road games.

        Cold teams
        -- Islanders lost last two games, 3-1/4-3.
        -- Blackhawks lost three of their last four games.
        -- Nashville, Edmonton both lost three of their last five games.
        -- Calgary lost eight of its last ten games.
        -- Winnipeg lost six of its last eight games.
        -- Anaheim lost its last three games, outscored 10-3.

        Series records
        -- Islanders lost their last four games with Florida.
        -- Kings lost five of last eight games with Chicago.
        -- Predators won their last five games with Edmonton.
        -- St Louis won its last six games with Calgary.
        -- Home side won seven of last eight Winnipeg-Vancouver games.
        -- Devils lost their last four games with Anaheim.

        Totals
        -- Over is 8-0-1 in last nine Panther-Islander games.
        -- Over is 7-0-3 in last ten LA-Chicago games.
        -- Five of last six Nashville games went over the total.
        -- Over is 5-0-1 in last six St Louis games.
        -- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Vancouver games.
        -- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight New Jersey-Anaheim games.

        Back-to-backs
        -- None

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL

          Monday, March 14


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          7:00 PM
          FLORIDA vs. NY ISLANDERS
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
          Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
          NY Islanders are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

          8:00 PM
          LOS ANGELES vs. CHICAGO
          Los Angeles is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Chicago
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
          Chicago is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles

          9:00 PM
          NASHVILLE vs. EDMONTON
          Nashville is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
          Nashville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
          Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 12 games

          9:00 PM
          ST. LOUIS vs. CALGARY
          St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of St. Louis's last 14 games when playing on the road against Calgary
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Calgary's last 14 games when playing at home against St. Louis
          Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

          10:00 PM
          NEW JERSEY vs. ANAHEIM
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New Jersey's last 22 games on the road
          Anaheim6-2-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Jersey
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey

          10:00 PM
          WINNIPEG vs. VANCOUVER
          Winnipeg is 5-12-1 SU in its last 18 games ,when playing Vancouver
          Winnipeg is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vancouver's last 13 games
          Vancouver is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Long Sheet

            Monday, March 14


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            FLORIDA (38-21-0-9, 85 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (37-21-0-8, 82 pts.) - 3/14/2016, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NY ISLANDERS are 13-3 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            FLORIDA is 38-30 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
            FLORIDA is 7-3 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            NY ISLANDERS are 73-114 ATS (-48.5 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            FLORIDA is 6-2 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
            FLORIDA is 6-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
            7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.1 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LOS ANGELES (40-22-0-5, 85 pts.) at CHICAGO (41-22-0-6, 88 pts.) - 3/14/2016, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LOS ANGELES is 80-69 ATS (-22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            LOS ANGELES is 38-36 ATS (-14.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            LOS ANGELES is 11-18 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
            LOS ANGELES is 15-19 ATS (-13.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
            CHICAGO is 54-33 ATS (+0.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHICAGO is 9-6 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
            CHICAGO is 9-6-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
            9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.2 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NASHVILLE (34-22-0-13, 81 pts.) at EDMONTON (27-37-0-7, 61 pts.) - 3/14/2016, 9:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NASHVILLE is 34-35 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
            NASHVILLE is 14-30 ATS (+45.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
            NASHVILLE is 14-17 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
            EDMONTON is 13-8 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
            EDMONTON is 51-102 ATS (-97.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            EDMONTON is 6-19 ATS (+33.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
            EDMONTON is 164-164 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NASHVILLE is 5-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
            NASHVILLE is 5-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ST LOUIS (41-20-0-9, 91 pts.) at CALGARY (28-35-0-5, 61 pts.) - 3/14/2016, 9:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CALGARY is 26-13 ATS (+41.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
            CALGARY is 15-5 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
            CALGARY is 25-18 ATS (+47.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 26-15 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in March games this season.
            ST LOUIS is 13-2 ATS (+10.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 10-1 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ST LOUIS is 7-1 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
            ST LOUIS is 7-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WINNIPEG (28-35-0-5, 61 pts.) at VANCOUVER (27-28-0-12, 66 pts.) - 3/14/2016, 10:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WINNIPEG is 28-40 ATS (+68.5 Units) in all games this season.
            VANCOUVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
            VANCOUVER is 224-216 ATS (-116.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
            VANCOUVER is 16-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
            VANCOUVER is 7-11 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            VANCOUVER is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
            VANCOUVER is 4-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW JERSEY (33-29-0-7, 73 pts.) at ANAHEIM (37-21-0-9, 83 pts.) - 3/14/2016, 10:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            ANAHEIM is 160-100 ATS (+303.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            ANAHEIM is 32-12 ATS (+15.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
            ANAHEIM is 22-9 ATS (+7.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
            ANAHEIM is 12-2 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
            ANAHEIM is 77-35 ATS (+34.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
            ANAHEIM is 11-1 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
            NEW JERSEY is 18-17 ATS (+42.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
            NEW JERSEY is 15-11 ATS (+29.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
            NEW JERSEY is 17-16 ATS (+39.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            ANAHEIM is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
            ANAHEIM is 4-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment

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