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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/9

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/9

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 9

    Good Luck on day #69 of 2016!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Six conference tournaments that will be played this week.......

    -- Big 12-- Looks like seven of their ten teams will make NCAAs.

    -- Atlantic 14-- Lot of bubble teams; there was a 3-way tie for first place.

    -- Mountain West-- Its a one-bid league this year; San Diego State is favored.

    -- Pac-12-- Four teams are in; they have three teams trying to get on bubble.

    -- MAC-- These teams are roughly all the same. Akron is favored this year.

    -- Sun Belt-- For some reason, their championship game is Selection Sunday.

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings........

    13) Gonzaga 85, St Mary's 75-- HBO will be happy; their 5-part reality series on the Zags will have a happy ending next week. Looks like St Mary's is going to NIT despite its 27-5 record; their strength of schedule is #200 (out of conference, #318). They won two of three against Gonzaga, but this was the one that counted for everything.

    12) Last four at-large teams go to Dayton next week for play-in games; according to Joe Lunardi, who is always at least very close, Syracuse-Monmouth would be one game in Dayton, UConn-St Bonaventure the other.

    11) During the Florida State-Boston College game in ACC tournament, Doris Burke and Sean McDonough took turns bashing BC's administration for not committing enough money to fund a competitive team in the ACC. Apparently the thing now is to have a basketball-only facility that players can access 24/7 if they want to work on their games. Facilities like that cost a decent amount of money.

    Seeing as Boston College went a combined 0-27 in football/basketball in the ACC this year, school honchos might want to reach into their deep pockets, spend some $$$.

    10) ESPN's Seth Greenberg went to college at FDU in New Jersey; the 18-14 Knights upset Wagner to win the NEC title last night, Greenberg was calling FDU "Harvard in Hackensack" which apparently it very much is not.

    Greenberg is very good on TV though, way better than he was as a coach.

    9) Green Bay 78, Wright St 69-- Green Bay coach Linc Darner won the DII national title LY at Florida Southern; he has now won 13 consecutive games in March, the best month to have a winning streak.

    During Green Bay's semi-final upset of Valparaiso Monday, one of the refs tossed the Green Bay radio guy from the gym, for objecting to some calls from his broadcast spot near the scorer's table. Conference officials intervened at the next TV timeout and let the guy back in.

    8) Valpo and Oakland both got the double bye into the semifinals for being #1, #2 during the regular season, then they both lost their first tournament game, rendering the double bye useless. Tournaments played on neutral court hurt the top seeds, or more accurately, do not help them as much as playing them at home, obviously.

    7) ESPN is using a new gadget at the ACC tourney, where the 3-point arc turns red on TV after a kid releases a 3-point shot. Not sure it was needed, but it is cool.

    6) Sounds like the Pitt-Syracuse game today is an elimination game to stay on the NCAA bubble. Much like St Mary's-Gonzaga Tuesday, one team (Pitt) swept the season series, but now has to beat the Ornage a third time to stay in the hunt.

    5) Marlins-Braves are playing a real game at Fort Bragg, NC July 3 will be shown on Sunday Night Baseball. The game will be played in a 12,500-seat stadium built by MLB and the MLBPA. Teams play Thurs-Sat that week in Atlanta, with a 4:10 game on Saturday, then play at 5:05 Sunday on the military base.

    4) Detroit Tigers took the extra base on hits to the outfield only 34% of time LY, worst in the AL- they're looking to improve on that this year.

    3) When I watch pitchers on my fantasy team pitch in spring training, I try not to be concerned as long as they appear healthy; When Bob Welch won the Cy Young for the A's in 1990, his ERA in spring training that year was over 17.00. Sometimes they just work on one pitch or don't use their best stuff. It just does not matter.

    2) Baltimore Orioles are 0-8 in spring training; does it matter at all? And if yes, how much? If Buck Showalter wasn't their manager, I'd be more concerned for them.

    1) Great scene in the movie Friday Night Lights, where Billy Bob Thornton's team gets beat unexpectedly- his character drives up to his house after the game, to find his wife sitting on the stoop with five "FOR SALE" signs stuck in the front lawn.

    We live in a fickle society, people are generally frontrunners. You think anyone would give a rat's ass what Donald Trump thought if he wasn't a billionaire? But he might become President, because rich and famous is very important in our society.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, March 9



      NY Islanders @ Toronto

      Game 1-2
      March 9, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      NY Islanders
      10.971
      Toronto
      9.839
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NY Islanders
      by 1
      4 1/2
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NY Islanders
      -170
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      NY Islanders
      (-170); Under

      Chicago @ St. Louis


      Game 3-4
      March 9, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Chicago
      10.149
      St. Louis
      12.971
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      St. Louis
      by 3
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      St. Louis
      -120
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      St. Louis
      (-120); Over

      Nashville @ Calgary


      Game 5-6
      March 9, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Nashville
      10.370
      Calgary
      11.915
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Calgary
      by 1 1/2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Nashville
      -160
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Calgary
      (+140); Under

      Anaheim @ Colorado


      Game 7-8
      March 9, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Anaheim
      10.261
      Colorado
      11.978
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Colorado
      by 1 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Anaheim
      -150
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Colorado
      (+130); Over

      Arizona @ Vancouver


      Game 9-10
      March 9, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Arizona
      10.170
      Vancouver
      8.642
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Arizona
      by 1 1/2
      4 1/2
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Arizona
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Arizona
      N/A

      Washington @ Los Angeles


      Game 11-12
      March 9, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      12.218
      Los Angeles
      11.303
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Washington
      by 1
      5 1/2
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Los Angeles
      -125
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      (+105); Over

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, March 9


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY ISLANDERS (37-20-0-7, 81 pts.) at TORONTO (21-33-0-11, 53 pts.) - 3/9/2016, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NY ISLANDERS are 40-68 ATS (+108.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
        TORONTO is 21-44 ATS (-40.9 Units) in all games this season.
        TORONTO is 7-22 ATS (+31.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
        TORONTO is 8-26 ATS (+41.0 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
        TORONTO is 7-30 ATS (+43.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        TORONTO is 14-33 ATS (+65.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
        TORONTO is 30-58 ATS (+101.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
        TORONTO is 5-24 ATS (+39.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY ISLANDERS is 5-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        NY ISLANDERS is 5-3-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO (41-21-0-5, 87 pts.) at ST LOUIS (38-20-0-9, 85 pts.) - 3/9/2016, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHICAGO is 23-5 ATS (+15.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        CHICAGO is 54-31 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CHICAGO is 10-9-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NASHVILLE (34-21-0-12, 80 pts.) at CALGARY (27-34-0-5, 59 pts.) - 3/9/2016, 9:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NASHVILLE is 34-33 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games this season.
        NASHVILLE is 7-12 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
        NASHVILLE is 16-27 ATS (-14.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CALGARY is 5-3 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
        CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ANAHEIM (37-19-0-9, 83 pts.) at COLORADO (34-30-0-4, 72 pts.) - 3/9/2016, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO is 128-111 ATS (-23.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        COLORADO is 41-34 ATS (-3.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 17-11 ATS (+28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        COLORADO is 18-13 ATS (+33.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        ANAHEIM is 99-64 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ANAHEIM is 22-7 ATS (+11.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
        ANAHEIM is 17-7 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        ANAHEIM is 217-162 ATS (+26.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLORADO is 3-4 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
        ANAHEIM is 4-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (28-32-0-6, 62 pts.) at VANCOUVER (25-28-0-12, 62 pts.) - 3/9/2016, 10:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 6-7 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
        VANCOUVER is 7-6-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.5 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WASHINGTON (49-13-0-4, 102 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (39-22-0-4, 82 pts.) - 3/9/2016, 10:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 156-197 ATS (-69.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
        LOS ANGELES is 18-4 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a division game this season.
        WASHINGTON is 49-17 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all games this season.
        WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
        WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        LOS ANGELES is 79-68 ATS (+149.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        LOS ANGELES is 37-35 ATS (-26.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LOS ANGELES is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        LOS ANGELES is 3-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, March 9


          Hot teams
          -- Islanders won seven of their last eight games.
          -- St Louis won its last three games, scoring 13 goals. Blackhawks won three of their last four games.
          -- Predators won seven of their last eight games.
          -- Anaheim won 11 of its last 12 games.
          -- Washington won four of its last five games. Los Angeles won six of its last eight games.

          Cold teams
          -- Toronto lost its last six games, scoring ten goals.
          -- Calgary lost eight of its last nine games.
          -- Colorado lost three of its last five games.
          -- Arizona lost eight of its last nine games. Vancouver lost four of its last five.

          Series records
          -- Toronto lost five of last seven games with the Islanders.
          -- Chicago is 6-4 in its last ten games with St Louis.
          -- Flames won four of their last five games with Nashville.
          -- Ducks won three of their last four games in Colorado.
          -- Canucks won four of last five games with Arizona.
          -- Kings won five of last seven games with Washington.

          Totals
          -- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Islander games.
          -- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven St Louis games.
          -- Last four Nashville games went over the total.
          -- Four of last five Anaheim-Colorado games stayed under.
          -- Seven of last nine Arizona-Vancouver games stayed under.
          -- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Los Angeles games.

          Back-to-backs
          -- Islanders won six of last seven games if they played night before.
          -- Nashville won its last three games if it played night before.

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL

            Wednesday, March 9


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            7:00 PM
            NY ISLANDERS vs. TORONTO
            NY Islanders are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
            Toronto is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
            Toronto is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

            8:00 PM
            CHICAGO vs. ST. LOUIS
            Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
            Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games

            9:30 PM
            NASHVILLE vs. CALGARY
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Nashville's last 12 games when playing Calgary
            Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
            Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville

            10:00 PM
            ANAHEIM vs. COLORADO
            Anaheim is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Colorado
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
            Colorado is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Anaheim

            10:00 PM
            ARIZONA vs. VANCOUVER
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
            Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
            Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
            Vancouver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

            10:30 PM
            WASHINGTON vs. LOS ANGELES
            Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
            Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
            Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment

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