Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/24

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, February 24

Good Luck on day #55 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Kansas 66, Baylor 60-- Jayhawks outscored Baylor 13-5 over last 4:00.

-- Arkansas 85, LSU 65-- ESPN will be happy; they can broadcast Ben Simmons' games in the NIT next month.

-- All six home teams won/covered in MAC last night;

-- Michigan State 81, Ohio State 62-- Buckeyes' best player is out for the year.

-- Dayton 52, Saint Louis 49 OT-- Flyers avoided a bad loss in an ugly game.

-- Tulsa 74, Temple 55-- Owls tied with SMU for AAC lead but Mustangs can't play in postseason. Tulsa/Cincinnati are a game behind.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Looking ahead to conference tourneys

Championship Week starts next week; here is a look at the history of some of these post-season events......
13) ACC-- #1 or #2 seed won this event eight of last ten years; #3 won the other two. Maryland (7-9) in 2004 was last real underdog to win this event.

12) Atlantic 14-- First place team in regular season has won this event only twice in last twelve years. In 2006, Xavier (8-8) pulled a big upset.

11) Big 14-- First place team won this tourney six of last eight years. Over last 12 years, no one who finished lower than 2nd place won this tournament.

10) Big X-- Kansas is probably going to win regular season for 12th year in a row; they've only won postseason tourney once in last four years. Iowa State won it the last two years. Worst teams to win this in last 12 years? Oklahoma State (11-5, '05), Iowa State (11-7, two years ago).

9) Big East-- 10 of last 13 conference tourney winners are no longer in this league. Three of last five years, a team that went 9-9 or 10-8 during the regular season won the conference tourney. #1 seed won only four of last 12 Big East tourneys. In the last ten years, Louisville won this tourney three times; seven other teams won it once.

8) Big Sky-- They wised up this year and moved tourney to Reno, a neutral site that is a good tourist destination. #1 seed had won it the last five years, but #1 seed also hosted the tournament, so they had that advantage. Sacramento State almost won the regular season LY and their gym is too small to host the conference tourney, so maybe that spurred them to move things to Reno.

7) Big West-- #1 seed won only once in last five years. 6-10 Cal Poly pulled an upset in 2014, 8-8 UCSB won it the next year. Northridge is ineligible this year, so it'll be a striaght 8-team tournament, with Hawai'i, Irvine, Long Beach the favorites.

6) CAA-- #1 or #2 seed won this tourney 11 of last 12 years; #3 seed won it the other year. tourney is in Baltimore this year, moves to Charleston next year. League is very balanced; the last five years, the #1 seed in conference had at least three losses during regular season.

5) Conference USA-- From 2006-09, Memphis was an amazing 73-1 in this league; no wonder their fanbase is so spoiled. In three of last six years since, #3 seed or lower won conference tourney. This league sold out for football and is now #21 basketball league, when as recently as five years ago, it was ranked #8.

4) Horizon-- Much like the Big Sky, this league moved its tournament to Joe Louis Arena in Detroit and away from campus sites. #1 seed won this event four of last six years. Anything other than Valparaiso winning this year would be a big upset.

3) MAAC-- From 2008-10, Siena went 55-8 in MAAC games, which is why Iowa hired Fran McCaffery. No #1 seed has won MAAC tourney since then, with last five winners being seeds 2-2-3-4-4. The tournament is in beautiful downtown Albany, not exactly Las Vegas but it is a nice arena.

2) Mountain West-- UNLV won this tourney in 2008; they're 7-7 since and this is played on their home court. San Diego State lost in finals last two years; they better not lose this year, because this is likely a one-bid league for the first time. #1 seed has won this tournament five of last 13 years.

1) Pac-12-- Last year was first time in seven years the #1 seed won, with Arizona winning in its fifth try as the #1 seed. Moving this to MGM Grand was a great idea; having it at Staples Center didn't provide the same atmosphere. Plus, listening to Bill Walton rave about Las Vegas for three days is never a bad thing.




Don't dare let these three spot bet opportunities pass you by

An upcoming game against rival Tennessee has Vanderbilt in a dangerous letdown spot ahead on the schedule.

Letdown spot

On March 3, the Vanderbilt Commodores will host archival Tennessee. It’s always a big game when these instate rivals get together and this game also marks the Commodores' last home game. Off such an emotional game, and having faced Florida and Kentucky before that, it may be easy to suffer a letdown for a road game against Texas A&M.

After this season's earlier meeting against the Vols, Vanderbilt got blown out in its next game. On the other side of the court, the Aggies should be fired up as they'll be playing their final home game while looking to avenge their worst loss of the season. Take a look at the Aggies in their final game.

Lookahead spot

On Sunday afternoon, the Wizards will host LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers. They've played the Cavs tough this season (1-1 SU/2-0 ATS) and will be looking to do so again. First, however, they've got a date with the lowly 76ers in Philadelphia Friday night.

Having beaten the Sixers three straight and seven of eight times, including a 12-point win at the beginning of February, they could easily get caught looking ahead to Sunday's big game. The 76ers have been mostly competitive in recent weeks (10-5 ATS in their last 15 entering Tuesday's game vs. Orlando) and are worth a look Friday night.

Schedule spot

Back on January 7, the Siena Saints hammered the Fairfield Stags by 15 points at home. On Wednesday, Fairfield will host Siena, aiming for some payback. Off five straight wins, the Stags (10-4 at home) are playing better now than they were in the previous meeting. This is their final home game of the regular season, so they'll be motivated for a big performance.

The Saints (8-8 on the road) are off an emotional loss versus rival Iona and have their final home game of the season on deck. The Stags may be slight underdogs for this one but with the schedule in their favor, I like their chances of rewarding the faithful with a victory. Consider Fairfield Wednesday.

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 24

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MONTREAL (28-27-0-5, 61 pts.) at WASHINGTON (44-10-0-4, 92 pts.) - 2/24/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 28-32 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 44-14 ATS (+60.4 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-7 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MONTREAL is 67-55 ATS (+122.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (30-20-0-8, 68 pts.) at BOSTON (32-22-0-6, 70 pts.) - 2/24/2016, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 74-71 ATS (-32.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 9-18 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 33-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 34-45 ATS (-33.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 10-23 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 89-79 ATS (+176.3 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
BOSTON is 32-45 ATS (-39.4 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
BOSTON is 236-211 ATS (-84.8 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-20 ATS (-15.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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SAN JOSE (32-21-0-5, 69 pts.) at COLORADO (31-27-0-4, 66 pts.) - 2/24/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 125-108 ATS (-32.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 38-31 ATS (+69.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 12-5 ATS (+17.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
COLORADO is 10-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
COLORADO is 15-11 ATS (+27.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 8-13 ATS (+22.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
COLORADO is 43-53 ATS (-50.2 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
COLORADO is 108-113 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-3 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 6-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.7 Units)

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BUFFALO (24-29-0-7, 55 pts.) at ANAHEIM (31-19-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/24/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 154-97 ATS (+383.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 29-11 ATS (+13.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 16-6 ATS (+8.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 10-2 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
ANAHEIM is 216-161 ATS (+46.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 62-27 ATS (+23.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 21-6 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 200-205 ATS (+438.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 24

Hot teams
-- Washington won eight of its last nine games.
-- Penguins won three of their last four road games.
-- San Jose won three of its last four games. Colorado won four of its last six.
-- Anaheim won its last five games, scoring 24 goals.

Cold teams
-- Montreal lost four of its last five games.
-- Boston lost three of its last five games.
-- Sabres lost six of their last nine games.

Series records
-- Washington won five of last seven games with Montreal.
-- Bruins won six of last seven games with Pittsburgh.
-- Sharks won five of last six games with Colorado.
-- Ducks won four of last five games with Buffalo.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Montreal-Washington games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Pittsburgh-Boston games.
-- Seven of last nine San Jose-Colorado games went over.
-- Over is 8-0-2 in last ten Anaheim games.

Back-to-backs
-- None




NHL

Wednesday, February 24

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Washington is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Montreal

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BOSTON
Pittsburgh is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing San Jose

10:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 24


Montreal @ Washington

Game 1-2
February 24, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
12.760
Washington
11.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-230
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+190); Under

Pittsburgh @ Boston

Game 3-4
February 24, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.790
Boston
11.219
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+100); Over

San Jose @ Colorado

Game 5-6
February 24, 2016 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
10.579
Colorado
7.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-140); Under

Buffalo @ Anaheim

Game 7-8
February 24, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
10.040
Anaheim
11.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-260
5
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(-260); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 24

Montreal at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Montreal: 4-13 SU after having lost 4 of their last 5
Washington: 13-3 SU after a non-conference game

Pittsburgh at Boston, 7:35 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 9-18 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
Boston: 22-11 SU when playing their 3rd game in 5 days

San Jose at Colorado, 10:05 PM ET
San Jose: 13-22 SU off a road win by 2 goals or more
Colorado: 5-1 SU after a blowout loss by 4 goals or more in previous game

Buffalo at Anaheim, 10:35 PM ET
Buffalo: 8-40 SU as a road underdog of +200 or higher
Anaheim: 8-1 SU after scoring 3 goals or more in 3 straight games

[Udog]

NHL

Wednesday, February 24


Bruins have beaten the Pens in 4 straight meetings, outscoring them 14-4. BOS -113 tonight