Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/3

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, February 3

Good Luck on day #34 of 2016!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Tennessee 84, Kentucky 77-- Wildcats are 2-4 in last six road games.

-- Indiana 80, Michigan 67-- Hoosiers had 25-0 run in first half. 25-nil.

-- New Mexico 87, UNLV 83-- Rebels were 12-26 on arc, still got beat.

-- DePaul 77, Providence 70-- Bentil got hurt; Friars aren't very deep.

-- Duke 80, Georgia Tech 71-- Krzyzewski was ill, didn't make the trip.

-- Clemson 76, Wake Forest 62-- Tigers are building a case to be in Field of 68.

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Looking at some college basketball.....

13) Mid-American Conference-- Everyone has 2+ losses already; #78 Akron is only MAC team ranked above #138 in country- their coach Keith Dambrot was high school coach, where he coached Lebron James. MAC has been a one-bid league 14 years in a row- their last NCAA tourney wins were by Ohio U in 2012. .

12) Missouri Valley-- Wichita State had injury problems in November; they've got no such problems now, are 10-0 in Valley. . Southern Illinois has had a resurgence, while Northern Iowa has regressed. Last three years, MVC teams are 4-1 in first round of the NCAA tournament.

11) West Coast-- Since 2003, WCC is 20-23 in NCAAs; Gonzaga is 14-12, rest of league is 6-11. Gonzaga/St Mary's, followed by BYU. I'm writing this on Groundhog Day, so it seems fitting- this league is same every year. Pepperdine has made strides; rest of this league stinks.

10) Mountain West-- San Diego State, then everyone else; UNLV is 4-6 despite being favored in nine of ten games. Last four years, league is 6-12 in NCAAs, with Aztecs in 2014 only team to make Sweet 16. No guarantee this league gets more than one team in NCAAs this year; if San Diego State wins conference tourney, no way they do.

9) Colonial-- Four teams within game of first place; four teams tied for first place LY. VCU/George Mason made Final Four from CAA in last decade, but both defected to A-14. This year, CAA is #9 conference; if that holds, it'll be their best rating in last 13 years-- last three years, CAA is 0-3 in NCAAs, losing by 21-15-4 points.

8) Atlantic 14-- VCU/Dayton/St Joe's look good for NCAAs; Rhode Island has been decimated by injuries. Still think 14 teams is too many for one league, but then again, no one asked me. From 2011-13, A-14 was 9-3 in first round games; last two years, they were 2-6, plus Dayton's play-in win (at home).

7) American-- SMU is 19-2 but is ineligible for postseason; four teams are tied for second with three conference losses. UConn/Cincinnati should get to NCAAs even if they lose conference tourney. League is 10-4 in NCAAs in its first two years, with UConn winning national title two years ago.

6) SEC-- Kentucky is 2-4 on SEC road; its hard to totally rebuild your squad every year with freshmen who think they should be in the NBA. Texas A&M is est team in SEC now; Vandy/LSU seem to be best teams who are on bubble. South Carolina has hardest part of its schedule ahead. SEC teams are 19-5 in first three rounds of NCAA's the last three years; five of ten teams made Elite 8, three made Final Four.

5) Big 14-- From 2011-14, this league was #1 in Ken Pom ratings every year; LY they were #4, now #5. Ohio State-Wisconsin-Illinois have regressed, Minnesota has fallen off the face of the earth, Iowa has its best team in years, with four seniors starting. Last six years, league is 28-10 in first round games, 17-11 in second round, 9-9 in third round, 6-3 in regional finals, but no national titles.

4) Big East- I'm not going to rant on goegraphy here, but I should. Midwest teams are dragging league down this year, them and St John's, which is basically an expansion team. How are teams in Chicago/NYC the worst teams in this league? Refigured Big East is 6-4 in first round games last two years; they were 8-8 the last two years prior to realignment.

3) Pac-12-- Weirdest of seasons in college basketball; no great teams, none. Oregon is 7-2, four other teams are 6-3. UCLA is tied for 7th. Andy Enfield has USC tied for 2nd, Arizona has been wracked by injuries. Ben Howland got UCLA to three straight NCAAs in 2006-08; no Pac-12 team has been in Final Four since then. Since 2003, Arizona is 5-8 on second weekend of NCAAs, with no Final Fours.

2) ACC-- Is it my imagination, or are lot less of these games on TV than there used to be? We see more SEC/Big 14/Big X now. Duke is 5-4 in ACC, a down year for them; North Carolina seems like best team. Last three years, ACC won 14 of 16 first round games, 8-6 in second round, 4-4 in third round, 1-3 in regional finals. Last year's Duke team was ACC's first Final Four team since 2010.

1) Big X-- This league is really good this year, really tough, no easy outs. I feel bad for the West Virginia kids, who got sold out by the athletic department because of money involved with football. Shortest road trip in conference for West Virginia is 700 miles to Ames, Iowa. Last three years, Big X is just 8-10 in first round NCAA games.

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 3

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BUFFALO (20-26-0-4, 44 pts.) at MONTREAL (24-22-0-4, 52 pts.) - 2/3/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-6 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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DETROIT (25-16-0-8, 58 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (27-18-0-4, 58 pts.) - 2/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 23-30 ATS (-13.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 191-201 ATS (+473.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
DETROIT is 11-6 ATS (+18.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 11-7 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 11-7-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.8 Units)

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CAROLINA (23-20-0-8, 54 pts.) at CALGARY (21-24-0-3, 45 pts.) - 2/3/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 16-42 ATS (+76.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (+21.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CAROLINA is 58-110 ATS (+193.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 29-52 ATS (-27.0 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 71-70 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 24-11 ATS (+37.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 3

Hot teams
-- Lightning won eight of its last nine games. Detroit won seven of its last eight road games.
-- Hurricanes won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Canadiens lost eight of their last nine games. Buffalo lost three of its last four.
-- Calgary lost its last five games, scoring seven goals.

Series records
-- Sabres won three of last four games with Montreal.
-- Red Wings are 6-4 in last ten games with Tampa Bay.
-- Home side won eight of last nine Carolina-Calgary games.

Totals
-- Over is 5-0-2 in last seven Montreal games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Detroit games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Calgary home games.

Back-to-backs
-- Montreal lost six of last seven games if it played night before.




NHL

Wednesday, February 3

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. MONTREAL
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

9:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. CALGARY
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 3


Buffalo @ Montreal

Game 51-52
February 3, 2016 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
10.519
Montreal
9.562
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
N/A

Detroit @ Tampa Bay

Game 53-54
February 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
12.763
Tampa Bay
11.703
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+140); Under

Carolina @ Calgary

Game 55-56
February 3, 2016 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.272
Calgary
12.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 2 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-115
5
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-115); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, February 3

Buffalo at Montreal, 7:05 PM ET
Buffalo: N/A
Montreal: N/A

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 8:05 PM ET
Detroit: 11-6 SU in a road game where where the total is 5 or less
Tampa Bay: 2-10 SU off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival

Carolina at Calgary, 9:35 PM ET
Carolina: 3-12 SU off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more
Calgary: 9-2 SU in home games in non-conference games