Announcement

**Udog** · 01-18-2016, 08:18 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Nike/Ohio State signed a 15-year, $252M extension with Ohio State, clinching the fact that Brutus Buckeye will be wearing the swoosh for the next two decades.

-- Wisconsin 77, Michigan State 76-- Second loss in a row for the Spartans.

-- Bulls F Joakim Noah is out 4-6 months after shoulder surgery.

-- Florida State hooper Malik Beasley's mom Deena is an actress who was in one of the Hunger Games movies.

-- Former Michigan coach Brady Hoke is the new defensive coordinator at Oregon.

-- Conference title odds for next Sunday:
New England (-3, 44.5) @ Denver........ Arizona @ Carolina (-3, 47)

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) Utah 59, Oregon State 53-- I'm leading with this because with 2:56 left in a tie game, Oregon State's Jarmal Reid tripped an official on purpose as play moved to the other end of the floor-- the official (former NBA ref Tommy Nunez) called a technical and Utah went on to win 59-53.

Beavers had taken a 52-50 lead with 5:28 left, but scored only one point the rest of the game and fell to 2-3 in Pac-12 play. Mr Reid is going to be suspended for multiple games, I am pretty sure. Utah outscored OSU 18-5 on the foul line, but thats life on the road a lot of the time. No excuse for losing your poise like that.

12) Panthers 31, Seahawks 24-- Game was 31-0 at the half.; Seahawks fought back, but the hill was too steep to climb. Carolina remains vastly underrated at 16-1.

11) Broncos 23, Steelers 16-- Peyton Manning has been in playoffs 15 times; he is now 6-9 in the first playoff game of a season. Tom Brady is 11-2 in such games. That said, Manning is 4-1 in the second playoff game of a season.

10) Of the eight QBs who started in playoff games this weekend, six were drafted in the first round; only Brady and Russell Wilson were not.

9) Steelers kicker Chris Boswell went to college at Rice, where his roommate and holder for kicks during Owls games was one of Gary Kubiak's sons. Small world.

8) Been reading a lot about offensive gurus who become NFL head coaches; seems like the "fun" part of the job is calling plays, the technical football stuff, but when you become a head coach, lot of that gets delegated to assistants, while the head coach does a ton of media stuff and CEO/administration-type stuff, the less fun part.

Will be interesting to see if Hue Jackson/Dirk Koetter/Ben McAdoo continue to call plays or if the weight of all that becomes too much and play calling gets passed off. When Mike Martz became coach of the Rams, it was a problem because he was poor with interpersonal relationships-- he was a genius play caller, but not much else.

7) Tennessee Titans are hiring Bobby April as special teams coach; Titans will be 9th of 32 NFL teams that April has been special teams coach for.

6) Interesting discussion on Golf Channel during the Hawaiian Open this weekend as to whether you can practice golf too much. 52-year old Vijay Singh was playing well and he practices so much, that is why it all came up. The consensus seemed to be that for most golfers, there are diminishing returns to excessive practice, but it works for Singh, who continues to compete with the younger guys.

5) Odd golf stat: Only once in the last six years has Adam Scott finished in the top 100 on Tour in putting. How can someone who is so good struggle so much to putt?

4) Unsuual that the 18th hole at Wailea CC is a par-5, don't see that a lot on Tour. Makes for more interesting ends to tournaments; guys can get eagles to finish up.

3) Single digit underdogs were 50-29 vs spread in college hoop Saturday/Sunday, as a season of unexpected outcomes continues.

2) Florida State 69, Virginia 62-- Highly touted Cavaliers are 0-3 on ACC road, with losses to Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, Florida State- they still have to go to Louisville, Duke and Pitt. Seminoles remain a difficult team to figure out.

1) Serious question that came up this weekend: If a little kid is left alone to play by him/herself, is he/she more likely to develop a good imagination, or does that not matter? Some people think that kids have so many structured activities that it inhibits their ability to think freely as they become adults. I hadn't thought a lot about it until yesterday.

**Udog** · 01-18-2016, 08:18 AM

Patriots, Panthers open faves as Conference Championship odds hit board

Tom Brady and the Patriots opened as 3-point favorites against Peyton Manning and the Broncos, despite being on the road.

Well the NFL got the AFC Championship matchup it wanted as Peyton Manning and Tom Brady will meet one more time.

But what is interesting about this matchup from a betting perspective, is the fact the No. 2 seeded Patriots have opened as 3-point road favorites against the No. 1 seeded Broncos. The total opened at 44.5. This is a case of Manning clearly being on the decline and Brady looking like the same old Brady.

Brady was his usual self this season, throwing for 4,770 yards, with 36 touchdowns to just seven interceptions, leading the Patriots to a 12-4 record straight up and 7-7-2 against the spread.

Meanwhile Manning, who made his first start since Nov. 15 after battling a foot injury in the second half of the year, passed for just 2,249 yards with nine touchdowns to 17 interceptions. The Broncos were 5-4 SU/ATS in Manning's nine starts.

This will be the 17th time Brady and Manning will face off during their illustrious careers and the fourth time for the AFC Championship. Brady leads the all time matchup 11-5 SU and 8-6-2 ATS. The over/under record in their 16 meetings is 10-6 O/U.

Meanwhile in the NFC, the No. 1 seeded Carolina Panthers opened as 3-point home favorites against the No. 2 seeded Arizona Cardinals. The total opened at 47.

The Panthers, lead by sure-fire MVP Cam Newton, are the best bet remaining in the playoffs. They went 11-5 ATS in the regular season and followed that up by covering the 2.5 chalk in their Divisional matchup with Seattle. Carolina was also a great over bet this season, going 11-5-1 including playoffs.

The Cardinals, led by their own MVP candidate Carson Palmer, went 9-7 ATS this season, and while they managed a 26-20 OT over Green Bay they were unable to cover as 7-point home favorites. They are 9-8 O/U this season including playoffs.

**Udog** · 01-18-2016, 08:21 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 18

Hot teams
-- Winnipeg won its last two games, 5-4ot/1-0.
-- St Louis won three of its last four games.
-- Buffalo won three of its last four games.
-- San Jose won its last five games.

Cold teams
-- Edmonton lost four of its last five games. Panthers lost their last three games.
-- Colorado lost three of its last four games.
-- Penguins lost four of their last six games.
-- Arizona lost its last two games, 3-2ot/2-0.
-- Ottawa lost eight of its last twelve games.

Series records
-- Oilers won six of last eight games with Florida.
-- Avalanche won four of last five games with Winnipeg.
-- Blues are 5-3 in their last eight games with Pittsburgh.
-- Sabres won four of last five games with Arizona.
-- Senators won their last three games with San Jose.

Totals
-- Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Winnipeg games.
-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven St Louis games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona games.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen San Jose games.

Back-to-backs
-- Florida is 4-3 if it played night before; teams are 2-5 night after playing Tampa Bay.
-- Pittsburgh is 2-7 if it played night before; teams are 4-2 on road nite after playing Carolina.

NHL

Monday, January 18

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. FLORIDA
Edmonton is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
Florida is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WINNIPEG
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 23 games on the road
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

9:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. ARIZONA
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games

10:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. SAN JOSE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing San Jose
Ottawa is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of San Jose's last 23 games
San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-18-2016, 10:45 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, January 18

Edmonton @ Florida

Game 51-52
January 18, 2016 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.490
Florida
10.040
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
N/A

Colorado @ Winnipeg

Game 53-54
January 18, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
10.970
Winnipeg
9.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+115); Under

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis

Game 55-56
January 18, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.944
St. Louis
12.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A

Buffalo @ Arizona

Game 57-58
January 18, 2016 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
11.091
Arizona
11.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-150); Under

Ottawa @ San Jose

Game 59-60
January 18, 2016 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
12.514
San Jose
11.721
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+145); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, January 18

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EDMONTON (18-23-0-5, 41 pts.) at FLORIDA (26-14-0-5, 57 pts.) - 1/18/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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COLORADO (22-21-0-3, 47 pts.) at WINNIPEG (21-21-0-3, 45 pts.) - 1/18/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 44-26 ATS (+70.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
COLORADO is 116-101 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 58-43 ATS (+101.5 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
COLORADO is 60-43 ATS (+16.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-4 ATS (+14.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 49-37 ATS (+87.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-9 ATS (+26.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-19 ATS (+47.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-5 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 7-5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (21-16-0-7, 49 pts.) at ST LOUIS (26-15-0-7, 59 pts.) - 1/18/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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BUFFALO (18-23-0-4, 40 pts.) at ARIZONA (22-17-0-5, 49 pts.) - 1/18/2016, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 6-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-14 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-1 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

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OTTAWA (21-18-0-6, 48 pts.) at SAN JOSE (23-18-0-2, 48 pts.) - 1/18/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 26-42 ATS (-18.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 26-18 ATS (+45.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 12-16 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 10-15 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 2-7 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
SAN JOSE is 12-15 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 8-11 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/18

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/18

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