Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/18

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, December 18

Good Luck on day #352 of 2015!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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NHL Matchups

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NHL Hot and Not


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Rams 31, Bucs 23-- Best game Rams' offense has played in years.

-- Both Texas A&M QBs are transferring; not sure I've ever heard of a team losing both its top two QBs that way- they must've had a lot of fun together this year.

-- Lebron James crashed into a woman on sidelines last night; woman was carted off on a stretcher-- turns out it was the wife of golfer Jason Day.

-- When they show football stats, I'd like to see total plays run-- more important than time of possession, thats for sure.

-- Tournament of Roses parade cost $9.4M to put on LY, took in $7.4M, Guy who is the executvie director of the parade makes $365,141. The football game makes so much money it more than covers the expenses for the parade.

-- Yadier Molina had a second surgery on his injured thumb, is expected to miss most of spring training.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Ranking NFL QBs within tiers.........

I divided 33 NFL (two for Denver) QBs into four tiers, then ranked them within the tiers. I think Philip Rivers is better than Joe Flacco, but Flacco won a Super Bowl and Rivers hasn't played in one, so they're in different tiers. Rankings are for right now, with exception of the injured starters- their ranking is for when they were last healthy.

Tier One: QBs who won a Super Bowl
8) Peyton Manning-- One of the all-time greats is at the end of the trail.

7) Joe Flacco-- This was his first losing season out of eight in NFL.

6) Eli Manning-- Durable, immobile, won two Super Bowls. Funny how he and his brother are statuesque, while their dad was a lot like Steve Young, a scrambler.

5) Drew Brees-- Had advantage of playing in dome and being coached by Sean Payton, an aggressive playcaller. Wonder if Chargers regret letting him go.

4) Russell Wilson-- As Ram fan, root against him twice a year; he has many qualities like Joe Montana. Elusive, smart, much better runner obviously but he doesn't have Jerry Rice. He is really, really good, as his 50-19 W-L record suggests.

3) Aaron Rodgers-- Which was more seamless, Packers going from Favre/Rodgers or Colts going from Manning/Luck? Good management by both teams.

2) Ben Roethlisberger-- Go back to 2004 draft; Giants traded for Eli Manning, when they could've stood pat and taken Big Ben. Its worked out well for both sides, but if that draft happened again, you wonder how it would play out?

1) Tom Brady-- Why do quarterbacks run a 40-yard dash at the Combine?

Tier Two: Veteran QBs who haven't won a Super Bowl
10) Matt Ryan-- Has had a dismal year, Falcons' third losing year in row (16-29).

9) Alex Smith-- 49ers chose Kaepernick over him; was that the right move?

8) Matthew Stafford-- Plays in dome, for a team that has won one playoff game since 1957. Has 39-51 record; you watch him and think Lions should be better.

7) Jay Cutler-- 66-65 career record, going 27-13 from 2010-12, 39-52 the rest of the time. Bears lost 26-0 in one game he missed this year. Cutler might be underrated.

6) Tony Romo-- Dallas is 1-8 in games he missed this year, but a 2-4 playoff record also haunts him. 10 years as a starter, six playoff games. No bueno.

5) Andy Dalton-- 0-4 in playoffs, but 50-26-1 in regular season- Bengals were terrible before he became the QB. This was his best season until he broke his right thumb.

4) Andrew Luck-- Indy better be careful with him; lacerated kidney is nothing to mess around with. The way this season has gone, Colts will have new coach next year. Has 3-3 playoff record in four years (more playoff wins than Romo/Dalton combined).

3) Carson Palmer-- What QB wouldn't love playing for Bruce Arians? This is his best season, now he needs a playoff win-- his playoff record is 0-2 ('05, '09).

2) Cam Newton-- Win college, won in junior college, winning in NFL.

1) Philip Rivers-- 95-71 career record, 4-5 in playoffs; was drafted in same year as Eli and Big Ben. Has eight kids, so I'm guessing he leads NFL QBs in that category.

Tier Three: Less accomplished QBs
8) Nick Foles/Case Keenum-- Give one of them a decent OL and a tight end who can catch the ball, then we'll see. Rest of team is ready to roll- offensive ineptitude has kept this team from contention this year- they're really not very far away.

7) Ryan Tannehill-- Was WR for two years at Texas A&M, not sure what Dolphins see in him- his starting job never seems to get challenged.

6) Sam Bradford-- At least he stayed mostly healthy this season.

5) Blaine Gabbert-- Has played fairly well for 49ers this season.

4) Brian Hoyer-- Head coach is a QB guru, but Texans can't find a QB- Hoyer has been OK but now has concussion issues.

3) Blake Bortles-- Jaguars scored 115 points in last three games; they have hope.

2) Derek Carr-- Oakland has chance to get to .500 this year if they can upset Green Bay this weekend. Raiders management got him couple good WRs, which helps.

1) Ryan Fitzpatrick-- Playing for fourth team in four years, during which time he has started 50 games-- unique career. Hope he writes a book someday.

Tier Four: Young QBs
7) Johnny Manziel-- Second coming of Fran Tarkenton on the field; hopefully he will be little less active off the field. Curious what Browns will do with him this winter.

6) Tyrod Taylor-- Wasn't that good in college, sat bench in Baltimore for four years, has done pretty well as a starter this year. Maybe thats the way to develop a QB.

5) Brock Osweiler-- Same boat as Taylor, is 3-1 filling in for legendary QB Manning. Will be free agent this winter- will Denver sign him up longterm?

4) Teddy Bridgewater-- Seems a little bit like Alex Smith; doesn't screw things up, is mobile enough to move chains. Vikings move to new stadium indoors next year.

3) Kirk Cousins-- No one talks about RGIII anymore.

2) Marcus Mariota-- I'm sure Tennessee is happy with him, but not sure why they fired the coach. Teams with rookie QBs starting seldom win a lot.

1) Jameis Winston-- All the BS he put himself thru in college is gone now; he has done way better than most people expected in his rookie year. Went 27-1 at Florida State, is 6-7 with Bucs- big improvement. Future is bright in Tampa Bay.

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 18

Hot teams
-- Bruins won three of their last four games.
-- Florida won eight of its last eleven games. Colorado won four of its last six.
-- Washington won eight of its last ten games. Lightning won three of their last four.
-- San Jose won last two games, after losing previous six.

Cold teams
-- Pittsburgh lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Vancouver lost eight of its last ten games. Detroit lost three of last four.
-- Senators lost three of their last four games.
-- Rangers lost eight of their last eleven games. Winnipeg lost three of its last four.

Series records
-- Bruins won last three games with Pittsburgh: 3-2ot/2-0/3-0.
-- Panthers won their last four games with Carolina.
-- Lightning lost their last four games with Washington.
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games with Vancouver.
-- Sharks won seven of last ten games with Ottawa, but lost last two.
-- Visiting team won last five Winnipeg-Ranger games.

Totals
-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Bruin-Penguin games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Carolina-Florida games.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay-Washington games went over.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Detroit-Vancouver games.
-- Five of last seven Ottawa games stayed under.
-- Last three Ranger games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Florida is 2-2 if it played the night before.
-- Canucks are 2-3 if they played the night before.
-- Sharks are 2-3 if they played the night before.
-- Rangers are 5-3 if they played the night before.

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, December 18

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing Boston

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. CAROLINA
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Florida is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. WASHINGTON
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:30 PM
SAN JOSE vs. OTTAWA
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 11 games
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games

7:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. DETROIT
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Vancouver is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver

8:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. WINNIPEG
NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, December 18

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BOSTON (17-9-0-4, 38 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (15-12-0-3, 33 pts.) - 12/18/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 10-4 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 39-24 ATS (+63.5 Units) in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
BOSTON is 124-91 ATS (+30.7 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 59-58 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 77-100 ATS (-42.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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FLORIDA (16-12-0-4, 36 pts.) at CAROLINA (12-14-0-5, 29 pts.) - 12/18/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (16-13-0-3, 35 pts.) at WASHINGTON (22-6-0-2, 46 pts.) - 12/18/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 10-20 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 22-8 ATS (+10.1 Units) first half of the season this season.
TAMPA BAY is 20-7 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 (+4.6 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.2 Units)

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VANCOUVER (11-14-0-8, 30 pts.) at DETROIT (16-9-0-6, 38 pts.) - 12/18/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 11-22 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 11-22 ATS (-12.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 19-28 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 5-11 ATS (-8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
VANCOUVER is 4-13 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 4-13 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 50-37 ATS (+90.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 29-35 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-17 ATS (-9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-22 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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SAN JOSE (16-14-0-1, 33 pts.) at OTTAWA (16-11-0-5, 37 pts.) - 12/18/2015, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.4 Units)

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NY RANGERS (19-10-0-4, 42 pts.) at WINNIPEG (14-15-0-2, 30 pts.) - 12/18/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, December 18

Boston at Pittsburgh, 7:05 PM ET
Boston: 10-4 SU in road games
Pittsburgh: 13-20 SU revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Florida at Carolina, 7:05 PM ET
Florida: N/A
Carolina: N/A

Tampa Bay at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay: 2-9 SU off a close win by 1 goal over a division rival
Washington: 21-6 SU as a favorite

Vancouver at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Vancouver: 47-36 SU in road games on Friday nights
Detroit: 9-15 SU in home games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games

San Jose at Ottawa, 7:35 PM ET
San Jose: 10-2 SU in road games in non-conference games
Ottawa: 1-5 SU after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game

NY Rangers at Winnipeg, 8:05 PM ET
New York: 15-6 SU in road games in non-conference games
Winnipeg: 4-8 SU after a division game

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, December 18


NY Rangers @ Winnipeg

Game 61-62
December 18, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
9.649
Winnipeg
12.265
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 2 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(-120); Over

Boston @ Pittsburgh

Game 51-52
December 18, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
10.189
Pittsburgh
11.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+100); Over

Florida @ Carolina

Game 53-54
December 18, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
10.900
Carolina
9.531
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+100); Under

Tampa Bay @ Washington

Game 55-56
December 18, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.566
Washington
12.474
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-165); Over

Vancouver @ Detroit

Game 57-58
December 18, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
9.631
Detroit
12.129
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-210
5
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-210); Under

San Jose @ Ottawa

Game 59-60
December 18, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
10.444
Ottawa
11.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-140); Under

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, December 18


San Jose improved to 6-1 versus teams from the Atlantic Division with a win vs. Toronto last night and visit the Sens Friday evening.


The Canucks have lost six straight road games and 10 of their last 11. They visit the Red Wings Friday night.


The Florida Panthers have won four straight vs. the Canes, including a 4-1 triumph on Oct. 13, and have outscored them 13-2 in that span.