Announcement

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 07:26 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Milwaukee 68, Wisconsin 67-- Panthers ended 22-game series losing streak.

-- Dayton 72, Vanderbilt 67-- Flyers building a solid at-large resume.

-- Grizzlies 93, Pistons 92-- Matt Barnes stuck half-court shot with 0:01.1 left.

-- Pirates traded 2B Neil Walker to the Mets for P Jon Niese.

-- Mets signed SS Asdrubal Cabrera, have new DP combo with Walker.

-- A's traded 3B Brett Lawrie to White Sox for couple of pitching prospects.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Why is Steph Curry such a great shooter? He works his ass off, thats why. He says he makes between 200-350 shots every day during the season and probably a lot more in the offseason. He once made 77 3-pointers in a row at a practice. You aren't born that way; if more players practiced this much, they'd shoot a lot better.

12) Cool trivia; Don Sutton is in baseball's Hall of Fame; his career record in the majors was 324-256. Turns out he lost one game in high school; the opposing pitcher in his one loss was Kenny Stabler, the great Raiders' quarterback.

11) I was in a deli for a sandwich earlier this week; guy at the register has the biggest arms I've ever seen, like one of the WWE wrestlers on TV. Turns out the guy is a pro bodybuilder but apparently there isn't a whole lot of money in that. Go figure.

10) Orioles offered Chris Davis a 7-year deal for $150M; how on God's green earth does he turn that down? Apparently Davis wants eight years, $200M. Granted, he hit 47 HRs with 117 RBI LY but that was playing half his games in Baltimore's closet of a ballpark. His numbers would go down most anywhere else. Just take the money.

9) Heisman Trophy is one of the most overrated things on earth; in what other sport is the Player of the Year award talked about so much?

8) Five years ago, Conference USA was the #8 basketball league in America; now, it is the #22 league, as the football maneuvering has crippled the basketball part. The mid-major leagues that are basketball-only have mostly all passed by C-USA.

7) Was pretty cool seeing Ray Allen, Richard Hamilton at courtside Tuesday nite watching UConn playing Maryland at Madison Square Garden. Those guys made ton of money playing in the NBA, but still took out time to cheer on the alma mater.

6) Paris Hotel is Las Vegas is getting a 10,000 square foot beer garden above Hexx restaurant that will seat up to 500 people. One thing about Las Vegas is places are always being improved/added. If you like to eat/drink, Vegas is where to go.

5) I think the NFL makes a mistake fining players for celebration penalties; I don't think it is a deterrent. My suggestion is to still throw flags for celebrations but get rid of the fines- it gives the media too easy a chance to rip the league ("No Fun League"). Let the players act out after they score TDs, let the coaches police things after player gets a penalty for being a selfish human.

4) If the Browns fire Mike Pettine this winter, they'll have their sixth head coach in nine years next season- this is no way to run a business, especially one worth close to $1B, thats billion with a B. Hire a coach, give him five years to run his program and recruit free agents-- things couldn't be worse than they are in Cleveland right now.

3) SMU has a good basketball team; they pounded Michigan by 24 the other night, but the Mustangs aren't going to the postseason this year because they committed academic fraud. Larry Brown was out of college coaching for 25 years, mostly because he put his last school (Kansas) on probation too. Hmmm....

2) Not only does Big X play a 9-game conference football schedule, now they're going to have to play at least one other Power 5 game every year. My guess is the phones at Vanderbilt, Purdue and Wake Forest are going to be ringing off the hook soon, since they're the perennial doormats in the other Power 5 leagues. .

1) I'm genuinely concerned that if Donald Trump became President, we would have a civil war in this country; you can't have a leader who openly insults more than half the citizens. Part of me thinks he is saying outrageous stuff on purpose so he will lose, but no matter what he does, he doesn't drop in the polls. Weird thing.

No matter what, some day all this is going to make one hell of a movie.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 07:26 AM

Three college football bowl bets you shouldn't wait on

Utah currently stands as a 2.5-point favorite over BYU and most books still have that line. But a few have gone to -3 already.

Las Vegas Bowl: Utah Utes (-2.5) vs. BYU Cougars

Utah currently stands as a 2.5-point favorite over BYU and most books still have that line. But a few have gone to -3 already. I expect this line to hit the key number of three at the majority of sportsbooks, so shrewd bettors should jump on this game now.

Brigham Young is losing head coach Bronco Mendenhall to Virginia, but he will coach the Cougars in this game. However, that's a tricky situation, especially for the players who will be returning to BYU next season. They may tune Mendenhall out, and the distraction is enough to make BYU a fragile team. Utah has no such issues, and they'll come with their best effort against an in-state rival. Bettors should play this game now and take the best of the number.

New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico Lobos (+10) vs. Arizona Wildcats

This line briefly came out with Arizona as a -12.5 to -13 point favorite over New Mexico, but it quickly settled on the current line of -10. This line should eventually tick down below the key number of 10 at some point, so bettors should get on this game now.

New Mexico is essentially playing a home game. The Lobos went 5-2 SU at home this season with one of those losses only coming by seven points. Arizona went 2-4 SU on the road with one of its wins coming by seven points. The Wildcats went 1-4 SU down the stretch while the Lobos went 3-2 SU over their last five games. Take New Mexico now before the line goes lower.

Hawaii Bowl: Cincinnati Bearcats vs. San Diego State Aztecs (N/A)

Cincinnati and San Diego State are complete opposites. The Bearcats have a potent offense and a terrible defense. Cincinnati likes to throw the ball a lot. They average 373 passing yards per game. The Aztecs run the ball essentially on every play, averaging 48 rushing attempts per game while running for 235 yards per game.

This total, which has yet to hit the board, will be a difficult one for the oddsmakers to set because of the opposite styles of play. Cincinnati is currently a 1.5-point favorite over San Diego State. That indicates that this total may be shaded to the Over just a bit. Cincinnati to the Over and San Diego State to the Under are correlated in this game.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 07:28 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 10

Hot teams
-- Ottawa won three of its last four games.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games.
-- Washington won five of its last six games.
-- Philly won last three road games, allowing five goals.
-- Winnipeg won three of last four home games.
-- Calgary won last three games, scoring 13 goals.

Cold teams
-- Lightning lost three of last five games.
-- Montreal lost four of its last five games.
-- Florida lost four of its last five home games.
-- Predators lost eight of last 11 games. Chicago lost four of its last five road games.
-- St Louis lost three of last four games.
-- Columbus lost four of its last five games.
-- Sabres lost nine of their last twelve games.

Series records
-- Lightning is 6-4 in its last ten games with Ottawa.
-- Red Wings lost their last seven games with Montreal.
-- Panthers lost eight of last ten games with Washington.
-- Chicago won seven of last nine games with Nashville.
-- Blues won four of last six games with Philly.
-- Jets won four of last five games with Columbus.
-- Flames won three of last four games with Buffalo

Totals
-- Six of last eight Ottawa games went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Detroit games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Chicago-Nashville games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Philly games.
-- Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Columbus games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Buffalo games.

Back-to-backs
-- Canadiens are 4-1 if they played the night before.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 07:30 AM

NHL

Thursday, December 10

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal's last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. FLORIDA
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing Washington
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NASHVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

8:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

9:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CALGARY
Buffalo is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Calgary's last 16 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 07:49 AM

NHL

Thursday, December 10

NHL roundup: Oilers pull out OT win

EDMONTON, Alberta -- Todd McLellan is the winningest coach in San Jose Sharks' team history. On Wednesday, the new Edmonton Oilers coach learned out what it was like to beat the Sharks.

Left winger Taylor Hall converted a picture-perfect pass from center Leon Draisaitl to give the Oilers the overtime winner, a 4-3 decision over the Sharks.

It was the first time the Oilers had faced the Sharks in the regular season since McLellan took over as Edmonton's coach. He spent seven seasons with the Sharks, but he and the organization agreed to part ways after the 2014-15 season.

The overtime came after a wild third period. The Oilers entered the third nursing a 1-0 lead thanks to a marker from Draisaitl, but then the two teams exploded to combine for five goals in the third and sent the game to overtime, tied 3-3.

Bruins 3, Canadiens 1

MONTREAL -- Three unanswered third-period goals lifted Boston to a win over Montreal at the Bell Centre.

Tuukka Rask stopped 31 shots for the Bruins, who snapped a seven-game losing streak versus the Canadiens. Mike Condon made 20 saves for Montreal.

Loui Eriksson, Landon Ferraro and Patrice Bergeron scored for Boston.

Paul Byron replied for the Canadiens, who lost three straight for the first time this season.

Byron's fourth of the season opened the scoring at 8:49 of the first period. After center Tomas

Penguins 4, Avalanche 2

DENVER -- Beau Bennett scored twice during a three-goal flurry in the third period, and Pittsburgh beat Colorado.

Olli Maatta got the game winner when the Penguins scored three times in a span of 3:24 to beat the Avalanche. Matt Cullen also scored and Patric Hornqvist had two assists for the Penguins.

Matt Duchene and Erik Johnson scored for Colorado.

Canucks 2, Rangers 1

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Daniel Sedin scored midway through the third period to break a tie and give Vancouver a win over the New York Rangers.

Alex Edler scored on a power play and added an assist for the Canucks. Center Henrik Sedin had two assists for Vancouver.

Dan Boyle scored for the Rangers on a penalty shot.

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 08:33 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 10

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OTTAWA (15-8-0-5, 35 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (13-12-0-3, 29 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 26-16 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 0-5 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-5 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-4-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (19-7-0-3, 41 pts.) at DETROIT (15-8-0-5, 35 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 75-48 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 43-23 ATS (+12.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 12-5 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 17-8 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 86-63 ATS (+150.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MONTREAL is 35-23 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 20-10 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-27 ATS (-10.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 28-34 ATS (-29.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 20-29 ATS (-17.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 7-2 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (19-5-0-2, 40 pts.) at FLORIDA (13-11-0-4, 30 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 25-22 ATS (+50.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 100-146 ATS (+266.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
FLORIDA is 146-177 ATS (-54.0 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 186-251 ATS (+478.2 Units) after a division game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 8-19 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 2-11 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (15-9-0-4, 34 pts.) at NASHVILLE (14-9-0-5, 33 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 196-154 ATS (+34.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 178-157 ATS (+351.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-9 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-7-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (11-11-0-6, 28 pts.) at ST LOUIS (16-8-0-4, 36 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-66 ATS (+111.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-26 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-52 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 2-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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COLUMBUS (11-16-0-2, 24 pts.) at WINNIPEG (13-13-0-2, 28 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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BUFFALO (11-14-0-3, 25 pts.) at CALGARY (11-14-0-2, 24 pts.) - 12/10/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-14 ATS (+26.9 Units) in road games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 61-59 ATS (+147.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-6 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 09:28 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, December 10

Montreal @ Detroit

Game 53-54
December 10, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
13.088
Detroit
11.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-160
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+140); Over

Washington @ Florida

Game 55-56
December 10, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
12.830
Florida
11.414
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-145); Under

Chicago @ Nashville

Game 57-58
December 10, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
9.796
Nashville
12.205
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-120); Over

Philadelphia @ St. Louis

Game 59-60
December 10, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
12.050
St. Louis
11.124
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-200
5
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+170); Over

Columbus @ Winnipeg

Game 61-62
December 10, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
11.016
Winnipeg
9.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
N/A

Buffalo @ Calgary

Game 63-64
December 10, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
8.552
Calgary
9.984
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-170); Over

Ottawa @ Tampa Bay

Game 51-52
December 10, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
10.969
Tampa Bay
10.016
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-155
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+135); Under

**Udog** · 12-10-2015, 12:18 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 10

Ottawa at Tampa Bay, 7:35 PM ET
Ottawa: 26-16 SU after a division game
Tampa Bay: 1-8 SU after playing 2 consecutive road games

Montreal at Detroit, 7:35 PM ET
Montreal: 12-5 SU in road games when playing on back-to-back days
Detroit: 20-29 SU vs. division opponents

Washington at Florida, 7:35 PM ET
Washington: 12-2 SU after playing a home game
Florida: 1-7 SU in home games after playing a home game

Chicago at Nashville, 8:05 PM ET
Chicago: 12-25 SU off 2 consecutive home wins by 2 goals or more
Nashville: 15-5 SU revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals

Philadelphia at St Louis, 8:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 13-26 SU after a division game
St Louis: 5-1 SU after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game

Columbus at Winnipeg, 8:05 PM ET
Columbus: N/A
Winnipeg: N/A

Buffalo at Calgary, 9:05 PM ET
Buffalo: 5-32 SU in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3
Calgary: 10-3 SU at home after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight game

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/10

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