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**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 07:21 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 10 season record: 30-29-2

6) Seahawks -3 (411)-- Chance to get back in contention in NFC West L

5) Chiefs +6 (426)-- KC lost first meeting with Denver in last minute. W.

4) Redskins even (448)-- New Orleans hasn't had their bye week yet. W

3) Jaguars +5.5 (466)-- Not a lot of faith in the Ravens here. W

2) Raiders -3 (520)-- Scored 34+ points in each of last three games. L

1) Titans +5.5 (620)-- Letdown spot for unbeaten Carolina? . L

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday......

13) Chiefs 29, Broncos 13-- KC won its third straight game, picking off five passes; Andy Reid is now 15-2 in post-bye games. Peyton Manning was benched in second half for Brock Osweiler, as Denver lost its second straight game after a 7-0 start.

12) Lions 18, Packers 16-- Detroit won in Wisconsin for first time since 1991, when Mike Tomczak was the Packer QB, Wayne Fontes was the Lions' coach, Brett Favre was an Atlanta Falcon. Last few minutes of this game weren't pretty; Lions missed a PAT, stopped the tying 2-point play from Green Bay, but then the Packers fell on the onside kick, giving them yet another chance. Packers have now lost three in a row.

11) Buccaneers 10, Cowboys 6-- Jameis Winston fumbled as he was flipped while trying to hurdle into the end zone, but a holding penalty on Dallas gave Bucs another chance and Winston ran in for the winning score with 0:54 left, handing Dallas its 7th loss in a row. Curious to see if Tony Romo plays for Dallas next week.

10) Panthers 27, Titans 10-- Carolina is now 9-0; their next three opponents all have losing records. Titans have lost ten home games in a row. Cam Newton didn't make any friends with a long celebration after scoring TD with 2:42 left to make score 27-10. At some point, you need to act like a professional; celebrate on the sidelines.

9) Bears 37, Rams 13-- Rookie RB Lankford had 182 total yards, two TDs for Bears, who won impressively despite having a short week after playing Monday night in San Diego. St Louis is 1-5 outside its own division; their passing game is a mess and their defense appears a bit overrated.

8) Redskins 47, Saints 14-- Redskins gained 526 TY, Cousins threw for four TDs in his first game since his dad was diagnosed with cancer-- he gave his dad the game ball after this convincing win. Washington had ball ten times, scored four TDs, four FGs.

7) Valparaiso 83, Iona 58-- Iona is expected to win the MAAC; this score says an experienced Valpo team is really good. Not often Iona scores less than 60 points.

6) Dolphins 20, Eagles 19-- On their first two drives, Philly scored two TDs, gaining 122 yards on 14 plays; combined with a safety, they led 16-3 and were driving again but missed a 32-yard FG on their third drive, had a punt blocked on the next drive and went into the ashcan after that. With the offense Eagles run, don't they need a QB who is a running threat?

5) Steelers 30, Browns 9-- Roethlisberger threw for 286 yards in first half of a game he didn't start; Landry Jones got hurt, which was very bad news for Cleveland, which got decent stats from Manziel but only one TD. Browns only had 15 yards rushing, and Manziel had 17; maybe Kevin Costner can draft for them next spring.

4) Jaguars 22, Ravens 20-- This is how fine a line there is between winning/losing in the NFL; Ravens are 2-8, with both wins by a FG. All ten of their games were decided by 8 or less points-- all one-possession games.

Baltimore was going to win this game but a facemask penalty on the Ravens on the last play moved the ball 15 yards closer and allowed Jags to make a 53-yard walk-off FG.

3) Vikings 30, Raiders 14-- Minnesota ran for 263 yards in this game, as they take over first place in the NFC North. If the playoffs started Monday morning........

NFC: Giants-Vikings-Panthers-Cardinals Wild Card: Packers-Falcons
AFC: Patriots-Bengals-Colts-Broncos. Wild Card: Steelers-Bills

2) Patriots 27, Giants 26-- Giants' DB dropped a sure INT on first play of last drive, as New England drove 44 yards on 12 plays in 1:46. Giants were up 20-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter. Somehow, they're in first place, despite being 5-5- the #4-5 first round game in the NFC playoffs could find Packers visiting the NFC East champ.

1) Cardinals 39, Seahawks 32-- Seven NFL teams were -2 or worse in turnovers this week; Arizona is only one of the seven who won. Packers/Falcons are two Wild Card teams in NFC right now- they have two game lead on other NFC also rans. Seattle has led in fourth quarter in all five of its losses this year.

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 07:21 AM

Buckeyes open as double digit faves against Sparty

If Ohio State wants a shot at reaching the four-team playoff to defend its national championship, it’s going to have get through its two Michigan rivals over the next two weekends.

First up for the Buckeyes: a home date with Michigan State. Ohio State (10-0 SU, 4-6 ATS) tuned up with a 28-3 road victory over Illinois on Saturday, cashing as a 17.5-point favorite. The Buckeyes now have 23 consecutive SU wins (13-10 ATS) since losing the 2014 season opener to Virginia Tech.

Meanwhile, for the Spartans (9-1 SU, 3-7 ATS) to have any shot at the Big Ten title – and perhaps a shot at the playoff – they’ll have to continue their bounce-back from a Week 10 loss at Nebraska. Michigan State got back on track Saturday, rolling past Maryland 24-7 as a 14.5-point home chalk.

Johhny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, opened Ohio State as a hefty 12.5-point favorite.

“Michigan State had its best defense effort against Maryland this past week, but Ohio State can now see the finish line, and it will take a triple-A-plus effort to slay the beast,” Avello said.

Baylor at Oklahoma State (-1)

Oklahoma State is still on track for a surprising perfect season and perhaps a spot in the playoff, but certainly had its hands more full than it expected with Iowa State on Saturday. The Cowboys (10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS) needed a late touchdown to claim a 35-31 victory, falling short as 11.5-point road favorites.

On the flip side, Baylor blew its opportunity to make this matchup a meeting of Big 12 unbeatens. The Bears (8-1 SU, 4-4 ATS), 2.5-point home faves Saturday against Oklahoma, were dealt a 44-34 loss.

“Baylor’s national title hopes may have imploded Saturday, and a running of the table by Oklahoma State will get the Cowboys into the playoff,” Avello said. “The Cowboys were a 29-point dog at Baylor last year, but this game should be closer to a pick.”

Texas Christian at Oklahoma

In another game that could go a long way toward determining whether the Big 12 will get in or be left out of the playoff, a pair of one-loss teams will try to stay in the conversation.

The Sooners (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) logged their fifth consecutive SU and ATS victory, besting Baylor 44-34 as 2.5-point road ‘dogs Saturday.
The Horned Frogs (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS), who saw their perfect record go up in smoke at Oklahoma State on Nov. 7, weren’t nearly as impressive Saturday at home. TCU went off as a massive 46.5-point chalk against winless Kansas, but had to hold on for a lackluster 23-17 victory.

TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin (ankle) is expected to play, but the line hasn’t been posted yet.

“TCU must have been looking ahead to this one, with that lackluster performance at home against Kansas,” Avello said. “The Sooners are playing their best football right now and are also in the thick of it for college football’s grand prize.”

UCLA at Utah (-1)

The Pac-12 South Division is a muddled mess, but both these teams still have a shot to reach the conference title game, despite suffering upset losses on Saturday.

UCLA (7-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) went off as 11.5-point home chalk Saturday against Washington State, but tumbled 31-27. Utah (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) was a 5.5-point favorite at Arizona, but lost 37-30.

“The top spot for the Pac-12 South is still up in the air for both these teams, along with Southern Cal,” Avello said. “The Utes have an easier road to get there, playing Colorado at home next week while UCLA travels to USC. The Bruins and Utes both lost tough ones Saturday, but motivation should be high for both clubs this week.”

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 07:26 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 16

Hot teams
-- Coyotes won four of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Islanders lost six of their last nine games.
-- Ducks lost last three games, scoring seven goals. Carolina lost five of last six games.
-- Lightning lost seven of last ten games; Florida lost six of last eight.
-- Canucks lost five of last six games; Montreal lost three of last five.
-- Detroit, Ottawa both lost three of their last four games.
-- Winnipeg lost last five games, scoring eight goals. Blues lost last two games, 4-2/6-3.

Series records
-- Islanders won three of last four games with Arizona.
-- Ducks won seven of last nine games with Carolina.
-- Lightning won seven of last nine games with Florida.
-- Canadiens won seven of last ten games with Vancouver.
-- Road team won last eight Detroit-Ottawa games.
-- Blues won eight of last ten games with Winnipeg.

Totals
-- Five of last six Arizona-Islander games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Anaheim-Carolina games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay-Florida games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Montreal games went over total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Detroit games.
-- Five of last seven Winnipeg games went over.

NHL

Monday, November 16

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. CAROLINA
Anaheim is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 10 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

7:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. NY ISLANDERS
Arizona is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 7 games when playing Arizona
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. OTTAWA
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Tampa Bay's last 25 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 10 games when playing Tampa Bay
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. MONTREAL
Vancouver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 8-14-1 SU in its last 23 games ,when playing Vancouver
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver

8:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

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**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 07:41 AM

NHL

Monday, November 16

Road favorites cashing at a big rate this season

Heading into Sunday's NHL schedule, backing the road favorite straight up has been a great wager whenever that opportunity presents itself. Visiting faves have posted a record of 46-22 prior to the puck dropping on Sunday's game, good enough for a win rate of just under 68 percent.

This trend is true only for straight up wagers and not puckline bets. When it comes to the puckline, away favorites have gone just 21-43.

Season to date, favorites have gone 147-105 (58.33 percent) while home favorites have posted a record of 101-83 (54.89 percent).

There are just a pair of games on a typically light Sunday around the NHL with no opportunity to bet this spot. Keep an eye on Monday's board, however, as there are six games on the docket.

NHL roundup: Zuccarello pushes Rangers past Leafs

NEW YORK-- Mats Zuccarello capped a three-point night with a goal with less than a minute left in regulation as the New York Rangers topped the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 on Sunday night in Madison Square Garden.

Ryan McDonagh, Derek Stepan and Derick Brassard also scored for New York, which has won nine in a row. Antti Raanta stopped 23 of 26 shots.

Peter Holland, Joffrey Lupul and Dion Phaneuf scored for Toronto, which had a three game winning streak come to an end. Jonathan Bernier made 26 saves.

Blackhawks 4, Flames 1

CHICAGO -- Patrick Kane continued his torrid point-scoring streak with a goal and an assist and Chicago used a second-period offensive barrage to beat Calgary.

Scott Darling made 25 saves as the Blackhawks won for the second time in as many days and for the third time in four games. The Flames, meanwhile, lost for the third times in four games.

Marian Hossa, Artemi Panarin and Jonathan Toews also scored for the Blackhawks while David Jones scored the Flames' lone goal.

**Udog** · 11-16-2015, 09:42 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 16

Arizona @ NY Islanders

Game 1-2
November 16, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
9.959
NY Islanders
12.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-200
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-200); Under

Anaheim @ Carolina

Game 3-4
November 16, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
11.455
Carolina
12.641
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
-110
5
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-110); Over

Tampa Bay @ Florida

Game 5-6
November 16, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
10.685
Florida
12.190
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
5
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+100); Over

Vancouver @ Montreal

Game 7-8
November 16, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
12.756
Montreal
11.802
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-170
5
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+150); Under

Detroit @ Ottawa

Game 9-10
November 16, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.269
Ottawa
9.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+120); Under

Winnipeg @ St. Louis

Game 11-12
November 16, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
11.733
St. Louis
10.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 1
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-185
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+165); Over

**StarDust Bum** · 11-16-2015, 12:52 PM

Preview: Lightning (8-8) at Panthers (6-7)

Date: November 16, 2015 7:30 PM EDT

The Florida Panthers were ecstatic after stealing a victory away from the rival Tampa Bay Lightning, who were deflated by the defeat.

These teams are in completely opposite moods heading into Monday night's rematch in Sunrise following a thriller which featured four lead changes and two penalty shots.

Tampa Bay (8-8-3) snapped a third-period tie on Vladislav Namestnikov's second goal of the game and seemed headed for victory Saturday at home, but winger Ryan Callahan was penalized for a delay of game after firing the puck over the glass, and Florida capitalized on Aaron Ekblad's tying goal with 38 seconds left.

Brandon Pirri scored the lone shootout goal to cap the Panthers' 5-4 victory.

"Guys are excited after a win like that," Ekblad said. "Confidence is what it's all about. It's a good rivalry, the Battle of Florida. Sometimes that gets overlooked."

Pirri converted a penalty shot in the second period, while Steven Stamkos had an attempt in overtime stopped by Roberto Luongo, who recorded his 406th victory to move one shy of tying Glenn Hall for eighth place on the all-time list.

"It's a good character win for the boys," Luongo said. "I really wanted to make sure that I made the saves when I had to."

The Lightning missed a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time since a 3-0-0 start. They are 3-6-2 in their last 11.

"We did a lot of good things," coach Jon Cooper said. "We had the lead right to the bitter end. It's tough. Guys are battling. We just don't have a ton to show for it."

Tampa Bay fell to 14-2-2 in the last 18 overall meetings. Florida (7-7-3) now seeks only its second win in the previous nine matchups at home.

"We beat a real good team in their building," coach Gerard Gallant said. "We play them again Monday night, but we've got to be better so we need to keep getting better and getting points."

The physical contest saw the Panthers' Shawn Thornton and Lightning's J.T. Brown both draw misconduct penalties for an altercation in the third period.

Namestnikov ended a 10-game goal drought in his second straight contest alongside Stamkos and Callahan on the top line. Stamkos assisted on both of Namestnikov's goals to give him seven points in seven games.

Tampa Bay has one of the league's worst offenses with 2.4 goals per game.

"We can't give up that many goals obviously," Stamkos said. "Hopefully the offense can build some confidence on this one."

Florida's attack may be bolstered Monday since center Aleksander Barkov could return from missing 10 games with a hand injury.

Panthers defenseman Dmitry Kulikov is expected to miss his first game after he exited Saturday with a lower-body injury.

Lightning goalie Ben Bishop made 19 saves Saturday to drop to 6-1-1 with a 2.17 goals-against average in eight starts against the Panthers. He is 1-5-1 with a 1.86 GAA in his last seven starts.

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/16

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/16

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