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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/11

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, November 11

    Good Luck on day #315 of 2015!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Matchup Links

    NHL Matchups

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    NHL Hot and Not


    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    -- Thanks to all the men and women who defend our country, keep us safe; today is Veterans' Day and it is an important day to remember.

    -- Colts' QB Andrew Luck is out 2-6 weeks with a lacerated kidney and abdominal tears. Apparently he threw seven passes after the injury Sunday.

    -- If you're planning ahead, April 30 is Noah Syndergaard Garden Gnome night at Citi Field in NYC- make your plans accordingly.

    -- I'm curious if all these Tues/Wed MAC football games help their recruiting?

    -- Twins signed Korean 1B Byung-Ho Park who apparently is a very good hitter.

    -- You can buy a lottery ticket in New York, but now you can't play daily fantasy sports- this is the kind of double standard that explains why a lot of people despise the government-- if they're not getting a piece of the income, it becomes illegal.

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: How NFL teams do 1st drives of a half

    I track how each team does on the first drive of each half, both offense/defense; here are some notes as the NFL season is roughly at the halfway mark..........

    13) 8-0 Bengals have scored 34 points (most in NFL) on their first drive of each game, averaging 53 yards per drive.

    12) Patriots have scored on their first drive of the second half in every game this year, five FGs, three TDs. In eight games, they've outscored opponents 67-38 on the first drive of each half, tied with Green Bay (59-30) for best mark in the league.

    11) Arizona (45-19), Oakland (48-20) have also done well on first drives; on Cardinals' foes' first drive of the game, they've run 41 plays for only 150 yards. Surprising that the Raiders are doing so well; Jack Del Rio could easily be Coach of the Year.

    In their last three games, Raiders scored a TD on their first drive in five of six halves.

    10) 49ers' offense has been terrible early in games; its offense has been outscored 7-6 by the other team's defense on their first drive of a game.

    9) Houston is so dysfunctional they cut a QB who started four games and no one has picked him up, even though quality passers are scarce. Texans have run 39 plays for 140 yards on their first drive of a game, scoirng zero points. No bueno.

    8) Dick LeBeau works for the Titans now; they make good halftime adjustments. On opponents' first drive of the second half, Titan opponents have run 34 plays for 77 yards, scoring no points. Once the rookie QB gets some experience, this could be a team that makes a big jump next season.

    7) Rams had to sign Wes Welker; their offense is so totally dependent on Gurley and Austin, they're 20-90 on third down the last seven games, have gained only 76 yards on 28 plays on their first drive of a game. Too much pressure on the defense; if they can move the chains more now, it helps their field position and makes the team more balanced. Playing on a shorter field makes the game a lot easier.

    6) Buffalo has outscored opponents 23-3 on first drives of a game; their opponents gained only 92 yards on 34 plays on their first drives. Oddly, they've been bad on first drive of third quarter; their opponents gained 7.1 yards/play, scored four TDs and FG. Seems like they prepare for opponents better than they adjust at halftime.

    5) Eagles scored a TD on their first drive of the second half in four of last five games, and n fifth drive, they gained 49 yards before losing a fumble. They wore down Dallas' defense Sunday night, gaining 287 yards on 35 plays over their last five drives.

    4) Miami changed coaches after four games, because the defensive players weren't happy with their defensive scheme; in their first four games, Dolphins allowed three TDs and a FG (285 yards on 30 plays) on the first drive of a game.

    Since the change, Miami allowed 158 yards on 27 plays, allowing one TD, one FG, so thats an improvement, maybe just because the players feel more invested now.

    3) Denver has been surprisingly bad on the first drive of a game, kicking two FGs on eight drives, gaining 197 yards on 45 plays (4.4 ypp).

    2) Teams are 6-0 the week after playing Carolina, both SU and against the spread; four of those six teams were favored.

    1) Not sure why this is true but it is, but teams are 0-8 against the spread the week after playing the Cardinals, winning only two games SU.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, November 11



      Montreal @ Pittsburgh

      Game 51-52
      November 11, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Montreal
      13.286
      Pittsburgh
      11.706
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Montreal
      by 1 1/2
      6
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Pittsburgh
      -140
      5
      Dunkel Pick:
      Montreal
      (+120); Over

      Edmonton @ Anaheim


      Game 53-54
      November 11, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Edmonton
      10.796
      Anaheim
      8.963
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Edmonton
      by 2
      5
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Anaheim
      -185
      5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Edmonton
      (+165); Under





      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, November 11


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MONTREAL (13-2-0-1, 27 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (9-5-0-0, 18 pts.) - 11/11/2015, 7:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MONTREAL is 13-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
      MONTREAL is 44-30 ATS (+13.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 13-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
      MONTREAL is 30-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 24-9 ATS (+13.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 32-20 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 17-7 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 53-48 ATS (-1.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PITTSBURGH is 73-97 ATS (-42.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
      PITTSBURGH is 67-92 ATS (-44.2 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
      PITTSBURGH is 22-27 ATS (-19.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONTREAL is 4-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      MONTREAL is 4-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      EDMONTON (5-10-0-0, 10 pts.) at ANAHEIM (5-7-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/11/2015, 10:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      EDMONTON is 58-121 ATS (+237.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 13-40 ATS (+66.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 6-27 ATS (+48.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
      EDMONTON is 9-36 ATS (+75.2 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 128-80 ATS (+217.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 0-4 ATS (-5.7 Units) after a division game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ANAHEIM is 7-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      ANAHEIM is 7-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, November 11


      Hot teams
      -- Pittsburgh won six of its last seven games. Montreal won four of last five.
      -- Anaheim won four of its last five games.

      Cold teams
      -- Edmonton lost six of its last eight games.

      Series records
      -- Canadiens won their last three visits to Pittsburgh.
      -- Ducks won their last four games with Edmonton.

      Totals
      -- Seven of last nine Montreal games went over total.
      -- Five of last six Edmonton games went over the total.




      NHL

      Wednesday, November 11


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:30 PM
      MONTREAL vs. PITTSBURGH
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games on the road
      Montreal is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games at home
      Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

      10:00 PM
      EDMONTON vs. ANAHEIM
      The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Edmonton's last 19 games when playing Anaheim
      Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
      Anaheim is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton
      Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL

        Wednesday, November 11



        NHL roundup: Avalanche blank Flyers

        PHILADELPHIA -- The Colorado Avalanche kicked off a vital stretch of games with a 4-0 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday at Wells Fargo Center.

        The Avalanche, who opened a seven-game road trip, were led by a pair of goals from Matt Duchene and a shutout from Reto Berra.

        Jarome Iginla and Cody McLeod also scored for Colorado, which starting Tuesday plays 14 of its next 18 games away from home.

        Meanwhile, the Flyers came home after a 1-3-1 road trip and did little different on their ice. Philadelphia was outshot 40-25 and has one win since Oct. 27.

        Blues 2, Devils 0

        NEWARK, N.J. -- Jake Allen made 24 saves to record his second consecutive shutout as St. Louis defeated New Jersey at the Prudential Center.

        Allen, who made a career-high 45 saves in a 4-0 win over Nashville Saturday, registered back-to-back shutouts for the second time in his career. He also blanked the Devils last November after shutting out Anaheim.

        Martin Havlat and Magnus Paajarvi scored the game's only goals for the Blues.

        Rangers 3, Hurricanes 0

        NEW YORK -- Two goals 11 seconds apart from Jesper Fast and Rick Nash along with 33 saves from Henrik Lundqvist helped give the New York Rangers a victory against Carolina at Madison Square Garden.

        The Rangers have won six straight and sit three points behind the Montreal Canadiens for the league's best record.

        Ryan McDonagh scored his first goal of the season 13 seconds into third period and Cam Ward turned aside 20 of 23 shots for Carolina.

        Canucks 5, Blue Jackets 3

        COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Jannik Hansen and Daniel Sedin led an offensive outburst with one goal and three assists each, guiding Vancouver to a come-from-behind win over Columbus at Nationwide Arena.

        Henrik Sedin added two goals and an assist, and Brandon Sutter also scored, as the Canucks snapped a three-game losing streak.

        Boone Jenner had a goal and an assist for the Blue Jackets, while Jack Johnson and Cam Atkinson each had goals. Center Ryan Johansen had two assists.

        Red Wings 1, Capitals 0

        DETROIT -- Petr Mrazek made 38 saves for his sixth career shutout in Detroit's win against Washington at Joe Louis Arena.

        Andreas Athanasiou scored for Detroit 4:06 into the third period for his first NHL goal.

        Braden Holtby stopped 26 shots for Washington.

        Panthers 4, Flames 3

        SUNRISE, Fla. -- Jaromir Jagr scored the winning goal with 11:49 left in the third period, helping Florida snap a five-game losing streak by beating Calgary at the BB&T Center.

        Jagr's team-leading seventh goal of the season came off an assist from center Nick Bjugstad. Jagr had an assist earlier in the game.

        Vincent Trocheck, Reilly Smith and Aaron Ekblad also scored for Florida, which got two assists from Jussi Jokinen. David Jones scored twice and Sean Monahan once for Calgary.

        Wild 5, Jets 3

        SAINT PAUL, Minn. -- Thomas Vanek scored twice in the second period, spurring an explosion by Minnesota, which jumped out to a four-goal lead and sailed past Winnipeg.

        Nino Niederreiter, Erik Haula and Chris Porter also scored for the Wild, who won their second game in a row and improved to 7-1-0 at home. Devan Dubnyk had 25 saves.

        The Jets got two goals from Bryan Little and one from Blake Wheeler.

        Predators 7, Senators 5

        NASHVILLE, Tenn. -- In its biggest offensive explosion of the year, Nashville got goals from seven skaters and rallied to beat Ottawa at Bridgestone Arena.

        The Predators got goals from Colton Sissons, Shea Weber, Roman Josi, Austin Watson, Mattias Ekholm, Barret Jackman and Gabriel Bourque. Zack Smith scored twice and Milan Michalek, Erik Karlsson and Curtis Lazar once each for Ottawa.

        Craig Anderson finished with 31 saves for Ottawa, while Pekka Rinne stopped 21 shots for Nashville.

        Sabres 4, Lightning 1

        TAMPA -- Sparked by rookie Jack Eichel, Buffalo topped Tampa Bay at Amalie Arena.

        Buffalo got a goal and an assist from Eichel, and goals from Cody Franson, Marcus Foligno and Rasmus Ristolainen.

        Steven Stamkos scored the Lightning's lone goal, his eighth of the season.

        Maple Leafs 3, Stars 2

        DALLAS -- Toronto's Jake Gardiner had a goal and an assist and James Reimer stopped 36 shots in a victory against Dallas at American Airlines Center.

        The Maple Leafs snapped a three-game winless streak, also getting goals from Peter Holland and P.A. Parenteau.

        The Stars saw a three-game winning streak snapped. They got goals from Patrick Sharp and Vernon Fiddler.

        Islanders 4, Sharks 2

        SAN JOSE, Calif. -- Ex-Sharks goalie Thomas Greiss became the latest backup to take two points from San Jose as the New York topped the Sharks.

        Greiss stopped 34 of 36 shots as the Sharks (7-8-0) dropped under .500 for the first time this season. San Jose capped a poor homestand with three losses in four tries.

        New York's John Tavares iced the win with his second goal of the game into an empty net inside the last five seconds.

        Coyotes 3, Kings 2

        LOS ANGELES -- Brad Richardson scored the go-ahead goal in the third period, lifting Arizona past Los Angeles.

        Richardson scored with 8:13 remaining. He delivered his second goal of the season after receiving an excellent pass from Jordan Martinook just outside the crease.

        Martin Hanzal scored his first two goals of the season for the Coyotes. Arizona goaltender Mike Smith stopped 33 of 35 shots.

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Short Sheet

          Wednesday, November 11


          Montreal at Pittsburgh, 7:35 PM ET
          Montreal: 9-1 SU after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
          Pittsburgh: 11-18 SU revenging a same season loss vs opponent

          Edmonton at Anaheim, 10:05 PM ET
          Edmonton: 6-27 SU vs. division opponents
          Anaheim: 36-17 SU after one or more consecutive overs

          Comment

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