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**Udog** · 11-09-2015, 08:35 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 9 season record: 27-26-2

6) Giants, -2.5 (446)-- Bucs' WR Evans could light up the Giants' defense- W.

5) Broncos -5 (456)-- Struggling Colts welcome an old friend back home- L.

4) Rams +1.5 (461)-- Matchup of teams on the upswing- L.

3) Eagles, -2.5 (508)-- Cowboys are 0-5 since Romo got hurt- W.

2) Jets -6.5 (555)-- Jets get center Mangold back from an injury- L.

1) Steelers -4 (706)-- Underdog covered all three Oakland road games- L
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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday......

13) Bengals 31, Browns 10-- CBS execs have to be very nervous at thought of Super Bowl 50 with Cincinnati-Carolina, which easily could happen. That would be a fun game for hardcore fans to see, but not the ratings bonanza that the networks crave.

12) Steelers 38, Raiders 35-- Pittsburgh gained 597 yards, forced four turnovers (+2) but lost Roethlisberger to another injury (foot) for at least a couple weeks, so Landry Jones is once again in the forefront. Oakland's two road losses are by 3-2 points.

11) Jets 28, Jaguars 23-- Gang Green was +4 in turnovers, had 14-yard edge in field position; only one of their four TD drives was longer than 51 yards. In their five wins, Jets are +12 in turnovers; in three losses, they're -5. Jax scored three points in two red zone drives; Jets scored 21 points on their three.

10) Vikings 21, Rams 18 OT-- Not only did Rams lose this game, I had to listen to Thom bleepin' Brennaman for 3.5 hours; what a pompous know-it-all, but he didn't know enough to tell us how big a factor the wind was in this game until the second quarter- he never mentioned that 33 of the 39 points in the game were scored by teams going left-to-right, or that Vikings' backup QB Shaun Hill was the Rams' starting QB for most of last season. But hey, his dad is famous so he has a good gig.

9) Bills 33, Dolphins 17-- Buffalo ran ball for 266 yards, averaged 10.3 ypa and they did that despite allowing three sacks on 15 dropbacks. Bills-Jets Thursday night, so we will get the whole Rex-Jets things harped on endlessly. Mute button time.

8) Titans 34, Saints 28 OT-- Tennessee had scored 36 points total in last four games, so of course Rob Ryan's defense gives up 34 to a team with a rookie QB that fired its head coach six days ago. Rex Ryan should be on TV being funny and Rob Ryan should be coaching high school ball somewhere in the Oklahoma panhandle.

7) Patriots 27, Redskins 10-- This has nothing to do with football, but NBA players are wearing lower-cut sneakers these days. Do basketball players still get their ankles taped before practices/games?

When I was a kid, anyone who didn't get their ankles wrapped with at least an ace bandage before any practice/game got in big trouble. When I was coaching HS ball 15-20 years ago, not so much. Are sneakers made better now?

6) Panthers 37, Packers 29-- Carolina has won 12 straight regular season games, with wins over Colts/Packers last two weeks, plus a win at Seattle, but much like with the Bengals, because Charlotte isn't a big market, the Panthers are undervalued. Newton is now 38-31 as an NFL starter-- did you know Atlanta had a DB named Cam Newton in 2005-06? You learn interesting little tidbits reading this space, don't you? :-)

5) 49ers 17, Falcons 16-- Picked against Atlanta last week; think they're a tired team that desperately needs the bye week they're starting now. 49ers are 3-2 at home while allowing 15.2 ppg-- they're 0-4 on the road, allowing 36.8 ppg. Falcons lost three of last four games after a 5-0 start- win was 10-7 over the Zach Mettenberg-led Titans.

4) Giants 32, Buccaneers 18-- Final score is misleading; NJ scored a TD on last play of game, as Bucs butchered the playground/lateral play. I've been touting Bucs' Mike Evans as one of the best WRs in league, but despite catching eight balls for 152 yards, he had several drops in key spots in this game that hurt the Tampa Bay cause.

3) Colts 27, Broncos 24-- This has been a season with way more than usual coaching screwups. Colts led 17-0 in last 0:20 of first half and they punt the ball down the field, instead of out of bounds, so of course Denver runs it back for a TD. Had Indy lost this game, and Denver did tie it up twice, I wouldn't have blamed Jim Irsay if he fired the whole coaching staff after the game- the offensive coordinator is already gone.

2) Eagles 33, Cowboys 27 OT-- Dallas banked tying FG off an upright with 0:02 left, but offense never got back on field. Happy birthday Sam Bradford; he threw walk-off TD to Jordan Matthews, as Dallas lost its sixth game in row. Wildly entertaining day with three overtime games; too bad the wrong team won in Minnesota.

1) Odd Fact of the Day: Jets' QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has now beaten the Jaguars with five different teams, the first NFL QB to beat a team for five dfferent franchises.

**Udog** · 11-09-2015, 08:35 AM

Undefeated Baylor opens 4.5-point chalk against Oklahoma

The Bears (4-3 ATS) open as 4.5-point home faves when they host the Sooners (7-1 ATS).

Slowly but surely, the ranks of the unbeaten are starting to thin out in college football. Texas Christian and Michigan State took it on the chin in Week 10, and in a key game in Week 11, Baylor will put its perfect mark on the line against a surging Oklahoma squad.

The Bears (8-0 SU, 4-3 ATS) haven’t been as impressive against the oddsmakers these past two games, but they’ve managed to get the SU wins, nonetheless. Last Thursday, laying a hefty 17 points at Kansas State, Baylor hung on for a 31-24 victory.

Meanwhile, since their stunning loss at Texas, the Sooners (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) have mounted a 4-0 SU and ATS run, with the smallest margin of victory at 36 points. On Saturday, Oklahoma rolled Iowa State 52-16 as a 24.5-point favorite.

The Sooners are likely still smarting from a 48-14 home loss to Baylor last season. Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, opened the Bears as 4.5-point chalk.

“The Sooners are flying right now, averaging 58 points a game over the last four since that loss to Texas,” Avello said. “Baylor’s freshman quarterback, Jarrett Stidham, was a concern for me going into that K-State game, and he’s still a concern due to his lack of experience.”

Alabama (-7.5) at Mississippi State

Even with a stunning home loss to Mississippi back in Week 3, the Crimson Tide are right back in the middle of the four-team playoff picture, just where you’d expect them to be. Alabama (8-1 SU, 4-5 ATS) was expecting a stern test Saturday against visiting Louisiana State, but its defense was more than up to the task, with the Tide rolling 30-16 as a 7.5-point chalk.

Mississippi State (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS) stumbled twice early in the season in the Southeastern Conference, but is trying to right the ship. The Bulldogs have won four in a row SU (3-1 ATS), including a 31-13 victory giving 7.5 points Friday night at Missouri.

Last year, Mississippi State went into this game 9-0 SU, but ‘Bama – a 10-point home favorite – stopped the Bulldogs, 25-20.

“Alabama seems to have put it all together, and at just the right time as we enter the home stretch,” Avello said. “Mississippi State has only two losses, but its schedule has been extremely soft, and beating this Alabama team has been a difficult chore. You have to go back to 2007 to find the Bulldogs’ last ‘W’ against the Tide.”

Oregon at Stanford (-9)

Since a season-opening dud of a performance at Northwestern, Stanford has been tearing it up on the field and against the oddsmakers. The Cardinal (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) have gone 7-1 ATS during their eight-game winning streak, including a 42-10 ripping of Colorado on Saturday as a 14.5-point road fave.

Oregon (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) is just trying to salvage a disappointing season. To that end, the Ducks have won three in a row SU and ATS, dropping California 44-28 Saturday laying 3.5 points at home.

“Oregon fans have to be very happy over what they’ve seen the past two weeks,” Avello said. “The always offensive-minded Ducks put up almost 800 yards against Cal. We’ll see if that continues against the defensive-minded Cardinal.”

Memphis at Houston (-4.5)

This contest was looking certain to be a battle of unbeatens in the American Athletic Conference, but Memphis soiled itself this past weekend. The Tigers (8-1 SU, 4-4-1 ATS), who last month pulled off a shocking upset of Mississippi, got shelled by Navy 45-20 Saturday as a 10-point home chalk.

Houston (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) held up its end of the bargain, but also struggled while fending off Cincinnati 33-30 giving 9 points at home.

“This game may have lost its appeal after the Memphis loss to Navy,” Avello said. “I really believed the BCS playoff committee had Memphis too high in the rankings at No. 13.”

**Udog** · 11-09-2015, 08:40 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 9

Hot teams
-- Ducks won their last four games, allowing six goals.

Cold teams
-- Coyotes lost three of their last four games.

Series records
-- Ducks won seven of last ten games with Arizona.

Totals
-- Last six Arizona-Anaheim games stayed under the total.

NHL

Monday, November 9

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Trend Report
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10:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. ANAHEIM
Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 11-09-2015, 08:42 AM

NHL

Monday, November 9

NHL roundup: Stars top Wings for third straight win

DETROIT -- Patrick Sharp and Tyler Seguin had a goal and an assist each to lead the Dallas Stars to a 4-1 win against the Detroit Red Wings at Joe Louis Arena on Sunday afternoon.

Valeri Nichushkin and Cody Eakin also scored for Dallas, which won its third straight. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen made 21 saves.

Gustav Nyquist scored for Detroit, which had its three-game winning streak snapped. Jimmy Howard made 20 saves before leaving with 12:51 left in the third period after taking a knee to the head Jason Spezza during a goal-mouth scramble. Howard was replaced by Petr Mrazek, who made two saves.

Bruins 2, Islanders 1

NEW YORK -- Tuukka Rask made 36 saves as Boston defeated the New York Islanders at Barclays Center.

The win ended a three-game losing streak for the Bruins, who looked like the fresher team over the first two periods despite having played in Montreal on Saturday night while the Islanders had not played since Thursday.

Brad Marchand and Ryan Spooner scored for the Bruins.

Jaroslav Halak stopped 25 shots while Johnny Boychuk scored the Islanders lone goal.

Devils 4, Canucks 3 (OT)

NEWARK, N.J. -- Kyle Palmieri's power-play goal with 1:27 left in overtime lifted New Jersey to a win over Vancouver at the Prudential Center.

Adam Henrique, Mike Cammalleri and Sergey Kalinin scored for New Jersey in regulation while Chris Higgins, Sven Baertschi and Alex Edler scored for Vancouver.

Keith Kinkaid made 28 saves for the Devils, winners of two straight, while Ryan Miller stopped 24 for the Canucks, who lost their third in a row.

Blackhawks 4, Oilers 2

CHICAGO -- Artemi Panarin tallied two goals and an assist, and Chicago held on for a win over Edmonton.

Patrick Kane added a goal and two assists to extend his point streak to 10 games, which is the longest active streak in the NHL. Artem Anisimov also scored for Chicago.

Jordan Eberle and Andrej Sekera scored for Edmonton.

Corey Crawford stopped 34 of 36 shots for Chicago and Cam Talbot turned aside 24 of 28 shots for Edmonton.

**Udog** · 11-09-2015, 08:50 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 9

Arizona @ Anaheim

Game 51-52
November 9, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.971
Anaheim
10.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-200
5
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+170); Over

**Udog** · 11-09-2015, 09:38 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 9

Arizona @ Anaheim

Game 51-52
November 9, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
11.971
Anaheim
10.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-200
5
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+170); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 9

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ARIZONA (6-6-0-1, 13 pts.) at ANAHEIM (5-7-0-2, 12 pts.) - 11/9/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 128-79 ATS (+215.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 19-4 ATS (+13.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 204-154 ATS (+38.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 8-3 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 8-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/9

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/9

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