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**Udog** · 11-08-2015, 09:55 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 8 season record: 25-22-2

6) Giants, -2.5-- Bucs' WR Evans could light up the Giants' defense.

5) Broncos -5 (456)-- Struggling Colts welcome an old friend back home.

4) Rams +1.5 (461)-- Matchup of teams on the upswing.

3) Eagles, -2.5 (508)-- Cowboys are 0-5 since Romo got hurt.

2) Jets -6.5 (555)-- Jets get center Mangold back from an injury.

1) Steelers -4 (706)-- Underdog covered all three Oakland road games.

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday.....

13) Alabama 30, LSU 16-- Crimson Tide outrushed LSU 250-54, just beat them up physically on both lines. LSU's QB isn't good enough to move the chains by throwing the ball. As many pros as LSU produces, almost none of them throw the ball.

12) Nebraska 39, Michigan State 38-- Cornhuskers have five losses by five or less points; they were due to win a weird game, which they did here. Spartans led by 12 points with 2:00 to go- the winning TD scored on a play where the WR went out of bounds but came back in- refs ruled he was forced out, a shaky decision.

11) Arkansas 53, Ole Miss 52 OT-- Hogs converted a 4th-and 25 in OT, thanks to a schoolyard-like lateral; find it on SportsCenter, it is too weird to desbribe here. Hogs' win puts Alabama in the drivers' seat to win the SEC West. This game had 1,195 TY, no turnovers, six accepted penalties. Entertaining.

10) Oklahoma State 49, TCU 29-- Wow was I wrong about TCU; they got squashed in this game, which was over long before WR Doctson, Frogs' best player, left with a wrist injury. Four of ten previously unbeaten teams lost on Saturday.

9) Florida 9, Vanderbilt 7-- Games like this are why Top 25 poll is non-sensical; the Gators should drop in polls for beating Vandy without scoring a TD, but they won't. Florida has one loss, have held four of last five opponents to 10 or less points.

8) Clemson 23, Florida State 13-- Seminoles will drop in polls because of this game, which is comical; they played the #1 team toe-to-to-toe for 50:00, but lost, because in every game, someone loses. But Florida State is better than Florida.

7) Navy 45, Memphis 20-- First loss for Tigers, who don't play good enough defense to stop the Middies' option attack- they ran ball for 374 yards. Navy is now 24-9 vs the spread in its last 33 games as a road underdog.

6) South Alabama 52, Idaho 45-- Vandals scored 93 points in their last two games but managed to lose both; their QB is the son of Cowboys' OC Scott Linehan.

5) Tennessee 27, South Carolina 24-- Vols blew 17-0 lead, were saved when TE for Gamecocks was stripped of ball around Tennessee 20 in last minute. after a terrific catch/run that had South Carolina set up to tie or win the game.

4) UConn 7, Tulane 3-- I've been doing this stuff for long time; have never (that I can remember at least) logged stats for a game where neither team had 10+ first downs. In this day and age, how do you lose a game when you give up seven points?

3) Iowa 35, Indiana 27-- Hawkeyes haven't lost yet; who they losing to in the Rose Bowl? USC? Utah? UCLA? Iowa lost its last three bowl games by average of 32-19.

2) USC 38, Arizona 30-- RichRod went for it on 4th-and-2 at midfield when he led 23-20 in the third quarter; game swung on that failed play. There are guys making big, big money to be head coaches who aren't well-versed in game management. This wasn't a horrible mistake, but it was an unnecessary risk for a struggling team on the road.

Memo to ESPN's Rod Gilmore, who is a lawyer in real life: Jeff Fisher makes $7M a year coaching the Rams and has never coached college football. He is in his late 50's and probably wants no part of recruiting 17-year olds. Mentioning his name as a possible new coach for USC, just because he went to school there, is irresponsible.

1) Trouble at Missouri-- This has nothing to do with sports, other than the black football players at Missouri have gone on strike, until the school president quits or is fired. There have been racially-fueled incidents on campus recently and there is a lot of unrest regarding how those incidents were handled.

Maybe someday coach Gary Pinkel will write a book; his starting QB is off the team, amidst rumors he is involved with drugs, now 75% of the team is on strike. Have fun recruiting this winter, even if this issue does get resolved fairly soon.

**Udog** · 11-08-2015, 10:06 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, November 8

Dallas @ Detroit

Game 1-2
November 8, 2015 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
11.147
Detroit
9.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 1 1/2
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-115); Under

Vancouver @ New Jersey

Game 3-4
November 8, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
10.412
New Jersey
11.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
N/A

Boston @ NY Islanders

Game 5-6
November 8, 2015 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.338
NY Islanders
10.276
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+140); Under

Edmonton @ Chicago

Game 7-8
November 8, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.607
Chicago
10.515
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-200
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+170); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 8

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DALLAS (11-3-0-0, 22 pts.) at DETROIT (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/8/2015, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 28-15 ATS (+45.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 25-15 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-7 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-4 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 28-23 ATS (+55.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 87-80 ATS (+181.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
DETROIT is 22-29 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (6-4-0-4, 16 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/8/2015, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 3-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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BOSTON (6-6-0-1, 13 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (7-4-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/8/2015, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 47-48 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-16 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 33-40 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 8-15 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 70-113 ATS (-48.9 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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EDMONTON (5-9-0-0, 10 pts.) at CHICAGO (7-6-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/8/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 13-39 ATS (+65.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 38-39 ATS (-33.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 290-312 ATS (+616.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 151-158 ATS (-75.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 8

Hot teams
-- Dallas Stars won five of their last six games. Detroit won its last three, allowing five goals.
-- Devils won seven of their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Vancouver lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Bruins lost their last three games, scoring six goals. Islanders lost four of their last five.
-- Edmonton lost five of its last seven games. Chicago lost four of its last five.

Series records
-- Red Wings won four of last five games with Dallas.
-- Canucks won six of last seven games with New Jersey.
-- Islanders lost four of last five games with Boston.
-- Oilers lost six of last seven games with Chicago.

Totals
-- Last four Dallas-Detroit games went over total; last one was 7-6.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Vancouver-New Jersey games.
-- Over is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Boston games.
-- Five of last six Edmonton-Chicago games went over.

NHL

Sunday, November 8

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
DALLAS vs. DETROIT
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

5:00 PM
BOSTON vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 7 games

5:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. NEW JERSEY
Vancouver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver

8:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. CHICAGO
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Edmonton is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

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Announcement

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/8

Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/8

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