Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/6

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, November 6

Good Luck on day #310 of 2015!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Football trends to ponder with Week 9 upon us..........

-- Tennessee Titans are 3-9 vs spread in last 12 games as a road underdog

-- Florida State is 2-5 vs spread in last seven tries as an underdog

-- Dallas is 0-5 since Romo got hurt, scoring two TDs on 30 drives last three games

-- Penn State won/covered five of last six games with Northwestern.

-- Carolina Panthers won their last eleven regular season games.

-- Since 2006, Navy is 23-9 against the spread as a road underdog.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.....

13) Weirdness in Deroit, where the 1-7 Lions fired general manager Martin Mayhew and president Tom Lewand, who somehow lasted 20 years with the Lions even though the team never won a playoff game during that time. How can one organization be so completely inept? The next GM/coach will have a very easy act to follow.

12) Indianapolis Colts fired OC Pep Hamilton, which is odd because the Colts scored 24.7 ppg in their last three games, plus Hamilton came from Stanford, where QB Andrew Luck went to college. Going to be a lot of changes in Indy this winter.

Can't remember a football season with so many coaches/execs losing their jobs during the season; people who foot the bill have very little patience these days.

11) Harry Giles is widely thought of as the best high school basketball player in the country this year and he hasn't chosen a college yet. Now comes word he's torn the ACL in his right knee-- he previously tore multiple ligaments in his left knee.

Now comes the question everyone is thinking but no one will say out loud: Do we really want this kid, who will spend the next year re-habbing his knee, then if he does well, will almost surely bolt to the NBA? If his knee doesn't bounce back, you're stuck with a kid you may not really want. Dicey situation.

Oddly enough, the kid is announcing his college choice today at noon.

10) Another question that needs to be asked: how much basketball is too much? A young kid needs down time, he needs to get stronger, more mature-- playing all year is simply too much for some kids. Less games, more practice is a better idea.

9) Sometimes, following unintended consequences of an event can be fun; example #1, instant replay in baseball is going to cause a resurgence in sliding practice, because when a guy slides into a base, if he comes off the base for a split-second and a fielder keeps the glove on him, he will be out. Players have to slide better; no one thought that would become more important because of instant replay.

Example #2: Chattanooga loses its basketball coach because Texas fired theirs; it was said one of the few jobs Shaka Smart would leave VCU for was a big-money school like Texas, so when the Longhorns surprisingly fired Rick Barnes after 17 years, Smart took the job, leaving behind a solid program at VCU.

Enter Will Wade, the Chattanooga head coach who had been one of Smart's assistants at VCU; he had turned down other jobs, but people knew the one job he would never turn down would be VCU. So Smart left for Texas surprisingly, Wade left for VCU and the Moccasins were looking for a new coach, all because the Texas AD (who has since been fired himself) fired Barnes, who has been a very good coach.

8) SEC basketball scheduling has changed; teams will all play each other once, plus each team has three teams they will play twice each, every season. Kentucky's three teams are Vandy-Tennessee-Florida; lucky them- they get to lose an extra game every year, although playing Kentucky at home every year guarantees one extra sellout every other year. Well, at least until coach Calipari leaves Lexington.

7) NFL teams are 23-47 (47.3%) on 2-point plays this year; they were at 48.1% the last five years combined. Would like seeing one team go for two every time they scored a TD, just to see what happened, as long as it wasn't the Rams who did it.

6) ESPN ran a documentary on the Bill McCartney/Colorado football teams from the late 80's; they played in the Orange Bowl two years in a row. Weird to see those clips and think now, the Orange Bowl doesn't exist- thats where the Miami Marlins' new baseball stadium currently sits. Very good documentary, by the way.

5) NBA League Pass is fun to have, especially before college hoop gets into full swing; the team I want to watch as much as possible this year, just for entertaining value, is the Minnesota Timberwolves. Enjoy watching Ricky Rubio; they've gotten better.

4) Denver Broncos traded for TE Vernon Davis; not many NFL players get traded during the season. Curious to see how much of an impact he will make; he hadn't done much for the 49ers the last three years.

3) College basketball rule change: coaches cannot call live-ball timeouts anymore. If a player gets trapped and the coach is standing next to the ref, he can't bail his player out. Will help pressing teams- with the new 30-second clock, more teams might press.

2) People can be jerks: Bengals' QB Andy Dalton played in the celebrity softball game this summer in Cincinnati at the baseball All-Star Game-- he got booed when he came to bat, despite having a 40-27-1 career record with the Bengals, not exactly one of the NFL's more storied franchises.

Why did the hometown fans boo? Dalton is 0-4 in the playoffs, so the one thing I'm rooting for this winter is for the Bengals to win a playoff game, just so the jerks will go away and Dalton can be accepted for the good player that he is.

1) Baylor 31, Kansas State 24-- Game wasn't really that close; freshman QB Stitham threw for 419 yards in his first college start. Baylor doesn't have a QB problem, but they will next spring, when Seth Russell is healthy again.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, November 6


Chicago @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
November 6, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
13.046
New Jersey
9.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 3 1/2
3 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-140
5
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-140); Under

Detroit @ Toronto

Game 3-4
November 6, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
8.892
Toronto
9.950
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+110); Over

Dallas @ Carolina

Game 5-6
November 6, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
9.443
Carolina
10.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+115); Over

Pittsburgh @ Edmonton

Game 7-8
November 6, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.121
Edmonton
10.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-145
5
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-145); Under

NY Rangers @ Colorado

Game 9-10
November 6, 2015 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
13.439
Colorado
9.591
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 4
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
N/A

Columbus @ Anaheim

Game 11-12
November 6, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Columbus
8.953
Anaheim
12.736
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 4
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, November 6

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CHICAGO (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/6/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 11-25 ATS (+40.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 18-42 ATS (+63.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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DETROIT (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) at TORONTO (2-8-0-2, 6 pts.) - 11/6/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 17-26 ATS (-14.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-62 ATS (-59.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-23 ATS (+32.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 15-40 ATS (+61.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.8 Units)

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DALLAS (10-3-0-0, 20 pts.) at CAROLINA (5-7-0-0, 10 pts.) - 11/6/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 27-15 ATS (+44.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-19 ATS (+48.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-4 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-15 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-7 ATS (+22.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-6 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (8-4-0-0, 16 pts.) at EDMONTON (5-8-0-0, 10 pts.) - 11/6/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 2-12 ATS (+19.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 40-57 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 13-38 ATS (+63.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-35 ATS (+56.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 23-67 ATS (+122.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 11-37 ATS (+74.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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NY RANGERS (8-2-0-2, 18 pts.) at COLORADO (4-8-0-1, 9 pts.) - 11/6/2015, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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COLUMBUS (4-10-0-0, 8 pts.) at ANAHEIM (3-7-0-2, 8 pts.) - 11/6/2015, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 6

Hot teams
-- Red Wings won last two games 2-1/5-3, after a 1-6 skid.
-- Devils won five of their last seven games.
-- Dallas Stars won eight of their last ten games. Carolina won three of its last four.
-- Rangers won five of their last six games.
-- Pittsburgh won last five games, allowing seven goals.
-- Columbus is 4-2 in last six games, after an 0-8 start. Ducks won last two games 3-2/4-2, after losing seven of previous eight games.

Cold teams
-- Maple Leafs lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Blackhawks lost three of their last four games.
-- Avalanche lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Edmonton lost four of its last six games.

Series records
-- Devils lost their last four games with Chicago.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Dallas Stars won five of last seven games with Carolina.
-- Rangers lost five of last seven games with Colorado.
-- Penguins won seven of last nine games with Edmonton.
-- Blue Jackets won four of last six games with Anaheim.

Totals
-- Last three Chicago games went over total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Detroit games.
-- Five of last six Dallas games went over total.
-- Last three Colorado games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Pittsburgh games; Oilers' last four games went over.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Columbus games.

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, November 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 17 games
New Jersey is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Detroit is 4-7-2 SU in its last 13 games ,when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

9:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Rangers last 9 games
Colorado is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Colorado is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Rangers

9:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. ANAHEIM
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Anaheim is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL

Friday, November 6


Wild's Dalpe undergoes hip surgery

Minnesota Wild center Zac Dalpe had successful surgery to repair a torn labrum in his left hip on Thursday, the team announced.

The procedure was performed by Dr. Chris Larson in Edina, Minn. The 26-year-old Dalpe is expected to return to the ice in about five months.

Dalpe was signed by the Wild in July after playing in 21 games (one goal, two assists) for the Buffalo Sabres last season. In 117 career NHL games with the Carolina Hurricanes, Vancouver Canucks and Sabres, Dalpe has 10 goals, 10 assists and 20 penalty minutes.




NHL roundup: Lightning strike down Sabres

BUFFALO, N.Y. -- A three-goal burst in the first period led the Tampa Bay Lightning to a 4-1 win over the Buffalo Sabres on Thursday night.

Steven Stamkos, Tyler Johnson, Nikita Kucherov and Victor Hedman scored for the Lightning while Andrei Vasilevskiy made 30 saves.

Jack Eichel scored for the Sabres.

After Sabres starting goalie Linus Ullmark surrendered three goals on 11 shots in the first period, he was replaced by Chad Johnson entered and stopped all 10 shots he faced.

Capitals 4, Bruins 1

WASHINGTON -- Braden Holtby finally allowed a goal to Boston, but Washington capitalized on a 5-on-3 power play with a goal from John Carlson to propel it to victory.

Brooks Laich, Alex Ovechkin and Karl Alzner also scored for the Capitals while Holtby made 28 saves.

Jimmy Hayes scored Boston's goal and Tuukka Rask made 27 saves.

Canadiens 4, Islanders 1

MONTREAL -- Center David Desharnais' goal stood as the winner as Montreal beat the New York Islanders at the Bell Centre.

Dale Weise, Brendan Gallagher and Tomas Plekanec also scored for the Canadiens. Kyle Okposo connected for New York.

Jaroslav Halak stopped 20 shots for the Islanders and Mike Condon made 17 saves for Montreal.

Senators 3, Jets 2 (SO)

OTTAWA -- Shootout goals by Bobby Ryan, Kyle Turris and Mika Zibanejad gave Ottawa a win over Winnipeg at Canadian Tire Centre.

Cody Ceci and Ryan had the regulation goals for the Senators. The Jets' goals came from Andrew Ladd and Dustin Byfuglien.

Craig Anderson made the only save of the shootout, coming out of his net to stop Ladd.

Predators 3, Wild 2

SAINT PAUL, Minn. -- Cody Hodgson scored late in the third period, lifting Nashville over Minnesota.

Mike Fisher and Roman Josi also scored for the Predators, who snapped a two-game winless streak. Pekka Rinne had 27 saves in the win.

Marco Scandella and Matt Dumba scored power-play goals for Minnesota, which dropped its first home game of the season.

Flames 2, Flyers 1 (OT)

CALGARY, Alberta -- Mikael Backlund scored 35 seconds into overtime to give Calgary a win over Philadelphia.

Josh Jooris also scored for the Flames, winners for just the third time in eight home starts. Michael Raffl scored for the Flyers, who have lost five straight.

Karri Ramo made 26 saves for the Flames while Michal Neuvirth made 28.

Coyotes 4, Avalanche 2

GLENDALE, Ariz. -- Nicklas Grossmann posted the first two-goal game of his 11-year career, and center Martin Hanzal notched two assists in his return to the lineup as Arizona snapped a three-game home losing streak with a win over Colorado at Gila River Arena.

Tobias Rieder and Jordan Martinook scored the other goals for Arizona while Cody McLeod and Matt Duchene scored for Colorado.

G Mike Smith made 26 saves for the Coyotes to post the first save percentage above .900 in his past eight games. Semyon Varlamov made 24 saves for Colorado.

Sharks 5, Panthers 2

SAN JOSE, Calif. -- Five different skaters scored goals and back-up goalie Alex Stalock won his first game of the year as San Jose beat Florida at SAP Center.

Stalock stopped 31 shots while getting his third start of the year in favor of starter Martin Jones, who got pulled after two periods from Tuesday's loss. Stalock, who was 0-2 with a 3.94 goals-against average and .847 save percentage, won for the first time since April 1 last season.

Brent Burns, Joonas Donskoi, Patrick Marleau, Marc-Edouard Vlasic and Chris Tierney all scored for San Jose while Vincent Trocheck and Brandon Pirri lit the lamp for Florida.

Blue Jackets 3, Kings 2

LOS ANGELES -- Gregory Campbell's first goal of the season midway through the third period lifted Columbus over the Los Angeles Kings at Staples Center.

Brandon Dubinsky added a goal and an assist and Cam Atkinson scored the other goal for the Blue Jackets and Sergei Bobrovsky had 31 saves.

Jeff Carter and Alec Martinez scored for the Kings, who got 22 saves from Jonathan Quick.

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, November 6


Marian Hossa, Chicago - Doub Fri

Hossa has missed the last three games with a lower-body injury and is unlikely to return Friday against the Devils.


Penguins are the league's best Under wager

The Pittsburgh Penguins head into Friday's meeting with the Edmonton Oilers as the best Under bet in the league at 1-8-3 Over/Under through their first dozen games of the season.

The Pens rank 24th in the NHL with 2.25 goals scored per game and are just behind the Montreal Canadiens allowing just 1.83 goals per game.

Pittsburgh continues its road trip out west with a stop at the Oilers Friday. Books currently have the total at 5.


Under trending when Red Wings face Maple Leafs

Dating back to October of last season, the Under has gone 6-0 in the previous six meetings between the Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs.

That streak is made up of all five meetings between the two original six teams last season and the first meeting between the two this season.

The contests average 3.8 goals scored per game, including a 4-0 Wings victory back on Oct. 9 of this season.

Books have a total of 5 on the board for this one with Petr Mrazek and James Reimer probable to start between the pipes for the Wings and Leafs respectively.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, November 6

Chicago at New Jersey, 7:05 PM ET
Chicago: 15-3 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs
New Jersey: 18-42 SU in non-conference games

Detroit at Toronto, 7:05 PM ET
Detroit: 9-7 SU off a home win against a division rival
Toronto: 7-23 SU after a non-conference game

Dallas at Carolina, 7:05 PM ET
Dallas: 6-0 SU when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days
Carolina: 1-11 SU off a close home loss by 1 goal

Pittsburgh at Edmonton, 9:05 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 6-1 SU after a game where they covered the spread
Edmonton: 2-11 SU in home games off a home win by 2 goals or more

NY Rangers at Colorado, 9:05 PM ET
New York: N/A
Colorado: N/A

Columbus at Anaheim, 10:05 PM ET
Columbus: N/A
Anaheim: N/A