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**Udog** · 11-02-2015, 08:27 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 8 season record: 25-22-2

6) Steelers even (462)-- Big Ben returns against the unbeaten Bengals- L.

5) Broncos +3 (470)-- Battle of unbeatens, both coming off of byes- W.

4) Bears +1.5 (499)- Vikings lost their last seven visits to Windy City- L.

3) Packers -3 (511). Lot of opinions both ways on this game- L.

2) Jets -2.5 (530)-- Jets will miss center Mangold if he can't go here- L.

1) Cardinals -5 (538)-- Arizona's last game before its bye week- W.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.....

13) Saints 52, Giants 49 OT-- Drew Brees threw for seven TDs; he had 300 passing yards......at halftime, 511 for the game. Weird stat: Giants scored 42 points but were only 1 for 8 on third down- they scored 21 straight points in 4th quarter to take lead, but Saints scored 10 points in last 0:36. Game swung on facemask penalty on Giants punter Wing that set up game-winning FG.

12) Chiefs 45, Lions 10-- Why did I get up at 9:29am to watch a Jim Caldwell team get pummeled? Chiefs were 8-13 on third down, ran for 206 yards. Not sure why the Lions fired three coaches before the London trip, when they have a bye week now?

11) Vikings 23, Bears 20-- Minnesota had lost seven in a row in Chicago, but they scored 10 points in last 1:49 for win, with rookie WR Diggs catching 40-yard TD that tied game in dramatic fashion. Last four Chicago tilts were decided by 3 or less points.

10) Bucs 23, Falcons 20 OT-- FOX analyst Charles Davis defended Lovie Smith's choice to go for it on his own 39 on 4th-and-1 with 2:00 left and a 20-13 lead- when the Bucs failed, Falcons had short field and tied game. Whole thing became moot when Tampa won in OT, but Smith made a foolish decision and got away with it.

9) Rams 27, 49ers 6-- Rookie RB Gurley is the real deal; rest of the Rams' offense is a work in progress- their defense is stellar, which is why Rams are 4-3. St Louis offense had two TDs of 60+ yards in this game, first time they've done that since 1961. Refs in this game think people paid to watch them throw flags-- too many cheap penalties.

8) Cardinals 34, Browns 20-- Arizona scored last 27 points of this game; they head into their bye at 6-2; they were -3 in turnovers in both losses. Cleveland has now lost five of its last six games-- seven of their eight games have gone went over total. NFC teams are now 18-13 against the AFC so far this season.

7) Royals 7, Mets 2 (12)-- I have no problem with Mets leaving Harvey in for ninth inning; he was mowing the Royals down. You can make the right decision and have it turn out the wrong way. Thats what makes coaching/managing such a challenging and interesting profession. Everyone's a freakin' genius the next day.

6) Bengals 16, Steelers 10-- Big Ben had Steelers in red zone at end of game but 7-0 Bengals held on for the win, in game where teams were combined 7-26 on 3rd down- each team had ten penalties. Last six Pittsburgh games stayed under total. While I am here, the Steelers' throwback uniforms are simply awful, like old prison garb.

5) Ravens 29, Chargers 26-- San Diego's defense/special teams aren't doing much to help the offense; 53 of Chargers' last 66 drives started 80+ yards from goal line; in last six games, San Diego started one drive in opponent territory- the foes started 12 drives in Charger territory. Hard to win that way.

4) Texans 20, Titans 6-- Captain Obvious checked in to inform us that the NFL has a shortage of quality QBs; rookies are starting right out of college now, which makes it a sink or swim situation, rather than a developmental one. Titans have 36 points in four post-bye games, after losing 35-33 to Colts in their pre-bye game- they're 2-20 in last 22 games overall, since upsetting Chiefs on Opening Day, 2014. .

3) Raiders 34, Jets 20-- Fitzpatrick hurt his left thumb early in game; Deion Sanders had the onions to criticize him for coming out, since it wasn't his throwing hand. Guy has torn ligaments in the thumb-- Deion is stealing $$$ on TV. Jets are screwed now; Geno Smith also got banged up but he sucks anyway, so they need to find a QB out on the street who can help them, if Fitzpatrick needs surgery. Good luck there.

2) Seahawks 13, Cowboys 12-- Dallas is 0-5 without Romo but dammit, they're still on national TV each and every week. Both teams were futile in red zone; five FGs on five red zone drives. Observation: Russell Wilson got tossed out of bounds by #90 on Dallas, a clean hit but a hard one- no Seahawks ran over to help him. Hmmm.....

1) Broncos 29, Packers 10-- Green Bay was in wrong place at wrong time, on a night where Denver honored their beloved owner. Broncos are now 7-0 with Manning going back to Indianapolis next week. Packers are OK, as long as Matthews' injury isn't too bad- they go to Carolina next week.

**Udog** · 11-02-2015, 08:27 AM

Alabama sent out as 6.5-point home fave versus LSU in Week 10

LSU has gone 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread in the previous four meetings with the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Alabama has been in the national championship hunt regularly the past several years, and was one of the four teams to make the Football Bowl Subdivision’s first-ever playoff last season. Louisiana State would like to climb back into the national title picture this year.

But to do that, the Tigers are going to have to go through ‘Bama on Saturday, in a key Southeastern Conference game that highlights Week 10 of the college football season.

LSU (7-0 SU, 4-3 ATS) has ridden breakout running back Leonard Fournette to an unbeaten mark and comes to Tuscaloosa off a bye week. The Tigers rolled past Western Kentucky 48-20 laying 16 points at home on Oct. 24.

The Crimson Tide (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) are also coming off a bye week and are among the best one-loss teams in the country, so they remain in the hunt for the four-team playoff again. Alabama held off Tennessee 19-14 on Oct. 24, falling well short as a 14.5-point home favorite.

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports for Wynn Las Vegas, sent Alabama out as a 6.5-point favorite.

“This one may decide which of these two reach the four-team playoff,” Avello said. “LSU hasn’t won this matchup since 2011, and traditionally, this pair is hard-pressed to reach 40 points. Alabama will open somewhere around a touchdown favorite.”

Florida State Seminoles at Clemson Tigers

Clemson (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) continues to lead the pack in the Atlantic Coast Conference after topping North Carolina State 56-41 on Saturday as a 13.5-point road fave. That came a week after the Tigers drubbed host Miami 58-0 giving 9.5 points.

But the Seminoles, who won the 2013 national title and made the four-team playoff last year, will certainly be Clemson’s toughest test. Florida State (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) stubbed its toe at Georgia Tech in a 22-16 loss laying 5.5 points, but bounced back Saturday to rip Syracuse 45-21 as a 16.5-point home fave. And the ‘Noles won without starting quarterback Everett Golson (concussion) and starting running back Dalvin Cook (ankle).

With the status of both those players uncertain, Avello had to hold off on the opening line, but he’s wary of the banged-up Seminoles.

“You better be at full strength when you play the surging Clemson Tigers, and Florida State has huge question marks with Golson and Cook,” Avello said. “Clemson QB Deshaun Watson and the entire offensive unit has put on a clinic over the past two weeks, and the Tigers are looking to show who is this year’s top dog in the ACC Atlantic Division, after losing to the Seminoles the past three years.”

Texas Christian Horned Frogs (-3.5) at Oklahoma State Cowboys

If a Big 12 team is going to make the four-team playoff, this game could have a lot to do with it. Texas Christian (8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS), certainly still smarting from missing the playoff last year, wiped out West Virginia 40-10 last Thursday giving a dozen points at home.

Oklahoma State, meanwhile, is a bit of a shocker to still be in this position, unbeaten at 8-0 SU (5-3 ATS). It looked as if the Cowboys would suffer their first loss on Saturday at Texas Tech, where they trailed 17-0 in the first quarter and didn’t lead until late in the third quarter, when they went up 42-38. But a 28-point fourth gave them a 70-53 win laying 2 points.

“Oklahoma State showed some fight after being down 24-7 and rallied back to win by 17,” Avello said. “From the beginning of the season, I thought the Cowboys would be successful, but I didn’t think they would be 8-0 at this juncture. One would assume they will be highly motivated to go 9-0 after last year’s 42-9 loss at TCU.”

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-8) at Pittsburgh Panthers

The Fighting Irish (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) are among the one-loss teams hoping to keep their playoff hopes alive, and they nearly blew it as 11-point faves Saturday night at Temple. Notre Dame needed a late touchdown to salvage a 24-20 victory.

Pitt (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) had surged into the national rankings after a four-game win streak – including three on the road – but fell flat as a 1-point home underdog in a 26-19 loss to North Carolina last Thursday.

“Pitt didn’t play Notre Dame last year, after playing the Irish from 2008 to 2013,” Avello said. “The Panthers went 3-3 in those six games (4-1-1 ATS), and the three losses were by a combined total of 12 points. These two schools have a history of great battles.”

**Udog** · 11-02-2015, 08:31 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 2

Hot teams
-- Dallas Stars won eight of their last nine games.
-- Kings won last seven games, allowing nine goals. Chicago won its last five home games, allowing a total of four goals.

Cold teams
-- Toronto lost its last six games, scoring nine goals.
-- Flyers lost last three games, scoring five goals. Canucks lost five of last seven games.

Series records
-- Maple Leafs won five of last six games with Dallas.
-- Kings lost four of last six games with Chicago.
-- Flyers lost six of last seven games with Vancouver.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Dallas games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-0-2 in last nine Chicago-LA games.
-- Last three Vancouver games went over the total.

NHL

Monday, November 2

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. TORONTO
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Dallas's last 18 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games

8:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Chicago
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

10:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. VANCOUVER
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vancouver's last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

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**Udog** · 11-02-2015, 08:33 AM

NHL

Monday, November 2

Canadiens G Price out at least a week

Montreal Canadiens goaltender Carey Price will be out for at least a week with a lower-body injury, the team announced Sunday.

Price was hurt during the Canadiens' 4-3 loss to the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday night.

Mike Condon, a 25-year-old rookie, was to start in place of Price on Sunday against the Winnipeg Jets. The Canadiens called up goalie Dustin Tokarski from St. John's of the American Hockey League while Price is sidelined.

Price, last season's Vezina and Hart Trophy winner, had a 2.01 goals-against average and a .936 save percentage in eight games to start the 2015-16 season.

**Udog** · 11-02-2015, 09:11 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, November 2

Los Angeles @ Chicago

Game 3-4
November 2, 2015 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
11.244
Chicago
12.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-125
5
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-125); Over

Philadelphia @ Vancouver

Game 5-6
November 2, 2015 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
11.187
Vancouver
12.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-160
5
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-160); Over

Dallas @ Toronto

Game 1-2
November 2, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
12.861
Toronto
10.448
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
4 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-165); Under

**Udog** · 11-02-2015, 11:04 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, November 2

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DALLAS (9-2-0-0, 18 pts.) at TORONTO (1-7-0-2, 4 pts.) - 11/2/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 26-14 ATS (+42.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-18 ATS (+46.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+20.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-26 ATS (+65.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
DALLAS is 9-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-5 ATS (+21.5 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 31-61 ATS (-52.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-26 ATS (+39.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 8-26 ATS (+39.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (7-3-0-0, 14 pts.) at CHICAGO (6-5-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/2/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 47-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-24 ATS (-10.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 42-22 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-22 ATS (-17.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-5 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.2 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (4-4-0-2, 10 pts.) at VANCOUVER (5-2-0-4, 14 pts.) - 11/2/2015, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-16 ATS (-11.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-28 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-15 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 156-98 ATS (+37.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 9-14 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 4-8 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/2

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/2

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