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**Udog** · 10-19-2015, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 1 season record: 19-16-1

6) Giants +4.5 (384)-- Lost 11 of last 14 games against the Eagles.

5) Lions -3 (417)-- Lot of people have faith in this winless favorite. T

4) Bills +3.5 (470)-- Only QBs to beat Buffalo both won multiple Super Bowls. L

3) Vikings -4 (547)-- Minnesota lost its last five post-bye games. W

2) Cardinals -3 (768)-- Bruce Arians against his former employer. L

1) Patriots -7.5 (849)-- NE scored 47 ppg in last four games vs Colts. L

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.......

13) Broncos 26, Browns 23 OT-- Denver is 6-0; their defense scored another TD, the offense also scored one TD, is now just 12-52 on 3rd down last four games. Browns played third game in row decided on last play- they lost two of them.

12) Bengals 34, Bills 21-- Cincy had huge 26-yard advantage in field position; every Buffalo drive started 80+ yards from goal line. Unbeaten Bengals have a bye week coming up, before they go to Pittsburgh in Week 8.

11) Vikings 16, Chiefs 10-- Minnesota is 3-0 at home, 0-2 on road; Chiefs lost last five games. KC had only three points on two red zone drives- they had only 51 yards in first half. Rookie WR Diggs caught seven balls for 129 yards for Minnesota.

10) Texans 31, Jaguars 20-- Houston was +3 in turnovers; they had two takeaways in first five games combined. Divisional home favorites are now 3-14 vs spread this season. Jaguars head to London next week to play the Bills.

9) Lions 37, Bears 34 OT-- Detroit gets first win in weird game where Chicago had a 15-yard edge in field position but was -2 in turnovers. Bears' last two TD drives were both less than 25 yards. Detroit kicked a FG at 2:46 mark to cut Chicago lead to 31-27, a poor decision, but both teams scored after that, to send game to OT.

8) Jets 34, Redskins 20-- Washington is very banged up, missing two starters on OL, the guy who broke Geno Smith's jaw should get a bonus from Jets, as Fitzpatrick has been very solid in this 4-1 start by Gang Green. Jets averaged 9.7 ypa here; only TDs by Washington came on a 37-yard drive and a blocked punt.

7) Mets 4, Cubs 1-- Chicago is in deep trouble after ace Arrieta lost; series moves to Wrigley Field Tuesday night. Murphy homered again for the Mets.

6) Steelers 25, Cardinals 13-- 3rd-string QB Jones came off bench to spark Steelers; he is better than Vick, who pulled hamstring. Arizona has two losses; in both games, they were -3 in turnovers. Redbirds had 469-310 edge in TY, but their 111 penalty yards all seemed to come at key times.

5) Dolphins 38, Titans 10-- Miami's defense was supposedly unhappy with old DC who got fired; they had six sacks, four takeaways vs rookie QB Mariota, as Tennessee finishes three-game homestand 0-3. AFC South teams are 4-9 vs spread in non-division games this season.

4) Panthers 27, Seahawks 23-- Carolina had two TDs in last 3:55, scoring winning TD with 0;32 left; Seahawks have now had a 4th quarter lead in their last five losses. Unbeaten Panthers are now 13-5 vs spread in last 18 games as a road underdog.

3) Packers 27, Chargers 20-- Rivers threw for 503 yards but San Diego is now 0-3 on road, though they're 14-7-1 vs spread in last 22 games as road dog. Green Bay is now 6-0 heading into its bye week; this was first game they didn't cover this year.

2) 49ers 25, Ravens 20-- Niners are giving up 13.3 ppg at home, 40 ppg on road; they averaged 10.9 ypa vs Baltimore defense that has seen better days. Ravens are 1-5 and in a freefall; they were -2 in turnovers, had only 13 points in three red zone drives.

1) Patriots 34, Colts 27-- Game swung on ill-conceived fake punt by Indy in third quarter; two of their three wins this year cae with 40-year old backup QB Hasselbeck playing. Unsure why they let coach Pagano coach this season as a lame duck; if they don't want him, should've fired him last winter and moved on.

**Udog** · 10-19-2015, 08:32 AM

Red-hot Clemson opens as 5-point road favorite at Miami

Arguably, Clemson’s biggest road test the rest of the way is this week at Miami.

There hasn’t been a whole lot of talk about Clemson through the first seven weeks of the 2015 college football season. That could change soon if the Tigers keep it up.

Clemson is now 6-0 SU (3-3 ATS), and although Florida State looms large a couple of weeks from now, that game is at home. Arguably, Clemson’s biggest road test the rest of the way is this week at Miami.

The Tigers already own a victory over a solid Notre Dame squad, and on Saturday, they coasted past Boston College 34-17, failing to cash as 18-point chalk when BC put up an otherwise meaningless touchdown with 1:29 left in the game.

Miami (4-2 SU and ATS) bounced back from a pair of losses – including a near upset at Florida State – to best Virginia Tech 30-20 Saturday laying 3 points at home.

Johnny Avello, executive director of race and sports at Wynn Las Vegas, made Clemson a 5-point favorite.

“Clemson seems to have put it somewhat together after a couple of nailbiters against Louisville and Notre Dame,” Avello said. “One of the Tigers’ major issues has been turnovers, and because of that, their opponents are never out of it. Miami needs this ‘W’ to stay in the ACC Coastal Division hunt."

Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi Rebels (-4.5)

Texas A&M (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) just hit its first bump in the road this season, though that bump came in the form of perennial national title contender Alabama.

The Aggies got thumped 41-23 as a 5-point home underdog Saturday.

Still, that doesn’t take A&M out of the SEC title picture yet. Mississippi, however, already got trounced at Florida (38-10 giving 6.5 points), and on Saturday, the Rebels were dealt a shocking 37-24 nonconference loss at Memphis as a 10-point favorite.

“Both of these teams’ national championship hopes were deflated on Saturday,” Avello said. “Texas A&M at least had an excuse, playing college football's elite, but Ole Miss didn't and took Memphis too lightly after having a 14-0 lead. The Aggies go on the road for the first time this year, where they have struggled in past years.”

Utah Utes at Southern California Trojans (-3)

Southern Cal (3-3 SU and ATS) has seen a once-promising season turn into a dumpster fire, with the lowlight being last week’s firing of coach Steve Sarkisian.

Yet interim coach Clay Helton and the Trojans gave Notre Dame a big fight on Saturday and will actually be favored against unbeaten Utah.

USC, a 6-point road ‘dog, ripped off 21 straight points to erase a 24-10 deficit and take a 31-24 lead five minutes into the third quarter, but the Irish rallied for the last 17 points of the game to win, 41-31.

Utah (6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS) is not only atop the Pac-12 but also in the early conversation for this year’s four-team playoff. The Utes dispatched Arizona State 34-18 as a 4.5-point fave Saturday.

“What a year for the Utes, as they continue to find ways to win,” Avello said. “The Utah run defense has been very difficult to penetrate – just ask Arizona State – so USC quarterback Cody Kessler needs to be super sharp in this matchup.”

California Golden Bears at UCLA Bruins (-5.5)

Beyond Utah, the Pac-12 is jumbled up at midseason, with Cal and UCLA both still in the mix in the North and South divisions respectively, heading into a Thursday night showdown.

The Golden Bears (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) took their lone loss the last time out, a respectable 30-24 setback catching 7.5 points at Utah on Oct. 10. Cal is coming off its bye.

The Bruins (4-2 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) got out of the gate with four straight victories, but they’ve stubbed their toes hard in the last two games. On Oct. 3, UCLA tumbled to Arizona State 38-23 giving 12.5 points at home, and a bye week did little to help the Bruins, as they got steamrolled 56-35 getting 6.5 points at Stanford on Thursday.

“Cal is having a very successful season, with the only setback a close loss to Utah,” Avello said. “UCLA has a two-game losing skid, as it did last year at this time of the season, and guess who the Bruins met? Yes, Cal, and the Bruins won a close one (36-34 as 6.5-point road faves). This game should attract good action, as it's the marquee college matchup on Thursday night.”

**Udog** · 10-19-2015, 08:40 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 19

San Jose @ NY Rangers

Game 1-2
October 19, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
11.698
NY Rangers
10.800
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
N/A

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 19

Hot teams
-- Sharks won four of their first five games this season.

Cold teams
-- Rangers lost last three games, 3-0/4-1/2-1. .

Series records
-- Rangers won four of ast six games with San Jose.

Totals
-- Three of last four San Jose games stayed under total.

NHL

Monday, October 19

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. NY RANGERS
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Jose is 4-8-1 SU in their last 13 games ,when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-19-2015, 08:43 AM

NHL

Monday, October 19

Canadiens winning on the ice and at the betting window to begin the season

It's early days still, but the Montreal Canadiens have firmly established themselves as one of, if not the, best team in the league so far in the 2015-16 season.

The Habs have skated out to a 6-0 record and have beaten some quality opponents along the way, earning backers some decent pay out of the gate.

The season began with four wins on the road as faves of -160 at the Toronto Maple Leafs, -115 at the Boston Bruins, -107 at the Ottawa Senators and as +113 dogs at the Pittsburgh Penguins. Recently, on home ice, they defeated the New York Rangers priced at -118 and the Detroit Red Wings at around -178.

Thanks to those numbers, the Habs have earned $496.84 if a bettor wagered $100 on each of their games this season.

Habs bettors will look for the good times to continue when they host the St. Louis Blues Tuesday evening.

NHL roundup: Ducks finally break out, get first win

ANAHEIM, Calif. -- The Anaheim Ducks ended a nearly season-long offensive drought with a 4-1 win over the Minnesota Wild on Sunday night in front of 16,784 at the Honda Center.

Cam Fowler scored the Ducks' first goal in 173 consecutive minutes midway through the first period while centers Rickard Rakell and Mike Santorelli, and defenseman Hampus Lindholm also scored.

Anton Khudobin made 34 saves in his second start of the season as the Ducks earned their first win. Minnesota absorbed its second successive loss after winning its first three games.

Nino Niederreiter scored for Minnesota, while Devan Dubnyk finished with 18 saves.

Kings 2, Avalanche 1 (OT)

LOS ANGELES -- Tyler Toffoli scored the go-ahead goal in the second period, and Los Angeles defeated Colorado for the sixth consecutive time.

Jonathan Quick stopped 22 of 23 shots as the Kings capped a five-game homestand with their second win in a row. Marian Gaborik also scored for Los Angeles.

Reto Berra, who blanked the Anaheim Ducks on Friday in a 3-0 decision, saved 38 of 40 attempts for the Avalanche.

Blues 4, Jets 2

WINNIPEG, Manitoba -- Vladimir Tarasenko scored a pair of goals to power St. Louis over Winnipeg at the MTS Center.

Scottie Upshall and Carl Gunnarsson also scored for St. Louis while Mathieu Perreault and Drew Stafford scored for the Jets.

St. Louis goalie Brian Elliott made 27 saves for his fourth win of the young season, while Ondrej Pavelec stopped 37 shots in the Winnipeg net.

Devils 2, Rangers 1

NEW YORK -- Lee Stempniak scored with 1:53 remaining in overtime to give New Jersey a victory against the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden.

The win was the first of the season for the Devils.

Adam Henrique also scored his third goal for the Devils, who received 26 saves from goaltender Cory Schneider.

Derek Stepan scored his third goal of the season while Henrik Lundqvist made 22 saves.

Oilers 2, Canucks 1 (OT)

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Lauri Korpikoski scored at 1:27 of three-on-three overtime to give Edmonton a victory over Vancouver.

Nail Yakupov, on a power play, also scored for Edmonton. Connor McDavid, the first overall pick in this year's draft, had an assist. Defenseman Matt Bartkowski scored for Vancouver.

Ryan Miller stopped 22 shots for Vancouver while Oilers goalie Anders Nilsson made 33 saves.

**Udog** · 10-19-2015, 07:18 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 19

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SAN JOSE (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) at NY RANGERS (3-2-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/19/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/19

Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 10/19

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