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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/6

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, May 6

    Good Luck on day #126 of 2015!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    -- Angels' attendance is down 3,600 a game from last year; thats what happens when you don't make the playoffs.

    -- Calgary 4, Anaheim 3 OT-- Flames tied game with 0:19 left, handed Ducks their first playoff loss 4:24 into OT. Each team had only 21 shots on goal.

    -- Memphis 97, Golden State 90-- Steph Curry got his MVP trophy, then got his butt kicked by the Grizzlies.

    -- Hawks 106, Wizards 90-- How do star players sit out playoff games, unless they are badly hurt? John Wall couldn't play in this game?

    -- Red Sox 2, Rays 0-- This was the 21st big league game this season that was 0-0 after the fifth inning.

    -- Angels 5, Mariners 4-- Only game of night where winning run scored after the 6th inning. 24 of 28 starting pitchers got decisions last night, an unusually high number.

    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Random mid-week thoughts.....

    13) Mike Conley is a tough dude; he scored 22 points in 27:00 despite playing with a broken face as Memphis upset the Warriors 97-90. Conley missed three games after suffering multiple facial fractures in the Portland series.

    12) There was some back/forth between Steph Curry and Virginia Tech this week, about whether the Hokies had offered Dell Curry's son a scholarship in his senior year of high school. It got to the point where Seth Greenberg, who works for ESPN now but was Tech's coach back then, issued a statement on the subject.

    Tech offered Steph Curry a 4-year scholarship, but after he spent his first year as a walk-on, since they had a scholarship logjam that year. Dell Curry, one of Tech's best-ever players, understood, but apparently Mrs Curry put the kibosh on the deal and her son went to Davidson.

    11) Bartolo Colon has beaten the Orioles while pitching for seven different teams, the first major league pitcher ever to do that.

    10) Getting a batter to swing/miss is a basic element of pitching; the pitchers this season who have produced the highest pecentage of misses on batters' swings against them are:
    1) James Shields, San Diego 32.8%
    2) Danny Salazar, Cleveland 32.5%
    3) Francisco Liriano, Pittsburgh 31.8%
    4) Tyson Ross, San Diego 30.9%

    9) There will be 42 college football bowl games this coming fall; two teams will play two games, with the playoff system, so that means 82 teams out of 127 are going to go bowling this season. Three short words: too many bowls.

    8) Read this week that of all the NFL teams, Cincinnati Bengal coaches have the most input of any coaches on their team's draft decisions.

    7) Giants' #1 draft pick Ereck Flowers will negotiate his own rookie contract, with help from his father.

    6) Why don't media outlets analyze drafts from 3-4 years ago, when you can actually tell everything that happened, rather than this year's draft, when no one really knows who did the best/worst?

    5) Arizona tight end John Carlson retired this week at age 30, odd timing; you would think the Cardinals would've wanted to know that before the draft, not three days after the draft.

    4) Road team is 7-5 in NHL overtime playoff games this spring.

    3) 1960 Philadelphia Phillies are last team to lose three straight games, all by a 1-0 score.

    2) Left field bleachers at Wrigley Field are opening Monday; the ones in right field may not open until after the All-Star break, as Wrigley Field is undergoing renovations that will take a long time to finish.

    1) Quite a night in Anaheim for rookie catcher Carlos Perez, who hit a walk-off homer in his first major league game, as the Angels beat Seattle 5-4.

    Comment


    • #3
      See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

      Letdown spot

      The names have changed, with Rex Ryan sporting the blue and red of the Buffalo Bills, but the disdain is the same. Ryan and his new team will host rivals and defending Super Bowl champs, the New England Patriots in Week 2. The game will serve as a litmus test for Buffalo and its place in the AFC East. The Bills made some noise this offseason and a lot of those transaction were with this game in mind.

      That massive matchup with the hated Pats, leaves Buffalo vulnerable to a letdown spot in Week 3. It travels to South Beach for a standoff against the Miami Dolphins, who opened as 2-point favorites versus Buffalo. Win or loss against New England, the Bills are ripe for the letdown in this Week 3 road game.

      Lookahead spot

      The Oakland A’s are longing for the crisp air of the San Francisco Bay, and will have been on the road for 11 days spanning 10 games when this current stretch of schedule closes in Seattle this coming Sunday. Oakland is off to a rough start on this current trip, splitting wins and losses against sub-par competition in Texas and Minnesota.

      The Athletics have had trouble taming the home side to open this road trip, giving up a combined 22 runs through the first four games heading into Tuesday night. Oakland dropped two of three home meetings with Seattle last month and could get caught looking ahead to the friendly confines of the O.co Coliseum in the series finale at Safeco Sunday.

      Schedule spot

      The Miami Marlins are having a hard enough time battling foes on Eastern standard time. Now, Miami hops the country for a four-game set on the other side of the planet with the San Francisco Giants, starting Thursday in AT&T Park.

      The Marlins are in Washington right now, finishing up in DC with a 1:05 p.m. ET first pitch Wednesday. Then, the Fish hop a plane for the West Coast and throw out the first pitch in the Bay Area at 10:15 p.m. ET Thursday. Miami went on an 11-game trek to the left side of the country last May, finishing 4-7 during that stretch.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Dunkel

        Wednesday, May 6



        Montreal Canadiens @ Tampa Bay Lightning

        Game 73-74
        May 6, 2015 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Montreal Canadien
        11.976
        Tampa Bay Lightni
        13.439
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Tampa Bay Lightni
        by 1 1/2
        6
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Tampa Bay Lightni
        -150
        5
        Dunkel Pick:
        Tampa Bay Lightni
        (-150); Over

        New York Rangers @ Washington Capitals


        Game 75-76
        May 6, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New York Rangers
        13.154
        Washington Capita
        10.059
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        New York Rangers
        by 3
        5
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        New York Rangers
        -115
        4 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        New York Rangers
        (-115); Over





        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, May 6


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MONTREAL (54-25-0-11, 119 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (56-27-0-8, 120 pts.) - 5/6/2015, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TAMPA BAY is 13-2 ATS (+15.0 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
        TAMPA BAY is 181-191 ATS (+455.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
        MONTREAL is 54-36 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all games this season.
        MONTREAL is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
        MONTREAL is 32-23 ATS (+56.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTREAL is 26-13 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTREAL is 53-40 ATS (+93.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


        Head-to-Head Series History
        TAMPA BAY is 10-8 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        TAMPA BAY is 10-8-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NY RANGERS (58-25-0-7, 123 pts.) at WASHINGTON (51-29-0-12, 114 pts.) - 5/6/2015, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 29-23 ATS (-2.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        NY RANGERS are 58-32 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
        NY RANGERS are 20-7 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
        NY RANGERS are 38-17 ATS (+13.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
        NY RANGERS are 28-10 ATS (+13.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
        NY RANGERS are 21-11 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
        NY RANGERS are 13-3 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
        NY RANGERS are 12-6 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
        NY RANGERS are 12-3 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
        NY RANGERS are 16-10 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        NY RANGERS are 11-4 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
        WASHINGTON is 13-25 ATS (-27.4 Units) in home games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NY RANGERS is 12-9 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        NY RANGERS is 12-9-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.4 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Wednesday, May 6


        Washington won last four home games, allowing five goals; they won 40 of 58 faceoffs in shutting out NY 1-0 in Game 3, scoring only goal at 7:36 of second period. Rangers won four of their last five road games, allowing seven goals. Under is 6-1-1 in Ranger playoff games, 6-2-2 in Washington's games. New York won nine of last 13 games overall- they won three of last five visits here. Capitals are 21-22 killing penalties in playoffs; they won five of last seven games overall. There were only nine penalties called during first two games. Rangers outshot Washington 38-18 in first period in series, were outshot 65-59 in periods 2-3.

        Tampa Bay won its last seven games with Montreal; they scored three power play goals in a 14:08 span of 2nd/3rd period to put Game 2 away- they were 4-8 on power play Sunday. Six of last eight series games went over total. Habs lost 4-2/7-1 in last two visits here; Lightning has now won its last four games overall. Canadiens have now lost four of last five games overall; four of their last six games stayed under total. Montreal had 70-53 edge in hits in first two games, but they lost, are down 2-0 in series, needing win in this building to prevent a sweep. Canadiens are 0-6 on power play in series.

        2015 NHL playoffs
        Washington vs NY Rangers
        Wash 2-1, +$143, U5
        NYR 3-2, -$174, N5
        Wash 1-0, +$105, U5

        Tampa Bay vs Montreal
        TB 2-1 OT, +$107, U5
        TB 6-2, +$125, O5

        Calgary vs Anaheim
        Ana 6-1, -$190, O5.5
        Ana 3-0, -$215, U5.5
        Cal 4-3 OT, +$106, O5.5

        Minnesota vs Chicago
        Chi 4-3, -$135, O5
        Chi 4-1, -$137, N5
        Chi 1-0, +$134, U5




        NHL

        Wednesday, May 6


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        MONTREAL vs. TAMPA BAY
        Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
        Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Montreal

        7:30 PM
        NY RANGERS vs. WASHINGTON
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
        NY Rangers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
        Washington is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL

          Wednesday, May 6



          Rangers' Lundqvist strong following a loss

          Henrik Lundqvist is 12-4 with a .922 save percentage and 2.31 goals against average in games following a loss this season.

          The Rangers dropped Game 3 against the Washington Capitals by a score of 1-0 Monday. In the game after the Rangers' previous two losses during their current run to the Stanley Cup, they've rebounded to win both times.

          Lundy and the Rangers are presently +100 road dogs in Game 4 Wednesday in D.C.


          Carey Price at his worst versus Lightning

          Montreal Canadiens goaltender Carey Price has posted an .896 save percentage and 3.86 goals against average in seven starts against the Tampa Bay Lightning in both the 2014-15 regular season and playoffs.

          Compared to his season averages of .933 save percentage and 1.96 goals against, it makes for a glaring disparity and a key factor to the current 2-0 hole the Habs find themselves in.

          Price started each contest versus Tampa and was pulled in the first meeting of the regular season after allowing four goals through two periods.

          The Canadiens are presently +130 on the moneyline in Game 3 Wednesday.

          Comment

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