Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/13

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, March 13

Good Luck on day #72 of 2015!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez got thrown out of an exhibition game last night after one pitch, a pitch called a ball. Never saw that before.

-- I'm surprised Utah State is passing on the NIT, CBI or CIT; they've got a young team that is pretty good. Stew Morrill is retiring; not really sure why.

-- CIT already has one first round matchup: New Hampshire vs NJIT. Not exactly Duke-Carolina, but I'm sure they're excited about making the postseason.

-- Cavaliers 128, Spurs 125, OT-- Kyrie Irving scored 57 points for Cleveland.

-- Irving played one year at Duke, but never played in an ACC game; he got hurt in pre-conference play and never came back until the NCAA tournament.

-- There are two bowling alleys in the White House; do they have to rent shoes?



**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college hoop Thursday

13) AAC
-- East Carolina 81, Central Florida 80 OT-- Jeff Lebo got on TV a lot when he played at North Carolina; his Pirates get a rare national TV shot today.

Was told Thursday that if UConn doesn't get in a Power 5 football conference, they will drop football and concentrate on basketball as a revenue sport.

12) ACC
-- Notre Dame 70, Miami 63-- Irish blew 18-point halftime lead, still won.
-- North Carolina 70, Louisville 60-- Cardinals first conference tourney loss since '11.

11) A-14
-- VCU 63, Fordham 57-- VCU isn't a very good team without injured star Weber; they play crosstown rival Richmond today. Spiders beat them twice already. .

10) Big X
-- Iowa State 69, Texas 67-- Cyclones scored last 12 points of game, led for only one second-- the last second. This game could cost Texas an NCAA bid.
-- Kansas 64, TCU 59-- Horned Frogs are fighting a tremendous uphill battle in this league; refs made sure they lost this game late. Kansas is banged up.
-- Baylor 80, West Virginia 70-- Bears are my sleeper team to make Final Four.

9) Big 14
-- Penn State 67, Iowa 58-- Hawkeyes had won six games in a row.
-- Michigan 73, Illinois 55-- Wolverines had lost seven of last nine games.

8) Big Sky
-- Top four seeds all advanced, but host Montana needed OT to win.
-- Idaho hit 10-18 on arc, still didn't cover as a 7-point underdog (lost 81-73).

7) Big West
-- Long Beach State started four seniors but got smoked by Hawai'i; Long Beach seemed OK with their college careers ending. Hawai'i totally outhustled them.

6) C-USA
-- UAB 53, Western Kentucky 52-- League's accountants breathe a sigh of relief, since tournament is in Birmingham. Will be lot of empty seats if Blazers lose.
-- Middle Tennessee 59, Old Dominion 52-- Favored Monarchs were 8-19 on foul line.

5) MAC
-- Akron 53, Kent 51-- Zips avenged last week's 79-77 loss to Kent; not sure why this league doesn't get more exposure on ESPN.

4) Mountain West
-- San Diego State 67, UNLV 64-- Pretty sure this was 10th game this year that the Rebels lost after leading at halftime; thats a lot of games to lose that way.
-- Wyoming 67, Utah State 65-- End of line for Utah State's fine coach Stew Morrill.

3) Pac-12
-- All four top seeds advanced; Oregon and Utah had dominant second halves.
-- I heard Ben Howland doing the A-14 tournament tonight; how has he not gotten another head coaching job? He had UCLA in Final Four three times.

2) SEC
-- South Carolina 60, Ole Miss 58-- Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter. Never foul a jump shooter.

These teams both did it in the last 0:05 of a brickfest where both teams shot under 31% for the game. Ole Miss has made themselves a bubble team.

1) Sun Belt-- When ESPN first started, this league was the first one to let them show a lot of games. Now they never get games on TV; nice gratitude there. Both underdogs won quarterfinal games on Thursday. The league kingpins play the winners today.

[Udog]

National League West betting preview: Can the Dodgers get it done?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites in the National League West despite the defending World Series champs, the San Francisco Giants, and an improved San Diego Padres team in the mix. Is this the season the Dodgers' talent-rich roster finally figures it out and lives up to expectations?

Arizona Diamondbacks (2014: 64-98, -3160 Units, 74-82-6 O/U)

Division odds:
Season win total: 72.5

Why bet the Diamondbacks: Paul Goldschmidt is a real good hitter and Mark Trumbo can be one as well. Addison Reed has put together back-to-back solid seasons at closer. They have a decent bench filled with veterans who can help mentor the younger players.

Why not bet the Diamondbacks: Their rotation lacks an ace and is filled with mediocre starters. Josh Collmenter pitched well last year, but his awkward motion has now been seen repeatedly by everyone in the division. Rubby De La Rosa and Jeremy Hellickson come over from the American League and will now have to pitch in a very hitter friendly ballpark.

Season win total pick: Under 72.5 wins

Colorado Rockies (2014: 66-96, -2790 Units, 79-70-13 O/U)

Division odds:
Season win total: 71.5

Why bet the Rockies: The lineup returns pretty much intact and if Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez and Charlie Blackmon can stay healthy, the Rockies will roll offensively. Justin Morneau and Nolan Arenado are solid pieces as well. The rotation has talent at the top with Jhoulys Chacin and lefty Jorge De La Rosa who pitches especially well at Coors Field.

Why not bet the Rockies: LaTroy Hawkins is at closer and might regress after just three blown saves last season. The rest of the rotation is questionable with Tyler Matzek, Jordan Lyles, Eddie Butler and others vying for positions. Carlos Gonzalez is injury prone and missed 92 games last year. The team needs to put up better offensive numbers away from home.

Season win total pick: Over 71.5 wins

Los Angeles Dodgers (2014: 94-68, +1005 Units, 83-70-9 O/U)

Division odds:
Season win total: 92.5

Why bet the Dodgers: They feature the best pitcher in baseball, Clayton Kershaw, and he's backed by an incredible staff. Zack Greinke and Hyun-Jin Ryu are very nice complementary pieces. They added Jimmy Rollins and Howie Kendrick to an already strong offensive lineup. Relief pitcher Kenley Jansen converted 44 of his 49 save opportunities last year and the bullpen is filled with live arms.

Why not bet the Dodgers: Yasiel Puig hit only five home runs in his last 132 games and his attitude could be an issue, especially if he or the team hits a rough patch this year. Brandon McCarthy and Brett Anderson vie for the back end of the pitching rotation and neither inspires much confidence. The catcher position needs an upgrade between AJ Ellis and Yasmani Grandal.

Season win total pick: Over 92.5 wins

San Diego Padres (2014, 77-85, -905 Units, 61-95-6 O/U)

Division odds:
Season win total: 84.5

Why bet the Padres: San Diego opened up the check book and added James Shields to a strong pitching rotation which already has fireballers Andrew Cashner and Tyson Ross. Ian Kennedy and Brandon Morrow are solid starters as well. The offensive lineup got an infusion of talent with Wil Myers, Matt Kemp and Justin Upton. Joaquin Benoit and solid middle relievers make up one of the best bullpens in the league.

Why not bet the Padres: San Diego's bench is weak and is comprised of several players that struggled last season. Wil Myers and Yonder Alonso are injury prone and have consistently missed games during their careers. The Padres appear improved this season, but they still need to prove it on the field where San Diego has won 77 games or less in six of their past seven seasons.

Season win total pick: Under 84.5 wins

San Francisco Giants (2014: 88-74, +802 Units, 76-76-10 O/U)

Division odds:
Season win total: 83.5

Why bet the Giants: They are the defending World Series champions and they have a solid pitching rotation with Madison Bumgarner, Matt Cain, Jake Peavy and more. The bullpen is back intact and is one of the best in the league. The offensive lineup has Hunter Pence and Buster Posey in the middle and both are coming off very good seasons.

Why not bet the Giants: Age is becoming an issue with four regular pitchers at least 35 years or older. The team needs more offensive punch to help Pence and Posey in the lineup. The team missed the playoffs following their other two recent World Series titles, so a regression is possible this year.

Season win total pick: Over 83.5

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, March 13

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DALLAS (31-27-0-10, 72 pts.) at WASHINGTON (36-22-0-10, 82 pts.) - 3/13/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 16-12 ATS (+30.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 141-188 ATS (-69.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 24-35 ATS (-28.4 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-0-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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EDMONTON (18-39-0-11, 47 pts.) at COLUMBUS (29-34-0-4, 62 pts.) - 3/13/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 18-50 ATS (+100.0 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 6-26 ATS (+50.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 7-28 ATS (+45.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-20 ATS (+37.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
EDMONTON is 7-20 ATS (+33.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COLUMBUS is 24-12 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 45-42 ATS (+101.1 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 3-10 ATS (-7.2 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 3-11 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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OTTAWA (31-24-0-11, 73 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (43-22-0-4, 90 pts.) - 3/13/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 17-32 ATS (-16.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 43-26 ATS (+74.7 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) on Friday nights this season.
OTTAWA is 9-4 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
OTTAWA is 18-13 ATS (+32.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 26-31 ATS (-5.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 67-110 ATS (-50.4 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 5-3 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 5-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.6 Units)

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TORONTO (27-35-0-6, 60 pts.) at CALGARY (37-25-0-5, 79 pts.) - 3/13/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 5-22 ATS (+36.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
TORONTO is 6-24 ATS (+37.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 1-10 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
TORONTO is 0-12 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 37-30 ATS (+89.4 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 37-33 ATS (+1.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-8 ATS (+22.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-8 ATS (+26.1 Units) after a division game this season.
CALGARY is 18-9 ATS (+28.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-0-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (42-20-0-7, 91 pts.) at MINNESOTA (37-23-0-7, 81 pts.) - 3/13/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 49-36 ATS (-3.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-17 ATS (+41.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 103-61 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 198-200 ATS (+432.6 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 16-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 213-204 ATS (+435.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 7-1 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 7-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 13

Hot teams
-- Dallas Stars won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jackets won three of last four games.
-- Senators won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Calgary won four of its last five games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Washington is 3-5 in its last eight games.
-- Oilers lost last six games, allowing 27 goals.
-- Islanders lost four of their last six games.
-- Toronto lost three of its last four games.
-- Anaheim lost last three games, outscored 13-6.

Series records
-- Dallas Stars won last five games with Washington.
-- Oilers won seven of last ten games with Columbus.
-- Islanders won four of last five games with Ottawa.
-- Maple Leafs won four of last five games with Calgary.
-- Ducks won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Five of last six Dallas road games went over.
-- Six of last eight Columbus home games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Ottawa road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Toronto games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Anaheim road games stayed under.

Back-to-back
-- Dallas is 2-7 if it played the night before.
-- Edmonton is 1-8 if it played the night before. Columbus is 4-11.
-- Ottawa is 3-1 if it is playing second night in row on road.




NHL

Friday, March 13

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Dallas

7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Columbus is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Edmonton

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. NY ISLANDERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games on the road
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Islanders are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games

8:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. MINNESOTA
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CALGARY
Toronto is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto


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[Udog]

NHL

Friday, March 13


NHL roundup: Bruins beat Lightning for 10th straight time

BOSTON -- The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning for the 10th straight time and ended their streak of shootout futility, recording a 3-2 victory on Thursday night.

Center Patrice Bergeron, who scored a goal in regulation for Boston, scored in the shootout. Right winger David Pastrnak added a goal in regulation.

Tampa Bay centers Steven Stamkos and Vladislav Namestnikov scored in regulation for their team.

Stars 5, Hurricanes 3

RALEIGH, N.C. -- Dallas goalie Kari Lehtonen faced just 19 shots in his 500th career game as his team used first-period goals from defensemen Alex Goligoski and Jason Demers and rookie left winger Curtis McKenzie to beat Carolina.

Center Cody Eakin and right winger Patrick Eaves also scored for Dallas.

Centers Victor Rask and Andrej Nestrasil and left winger Chris Terry scored for Carolina.

Penguins 6, Oilers 4

PITTSBURGH -- Right wingers Steve Downie and Patric Hornqvist scored third-period goals to salvage a win for Pittsburgh, which blew a four-goal lead against Edmonton at Consol Energy Center.

Center Brandon Sutter's two goals and goals by center Sidney Crosby -- who also had two assists -- and left winger David Perron staked the Penguins to a 4-0 lead early in second period before the Oilers chipped way.

Goals from centers Anton Lander and Jordan Eberle, and left winger Benoit Pouliot got Edmonton close before center Derek Roy tied it.

Panthers 4, Jets 2

SUNRISE, Fla. -- Center Aleksander Barkov scored with 3:53 left in the third period to lead Florida over Winnipeg at the BB&T Center.

Centers Nick Bjugstad and Derek MacKenzie and winger Brad Boyes also scored for Florida.

Winnipeg, battling for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, got goals from center Mark Scheifele and right winger Drew Stafford, but it wasn't enough as it dropped its second straight.

Senators 5, Canadiens 2

MONTREAL -- Ottawa scored five unanswered goals in a win over Montreal at the Bell Centre.

Netminder Andrew Hammond made 27 saves for the Senators, who are 9-1-1 in their last 11 as they push for a playoff spot. Goaltender Carey Price stopped 24 shots for Montreal, which has dropped five of its last six.

Defenseman Erik Karlsson scored twice and winger Erik Condra and Mark Stone and defenseman Marc Methot scored one each for The Senators. Left winger Max Pacioretty scored both goals for the Canadiens.

Blue Jackets 3, Red Wings 1

DETROIT -- Defenseman Fedor Tyutin, left winger Scott Hartnell, right winger Cam Atkinson scored to lead Columbus over Detroit at Joe Louis Arena.

Goalie Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 41 shots as Columbus earned just its third win in 11 games. The Blue Jackets are 9-2-1 against the Red Wings in the teams' past 12 meetings.

Left winger Justin Abdelkader scored for Detroit, and goaltender Jimmy Howard made 23 saves.

Blues 1, Flyers 0 (SO)

ST. LOUIS -- Through six periods in a span of a week, Philadelphia goalie Steve Mason allowed just one goal against St. Louis. Only with a superior performance in the shootout did the Blues finally solve Mason and the Flyers.

The Blues earned a victory, scoring in the shootout on goals by T.J. Oshie and Vladimir Tarasenko. St. Louis goaltender Brian Elliott stopped Flyers right wingers Jakub Voracek and Wayne Simmonds to earn the win.

The Flyers' last victory -- and lone win in March -- was against the Blues one week ago, 3-1 in Philadelphia. The Flyers' season, though, is teetering on futility. After earning just a point Thursday, Philadelphia trailed the Boston Bruins for the final playoff spot by 10 points with 13 games remaining.

Avalanche 2, Devils 1 (SO)

DENVER -- Right winger Jarome Iginla recorded the deciding goal in the shootout and also scored in regulation, and Colorado beat New Jersey.

Goaltender Semyon Varlamov returned to the lineup to stop 23 shots, and he made two more saves in the shootout to keep Colorado's playoff hopes alive. Varlamov missed the previous game due to a groin injury.

Defenseman Andy Greene scored for New Jersey, and goaltender Cory Schneider stopped 28 shots before the shootout, including two in the final 20 seconds of overtime to keep the game tied.

Blackhawks 2, Coyotes 1

GLENDALE, Ariz. -- The goals didn't come easily against Arizona, but center Brad Richards gave Chicago just enough with his 10th goal of the season at the 12:49 mark of the third period on a power play to lift break a 1-1 tie.

Richards earned his 900th career point with the goal.

Arizona center Tobias Rieder scored early in the first period, and Chicago center Andrew Shaw evened the score four minutes later on a power play. Blackhawks goalie Corey Crawford made 17 saves for the win, while Coyotes goalie Mike Smith stopped 42 shots.

Kings 4, Canucks 0

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Right winger Justin Williams scored a goal and added an assist as Los Angeles beat Vancouver to continue its climb back into the playoff picture.

Centers Tyler Toffoli, on a power play, and Anze Kopitar also scored for the Kings, who are 4-0-1 in their last five games. Right winger Marian Gaborik scored into an empty net in the third period. The win, combined with a loss by the Winnipeg Jets, moved the Kings into the final wild-card playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Kings are also just one point behind the Canucks who are second in the Pacific Division.

Los Angeles goalie Jonathan Quick made 19 saves for his fifth shutout of the season. Canucks goaltender Eddie Lack stopped 16 of 19 shots.

Sharks 2, Predators 0

SAN JOSE, Calif. -- Antti Niemi rescued San Jose again. The suddenly hot goalie outdueled Nashville netminder Pekka Rinne to shut out the Predators and preserve the Sharks' win.

Niemi made 35 saves to record his fifth shutout of the season and 32nd of his career three nights after making 39 saves during a shootout win over the Pittsburgh Penguins. Rinne finished with 19 saves.

Forward Tomas Hertl scored at 16:41 of the second period, and right winger Tommy Wingels scored his 14th of the season on the power play into an empty net with 58.8 seconds left. San Jose had to kill two Nashville penalties in the final period to ensure the victory.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, March 13

Dallas at Washington, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 11-4 SU in road games off a win or tie in their previous game
Washington: 15-25 SU in home games off a home loss against a division rival

Edmonton at Columbus, 7:05 ET
Edmonton: 5-20 SU after 3 or more consecutive losses
Columbus: 27-19 SU after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games

Ottawa at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
Ottawa: 2-9 SU off a road win against a division rival
NY Islanders: 8-1 SU on Friday nights

Toronto at Calgary, 8:05 ET
Toronto: 8-27 SU in road games after one or more consecutive overs
Calgary: 17-8 SU after a division game

Anaheim at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Anaheim: 23-14 SU as an underdog
Minnesota: 4-12 SU after playing 2 consecutive home games