Announcement

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:01 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

College basketball conferences #19-24, according to kenpom.com

24) Big South- Coastal Carolina/High Point are tied for first.

23) Southern-- Mercer-Wofford-Chattanooga all have one loss.

22) Patriot-- Colgate is in first; they're 8-12 overall. Not a good league.

21) Summit-- North Dakota State/Oral Roberts are tied at the top.

20) OVC-- Murray State-Eastern Illinois is Thursday; battle of unbeatens.

19) MAAC-- Wide-open league; Iona-Rider-Monmouth tied for first.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Radio talk shows are funny; the Packers blew a lead Sunday, so now every move they made during the game becomes the one that cost them the game. They should've done this, they should've done that. Every "Joe from Queens" knows better than the guy who makes $5M a year to coach the team. Amazing.

12) Tom Selleck turns 70 years old next week. I read this Sunday night and it jarred me; I instantly felt older. He did an episode of Magnum PI called "Forty", all about hitting middle age. Hard to believe that was thirty years ago.

11) Milwaukee traded pitcher Yovani Gallardo to Texas, fueling speculation they are going to sign free agent James Shields.

10) Kansas 85, Oklahoma 78-- Jayhawks led by 19 at half, Oklahoma went ahead late in game, but couldn't finish the job. Really good game. Oklahoma is one of those teams that could lose in the first round of the NCAAs but they could win a title, too.

9) 49ers are paying new coach Jim Tomsula $3.5M a year, less than four coaches in the Big 14, where Jim Harbaugh ($5M a year) now works. Niners are a top 5 team in revenue, but Tomsula is the 3rd-lowest paid head coach- this makes sense how?

8) Some of these nitwit owners might've read Moneyball; Billy Beane isn't a big believer in managers being paid huge money, he sees them more as middle managers. In the NFL though thats just not true at all. 49ers will learn that the hard way.

7) Clippers are 28-14; Knicks are 6-36. Mike Woodson is an assistant coach in LA now, after being run out of NY last year. Think he is happier now?

6) Max Scherzer's $210M contract will be paid out over 14 years, even though it is only a seven-year contract. Washington is a prohibitive favorite in the NL East.

5) Forgot to mention this, but over the weekend, South Dakota lost by 14 at South Dakota State as an 8-point underdog, but only before they took a 20-0 lead!!! How many times does a team fall behind 20-0, then rally to win by double figures?

4) I screwed up a stat yesterday about #1 seeds making the Super Bowl. Here is the right stuff: this is the third time in the last six years that both #1 seeds made it to the Super Bowl. Before the Saints-Colts Super Bowl, it had been 16 years since both #1's got to the Super Bowl.

3) Bleachers in Wrigley Field will be closed in April; ones in right field might not be open until Memorial Day, as they refurbish the ballpark. Going to be strange to see games in April with no fans in the outfield.

2) Lou Amundson started for the Knicks Monday; he is on his 10th NBA team in nine seasons. Amundson and Drew Gooden are the two active players who have both been on ten different teams. The record is 12 teams; Amundson has a shot.

1) Four different players have played for 12 NBA teams: Tony Massenberg, Chuckie Brown, Joe Smith and Jim Jackson. Smith and Jackson were high draft picks.

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:01 AM

Super Bowl line watch: What happened to the 2.5 points?

Like Yogi Berra was purported to have said: When you come to the fork in the road, take it.

Super Bowl betting season is over, and for the first time in history of SB betting lines, there is no money line. All bettors need to do is pick the winner in this one, because oddsmakers have determined that, for now anyway, no one will get or give points when the teams kick off in Arizona in about two weeks.

The big question is what happened to 2.5 points.

Before the AFC and NFC championship games were played on Sunday, there was word that a Green Bay-New England Super Bowl would be a pick ‘em, but if the matchup was Seahawks-Patriots, then Seattle would be laying out 2.5 to New England backers.

That all apparently changed on Sunday, when the Seahawks -- who had been kicking hiney and taking names down the stretch and into the playoffs – for some reason looked very beatable for more than three periods at home against the Packers.

GB’s eventual choke which opened to the door for Seattle to get to the Super Bowl a second straight season perhaps gave oddsmakers pause. And while offshores and Vegas books were still digesting the impact of Seattle’s near-death experience in the rain in the Northwest, the Patriots further muddied the waters by putting the hammer to the Colts in also-sopping Foxboro.

The Pats were no longer the Pats who rose from the ashes against the Ravens the week before when they had to perform their own Great Escape. They were the 2007 Belichick-Brady Patriots who took no prisoners.

What were oddsmakers to do? The Seattle-is-a-bit-better narrative had been crushed in a six-hour Sunday time frame, and if a 2.5-point line had been survived NE’s 45-7 win, there would have been riots in the streets of Vegas as bettors flocked to books to grab the points.

That would have mandated a quick line adjustment as books tried to limit overexposure. Best to bite the bullet quickly, so the result was a split-the-baby line in which no one gets or gives.

Somewhere Yogi is smiling.

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:04 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (18-18-0-8, 44 pts.) at NY RANGERS (26-13-0-4, 56 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 75-49 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 194-194 ATS (-115.2 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 46-59 ATS (-43.3 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 121-122 ATS (-57.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 97-102 ATS (-60.3 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 12-15 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (11-26-0-9, 31 pts.) at WASHINGTON (24-13-0-8, 56 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 11-35 ATS (+63.1 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 16-49 ATS (+97.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 51-61 ATS (-45.5 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 136-184 ATS (-65.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (30-10-0-4, 64 pts.) at MONTREAL (28-13-0-3, 59 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 1-1 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 1-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (20-20-0-5, 45 pts.) at DETROIT (26-11-0-9, 61 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-25 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 7-13 ATS (+20.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANCOUVER (26-15-0-3, 55 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (29-14-0-4, 62 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 18-32 ATS (-17.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 20-38 ATS (+60.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 4-16 ATS (+22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (26-12-0-6, 58 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (18-22-0-7, 43 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 6-11 ATS (-12.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 57-37 ATS (+97.3 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (24-16-0-6, 54 pts.) at DALLAS (21-17-0-7, 49 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (16-24-0-5, 37 pts.) at CHICAGO (28-15-0-2, 58 pts.) - 1/20/2015, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-16 ATS (+26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 8-14 ATS (-19.2 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 32-35 ATS (-35.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 30-25 ATS (-3.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 5-11 ATS (-16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:05 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 20

Hot teams
-- Washington won its last seven home games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Predators won five of their last six games. Montreal won eight of last eleven.
-- Red Wings won six of their last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won nine of last 12 games. Canucks won last three games, allowing one goal.
-- Bruins won five of their last six games. Dallas won last two games, scoring 11 goals.

Cold teams
-- Oilers snapped 14-game road losing streak Saturday.
-- Senators lost five of last seven games.
-- Penguins lost 8 of last 12 games, allowing 11 goals in last two. Flyers lost three of last four.
-- Minnesota lost seven of last nine games.
-- Arizona lost its last five games, scoring eight goals. Chicago lost three of last four.

Series records
-- Washington won four of last six games with Edmonton.
-- Rangers lost four of last six games with Ottawa.
-- Flyers won their last five games with Pittsburgh.
-- Montreal/Nashville split last eight games, last three went OT.
-- Red Wings lost four of last five games with Minnesota.
-- Lightning won their last three games with Vancouver.
-- Chicago won four of last six games with Arizona.
-- Boston/Dallas split their last six games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Washington home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Ranger games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Philly home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Nashville home games went over.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Detroit-Minnesota games.
-- Five of last six Vancouver road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Arizona road games went over.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Boston road games.

Back-to-back
-- Flyers are 1-7 if they played the night before.
-- Minnesota is 2-3 if it played the night before.
-- Canucks are 2-5 if they played night before.

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:08 AM

NHL

Tuesday, January 20

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. WASHINGTON
Edmonton is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. NY RANGERS
Ottawa is 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 5 games
NY Rangers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Ottawa

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 7-16-1 SU in its last 24 games ,when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

7:30 PM
NASHVILLE vs. MONTREAL
Nashville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver

8:30 PM
ARIZONA vs. CHICAGO
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona's last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

8:30 PM
BOSTON vs. DALLAS
Boston is 6-10-3 SU in its last 19 games ,when playing Dallas
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Boston
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:11 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
The Penguins head to Philadelphia tonight to face the Flyers and come into the contest with a 1-6 record in their last 7 road games. Philadelphia is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphhia (+140). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 20

Game 51-52: Edmonton at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.543; Washington 12.988
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-240); Under

Game 53-54: Ottawa at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.404; NY Rangers 11.874
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-200); Under

Game 55-56: Nashville at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.223; Montreal 10.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 57-58: Minnesota at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.776; Detroit 10.890
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+170); Over

Game 59-60: Vancouver at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.332; Tampa Bay 11.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+165); Under

Game 61-62: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.404; Philadelphia 11.552
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+140); Under

Game 63-64: Boston at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.204; Dallas 10.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Over

Game 65-66: Arizona at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: 9.332; Chicago 12.421
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-320); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-320); Over

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:15 AM

NHL

Tuesday, January 20

Hurricanes continue to cash under tickets

The Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1 Monday night, going under yet another total.

The Hurricanes are 2-11-4 over/under in their last 17 games and are by far and away the league's best under bet this season going 12-28-6 over/under.

Islanders climb atop the East with win

The New York Islanders are on top of the Eastern Conference standings thanks to their 7-4 win over the Philadelphia Flyers Monday night.

It is the Islanders' fifth win in their last six games and now lead the East with 63 points, one ahead of the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Islanders are now off until after the All-Star break.

Lightning D Carle out 6-8 weeks

Tampa Bay Lightning defenseman Matt Carle will undergo surgery to repair torn adductor muscles in his lower abdomen on Tuesday and will be out 6-8 weeks, the team announced Monday.

The procedure will be performed in Philadelphia by Dr. William Meyers.

Carle's streak of 347 games played ended Saturday.

He had averaged 20:34 in ice time in 46 games this season and leads the team with 74 blocked shots. He has 14 points.

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 10:23 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 20

Ottawa at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
Ottawa: 83-76 SU in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
NY Rangers: 2-7 SU in home games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game

Edmonton at Washington, 7:05 ET
Edmonton: 0-17 SU as a road underdog of +200 to +300
Washington: 9-1 SU revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Nashville at Montreal, 7:35 ET
Nashville: n/a
Montreal: n/a

Minnesota at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Minnesota: 2-9 SU after playing 2 consecutive home games
Detroit: 9-1 SU after allowing 4 goals or more

Vancouver at Tampa Bay, 7:35 ET
Vancouver: 13-31 SU as an underdog
Tampa Bay: 14-3 SU off 2 or more consecutive home wins

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 7:35 ET
Pittsburgh: 7-0 SU in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Philadelphia: 93-84 SU in home games off a road loss

Boston at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Boston: 15-5 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
Dallas: 6-13 SU in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games

Arizona at Chicago, 8:35 ET
Arizona: 1-8 SU after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game
Chicago: 10-0 SU in home games after 3 consecutive division games

**Udog** · 01-20-2015, 01:38 PM

NHL

Tuesday, January 20

Red Wings blistering since the loss of Howard

Since losing starting goalie Jimmy Howard, the Detroit Red Wings are 5-1. The Wings has gotten stellar play from Petr Mrazek and Tom McCollum, as they have only allowed 13 goals during that span (2.2 gpg).

Detroit has also been turning up the offense as well, the they have averaged 3.5 gpg.

As of this writing, the Wings are -173 when they host the Minnesota Wild Tuesday.

Under bettors profiting during Leafs' losing skid

Goals have not come easy for the Toronto Maple Leafs lately, a trend that continued in a 4-1 losing effort against Carolina Monday evening.

The Leafs have now lost five straight games and have been outscored 16-2 during that stretch. The last time Toronto was only able to muster two goals in a five-game span was in the 1928-29 campaign.

Despite being an awful moneyline play, the Maple Leafs' aforementioned lack of offense has equated to a five-game Under streak. The Leafs will be in action once again Wednesday against rival Ottawa.

Flyers send struggling Emery to the crease vs. Pens

The Philadelphia Flyers will send netminder Ray Emery to the crease Tuesday versus state rival Pittsburgh.

Emery has dropped all five games he's started since the calender turned to January while owning an ugly .743 save percentage in that span. The Pens will counter with their backup goaltender Thomas Greiss.

At the time of writing, books had Pittsburgh as -164 moneyline faves.

Announcement

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/20

Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/20

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment