Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/22

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, December 22

Good Luck on day #356 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Virginia 76, Harvard 27-- Game was 39-8 at the half and Harvard is pretty good.

-- North Texas 62, Creighton 58-- Not a great result for the Big East.

-- Georgia 65, Seton Hall 47-- Not a great result for the Big East.

-- USC 74, Boston College 71-- Second year in row Trojans beat BC.

-- Toronto 115, New York 105-- Knicks are only two games ahead of the 76ers.

-- Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, are 3-3 this week, pending the Denver play tonight. They are now 54-32-1 this season.


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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday......

Dolphins 37, Vikings 35-- Weird game with 41 points scored in 4th quarter; Miami won game by blocking punt for a safety with score tied in last 0:41, after they had tied game 30 seconds earlier. After game, Miami owner Ross announced that Joe Philbin will be back next season as Dolphins' coach, so good for him.

Packers 20, Buccaneers 3-- Green Bay just isn't the same offense away from home; they clinched playoff berth today, play Detroit for division title next week. Bucs had six first downs, gained 109 total yards- they've played this year without an NFL-level offensive coordinator. Lovie Smith needs to hire a good one this winter.

Lions 20, Bears 14-- Detroit is in playoffs; they play Packers next week for NFC North title and a first round bye. Bears were outgained by 133 yards; Clausen is now 1-10 as an NFL starter; this was his first start since 2010. Detroit had two TDs and a FG in six red zone drives. Jim Harbaugh-to-Bears rumors are getting stronger.

Falcons 30, Saints 14-- What were the odds of New Orleans losing five home games in a row? Saints were 36-11 SU at home from 2008-13, now they're out of playoffs and Drew Brees isn't getting any younger. Salary cap for next year will be $140M or so; Saints already have $160M in salary commitments for next year. Not good.

Patriots 17, Jets 16-- Gang Green is 3-12 and looking at sweeping changes, but they lost two games to Patriots this year by a combined three points. Edelman didn't make trip for this game; NE's only two TD drives were 36-38 yards; six of their last eight TD drives were less than 50 yards- their offense hasn't done much lately.

Steelers 20, Chiefs 12-- Pittsburgh is in playoffs for first time since 2011; they play Bengals next week for AFC North title. Chiefs have now lost four of last five games; they had three FGs on four red zone drives, even after a successful fake FG near goal line. KC needs to beat Chargers next week and get help to make playoffs.

Panthers 17, Browns 13-- Carolina is 6-8-1.......and in first place; they play Falcons next week in winner-take-all battle for NFC South title, but NFL didn't want game in primetime, so they put Bengals-Steelers on NBC instead. Johnny Manziel hurt his hamstring and left early; his rookie season didn't go too well.

Texans 25, Ravens 13-- Putrid exhibition by Baltimore team that needed a win, with 25 yards on 28 plays in first half. Ravens lost to team using its 4th-string QB who was sitting in a tree bow-hunting deer last Sunday. Houston had one TD on seven red zone drives; their only TD was thrown by RB Foster. Baltimore needs help to make playoffs now.

Giants 37, Rams 27-- St Louis needs a QB who can stay healthy and they need to grow up; too many times, they shoot themselves in foot with stupid, immature stuff that has given them a bad reputation with NFL refs, which is why they get penalized so much. They were down 10-0 in this game before offense took the field.

Raiders 26, Bills 24-- Major gag job by Buffalo team that wasted upset of Packers by losing to a 3-12 team. Bills' last winning season was ten years ago; they can still get to 9-7 next week, but they'll have to beat Patriot team that will need win for home edge in playoffs if the Broncos win in Cincinnati tonight.

Cowboys 42, Colts 7-- Indy had great fake punt dialed up when down 7-0; recevier dropped pass while wide open. Dallas wins NFC East, holding Indy team to one yard rushing and owning a 20-yard edge in field position. Teams that win field position by 10+ yards are now 84-4 this season; Vikings were 4th loser in Miami today.

Seahawks 35, Cardinals 6-- Coach Arians has kept Arizona's season pasted together despite a rash of injuries but there's only so much he can do; you can't beat good teams without a good QB. Total yardage was 596-216; Seattle can win NFC West by beating Rams last week; they lost first meeting this seaosn with St Louis. .

-- If the playoffs started this morning, they would look like this:
AFC-- 1) Patriots 2) Broncos 3) Bengals 4) Colts 5) Steelers 6) Chargers
NFC-- 1) Seahawks 2) Lions 3) Cowboys 4) Panthers 5) Cardinals 6) Packers

[Udog]

NHL

Monday, December 22

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Columbus's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. WASHINGTON
Ottawa is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Ottawa is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Florida is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing Arizona

10:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
San Jose is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Anaheim is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Jose

10:30 PM
CALGARY vs. LOS ANGELES
Calgary is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
Los Angeles is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary


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NHL


Monday, December 22

Ducks' RW Corey Perry, doubtful Monday

Perry is on injured reserve with a knee injury. He is nearing a return but is not expected to play Monday against the Sharks.


Semyon Varlamov, Colorado - I-R

Varlamov is on injured reserve with a groin injury and it is unclear when he will return.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

San Jose at Anaheim
The Sharks head to Anaheim tonight and come into the contest with a 7-2 record in their last 9 games versus the Ducks. San Jose is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+115). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 51-52: Ottawa at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.386; Washington 12.846
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Over

Game 53-54: Nashville at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.490; Columbus 12.559
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+125); Over

Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.965; Florida 11.404
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Over

Game 57-58: San Jose at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.786; Anaheim 10.552
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+115); Under

Game 59-60: Arizona at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 11.109; Vancouver 10.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+170); Under

Game 61-62: Calgary at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.173; Los Angeles 11.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-210); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 22

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OTTAWA (14-13-0-6, 34 pts.) at WASHINGTON (16-10-0-6, 38 pts.) - 12/22/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 11-5 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 10-4 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS (-25.4 Units) in home games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 4-0 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 4-0-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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NASHVILLE (21-8-0-2, 44 pts.) at COLUMBUS (14-15-0-3, 31 pts.) - 12/22/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games this season.
NASHVILLE is 21-10 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 21-10 ATS (+8.1 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 4-3 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 4-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (22-6-0-4, 48 pts.) at FLORIDA (14-9-0-8, 36 pts.) - 12/22/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 51-23 ATS (+13.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 91-132 ATS (+241.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
FLORIDA is 37-55 ATS (-28.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
FLORIDA is 5-17 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-4 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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SAN JOSE (19-11-0-4, 42 pts.) at ANAHEIM (22-8-0-5, 49 pts.) - 12/22/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 83-47 ATS (+18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 19-4 ATS (+12.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 51-26 ATS (+17.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 180-147 ATS (+26.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 188-139 ATS (+331.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 39-25 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 24-13 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 44-23 ATS (+13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 172-125 ATS (+32.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-4 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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ARIZONA (11-17-0-4, 26 pts.) at VANCOUVER (19-11-0-2, 40 pts.) - 12/22/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 9-15 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 5-4 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 5-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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CALGARY (17-15-0-3, 37 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (17-11-0-6, 40 pts.) - 12/22/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 106-103 ATS (+225.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
CALGARY is 20-17 ATS (+42.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-5 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.4 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, December 22

Ottawa at Washington, 7:05 ET
Ottawa: 8-3 SU off a road loss
Washington: 8-1 SU off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival

Nashville at Columbus, 7:05 ET
Nashville: 21-10 SU first half of the season
Columbus: 110-138 SU as a home underdog

Pittsburgh at Florida, 7:35 ET
Pittsburgh: 51-23 SU first half of the season
Florida: 11-5 SU after a game where they failed to cover the spread

San Jose at Anaheim, 10:05 ET
San Jose: 17-2 SU off 2 or more consecutive home wins
Anaheim: 19-4 SU in December games

Arizona at Vancouver, 10:05 ET
Arizona: 3-12 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Vancouver: 9-15 SU in home games after a division game

Calgary at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
Calgary: 94-105 SU in road games vs. division opponents
Los Angeles: 11-0 SU in home games after playing a home game

[Udog]

NFL Opening Line Report: Packers 7.5-point faves with NFC North title on the line

What more could you ask for in Week 17 of the NFL season? You’ve got a mad scramble for playoff seeding among several teams, and some extremely key matchups, including one at the hallowed frozen tundra of Lambeau Field.

Green Bay and Detroit both have paths to the No. 1 seed in the NFC, if they get some help in the other games – though first and foremost, both teams need a win to avoid being relegated to the wild card and a first-round road playoff game.

The Lions bested Green Bay 19-7 as a 1-point home underdog back in September. Detroit (11-4 SU, 7-8 ATS) has won its last four in a row SU (2-2 ATS), including Sunday’s 20-14 victory at Chicago, though the Lions failed to cash as 10-point chalk.

The Packers (11-4 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) have won six of their last seven (4-3 ATS), coasting past Tampa Bay 20-3 Sunday laying 11.5 points on the road. John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, pegged the Pack a 7.5-point favorite in the regular-season finale.

“We know the public money and teaser money will be on the Packers so we didn’t want to open at less than a touchdown,” Lester said. “I do expect we will have some of the sharps on the underdog.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)

Pittsburgh (10-5 SU, 8-7 ATS) clinched a playoff spot by besting Kansas City 20-12 on Sunday giving 2.5 points, winning and covering for the third straight week. The Bengals (9-4-1 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) still have some work to do, wrapping up Week 16 by hosting Denver in the Monday night game.

The Steelers have already clinched a playoff spot; the winner of this game would take the AFC North title, but if the Bengals falter against Denver and Pittsburgh, they could find themselves missing the playoffs altogether.

“Regardless of what happens Monday night, Cincinnati will want this game,” Lester said. “The Steelers are hot, and with all of their fans and supporters, we will have to be generous on their side. If nothing major changes from a personnel perspective Monday and the Bengals beat Denver, Pittsburgh will be at least 6-point chalk.”

The matchup could bring quite a climactic end to the regular season, as it’s been moved to the Sunday night slot. There is no Monday night game in Week 17.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-10.5)

The Pats (12-3 SU, 9-6 ATS) have won 10 of their last 11 SU, cashing eight times in the process, though they barely held off the hapless New York Jets on Sunday in a 17-16 road win giving 10 points. The Bills (8-7 SU and ATS) saw their playoff hopes end in a 26-24 loss at Oakland as a 7-point fave.

For the moment, this game has big ramifications for New England securing the No. 1 seed – but tonight’s game could make it a moot point.

“Monday’s outcome could have an impact on this line,” Lester said. “If Denver loses, then there’s a real chance New England will rest its starters in Week 17, and that would drop the numbers significantly. If the top seed in the AFC is on the line, we will post the Pats as double-digit favorites.”

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-4.5)

San Francisco has completely fallen apart and will miss the playoffs altogether, after making the last three NFC title games and earning a Super Bowl appearance. The Niners (7-8 SU, 6-8-1 ATS) were dealt a stunning blow Saturday, squandering a 28-7 lead in a 38-35 home loss to San Diego as a 2-point chalk.

But Arizona, on its third-string quarterback, is struggling too, while hoping to get some sort of momentum heading into the playoffs. The Cards (11-4 SU, 10-5 ATS) could have clinched the NFC West on Sunday night, but visiting Seattle ran roughshod in a 35-6 victory, with Arizona a hefty 9.5-point underdog.

“You could see the Niners crumbling at the seams on Saturday night,” Lester said. “There is no doubt that they’d like to finish the season with a win at their new stadium, but with the internal issues and their coach (Jim Harbaugh) all but gone, who knows what kind of effort or focus they’ll have.”

Still, Lester said he’ll have to hold off on making a line. The Cardinals remain alive for the division crown, but there’s uncertainty as to who will start at quarterback in the regular-season finale.

[RS170]

Hey Udog--- 'his rookie season didn't go too well.'---Boy is that an understatement! Lot of people in Clev questioning how bad he was really hurt?

[Udog]

Hey Udog--- 'his rookie season didn't go too well.'---Boy is that an understatement! Lot of people in Clev questioning how bad he was really hurt?

I think it's just a matter of time before he gets seriously hurt. His quickness can't make up for his size every time. He's gonna get pasted at some point and something's gonna break.