Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/21

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, December 21

Good Luck on day #355 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick 5 games a week:

T6) Rams -4.5/Ravens -5.5-- Houston's starting QB was on Rams' practice squad six days ago; Ravens need the win.

5) Cardinals +8-- Arizona is undefeated at home.

4) Broncos, -3-- Cincinnati has struggled in primetime games.

3) Panthers +1.5-- Manziel making first NFL road start.

2) Vikings, +6.5-- Minnesota seems to play a close game every week.

1) Lions -6.5-- Clausen has a 1-9 record as an NFL starter.

Season record of six most popular picks each week: 51-29-1

2013 season record of six most popular picks each week: 42-57-4

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) Kentucky 83, UCLA 44-- Wildcats led 24-0; it was 41-7 at the half. This is same team that trailed Columbia and Buffalo at halftime. Kentucky has played much better against the bigger-name opponents.

12) Get well soon, Cincinnati coach Mick Cronin, who was found to have a problem with an unruptured aneurysm. He's a lucky man; those things can be fatal. There is no word when Cronin can resume coaching.

11) Villanova 82, Syracuse 77 OT--- Wildcats trailed by 15 in the first half, rallied to win a game Syracuse might need on Selection Sunday.

10) Big East/FOX Sports1 have a great idea, starting league play with five consecutive games on New Year's Eve; they did it last year too. Get to see the whole league in one day without switching the channel.

9) Texas Southern 71, Michigan State 64 OT-- Huh? Tigers are 2-8, losing by 40 at Gonzaga, 26 at Eastern Washington and Baylor. Terrible loss for the Spartans.

8) Gotham Classic was an odd twinbill at Madison Square Garden; first game was Pepperdine-Richmond, nightcap was West Virginia-NC State. They had a crowd of 8,088 in the supposed "....Mecca of college basketball". They draw 10,000+ for the play-in games in Dayton. New York City is more of an NBA city.

7) Gas is $1.99 a gallon in San Antonio; it is $2.89 here in upstate New York; we must be getting much higher quality gasoline, huh? Nah, probably not.

6) Former Texas football coach Mack Brown is very good on TV; listened to him on the New Orleans Bowl Saturday. Former coaches generally make better analysts.

5) Big day for some mid or low-majors Saturday: check out these upsets:
-- Texas Southern 71, Michigan State 64 OT
-- SC-Upstate 53, Mississippi State 51
-- St Francis 73, Rutgers 68
-- South Carolina State 71, Houston 63
-- Lehigh 84, Arizona State 81, 3OT
-- South Dakota State 68, Utah State 65 OT

4) I missed the whole nine-year Stephen Colbert run; supposedly he is a funny guy who takes his talents to CBS now. Colbert was once an understudy for Steve Carell at Second City Chicago- he is the youngest of 11 children, two of whom died in a plane crash with their father. Lot of comics have sadness inside them.

3) Roger Goodell announced there won't be an NFL team in Los Angeles next year, so that soap opera will continue next season. Supposedly for a new stadium to get built, two teams have to move, so they'll share the new stadium like Jets/Giants do in the New Jersey swamp.

2) Redskins 27, Eagles 24-- Philly ran 30 more plays, gained 190 more yards, but had 13 penalties, while Washington had three. Sanchez has turned the ball over 13 times in seven games-- you cannot win that way. Eagles aren't dead yet, but they're close.

1) Chargers 38, 49ers 35 OT-- Niners ran for 355 yards, led 28-7 at the half but lost with Rivers throwing ball for 356 yards. Gutty performance by the Chargers to stay alive in the playoff hunt. 49ers have fallen apart, losing last four games.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Buffalo at Boston
The Sabres head to Boston tonight to face a Bruins team that is coming off a against and is 1-6 in its last 7 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Buffalo is the pick (+250) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+250). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 1-2: Dallas at Edmonton (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.335; Edmonton 9.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-145); Under

Game 3-4: Colorado at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.814; Detroit 10.993
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 5-6: Carolina at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.287; NY Rangers 11.772
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-210); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.331; Chicago 11.476
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+170); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.331; Boston 10.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-300); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+250); Over

Game 11-12: Philadelphia at Winnipeg (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.009; Winnipeg 12.664
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-155); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 21

Hot teams
-- Dallas Stars won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won last five games, allowing eight goals.
-- Blackhawks won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Winnipeg won seven of its last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- Edmonton lost its last six games, outscored 19-9.
-- Detroit lost last five games, outscored 12-5. Avalanche lost six of their last eight games.
-- Hurricanes lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Toronto lost last two games after winning 10 of previous 12 games.
-- Boston lost nine of its last twelve games. Buffalo lost last three road games, outscored 13-3.
-- Flyers lost ten of their last twelve road games.

Series records
-- Dallas Stars won nine of last eleven games with Edmonton.
-- Red Wings won four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Rangers won 13 of last 14 games with Carolina.
-- Toronto won last two games with Chicago, after losing previous six.
-- Bruins won four of last five games with Buffalo.
-- Flyers won four of their last six games with Winnipeg.

Totals
-- Four of last five Dallas road games went over total; six of last eight Oiler games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Detroit home games; four of last five Colorado road games went over.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers' last seven home games; under is 9-1 in last ten Carolina games.
-- 10 of last 14 Chicago home games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston home games; last five Buffalo games went over.
-- Five of last seven Winnipeg home games went over.

Back-to-back
-- Colorado is 0-4 if it played the night before.
-- Carolina is 1-6 if it played the night before; Rangers are 2-2.
-- Maple Leafs are 5-2 if they played night before; Chicago is 4-2.
-- Buffalo is 3-4 if it played the night before.
-- Flyers are 1-5 if they play the night before.

[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, December 21

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
COLORADO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
DALLAS vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. BOSTON
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

7:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NY RANGERS
Carolina is 1-13 SU in their last 14 games when playing NY Rangers
Carolina is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 7 games at home
NY Rangers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when playing Carolina

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHICAGO
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 21

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DALLAS (13-13-0-5, 31 pts.) at EDMONTON (7-20-0-6, 20 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 172-140 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 7-26 ATS (-30.2 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 45-62 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 7-26 ATS (+48.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 1-13 ATS (+18.0 Units) after a division game this season.
EDMONTON is 4-19 ATS (+34.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 1-13 ATS (+20.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 149-149 ATS (+302.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 68-78 ATS (-61.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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COLORADO (11-13-0-8, 30 pts.) at DETROIT (17-8-0-8, 42 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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CAROLINA (9-19-0-4, 22 pts.) at NY RANGERS (16-10-0-4, 36 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 9-23 ATS (+38.8 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 3-16 ATS (+25.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 9-23 ATS (+38.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 3-14 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 163-159 ATS (-82.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 113-113 ATS (-57.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 118-122 ATS (-65.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 71-85 ATS (-31.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 7-1 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 7-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

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TORONTO (19-11-0-3, 41 pts.) at CHICAGO (22-9-0-2, 46 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 18-3 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 11-5 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TORONTO is 11-4 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 11-4 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 19-26 ATS (-22.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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BUFFALO (13-18-0-2, 28 pts.) at BOSTON (16-14-0-3, 35 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 13-39 ATS (+70.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 250-198 ATS (+32.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 93-90 ATS (+201.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BOSTON is 36-48 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 174-145 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (12-14-0-6, 30 pts.) at WINNIPEG (17-10-0-6, 40 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 222-223 ATS (-78.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-49 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-66 ATS (+150.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 21

Dallas at Edmonton, 6:05 ET
Dallas: 7-5 SU after a game where they covered the spread
Edmonton: 0-6 SU off a road loss against a division rival

Colorado at Detroit, 6:05 ET
Colorado: 6-1 SU in road games off a road win scoring 4 or more goals
Detroit: 9-24 SU after 2 or more consecutive unders

Carolina at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
Carolina: 66-40 SU off a close home loss by 1 goal
NY Rangers: 8-13 SU after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread

Toronto at Chicago, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 11-5 SU after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game
Chicago: 19-26 SU after a non-conference game

Buffalo at Boston, 7:05 ET
Buffalo: 50-42 SU after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more
Boston: 35-43 SU in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games

Philadelphia at Winnipeg, 9:05 ET
Philadelphia: 0-7 SU when playing their 4th game in 7 days
Winnipeg: 7-3 SU after playing 2 consecutive home games