Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/15

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, December 15

Good Luck on day #349 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, went 4-0-1 this week, are 50-38-1 so far this season.

-- Detroit OF Yoenis Cespedes recently bought a $367,000 Lamborghini; where do you a drive a car like that?

-- WCC basketball teams went 6-0 vs spread Saturday; five of them were on road.

-- Knicks have used 13 starting lineups in their 26 games this season.

-- Wofford 55, NC State 54-- Bad loss for Wolfpack, losing to Southern Conf team

-- Warriors 128, Pelicans 122 OT-- Golden State may never lose again.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday.......

Chiefs 31, Raiders 13-- KC had 19-yard edge in field position; teams who win field position by 10+ yards this season are now 80-3 SU. Field position and getting first downs to move the chains isn't talked about nearly enough on game telecasts. Chiefs had lost three games in row, so this breather came at a good time.

Ravens 20, Jaguars 12-- Baaltimore blocked punt for TD early on; six of first nine TDs that scored Sunday were scored by defense/special teams. Despite that, under is 12-2 this week, as offenses took the week off, even with no bad weather games. Jags play Tennessee Thursday night in a game neither side wants to win.

Steelers 27, Falcons 20-- AFC North is now 12-2-1 vs NFC South this year, which is why Carolina is 5-8-1 and in first place. Falcons did HBO's Hard Knocks this year; Miami did it last year. Both had terrible seasons. Good luck finding someone to do it next year. Steelers win AFC North if they win their last two games.

Colts 17, Texans 10-- Fitzpatrick/rookie Savage both got hurt in this game, meaning Houston will go with Thaddeus Lewis (2-4 as NFL starter) next week at home against Baltimore- they'll have to sign a backup off the street. NFL teams need to dress three QBs for every game; it hurts the product when you have a QB playing who has no backup for the rest of that game.

Bengals 30, Browns 0-- Manziel's debut was ugly but before he even took the field, Bengals drove .81 yards in 14 plays (took 7:07) to go ahead 7-0. Cincinnati ran ball for 244 yards, and Manziel doesn't play defense, but he has a lot to learn. Browns finish at Carolina and against the Ravens-- going to be interesting to watch, since it can't get much worse than it was in this game.

Patriots 41, Dolphins 14-- Jim Harbaugh's agent enjoyed this score. Nitwits will run amuck about New England's offense; in fact, they scored four TDs on offense; three of four came on a drive of 47 or less yards- they blocked a FG for a TD to start scoring very early in the game. Dolphins scored total of 43 points in last three games.

Panthers 19, Buccaneers 17-- 5-8-1 Carolina is atop NFC South as I type this; they won both games against the Bucs, and Cam Newton didn't play either game. Panthers had a 22-yard edge in field position; their only TD came on a 4-yard drive. Nine of 11 Bucs' drives started 80+ yards from goal line. Hard to score a lot that way.

Giants 24, Redskins 13-- Game turned on odd play at end of half; RGIII looked like he ran for a TD that would've put Washington up 17-7 at half, but ball slipped out of his hands as he dove for the goal line- he recovered in the air, but landed OB in the end zone and thats not a legal recovery, so Redskins didn't score at all on the drive.

Bills 21, Packers 13-- Green Bay is 1-4 on artifical turf, with only win at Minnesota by a FG. Rodgers was 17-42 passing, tough day with no TDs and two picks. Packers' game with Detroit in Week 17 could decide NFC North and a first-round bye. Buffalo can clinch a winning season by winning at Oakland next week.

Lions 16, Vikings 14-- Six of last eight Minnesota games were decided by three or less points, or in OT. Detroit was +2 in turnovers, had 11-yard edge in field position; their only TD came on an 11-yard drive. Vikings tried a 68-yard FG on last play of the game to win it; they would've had a better chance at hitting a Hail Mary.

Jets 16, Titans 11-- Gang Green had hard time beating Tennessee team that benefitted by losing- they're going for that valuable #1 pick in draft. Rex Ryan is getting fired so he has no reason to lose. Tennessee hasn't won a game since the baseball playoffs were going on, losing its last eight games (0-4 vs spread in last four).

Broncos 22, Chargers 10-- Denver won its fourth game in row, allowing 43 points in last three; they ran ball 39 times, dropped back to pass 23 times, with Manning sick-- he missed one series late in first half. Backup Osweiler didn't look too sharp in relief. Chargers are 3-5 in last eight games after starting season 5-1.

Seahawks 17, 49ers 7-- In 16 drives against Seattle this season, 49ers scored one TD with six 3/outs. Seahawks allowed total of 27 points in last four games-- they go to the desert to face Arizona and its third-string QB next week. 49ers are 7-7, as speculation begins as to who their next coach will be.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Ottawa at Buffalo
The Senators head to Buffalo tonight to face a Sabres team that is 5-0 in its last 5 home games. Buffalo is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 15

Game 1-2: New Jersey at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.507; NY Islanders 11.998
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-200); Under

Game 3-4: Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.510; Pittsburgh 11.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 5-6: Ottawa at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.960; Buffalo 11.887
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120); Over




NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, December 15

I'll add Ottawa/Buffalo as soon as this source updates.

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NEW JERSEY (11-15-0-5, 27 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (20-10-0-0, 40 pts.) - 12/15/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 46-67 ATS (+116.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 20-10 ATS (+33.7 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 20-10 ATS (+8.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 144-205 ATS (+402.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-4 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (19-9-0-3, 41 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (19-6-0-4, 42 pts.) - 12/15/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-0-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 15

Hot teams
-- Penguins are 6-1 in game following their last seven losses.
-- Sabres won nine of their last twelve games.

Cold teams
-- Devils lost nine of their last eleven games. Islanders lost three of their last four.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games.
-- Senators lost six of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Islanders won six of last eight games with New Jersey.
-- Penguins won nine of last ten games with Tampa Bay.
-- Senators won six of last eight games with Buffalo.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Islander games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Lightning road games; last four Penguin home games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Ottawa road games.

Back-to-back
-- None




NHL

Monday, December 15

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. NY ISLANDERS
New Jersey is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
New Jersey is 8-4 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games
NY Islanders are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against New Jersey

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. BUFFALO
Ottawa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


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NHL

Monday, December 15


Lehner to start for Senators at Sabres

New Ottawa Senators head coach Dave Cameron will stay with the hot goaltender as Robin Lehner will get the start at the Buffalo Sabres Monday, Bruce Garrioch reports.

The Swede stopped 29 of 31 shots, picking up the 3-2 win over the Boston Bruins Saturday. Lehner has a record of 6-4-1, 2.76 goals against average and a .916 save percentage in 11 starts so far this season.

At the time of publication, the Sens were -136 road faves.


Penguins' C Sidney Crosby, questionable Monday

Crosby is dealing with an illness and has missed the last two games. He is questionable to return Monday against the Lightning.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, December 15

New Jersey at New York, 7:05 ET
New Jersey: 8-21 SU after playing 2 consecutive road games
New York: 6-1 SU after 3 consecutive non-conference games

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Tampa Bay: N/A
Pittsburgh: N/A

Ottawa at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
Ottawa: N/A
Buffalo: N/A

[RS170]

Hey Udog---Apologize for the bad pk---only consolation is a lot of other people were wrong too. Smart money wins again.

To top it all off, I had 2 1st place fantasy teams playing in semi-finals -- with Aaron Rodgers as QB--what a bummer of a day.

[Udog]

Hey Udog---Apologize for the bad pk---only consolation is a lot of other people were wrong too. Smart money wins again.

To top it all off, I had 2 1st place fantasy teams playing in semi-finals -- with Aaron Rodgers as QB--what a bummer of a day.

No problem, RS! It happens.

That's a crying shame about your fantasy teams. Rodgers picked a helluva day to have a bad game.