Announcement

**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 10:09 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

NFL trends to ponder, with Week 15 upon us........

-- Rams covered four of last five as a home favorite.

-- Detroit covered eight of last ten division games.

-- Eagles covered seven of last nine as a home favorite.

-- Colts covered 16 of their last 23 home games.

-- Chiefs covered twice in last 10 games as a division favorite.

-- 49ers are 10-2-1 vs spread in their last thirteen road games.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our top 8, bottom 5 in NFL.......

32) Redskins—A complete train wreck. Sonny Jurgensen could come out of the radio booth and play and they’d be better off; except he’s 80. They paid a king’s ransom to draft RGIII, but the kid doesn’t do classwork necessary to excel on the field. Whoops. They’ll have a very interesting offseason.

31) Titans—Trailed at halftime the last two weeks, 23-0/24-0; have feeling they’re trying not to win, since the coach is secure and they’d be better off with #1 pick, either to trade or draft a cornerstone player. Not trying is bad.

30) Jets— Losing every week when you ARE trying might be worse; Rex Ryan is auditioning for his next job, Geno Smith is terrible and Michael Vick is just trying to replenish his bank account. They just need to start over, much like an expansion team; it would be an easier fix that way.

29) Raiders—Will be part of Jim Harbaugh sweepstakes; they’ve lived thru salary cap hell, should be able to improve their roster in the offseason. Tough division, but at least they think they’ve found their franchise QB.

28) Jaguars—If Giants can Tom Coughlin and I had a bad NFL team, I’d be tempted to bring Coughlin in to run my program, not as a coach but as the President, establish an infrastructure on what a team should be like, from top to bottom. This would work.

8) Cowboys—Needed 10-day break, especially the defense, Romo’s back; rematch in Philly Sunday night is a big game.

7) Chargers—You wonder how things would’ve been different in the ’04 draft had Eli Manning agreed to play for San Diego, the Steelers took Philip Rivers and the Giants Big Ben. I firmly believe Rivers is as good as Manning and both are a cut below Roethlisberger, but Rivers is the one without a Super Bowl ring. I mean, Trent Dilfer won a Super Bowl and Dan Marino didn’t; life is weird sometimes.

6) Colts— Indy’s receivers had trouble getting open on a grass field in December in Cleveland Sunday, something to think about when the playoffs roll around; Reggie Wayne is playing hurt and it shows. Indy-Dallas game next week is in a dome, should be entertaining.

5) Seahawks—Have feeling this week’s game with 49ers will be a fierce struggle, the Niners’ last stand in the Harbaugh era. Teams looking for a new head coach have to stop just looking at Seattle defensive gurus; maybe the head coach is the reason that defense is so good.

4) Broncos—Its hard to watch Denver play the last three weeks and not wonder if Peyton Manning is hurt or has a sore arm; they’re just so much different now. He threw only 20 passes against the Bills; that’s usually below his halftime numbers. Maybe its just me being a conspiracy theorist, but its hard to envision them winning the AFC this year.

3) Cardinals—Probably too high at #3; hopefully they’ll lose in St Louis tonight and I can drop them next week. Love the aggressive nature Arians coaches with, but he has to temper with no viable backup now behind Stanton.

2) Patriots—If not for Robert Kraft buying this team 20+ years ago, the Patriots would’ve moved to St Louis and the Rams would be playing in Hartford. That’s a better what-if game than the Rivers-Eli-Big Ben thing.

1) Packers—Everyone who thinks these teams on TV know it all, here are two things:
a) Aaron Rodgers didn’t get a college scholarship out of high school
b) As many people thought the Colts should’ve drafted Ryan Leaf out of college as Peyton Manning. Manning is still an All-Star; Leaf just got released from prison.

Sometimes, you just never know.

**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 10:11 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Calgary at Buffalo
The Flames (17-10-2) head to Buffalo tonight to face a Sabres team that is 6-1 in its last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. Buffalo is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+145). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 1-2: Calgary at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.036; Buffalo 11.244
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+145); Over

Game 3-4: Columbus at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.167; Washington 12.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200); Under

Game 5-6: New Jersey at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.419; Philadelphia 11.758
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Over

Game 7-8: Chicago at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.982; Boston 12.933
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Over

Game 9-10: Los Angeles at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.925; Ottawa 10.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130); Under

Game 11-12: Carolina at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.724; Tampa Bay 10.680
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+210); Under

Game 13-14: NY Islanders at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.121; St. Louis 10.961
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 15-16: Winnipeg at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 9.848; Colorado 11.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over

Game 17-18: Nashville at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.641; Arizona 11.522
Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Under

Game 19-20: Minnesota at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.450; San Jose 12.032
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-140); Under

**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 10:14 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 11

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CALGARY (17-10-0-2, 36 pts.) at BUFFALO (10-16-0-2, 22 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 7-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 11-8 ATS (+24.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 17-12 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 58-51 ATS (+118.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-12 ATS (+30.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 90-88 ATS (+198.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CALGARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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COLUMBUS (10-15-0-2, 22 pts.) at WASHINGTON (13-10-0-4, 30 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (11-13-0-5, 27 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (9-13-0-5, 23 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-12 ATS (+15.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 6-3 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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CHICAGO (19-8-0-1, 39 pts.) at BOSTON (15-12-0-1, 31 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 3-7 ATS (-9.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 371-369 ATS (+774.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 36-47 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.5 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (14-9-0-5, 33 pts.) at OTTAWA (11-11-0-5, 27 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 3-9 ATS (-7.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
LOS ANGELES is 3-9 ATS (-7.4 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 0-5 ATS (-6.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
OTTAWA is 147-173 ATS (-74.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
OTTAWA is 11-23 ATS (+35.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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CAROLINA (8-16-0-3, 19 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (18-8-0-3, 39 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 16-3 ATS (+12.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 290-366 ATS (+701.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 133-180 ATS (-67.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 7-0-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (19-9-0-0, 38 pts.) at ST LOUIS (18-8-0-2, 38 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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WINNIPEG (15-9-0-5, 35 pts.) at COLORADO (9-13-0-6, 24 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 6-1 ATS (+7.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 9-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 5-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-19 ATS (+31.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 112-111 ATS (-82.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
COLORADO is 3-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
COLORADO is 83-83 ATS (-21.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLORADO is 2-11 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 2-11 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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NASHVILLE (18-7-0-2, 38 pts.) at ARIZONA (10-15-0-3, 23 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 4-3-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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MINNESOTA (15-10-0-1, 31 pts.) at SAN JOSE (15-11-0-4, 34 pts.) - 12/11/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 28-9 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 169-125 ATS (+39.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 10:16 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 11

Hot teams
-- Chicago won its last seven games, allowing 11 goals.
-- Sabres won seven of their last ten games.
-- Blue Jackets won last four games, allowing seven goals. Washington won its last three, scoring total of 11 goals.
-- St Louis won six of its last nine games.
-- Winnipeg won five of its last seven games.
-- Predators won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Minnesota won eight of its last twelve games. Sharks won five of last six.

Cold teams
-- Boston lost five of its last seven games.
-- Calgary lost last two games after winning eight of previous ten.
-- Devils lost seven of their last nine games. Flyers lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Ottawa lost five of its last six games. Kings lost five of last eight games, scoring once in losing last two games.
-- Hurricanes lost last three games, scoring one goal in each. Tampa Bay lost three of its last four.
-- Islanders lost last two games, allowing eleven goals.
-- Colorado lost its last four games, allowing 17 goals.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games.

Series records
-- Bruins lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Flames won three of last four games with Buffalo.
-- Devils won 11 of last 14 games with Philadelphia.
-- Blue Jackets lost six of last eight games with Washington.
-- Kings won six of last seven games with Ottawa.
-- Lightning won last three games with Carolina, allowing five goals.
-- Islanders lost their last six games with St Louis.
-- Jets won four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Predators won their last three games with Arizona.
-- Sharks won four of last six games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Last five Boston home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Calgary games stayed under.
-- Five of last six New Jersey games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Columbus games stayed under.
-- Last six Los Angeles games stayed under total.
-- Last five Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Islander-St Louis games went over.
-- Six of last eight Colorado games went over total.
-- Five of last six Nashville games stayed under.
-- Three of last four San Jose home games went over.

Back-to-back
-- None

**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 10:18 AM

NHL

Thursday, December 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
CALGARY vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Chicago

7:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. WASHINGTON
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Columbus is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. PHILADELPHIA
New Jersey is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

7:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Carolina's last 21 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games

7:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. OTTAWA
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
Los Angeles is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 9 games
NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Islanders

9:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games at home
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nashville

9:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. COLORADO
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN JOSE
Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games at home
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 10:21 AM

NHL

Thursday, December 11

Blues' LW Alexander Steen, out Thursday

Steen has a lower-body injury and did not play Monday. He will miss Thursday's game against the Islanders.

Hurricanes C' Eric Staal, probable Thursday

Staal is nursing a foot injury but will likely play Thursday against the Lightning.

**Udog** · 12-11-2014, 12:57 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, December 10

Calgary at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
Calgary: 6-1 SU after failing to cover 2 of their last 3
Buffalo: 11-40 SU after failing to cover 2 of their last 3

Columbus at Washington, 7:05 ET
Columbus: 2-11 SU after playing a home game
Washington: 5-2 SU after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games

New Jersey at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
New Jersey: 213-158 SU in road games after playing a home game
Philadelphia: 3-12 SU revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite

Chicago at Boston, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 3-7 SU after a non-conference game
Boston: 18-5 SU off a road win by 2 goals or more

Los Angeles at Ottawa, 7:35 ET
Los Angeles: 9-28 SU in road games after 3 straight games where 4 or fewer total goals were scored
Ottawa: 387-288 SU in home games

Carolina at Tampa Bay, 7:35 ET
Carolina: 19-14 SU in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Tampa Bay: 14-2 SU after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals

NY Islanders at St Louis, 8:05 ET
New York: N/A
St Louis: N/A

Winnipeg at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Winnipeg: 9-2 SU when playing against a team with a losing record
Colorado: 2-11 SU when playing against a team with a winning record

Nashville at Arizona, 9:05 ET
Nashville: 88-65 SU after 2 consecutive division games
Arizona: 4-0 SU after 3 or more consecutive losses

Minnesota at San Jose, 10:35 ET
Minnesota: 5-17 SU in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
San Jose: 20-4 SU in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/11

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/11

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