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Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/3

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  • Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 3

    Good Luck on day #337 of 2014!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Matchup Links

    NHL Matchups

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    NHL Hot and Not


    NASCAR Schedules

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    -- ACC got waxed by Big 14 last night, 6-2. Duke-Wisconsin is tonight.

    -- Michigan 68, Syracuse 65-- Orange really miss last year's PG Ennis.

    -- Gene Steratore reffed the NC State-Purdue game last night; he was ref in St Louis for Rams-Raiders Sunday. Hope he writes a book someday.

    -- SF Austin 64, Memphis 52-- Long year for Josh Pastner in Memphis, were fans got spoiled during the Calipari years.

    -- UAB discontinued their footballl program for $$$ reasons; funny, Alabama is in the same state; they don't seem to have any financial issues.

    -- If Florida State keeps winning football games, they'll be out of the top 25 soon.

    **********


    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Looking at the AFC teams.......

    Bills—Last made playoffs in ’99, have shot here. Jimbo Fisher told teams that EJ Manuel wasn’t an NFL starter; Bills took off as soon as they benched him for Orton. Kudos to the GM for giving Orton a two-year contract. New owner, chance for the playoffs; exciting year in western NY.

    Dolphins—Not sold on Tannehill as the franchise QB, but they’re 7-5 and have shot at first playoffs since ’08. If they don’t make it, would owner Ross (unfairly) fire Joe Philbin and go after fellow Michigan alum Harbaugh as his next coach? Could happen.

    Patriots— Belichick’s career record without Tom Brady: 51-64. Proper punishment for Spygate: make Belichick coach the Patriots for three years after Brady retires- their lack of talent at WR/RB is alarming. Brady just makes everything work. One of the all-time greats.

    Jets—Fire every football-related person in the building; everyone. Start over like an expansion team; its an easier fix that way. Lot of empty seats in Swamp Stadium on Monday night, a stadium that didn’t need to be built.

    Ravens—Allowed 8+ yards/pass attempt in four of last five games, a red flag. Only team in NFL to lose this season when they won field position by more than ten yards; teams that win field position by 10+ yards are 64-3 this season. Ravens lost to San Diego Sunday with a 15-yard edge.

    Bengals—Marvin Lewis is 97-88-2 as Bengals’ coach, but has no playoff wins; they better not repeat the Bears’ mistake with Lovie Smith and fire Lewis if they don’t win one this year. Cincy just won three consecutive road games; that doesn’t happen much in the NFL. Lewis is a good coach.

    Browns—Now the rookie coach has a QB controversy to deal with; star WR Gordon seems to have better chemistry with Manziel, for whatever reason. Hoyer threw six picks in his last six games, but if I’m Pettine, I’m looking to start Manziel for the first time against as weak an opponent as possible. Don’t think the Colts fit that bill.

    Steelers—Five of last six Pitt games went over total; Big Ben threw for 435 yards in loss to Saints, mostly after game was already lost. Steelers allowed 11.0/8.9 ypa in last two games, have only one takeaway in last three games, very un-Steeler-like. Play Bengals twice in last four weeks; might need sweep to win division.

    Texans—Fitzpatrick had six TD passes last week; where is Houston headed at QB after this year? No way Fitzpatrick is their long-term answer, but Mallett lasted two games before getting hurt, so he probably isn’t either. QB draft class ain’t much this year and there are few other teams (Jets, Rams) who would be looking to add QBs. Going to be an interesting spring, for sure.

    Colts—Indy allowed 30+ points in all four losses; they’re 8-2 in last ten games, after opening season with losses to Broncos/Eagles. Colts are 7-2-1 as road favorites under Pagano, very dependable when playing an inferior team.

    Jaguars—They play hard, have nice uniforms, a cabana with a pool in the end zone bleachers but only have two wins. In last two games, Jags have nine sacks and eight caused fumbles; they need a more productive offense, just like half the league does. At least they compete hard every week; good things usually follow that.

    Titans—Horrible season with an injury-decimated offensive line that is getting the QBs killed. Upset the Chiefs in Arrowhead Opening Day, are 1-10 since and that was a 16-14 home win over the 2-10 Jaguars. Another team with a QB dilemma, but chances are they’ll stay in-house with Mettenberger for next year. Whisenhunt is a good coach, but other than Kurt Warner in Arizona, all his guys get hurt.

    Broncos-- Ran ball for 201/214 yards last two weeks, since 22-7 loss in St Louis; did they watch Patriot-Colt game and decide to go same way, to preserve their aging QB? Rushing yards in their three losses: 36-43-28. Trailed at half in three of last five games, converted 18-34 on 3rd down last two games.

    Chiefs-- Were outrushed 393-137 in last two games, after 7-1 run which followed 0-2 start. Are 8-42 on third down last four games. Alex Smith doesn't win games, he just doesn't lose them, but if they can't run the ball, then what? Couple of stumbling teams meet in desert this week when Chiefs visit Arizona.

    Raiders-- Had been competing well until they got smoked in St Louis Sunday. Don't have a takeaway in last three games, only two in last six; they're -14 in TOs in those six games. Last time they averaged more than six yards/pass attempt was Week 6. It is very doubtful they'll win another game this season.

    Chargers-- Looked dead when they lost 37-0 at Miami in Week 9, but well-timed bye gave them time to regroup and they've won three close games since. San Diego is first west coast team to win a game in Ravens' Stadium (1-17). Last four games are a tough gauntlet, finishing with road games at 49ers, Chiefs.

    Comment


    • #3
      NHL
      Dunkel


      St. Louis at Chicago
      The Blues head to Chicago tonight following a 3-2 win over Minnesota and come into the contest with an 8-3 record in their last 11 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. St. Louis is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

      WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 3

      Game 1-2: Montreal at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.415; Minnesota 11.822
      Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-140); 5
      Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-140); Over

      Game 3-4: St. Louis at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.334; Chicago 11.211
      Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4
      Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5
      Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125); Under

      Game 5-6: Edmonton at Winnipeg (9:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.784; Winnipeg 10.662
      Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
      Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-185); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+165); Over

      Game 7-8: Philadelphia at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.029; Anaheim 11.672
      Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
      Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-210); Under




      NHL
      Long Sheet

      Wednesday, December 3


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MONTREAL (17-7-0-2, 36 pts.) at MINNESOTA (13-9-0-1, 27 pts.) - 12/3/2014, 7:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
      MINNESOTA is 21-10 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 73-52 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 15-9 ATS (+25.2 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 36-24 ATS (+61.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 17-8 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONTREAL is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      MONTREAL is 2-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      ST LOUIS (16-6-0-2, 34 pts.) at CHICAGO (15-8-0-1, 31 pts.) - 12/3/2014, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      CHICAGO is 26-9 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      CHICAGO is 9-7 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
      CHICAGO is 9-7-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      EDMONTON (6-15-0-4, 16 pts.) at WINNIPEG (12-9-0-4, 28 pts.) - 12/3/2014, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      EDMONTON is 6-19 ATS (+31.8 Units) in all games this season.
      EDMONTON is 6-19 ATS (+31.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
      EDMONTON is 1-10 ATS (+14.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
      WINNIPEG is 29-17 ATS (+48.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      WINNIPEG is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      WINNIPEG is 2-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      PHILADELPHIA (8-13-0-3, 19 pts.) at ANAHEIM (15-6-0-5, 35 pts.) - 12/3/2014, 10:35 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (+14.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
      ANAHEIM is 76-45 ATS (+132.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 12-2 ATS (+8.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 44-24 ATS (+13.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      ANAHEIM is 177-146 ATS (+21.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
      PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (+35.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ANAHEIM is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      ANAHEIM is 3-0-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, December 3


      Hot teams
      -- Chicago won six of its last seven games. Blues won four of last five.
      -- Anaheim won three of its last four home games.

      Cold teams
      -- Minnesota lost three of its last five games. Canadiens lost three of last four.
      -- Jets lost six of their last nine games. Edmonton lost its last ten games, scoring scoring eight goals in last six.
      -- Flyers lost nine of their last ten games.

      Series records
      -- Canadiens won their last four games with Minnesota.
      -- Blues lost four of last five games with Chicago.
      -- Oilers won three of last five games with Winnipeg.
      -- Ducks won six of last seven games with Philadelphia.

      Totals
      -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota games.
      -- Last four Chicago games stayed under.
      -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Edmonton road games.
      -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Anaheim games.

      Back-to-back
      -- Flyers are 1-4 if they played the night before.




      NHL

      Wednesday, December 3


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      7:00 PM
      MONTREAL vs. MINNESOTA
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
      Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Montreal

      8:00 PM
      ST. LOUIS vs. CHICAGO
      St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
      St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 10 games at home
      Chicago is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

      9:00 PM
      EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
      Winnipeg is 4-7-1 SU in its last 12 games ,when playing Edmonton

      10:30 PM
      PHILADELPHIA vs. ANAHEIM
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
      Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
      Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NHL

      Wednesday, December 3



      Chris Kunitz, Pittsburgh - Mid Dec

      Kunitz has a small fracture in his foot and is expected to miss two weeks of action.


      Blackhawks G Crawford out with injury, Raanta in

      Chicago Blackhawks goalie Corey Crawford will not start Wednesday versus the St. Louis Blues as he is dealing with a lower body injury.

      Crawford did not practice Tuesday and it was announced that backup-netminder Antti Raanta would get the start as the 'Hawks host the Blues Wednesday evening.

      According to reports, it isn't certain what the specific injury is, but it's serious enough to keep him out of the lineup and keep his status up in the air for Friday's meeting with the Montreal Canadiens.

      Raanta has made three starts this season and is 1-2 with a 2.03 goals against average and .933 save percentage.

      The Blackhawks are presently -145 home favorites for the matchup with the Blues.


      Home teams heat up the ice Tuesday

      Home teams were a hot bet on the ice in the NHL on Tuesday night, cashing tickets at a remarkably high rate.

      Home teams went an impressive 8-2 last night, cashing 80 percent of the time. Home favorites went 6-2, while home dogs went a cool 2-0.

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Short Sheet

        Wednesday, December 3


        Montreal at Minnesota, 7:05 ET
        Montreal: 36-27 SU in road games
        Minnesota: 20-6 SU in home games revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite

        St Louis at Chicago, 8:05 ET
        St Louis: 8-1 SU after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game
        Chicago: 78-95 SU after having won 4 of their last 5 games

        Edmonton at Winnipeg, 9:05 ET
        Edmonton: 25-61 SU as an underdog
        Winnipeg: 29-17 SU after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game

        Philadelphia at Anaheim, 10:35 ET
        Philadelphia: 3-11 SU revenging a loss versus opponent
        Anaheim: 30-12 SU after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games

        Comment

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