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Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/1

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  • Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, December 1

    Good Luck on day #335 of 2014!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Matchup Links

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    NHL Hot and Not


    NASCAR Schedules

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    -- Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, went 1-5 this week, are 42-36 this season.

    -- Nebraska fired football coach Bo Pelini, will now have its 4th coach since 1997, when Tom Osborne retired. Three recruits decommitted on Sunday, which makes it more likely that a new coach will be named quickly.

    -- Maryland's leading scorer Dez Wells broke his wrist, is out four weeks.

    -- Texas 55, UConn 54-- Big road win for Rick Barnes' Longhorns.

    -- Kansas 61, Michigan State 56-- Jayhawks win tourney at Disney in Florida.

    -- Auburn fired defensive coordinator Ellis Johnson, fueling rumors that Tigers will bring in fired Florida coach Will Muschamp to replace him.

    **********


    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

    13) Colts 49, Redskins 27-- Indy is first team since '66 Redskins to score six TDs of 30+ yards in same game. Bet Jay Gruden had more fun coaching the Orlando Predators in the Arena League than he is now. What a mess the Redskins are.

    12) Texans 45, Titans 21-- Fitzpatrick threw six TDs in this mismatch; he is the 7th QB to throw 5+ TDs in a game this year and only one of the seven who hasn't won a Super Bowl. Tennessee's OL was missing three starters.

    11) Bills 26, Browns 10-- Cleveland lost the game and ignited a QB controversy when they benched Hoyer (six INTs in last three games) for rookie Manziel, who led only Cleveland TD drive. Three of four AFC North teams lost today, making it a very big day for the Bengals, who won a close game in Tampa.

    10) Chargers 34, Ravens 33-- Rivers drove San Diego 80 yards in eight plays to get the game-winning TD with 0:38 left. Ravens got into the red zone on seven of their eight drives, but managed only three TDs, four FGs and thats why they lost.

    9) Jaguars 25, Giants 24-- New Jersey led 21-3 at the half, then had two of its three lost fumbles recovered for Jax TDs as Jaguars won for only second time this season. Seven losses in row probably means the end of the line for Tom Coughlin, who will be in the Hall of Fame someday. Jaguars have nine sacks, eight forced fumbles in their last two games.

    8) Bengals 14, Buccaneers 13-- Cincy leads AFC North by 1.5 games with four to play. There were 23 penalties in this sloppy game that was not a good advertisement for professional football. Dalton threw three first half INTs, was supposedly playing with the flu. Tampa was only NFC South team to lose this week.

    7) Rams 52, Raiders 0-- Good to see improving Rams put their foot on someone's neck and end things quickly. Tank job by Oakland, which seemed disinterested from the start. St Louis receivers are starting to make more plays. I'm being optimistic, but Rams could head to Seattle for season finale with an 8-7 record.

    6) Saints 35, Steelers 32-- Road team won last five New Orleans games, after they lost first seven. Think NFL refs got a memo to keep calling defensive penalties; in the first 14 games this week, teams got 70 first downs via penalty, five per game. Those totals had been coming down recently, but not this week-- I'll repeat myself-- no one pays to watch officials throw flags.

    5) Vikings 31, Panthers 13-- Minnesota blocked two punts for TDs in first 20:35 of the game; last time a team scored on two blocked punts in the same NFL game was on Sept. 30, 1990, when Kansas City did it against Cleveland. This was 7th-coldest home game in Viking history; Minnesota is playing outdoors for first time since 1981.

    4) Falcons 29, Cardinals 18-- Atlanta won its first non-divisional game this year and is tied for first in NFC South with the Saints at 5-7. Arizona lost for second week in row, now faces the Chiefs and its three NFC West rivals to close the season.

    3) Broncos 29, Chiefs 16-- Alex Smith is this generation's Pat Haden; smart guy, does not make lot of mistakes, can't throw long, won't win a Super Bowl. At least he isn't going to law school during his playing career, which Haden did.

    2) Gilbert Gottfried, Johnny Damon, Terrell Owens and Lorenzo Lamas will all be on Celebrity Apprentice this winter; maybe it really does suck to be famous, you get addicted to the fame and you can't be a normal person.

    NBC ran a great stat near the end of the Bronco-Charger game; teams that score 21+ points against a Peyton Manning team are 72-62; teams that score less than 21 points against Manning are 4-113.

    1) If you're travelling anywhere in first half of 2015, today is the day to book your hotel; you can get lot of great hotel deals on Cyber Monday.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAF opening line report: 'Bama causing teaser liability for books vs. Mizzou

      We’re down to the final weekend of college football’s regular season, with huge ramifications, as the four teams that will compete in the first-ever playoff will be decided. There are ostensibly six teams really in the mix – all with one loss except for unbeaten Florida State.

      But if a couple of those six slip up on championship weekend, well, it could get pretty crazy – particularly if Missouri can unseat top-ranked Alabama. While other Southeastern Conference heavy hitters fell down around them, the Tigers (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) went 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS down the stretch to reach Saturday’s SEC title game. Mizzou capped the regular season with a 21-14 victory over visiting Arkansas as a 2-point home underdog.

      For the second year in a row, the Crimson Tide got all they could handle from archrival Auburn, but a huge second half saved ‘Bama’s season in a 55-44 shootout as a 9.5-point favorite. The Tide (11-1 SU, 4-8 ATS) have won seven in a row SU since falling at Mississippi.

      John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, isn’t sold on Missouri for the neutral-site game, at Atlanta’s Georgia Dome.

      “Mizzou kind of back-doored its way into this game,” Lester said. “The public won’t think the Tigers stand a chance against ‘Bama, so we’ll probably be moving this spread early and often. And we will have a ton of teaser liability on the Tide.”

      Florida State Seminoles (-3) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

      Defending national champion Florida State hasn’t lost in more than two years – a stretch of 28 games – but the Seminoles have hardly looked pretty this year, especially at the betting window, and their regular-season finale highlighted that fact. The ‘Noles (12-0 SU, 3-9 ATS) struggled to hold off a mediocre Florida squad 24-19 laying 7 points at home.

      Georgia Tech (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) heads into the ACC championship game – at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C. -- on a five-game SU and ATS surge, capped by a 30-24 overtime win as a hefty 10.5-point pup at Georgia.

      “Paul Johnson is a coach that will take advantage if the Seminoles show up with another sloppy performance,” Lester said. “We keep waiting for Florida State to put a complete game together, but good teams find ways to win ugly. Still, we’re expecting a lot of sharp action on the underdog here.”

      Oregon Ducks (-13.5) vs. Arizona Wildcats

      Oregon’s chase for a championship looked to be derailed when it lost to Arizona 31-24 as a massive three-touchdown home chalk on Oct. 2. But now the Ducks (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) get a shot at revenge in the Pac-12 title game Friday night at Levi’s Stadium, the new home of the NFL’s 49ers. Oregon finished the regular season with a 47-19 road drubbing of Oregon State as a 21-point fave.

      Arizona (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) bested Arizona State 42-35 giving 2 points at home, and got help when UCLA lost to Stanford, putting the Wildcats in the conference title tilt.

      “The Ducks get a chance to avenge the Arizona upset from earlier this season, and secure a spot in the playoff,” said Lester, noting Oregon is a healthier unit this time around. “Even though it could be without its center here, the Oregon line is much healthier than it was in the first meeting. Marcus Mariota was not 100 percent then either. I don’t think the Wildcats can win, but they could keep it close.”

      Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-4)

      Ohio State is now down to its third-string quarterback after J.T. Barrett – who rallied the team after it lost Braxton Miller in the preseason – broke his ankle Saturday against Michigan. The Buckeyes (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) still notched a 42-28 home victory, but fell short as 21.5-point favorites and will have to start sophomore Cardale Jones in the Big 10 title game at Indianapolis.

      Wisconsin (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) has won seven in a row SU (4-3 ATS), ending the regular season with a 34-24 victory over Minnesota giving 17 points at home.

      “Ohio State is forced to play with a third-stringer under center this postseason. We don’t know a lot about him, but he’s a big-bodied quarterback with some concerns over accuracy,” Lester said. “Wisconsin should try to make the Buckeyes one-dimensional. This is a resilient Badgers team, and because of the Buckeyes’ change at QB, I think Wisconsin gets it done.”

      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Monday, December 1


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        FLORIDA (9-6-0-6, 24 pts.) at COLUMBUS (6-15-0-2, 14 pts.) - 12/1/2014, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        FLORIDA is 87-134 ATS (+227.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
        FLORIDA is 172-233 ATS (-65.6 Units) after a division game since 1996.
        FLORIDA is 7-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        FLORIDA is 7-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
        COLUMBUS is 6-17 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all games this season.
        COLUMBUS is 6-17 ATS (+6.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
        COLUMBUS is 0-8 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        COLUMBUS is 0-8 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLUMBUS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        COLUMBUS is 3-0-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TAMPA BAY (16-6-0-2, 34 pts.) at NY RANGERS (11-8-0-4, 26 pts.) - 12/1/2014, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TAMPA BAY is 288-363 ATS (-112.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        TAMPA BAY is 39-24 ATS (+11.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 15-3 ATS (+10.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
        TAMPA BAY is 24-9 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        NY RANGERS are 162-158 ATS (-82.5 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
        NY RANGERS are 118-121 ATS (-68.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
        NY RANGERS are 95-100 ATS (-54.1 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
        NY RANGERS are 1-6 ATS (-6.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
        NY RANGERS are 159-191 ATS (-154.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TAMPA BAY is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
        NY RANGERS is 4-4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MONTREAL (16-7-0-2, 34 pts.) at COLORADO (9-10-0-5, 23 pts.) - 12/1/2014, 9:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MONTREAL is 72-52 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTREAL is 81-63 ATS (+145.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MONTREAL is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        MONTREAL is 2-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARIZONA (9-12-0-3, 21 pts.) at EDMONTON (6-14-0-4, 16 pts.) - 12/1/2014, 9:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        EDMONTON is 35-71 ATS (+106.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 44-59 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
        EDMONTON is 19-47 ATS (+78.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 0-8 ATS (+10.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
        EDMONTON is 3-14 ATS (+21.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
        EDMONTON is 13-35 ATS (+65.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 149-147 ATS (+299.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        EDMONTON is 68-76 ATS (-58.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ARIZONA is 7-3 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        ARIZONA is 7-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOSTON (14-9-0-1, 29 pts.) at ANAHEIM (14-6-0-5, 33 pts.) - 12/1/2014, 10:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ANAHEIM is 75-45 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ANAHEIM is 11-2 ATS (+7.5 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
        ANAHEIM is 43-24 ATS (+12.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        ANAHEIM is 31-10 ATS (+18.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 167-183 ATS (+401.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
        BOSTON is 146-129 ATS (+278.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ANAHEIM is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        ANAHEIM is 1-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Monday, December 1


        Hot teams
        -- Tampa Bay won last five games, allowing five goals. Rangers won four of their last five games.
        -- Avalanche won five of their last seven games.
        -- Bruins won four of their last six games.

        Cold teams
        -- Columbus lost last six games, scoring eight goals. Florida lost five of its last seven road games.
        -- Montreal lost last three games, scoring four goals.
        -- Oilers lost last nine games, scoring total of five goals in last five games. Arizona lost last three games, scoring four goals.
        -- Anaheim lost eight of its last twelve games.

        Series records
        -- Blue Jackets won their last eight games with Florida.
        -- Rangers lost four of last five games with Tampa Bay.
        -- Canadiens won last two games with Colorado, 6-3/3-2.
        -- Coyotes won seven of last eight games with Edmonton.
        -- Ducks won four of last six games with Boston.

        Totals
        -- Last seven Columbus-Florida games stayed under.
        -- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Tampa Bay games.
        -- Eight of last eleven Colorado games went over.
        -- Six of last eight Arizona games stayed under total.
        -- Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 Anaheim games.

        Back-to-back
        -- None




        NHL

        Monday, December 1


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        7:00 PM
        FLORIDA vs. COLUMBUS
        Florida is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Columbus
        Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
        The total has gone OVER in 11 of Columbus's last 16 games at home

        7:00 PM
        TAMPA BAY vs. NY RANGERS
        Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
        The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games
        NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
        NY Rangers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

        9:00 PM
        MONTREAL vs. COLORADO
        Montreal is 1-9-3 SU in its last 13 games ,when playing on the road against Colorado
        Montreal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Montreal
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home

        9:30 PM
        ARIZONA vs. EDMONTON
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games
        Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
        Edmonton is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Arizona

        10:00 PM
        BOSTON vs. ANAHEIM
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
        Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
        Anaheim is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Anaheim's last 21 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NHL
          Dunkel


          Florida at Columbus
          The Panthers head to Columbus tonight to face a Blue Jackets team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games versus Atlantic Division opponents. Florida is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

          MONDAY, DECEMBER 1

          Game 1-2: Florida at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.349; Columbus 9.816
          Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 4
          Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-120); 5
          Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Under

          Game 3-4: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.855; NY Rangers 12.327
          Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 6
          Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-115); Over

          Game 5-6: Montreal at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.013; Colorado 12.425
          Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6
          Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-110); 5 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Over

          Game 7-8: Arizona at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 11.128; Edmonton 9.678
          Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1 1/2; 4
          Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-110); 5
          Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under

          Game 9-10: Boston at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.655; Anaheim 10.067
          Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
          Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-140); 5
          Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Under

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL
            Short Sheet

            Monday, December 1


            Florida at Columbus, 7:05 ET
            Florida: 226-201 SU as a favorite
            Columbus: 0-9 SU after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games

            Tampa Bay at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
            Tampa Bay: 25-10 SU after playing 2 consecutive home games
            New York: 243-212 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

            Montreal at Colorado, 9:05 ET
            Montreal: 10-2 SU after playing a home game
            Colorado: 87-66 SU in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread

            Arizona at Edmonton, 9:35 ET
            Arizona: 5-2 SU after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game
            Edmonton: 6-26 SU revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite

            Boston at Anaheim, 10:05 ET
            Boston: 8-15 SU in road games off a home win
            Anaheim: 75-45 SU in all games

            Comment


            • #7
              Hey Udog--Time for the Manziel era to begin in Clev--we're going nowhere with Hoyer.

              Eternal flaw in the playoff system--Buckeyes have to go on with 3rd string QB. Regardless of how this all turns out, question is going to be 'How well could OSU have done with J.T. Barrett at QB?---- Kid has had a Phenomenal year.

              Comment

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