Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/16

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, November 16

Good Luck on day #320 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick 5 games a week:

6) Falcons, +2-- Atlanta became the betting favorite Saturday.

5) Lions, +2.5-- Arizona QB Stanton was a Detroit draft pick.

4) Browns, -3-- Hoyer was with coach O'Brien in Foxboro.

3) Packers, -6-- Supposed to be frigid on the frozen tundra.

2) Chiefs, -1.5-- Can Seahawks stop the run with a new NT?

1) Patriots, +3-- Not often you to pick Brady getting points.

Season record of six most popular picks each week: 32-28

2013 season record of six most popular picks each week: 42-57-4

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) Florida State 30, Miami 26-- All they do is win; Jameis Winston is now 23-0 as a starter; he threw for 300+ yards in 12 of the 23 games. Down 23-7 with 10:00 left in first half, they chipped away and finally took lead for good with 3:05 left. Anyone who doesn't put them in the top 4 in the country is either stupid or has an agenda.

12) In-game wagering here in Las Vegas is interesting; they change the spread after every score. At one point, you could have bet Florida State +11 in this game, when it was 23-7. It takes a leap of faith and a strong stomach, but is turned out to be a good bargain. Seminoles fall behind so much, if you like them to win, might as well wait until they fall behind, then bet them and get added value.

11) Alabama 25, Mississippi State 20-- Nothing like being in Las Vegas sportsbook when a team gets a backdoor cover in last minute or two. After being down 19-0, State battled back to within 19-13 early in 4th quarter, but Bama scored with 8:09 left to go up 25-13. Bulldogs scored with 0:15 left on 4th down to cover the spread.

About 90 seconds after State scored, Texas Tech scored on last play of the game to cover against Oklahoma. Great fun to see people's reactions.

10) TCU 34, Kansas 30-- Jayhawks are terrible; this close result pushes the Horned Frogs out of the top 4. Kansas led by 10 with 19:00 left.

9) Wisconsin 59, Nebraska 24-- Melvin Gordon carried ball 25 times for 408 yards as Badgers won on a 26-degree day in Madison, Wisconsin's coldest home game since 1965. 408 yards is the single-game record, beating out LaDanian Tomlinson's record of 406 yards. Gordon had 258 at the half, was done for day by time it started to snow in fourth quarter. I hate snow, even on TV 1,500 miles away.

8) Arizona 27, Washington 26-- Huskies fumbled on their own 45 with 1:23 left, and kicked winning 47-yard FG to go to 8-2. Kicker Casey Skowron was once the student manager of the women's soccer team at Arizona; now he's a hero.

Penalty yardage in this game: Washington: 111, Arizona 14. Six of Arizona's 10 games have been decided by 7 or less points.

7) Northwestern 43, Notre Dame 40 OT-- Wildcats had scored average of 12.5 ppg in losing previous four games, they win here in OT after a hideous piece of coaching by Notre Dame, which had the ball with 1:38 left and Northwestern out of timeouts.

Instead of taking three knees, Notre Dame ran a play and fumbled, losing for second time in row to the Wildcats. They were a 17-point dog in this game; last time they met, in 1995, Northwestern was a 28-point dog.

6) Tennessee 50, Kentucky 16-- Vols have their QB in soph Joshua Dobbs, who threw for 297 yards and three TDs and ran for 48 more yards. Butch Jones is a very good coach; the Vols will be a force in the SEC for years to come.

5) In case you care about such things, Alabama/Mississippi State are two schools in SEC who are closest to each other, 84 miles. Finanacially? Little farther apart.

4) South Florida 14, SMU 13-- 0-9 Mustangs led 13-0 with 9:00 left on a rainy night in Texas, had their hearts ripped out when USF scored with 0:04 left for the win.

3) South Carolina 23, Florida 20 ot-- Spurrier beats his alma mater; his Gamecocks tied game with 0:12 left. Gators will be looking for a new coach soon.

2) Arkansas 17, LSU 0-- Sometimes you can handicap just by looking at a schedule; Tigers battled hard in OT with Alabama last week, Arkansas had a bye. LSU's kicker had a rough night, missing an easy one that would've gotten Tigers to within 10-3.

1) Boise State 38, San Diego State 29-- Aztecs led 20-0 with 7:33 left in half, but Boise battled back and held serve on its blue turf. Boise/Colorado State are two best teams in Mountain West and Air Force is pretty good, too.

[Udog]

NHL roundup: Jackets acquire Leopold from Blues

The Columbus Blue Jackets acquired defenseman Jordan Leopold from the St. Louis Blues on Saturday in exchange for a 2016 fifth-round draft pick.

Leopold, 34, was originally acquired by the Blues from the Buffalo Sabres in March 2013. He had one goal and seven assists in 49 regular season games and added one assist in 12 playoff games with St. Louis.

The Blues also recalled defenseman Chris Butler from the Chicago Wolves of the AHL.

Butler, 28, leads the Wolves with nine points (one goal and eight assists in 14 games. The Blues signed him as a free agent on July 16.

---Defenseman Korbinian Holzer was recalled by the Toronto Maple Leafs from the Toronto Marlies of the AHL on an emergency basis.

Holzer, 26, has appeared in seven regular season games with the Marlies this season, collecting one assist and six penalty minutes. The native of Germany has appeared in 24 career NHL games, all with Toronto, registering three points (two goals, one assist) and 30 penalty minutes.

---The Anaheim Ducks recalled center/right winger Chris Wagner from Norfolk of the AHL.

Wagner, 23, made his NHL debut on Oct. 17 against the Minnesota Wild, going scoreless with two penalty minutes in 4:10 of ice time. He co-leads Norfolk with nine points (six goals and three assists) in eight AHL games this season.

---The Arizona Coyotes recalled forward Lucas Lessio from Portland of the AHL and assigned defenseman David Schlemko to the Pirates.

The 21-year-old Lessio has registered five goals, three assists and 14 penalty minutes in 14 games with Portland this season, and was tied for the team lead in goals.

The 27-year-old Schlemko has recorded one assist in seven games with the Coyotes.

---The Chicago Blackhawks reassigned forward Peter Regin to Rockford of the AHL. Regin, 28, has one assist in four games with Chicago since being recalled from Rockford on Nov. 6.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

San Jose at Carolina
The Sharks head to Carolina today to face a Hurricanes team that is coming off a 2-1 loss at Boston and is 1-5 in their last 6 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. San Jose is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-145). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 16

Game 51-52: Winnipeg at Minnesota (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.775; Minnesota 10.889
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+150); Over

Game 53-54: San Jose at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.790; Carolina 10.256
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-145); Over

Game 55-56: Dallas at Chicago (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.557; Chicago 10.609
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 57-58: Montreal at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.309; Detroit 11.762
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under

Game 59-60: Florida at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.066; Anaheim 10.273
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 61-62: Arizona at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 10.209; Edmonton 11.634
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-130); Over

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 16

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WINNIPEG (9-7-0-2, 20 pts.) at MINNESOTA (9-7-0-0, 18 pts.) - 11/16/2014, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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SAN JOSE (9-8-0-2, 20 pts.) at CAROLINA (5-8-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/16/2014, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 19-22 ATS (-23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 7-11 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 131-91 ATS (+27.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-0 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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DALLAS (6-7-0-4, 16 pts.) at CHICAGO (9-7-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/16/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-1 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

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MONTREAL (13-4-0-1, 27 pts.) at DETROIT (8-3-0-5, 21 pts.) - 11/16/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 13-5 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 13-5 ATS (+6.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
MONTREAL is 31-16 ATS (+12.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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FLORIDA (5-4-0-5, 15 pts.) at ANAHEIM (11-3-0-4, 26 pts.) - 11/16/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 1-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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ARIZONA (7-9-0-1, 15 pts.) at EDMONTON (6-9-0-2, 14 pts.) - 11/16/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 8-27 ATS (+43.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 149-145 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 68-74 ATS (-55.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 6-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 6-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.6 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, November 16

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Trend Report
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5:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing Carolina
San Jose is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing San Jose

5:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MINNESOTA
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Dallas is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. DETROIT
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Montreal is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Anaheim's last 9 games at home
Anaheim is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. EDMONTON
Arizona is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Arizona's last 22 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 16

Hot teams
-- Minnesota won its last two games, 6-3/2-1.
-- Montreal won last five games, outscoring opponents 20-6. Red Wings won five of their last six home games.

Cold teams
-- Hurricanes, Sharks both lost three of their last four games.
-- Winnipeg lost three of its last four games.
-- Dallas Stars lost eight of last ten games,. Blackhawks are 5-7 in their last twelve.
-- Ducks, Panthers both lost four of their last five games.
-- Coyotes lost three of their last four games. Edmonton lost six of its last eight.

Series records
-- Hurricanes won five of last six games with San Jose.
-- Jets lost four of last five games with Minnesota.
-- Canadiens won three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Dallas Stars lost eight of last nine games with Chicago.
-- Ducks won four of last five games with Florida.
-- Coyotes won six of last seven games with Edmonton.

Totals
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Carolina games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Minnesota games.
-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Detroit games.
-- Seven of last eight Chicago home games stayed under.
-- Under is 12-1-1 in last fourteen Anaheim games.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Arizona games.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, November 16

Winnipeg at Minnesota, 5:05 ET
Winnipeg: 22-10 UNDER vs. division opponents
Minnesota: 4-0 ATS vs. division opponents

San Jose at Carolina, 5:05 ET
San Jose: 12-1 ATS off a close road loss by 1 goal
Carolina: 149-110 ATS after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game

Dallas at Chicago, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Chicago: 5-1 UNDER after a non-conference game

Montreal at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Montreal: 31-16 ATS vs. division opponents
Detroit: 0-5 ATS off a home win

Florida at Anaheim, 8:05 ET
Florida: 6-1 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Anaheim: 13-4 OVER after 2 consecutive division games

Arizona at Edmonton, 9:05 ET
Arizona: 6-1 UNDER after playing a road game
Edmonton: 36-70 ATS in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals