Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/14

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Friday, November 14

Good Luck on day #318 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- RIP, Alvin Dark, who managed the '74 A's to their third straight World Series title. He won Rookie of the Year as a shortstop in 1948.

-- USC 38, Cal 30-- Trojans led 31-2, were some sad folks in Westgate sportsbook when Cal covered thru the back door in last 2:00.

-- Grizzlies 111, Kings 110-- Sacramento blew a 24-point Tuesday, a 26-point lead in this game. Memphis wins on a lob pass with less than a second left.

-- Mavericks 123, 76ers 70-- Philly was down 57-19; they might be the worst NBA team ever and I'm not kidding. 1973 Sixers went 9-73; that record is in reach.

-- Cincinnati 54, East Carolina 46-- Sloppy game with terrible defense. Bad loss for an ECU team that looked better earlier this season.

-- NBA commish Adam Silver wrote an op/ed piece advocating the legalizing of sports betting. Silver is a tall, bald man with glasses; he must be brilliant!!!!

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.....

13) Browns' QB Brian Hoyer is a free agent after this year; his old coach with New England was Bill O'Brien, the Texans' coach. Houston needs a QB; if Ryan Mallett is not the Texans' answer, would they make Hoyer a rich man?

12) Clemson lost its last four visits to Georgia Tech; can they reverse that trend and get a solid win over a streaking Yellow Jacket squad?

11) Weather is supposed to be frigid on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field Sunday, as Eagles visit in a rematch of the 1960 championship game. Mark Sanchez is from California; will Philly offense suffer in this game?

10) LSU lost a tough OT game last week; Arkansas had a bye. Bret Bielema is 0-13 in SEC games; can he break thru at home against a Tiger squad that beat Arkansas the last three years?

9) Bengals were awful last week; Saints lost their first home game in OT. This game looks like an over waiting to happen. Which team will stop whom first?

8) Duke is favored over Virginia Tech this week; the last ten times these teams met, Tech was a double digit favorite. Blue Devils are an over-achieving 8-1 this year.

7) Seahawks-Chiefs is a surprisingly good game this week. KC held the Bills to two field goals on four red zone drives last week, escaped with a 17-13 win. Seattle lost its NT for the year last week, good news for Jamaal Charles' fantasy owners.

6) Arizona State has a trap game in Corvallis after beating Notre Dame 55-31 last week. Graham has a good record as a road favorite and Beavers have been slumping but in the past, thats when they've been most dangerous.

5) Chicago Bears were pathetic Sunday night, now they're a home favorite when the entire Windy City is calling for people to be fired. Whatever they have left in their collective tanks, we'll see it here, if they have any pride at all.

4) Georgia gets star RB Todd Gurley back from his ridiculous suspension this week; Dawgs won six of last eight games against Auburn, which lost to Texas A&M last week as a 21-point favorite.

3) Patriots-Colts are both very hot teams. Not many teams have transitioned from one superstar QB to another as easily as Indy has. Both teams are going to coast to division titles, but this game could matter for home field in playoffs.

2) Mississippi State is a 9.5-point underdog at Alabama; how come they're ranked #1 in the country? Why don't the oddsmakers have a voice in the polls?

1) 7-2 Lions at 8-1 Cardinals is the best game of the week in a week with several big games. Who would've guessed this back in May, when the schedule came out?

[Udog]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Letdown spot

The Ohio State Buckeyes picked up their biggest win of the season in East Lansing last weekend, trumping Michigan State 49-37 and greatly improving their chances of cracking the College Football Playoff Final Four. The Buckeyes, who own the inside track to the Big Ten title, enter Week 12 ranked No. 7 in the Coaches Poll and jumped six spots to sit No. 8 in the Playoff Poll. Ohio State has a couple of softies – at Minnesota and vs. Indiana – before wrapping up the year against rival Michigan, which would love to spoil OSU’s postseason dreams.

The Buckeyes are ripe for a letdown when they come to TCF Bank Stadium, which needs an army of snow shovelers at $10 an hour to dig itself out before Saturday. Ohio State isn’t just facing a 7-2 Golden Gophers squad but freezing temperatures, howling winds and a chance of more snow by the 12 noon ET kickoff. Rumor has it, OSU is borrowing heaters from the Minnesota Vikings. This isn't going over well with the local media in the Twin Cities.

Lookahead spot

The UNLV Runnin’ Rebels will be dreaming of sunny beaches, warm ocean breezes and tropical palm trees when they visit the BYU Cougars in Provo Saturday. The Rebels, at 2-8 SU and riding a three-game losing skid into Week 12, haven’t had much to look forward to this season. However, UNLV will be looking past the Cougars and to an upcoming trip to Hawaii – a much-needed vacation after taking it on the chin each week.

To add to this lookahead spot, the Runnin’ Rebels could be dubbed the “Runnin’ Noses” with temperatures in Provo forecasted to dip below freezing. The extended forecast is calling for the mercury to dip into the 20s with a chance of showers adding to the icy temperatures. The last time UNLV made a trip to the islands, it laid an egg the week before, losing 28-23 as a 1-point home underdog to 4-7 Wyoming in 2012.

Schedule spot

The Golden State Warriors play one of the most frantic paces in the entire NBA. But, even they get tired at times. Golden State currently ranks tops in the league in offensive pace – points per 100 possessions – at 102.6. The Warriors are faced with a busy slate of games this week, kicking off Thursday against the Brooklyn Nets at home Thursday.

The Warriors already had two tough games this week, losing to Houston and Phoenix, and follow the Thursday home date with back-to-back games Saturday and Sunday. Golden State meets a physical Charlotte team at home Friday then visits the Los Angeles Lakers, who are out for revenge Sunday after falling to the Warriors 127-104 in the opening game of the season.

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, November 14

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NEW JERSEY (7-7-0-2, 16 pts.) at WASHINGTON (7-5-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 7-18 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 7-17 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 5-3-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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COLUMBUS (4-10-0-1, 9 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (7-5-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/14/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (10-3-0-1, 21 pts.) at TORONTO (9-5-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 315-333 ATS (-69.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 172-127 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
TORONTO is 106-123 ATS (-82.7 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 54-83 ATS (-44.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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CHICAGO (9-6-0-1, 19 pts.) at DETROIT (7-3-0-5, 19 pts.) - 11/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 83-145 ATS (+254.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
CHICAGO is 10-15 ATS (-16.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-6 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-9.4 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 22-20 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 141-153 ATS (-64.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
DETROIT is 13-2 ATS (+10.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-19 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-4 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (10-5-0-0, 20 pts.) at FLORIDA (5-4-0-4, 14 pts.) - 11/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 11-34 ATS (+55.7 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 83-94 ATS (+216.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 146-171 ATS (+341.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 44-68 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
FLORIDA is 45-74 ATS (-46.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
FLORIDA is 0-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 3-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 3-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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ARIZONA (6-9-0-1, 13 pts.) at VANCOUVER (12-5-0-0, 24 pts.) - 11/14/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 145-93 ATS (+31.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 21-6 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 14

Hot teams
-- Flyers won last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Washington won last three games, allowing seven goals.
-- Penguins won seven of their last eight games. Toronto won last three games, scoring 16 goals.
-- Blackhawks won three of their last four games.
-- Islanders won last four games, allowing three goals.
-- Canucks won eight of their last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Blue Jackets lost last nine games, allowing 39 goals.
-- New Jersey lost four of its last five games.
-- Red Wings lost four of their last five games.
-- Panthers lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost last three games, scoring six goals.

Series records
-- Flyers lost four of last five games with Columbus.
-- Devils won eight of their last eleven games with Washington.
-- Penguins won five of last six games with Toronto.
-- Blackhawks won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Islanders won five of last seven games with Florida.
-- Coyotes lost last three visits to Vancouver, last two in OT.

Totals
-- Three of last four Columbus games went over; three of last four Philly games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Washington games went over.
-- Last four Toronto games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Detroit games. Under is 10-2-2 in last fourteen Chicago games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Six of last seven Arizona-Vancouver games stayed under.

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, November 14

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. PHILADELPHIA
Columbus is 5-7-3 SU in its last 15 games ,when playing Philadelphia
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. WASHINGTON
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
New Jersey is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 17 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games

7:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. FLORIDA
NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
NY Islanders are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Florida is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TORONTO
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 22 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games

10:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Arizona is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Vancouver's last 13 games when playing at home against Arizona


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[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Pittsburgh at Toronto
The Penguins head to Toronto tonight to face a Maple Leafs team that is 4-0 in its last 4 home games. Toronto is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 14

Game 51-52: New Jersey at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.140; Washington 12.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Over

Game 53-54: Columbus at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 9.793; Philadelphia 12.663
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.664; Toronto 12.578
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); Over

Game 57-58: Chicago at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.144; Detroit 12.532
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Over

Game 59-60: NY Islanders at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.854; Florida 11.752
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Over

Game 61-62: Arizona at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 10.368; Vancouver 12.678
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-200); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, November 14

New Jersey at Washington, 7:05 ET
New Jersey: 20-11 SU after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Washington: 56-72 SU after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games

Columbus at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Columbus: 0-9 SU after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games
Philadelphia: 21-12 SU after a non-conference game

Pittsburgh at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Pittsburgh: 64-42 SU off a road loss against a division rival
Toronto: 21-42 SU in home games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more

Chicago at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Chicago: 1-6 SU after a non-conference game
Detroit: 13-2 SU on Friday nights

NY Islanders at Florida, 7:35 ET
New York: 27-23 SU in road games
Florida: 0-8 SU in home games off a home win by 2 goals or more

Arizona at Vancouver, 10:05 ET
Arizona: 3-7 SU as an underdog
Vancouver: 1-6 SU in home games off a close home win by 1 goal

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, November 14


Isles' Halak riding shutout streak, faces Panthers

The hottest goalie in the NHL will be in action once again Friday.

New York Islanders netminder Jaroslav Halak is carrying a two-game shutout streak into his team's contest with the Florida Panthers in the Sunshine State. The Slovak has not allowed a goal in over 143 minutes.

Roberto Luongo gets the nod for the Panthers. The Isles are presently -110 road faves for the game.


Ducks put Heatley back on injured reserve

Dany Heatley has been shelved. Again. On Friday, the Ducks announced that the veteran forward — who’s appeared in just four games this season — has been placed on injured reserve with what, according to the O.C. Register, looks to be an aggravated groin ailment.


Penguins have owned Leafs' Bernier in his career

Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender Jonathan Bernier is expected to get the start versus the Pittsburgh Penguins in Friday night NHL action.

The Pens have been Bernier's kryptonite in the past. The 26-year-old is 0-2-1 with a 3.91 GAA and a .899 save percentage in his three career games against Sidney Crosby's club.

Backup Thomas Greiss gets the start for Pittsburgh. The Leafs are currently listed as +125 home dogs.


Backup netminder Greiss to start for Pens vs. Leafs

Pittsburgh Penguins backup goaltender Thomas Greiss will be between the pipes for his team's meeting with the Toronto Maple Leafs north of the border Friday, per TSN's Marc Masters.

The German is 1-0-1 with a 2.42 GAA and a .923 save percentage in two games this season. The Penguins' regular starter - Marc-Andre Fleury - has been given the night off for rest, but is scheduled to return to the crease Saturday against the New York Rangers.

The Pens are presently -145 moneyline faves for the contest.