Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/13

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, November 13

Good Luck on day #317 of 2014!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Matchup Links

NHL Matchups

NHL Injuries

NHL Hot and Not


NASCAR Schedules

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the college basketball national title next spring........

2-1-- Kentucky-- Their second unit would be a top 25 team.

7-1-- Arizona-- Senior point guard is unusual these days at this level.

10-1-- Duke, Wisconsin-- Duke has more talent; Badgers have more experience.

15-1-- Florida, Kansas, North Carolina-- Jayhawks have really young team.

20-1-- Gonzaga-- This is best team Mark Few has had in Spokane.

25-1-- Louisville, Texas-- Longhorns were a surprise team last year.

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts from the desert....

13) What does it say that one of Drew Brees' kids was on the Superdome field after the Saints' game Sunday, wearing a #43 jersey? Think Brees misses Darren Sproles?

12) Chiefs' WRs have yet to catch a TD pass this season; every other team's WRs have caught at least three touchdowns.

11) Bills have to be sick about losing at home to the Chiefs; in a 17-13 game, they scored two field goals on four trips to the KC red zone. No bueno.

10) NFL officials lightened up on the defensive penalties in Week 10, with average of 2.83 first downs via penalty per game last week, down about 1.5 a game from what had been the season average this year.

9) Redskins have scored only two TDs on drives of less than 60 yards, least in NFL; Jets and Rams are next with three each. Baltimore (13) has scored the most.

8) By way of contrast, 10 of Cleveland's 22 TDs came on drives of less than 60 yards, meaning their defense/special teams are setting the offense up in great shape.

7) Odd stat of day: Raiders are 0-9, Houston lost their last 14 games last year, which means that Oakland backup QB Matt Schaub is on a 23-game NFL losing streak.

6) Something to follow while watching the Giants this week; the team that won field position this season won all nine Giant games.

5) When was last time someone tore the goalposts down after beating Iowa State? Fans at Kansas did last week; thats how awful their football team is. Usually if you lose to Iowa State, your coach starts packing his bags for his next job.

4) I told you being a window washer is a bad job; couple guys had to be rescued off the side of a building in New York City, up on 50th floor or so. Not sure how much those guys get paid, but it ain't near enough.

3) Victor Martinez re-upped for four years to be the Tigers' DH, good news for Detroit fans and more importantly, for my fantasy baseball team.

2) ESPN's NBA pregame show is way better now with Avery Johnson and Jalen Rose as studio analysts. It had been unwatchable the last couple years.

1) Denver Nuggets fired George Karl because he always lost in the first round of the playoffs; no such worries anymore- Denver is terrible, losing its last six games of the year, not even covering a spread in any of the six games. Only way they'll watch any playoff games in Denver this season is on TV, where Karl now works.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

Winnipeg at Carolina
The Jets head to Carolina tonight where they are 4-0 in their last 4 games versus the Hurricanes. Winnipeg is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+110). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13

Game 1-2: Colorado at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.236; NY Rangers 10.358
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+145); Over

Game 3-4: Winnipeg at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.649; Carolina 10.297
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+100); Under

Game 5-6: Boston at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.144; Montreal 10.870
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110); Under

Game 7-8: San Jose at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.468; Tampa Bay 11.521
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+125); Under

Game 9-10: Nashville at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 13.002; St. Louis 12.143
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+140); Under

Game 11-12: Buffalo at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.381; Minnesota 10.422
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-360); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+280); Under

Game 13-14: Arizona at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 11.368; Calgary 10.442
Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Over

Game 15-16: Ottawa at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.110; Edmonton 12.562
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-110); Over

Game 17-18: Dallas at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.237; Los Angeles 11.873
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 13

Hot teams
-- Hurricanes won five of their last six games. Winnipeg won three of last four on road.
-- Montreal won last three games, allowing two goals. Bruins won five of their last six games.
-- Lightning won eight of their last ten games.
-- Blues won eight of last nine games. Nashville won last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Dallas Stars lost seven of their last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Avalanche lost seven of their last nine games. Rangers lost four of their last six.
-- San Jose lost three of its last four games.
-- Sabres lost seven of their last eight games. Minnesota lost last four games, outscored 14-3.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last twelve games. Flames lost four of six home games.
-- Oilers, Senators both lost five of their last seven games.
-- Los Angeles lost six of its last eight games.

Series records
-- Rangers lost four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Jets won six of their last eight games with Carolina.
-- Canadiens won last three games with Boston, outscoring them 13-5.
-- Home side won five of last six San Jose-Tampa Bay games.
-- Blues won six of their last seven games with Nashville.
-- Minnesota won three of last five games with Buffalo.
-- Home side won last eight Calgary-Arizona games.
-- Oilers won last three games with Edmonton, allowing six goals.
-- Kings won three of last four games with Dallas.

Totals
-- Last four Colorado games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Carolina games.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Over is 8-0-1 in Tampa Bay's last nine games.
-- Under is 11-2-2 in Nashville games this season.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last ten Coyote games stayed under total; five of last six Arizona games went over.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in last twelve Edmonton games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Dallas-Los Angeles games.

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, November 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
COLORADO vs. NY RANGERS
Colorado is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
Colorado is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
NY Rangers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Colorado

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CAROLINA
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. MONTREAL
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Montreal is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Boston
Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

7:30 PM
SAN JOSE vs. TAMPA BAY
San Jose is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games ,when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games

8:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. MINNESOTA
Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. ST. LOUIS
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. CALGARY
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Arizona is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home

9:30 PM
OTTAWA vs. EDMONTON
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Edmonton is 5-10-1 SU in its last 16 games ,when playing Ottawa

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NHL

Thursday, November 13


Lightning return home after three game road trip

Tampa Bay is coming off a short, yet successful road trip, and will be returning to the friendly confines of the Tampa Bay Times Forum. The Lightning are 6-1-0-1 at home this season and have outscored their opponents 33-19.

The Lightning will be ending their small road trip by hosting the San Jose Sharks Thursday.


Ice cold Avalanche travel to the Big Apple

The Colorado Avalanche have regressed this season to say the least. The Avs have lost five of their past six games and are only 1-8 away from the friendly confines for the Pepsi Center.

Colorado has been outscored 24-13 in their last six and 32-15 when traveling this year.

The Avs take the ice at Madison Square Garden against the Rangers Thursday.


Bruins C David Krejci, questionable Thursday

Krejci has missed the last two games due to a hip injury and is questionable to return Thursday against the Canadiens.


Red Wings better on power play, but not defense

Today has been set aside for special-teams work, a benefit of having a long stretch between games for the Red Wings. Wednesday’s practice was as physical as the Wings have had since they began the season 15 games ago. After losing in a shoot-out to Tampa Bay on Sunday, the Wings don’t play again until Friday, when they host the Chicago Blackhawks.


Ducks RW Corey Perry, questionable Saturday

Perry has been suffering from the mumps and is on injured reserve. He could return Saturday against the Kings.

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (4-8-0-5, 13 pts.) at NY RANGERS (7-6-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 4-13 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 0-7 ATS (+7.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
COLORADO is 4-13 ATS (-9.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 1-7 ATS (-6.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COLORADO is 96-70 ATS (+24.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
COLORADO is 29-13 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 159-156 ATS (-74.7 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 116-119 ATS (-67.2 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 93-99 ATS (-68.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 102-110 ATS (-77.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 1-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (8-6-0-2, 18 pts.) at CAROLINA (5-6-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 28-16 ATS (+46.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (10-7-0-0, 20 pts.) at MONTREAL (11-4-0-1, 23 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 67-48 ATS (+0.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 30-16 ATS (+9.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 33-23 ATS (+3.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 122-83 ATS (+22.3 Units) in November games since 1996.
BOSTON is 167-182 ATS (+400.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 145-126 ATS (+274.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 11-5 (+10.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 11-5-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE (8-7-0-2, 18 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (11-3-0-2, 24 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 7-12 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-21 ATS (+55.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 21-7 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 165-124 ATS (+27.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 285-361 ATS (+709.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 2-0-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (10-3-0-2, 22 pts.) at ST LOUIS (10-4-0-1, 21 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 13-8 ATS (+25.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 8-2 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 8-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (3-12-0-2, 8 pts.) at MINNESOTA (7-7-0-0, 14 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 24-75 ATS (+152.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 14-43 ATS (+87.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-35 ATS (+70.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 82-50 ATS (+24.1 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 93-88 ATS (+198.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (6-8-0-1, 13 pts.) at CALGARY (9-6-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 1-10 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (7-4-0-4, 18 pts.) at EDMONTON (6-9-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 143-171 ATS (-63.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 149-144 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 68-73 ATS (-54.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (5-6-0-4, 14 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (8-4-0-4, 20 pts.) - 11/13/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 169-136 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 47-43 ATS (+102.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 13

Colorado at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
Colorado: 96-70 SU in road games in non-conference games
New York: 12-19 SU off a home win

Winnipeg at Carolina, 7:05 ET
Winnipeg: 7-0 UNDER after playing a road game
Carolina: 114-81 UNDER in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Boston at Montreal, 7:35 ET
Boston: 161-202 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +200
Montreal: 22-32 SU in home games after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more

San Jose at Tampa Bay, 7:35 ET
San Jose: 0-6 SU in road games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more in their previous game
Tampa Bay: 34-21 SU first half of the season

Nashville at St Louis, 8:05 ET
Nashville: 14-10 SU in road games after a game where they covered the spread
St Louis: 5-10 SU revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less

Buffalo at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Buffalo: 23-71 SU as an underdog
Minnesota: 50-9 SU as a home favorite of -200 or higher

Arizona at Calgary, 9:05 ET
Arizona: 0-3 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Calgary: 6-1 SU after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Ottawa at Edmonton, 9:35 ET
Ottawa: 41-30 SU in road games after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games
Edmonton: 3-12 SU in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games

Dallas at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
Dallas: 172-192 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +200
Los Angeles: 35-43 SU in home games after playing a game where 9 or more total goals were scored