Announcement

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 10:30 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Vancouver at San Jose
The Sharks host a Vancouver team tonight that is coming off a 5-2 win at Colorado on Tuesday and is 6-0 in its last 6 games when playing with 1 days rest. Vancouver is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Canucks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+140). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Game 51-52: Edmonton at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.765; Boston 12.332
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-215); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-215); Under

Game 53-54: Florida at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.886; Philadelphia 13.364
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Over

Game 55-56: Minnesota at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 13.227; Ottawa 11.741
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under

Game 57-58: Calgary at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.919; Tampa Bay 11.750
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+160); Over

Game 59-60: Pittsburgh at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.388; Winnipeg 12.298
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+130); Over

Game 61-62: New Jersey at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.274; St. Louis 12.768
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); Under

Game 63-64: Nashville at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.818; Dallas 10.271
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+115); Under

Game 65-66: Toronto at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.094; Colorado 10.525
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Over

Game 67-68: Vancouver at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.904; San Jose 11.811
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+140); Over

Game 69-70: NY Islanders at Los Angeles (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 9.896; Los Angeles 12.443
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-180); Under

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 10:33 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 6

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EDMONTON (4-7-0-1, 9 pts.) at BOSTON (8-6-0-0, 16 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 17-37 ATS (+64.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-22 ATS (+42.3 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 120-82 ATS (-9.5 Units) in November games since 1996.
BOSTON is 171-144 ATS (-84.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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FLORIDA (4-2-0-4, 12 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (5-5-0-2, 12 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 172-232 ATS (-64.9 Units) after a division game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 283-327 ATS (-95.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 84-93 ATS (-87.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 219-221 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-3 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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MINNESOTA (7-4-0-0, 14 pts.) at OTTAWA (6-3-0-2, 14 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 1-1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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CALGARY (8-4-0-2, 18 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (8-3-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 31-20 ATS (+53.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-3 ATS (+9.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 5-1 ATS (+6.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CALGARY is 6-2 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (8-2-0-1, 17 pts.) at WINNIPEG (7-5-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 18-23 ATS (-19.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (6-4-0-2, 14 pts.) at ST LOUIS (8-3-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 9-23 ATS (+33.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 7-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 2-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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NASHVILLE (7-3-0-2, 16 pts.) at DALLAS (4-4-0-4, 12 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 187-123 ATS (+55.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 165-152 ATS (+324.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 164-151 ATS (+327.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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TORONTO (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) at COLORADO (3-6-0-5, 11 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 0-8 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games in November games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 311-324 ATS (-95.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
COLORADO is 3-11 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 3-11 ATS (+14.6 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 98-104 ATS (-32.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 82-82 ATS (-59.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (9-4-0-0, 18 pts.) at SAN JOSE (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 13-28 ATS (+42.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 26-7 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 165-123 ATS (+38.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 143-109 ATS (+252.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 76-73 ATS (+166.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 10-1 (+8.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 10-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (7-5-0-0, 14 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/6/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 30-12 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 127-143 ATS (-19.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 10:35 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 6

Hot teams
-- Bruins won four of their last five games.
-- Flyers won last three home games, allowing five goals.
-- Minnesota won five of its last seven games.
-- Calgary won last three games, scoring 13 goals. Lightning won five of their last six games.
-- Penguins won last five games, allowing four goals. Jets won five of their last six games.
-- Blues won their last six games, allowing ten goals.
-- Nashville is 4-0 in game following a loss this season.
-- Toronto won three of its last four games.
-- Canucks won five of their last six games. San Jose won three of its last four.

Cold teams
-- Oilers lost last three games, scoring four goals.
-- Florida lost four of its six road games.
-- Senators lost four of their last six games.
-- Devils lost six of their last nine games.
-- Dallas Stars lost last five games, outscored 20-11.
-- Avalanche lost 11 of their first 14 games.
-- Kings lost four of last five games, but they're 6-1 at home. Islanders lost last three of their last four games.

Series records
-- Bruins won last five games with Edmonton, allowing seven goals.
-- Flyers are 3-5 in their last eight games with Florida.
-- Senators won five of last six games with Minnesota.
-- Lightning won three of last four games with Calgary.
-- Penguins won 11 of their last 13 games with Winnipeg.
-- Blues won five of their last six games with New Jersey.
-- Predators lost last two visits to Dallas, 4-1/7-3.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last five games with Colorado.
-- Sharks won 11 of last 12 games with Vancouver.
-- Islanders lost eight of last ten games with Los Angeles.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Edmonton games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Florida-Philly games.
-- Three of last four Ottawa games went over the total.
-- Last five Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Winnipeg gamews stayed under.
-- Five of last six New Jersey games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Nashville-Dallas games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Colorado games, 8-1 in Toronto's last nine.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Vancouver games.
-- Six of last seven Islander-King games stayed under.

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 10:37 AM

NHL

Thursday, November 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. BOSTON
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Edmonton

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Florida is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Calgary

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. ST. LOUIS
New Jersey is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:30 PM
NASHVILLE vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games
Dallas is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Nashville
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Toronto is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

10:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. LOS ANGELES
NY Islanders are 2-8-1 SU in their last 11 games ,when playing Los Angeles
NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

10:30 PM
VANCOUVER vs. SAN JOSE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vancouver's last 13 games on the road
Vancouver is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Jose
San Jose is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Vancouver
San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 10:40 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some of the better giveaway days at Citi Field for 2015 (these are all Saturdays)

-- May 2 (Nationals): Jacob deGrom garden gnome

-- May 16: (Brewers) Mets fedora (color unknown)

-- June 13: (Braves) David Wright replica jersey

-- July 11 (Arizona): Juan Lagares bobblehead

-- August 29 (Red Sox); 1986 World Series bobblehead

-- October 3 (Nationals): Mets fleece blanket

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Lebron James played 85 minutes in Cleveland’s first two games, which is way too many; he was down to 35 in Tuesday’s loss in Portland, then played 42 minutes in Utah last night, where the Cavaliers lost 102-100.

Coach Blatt is going to have to learn how to dispense minutes to preserve his starters for the long season, especially James. Season is 82 games and as many as four playoff series, which could be 28 more games.

High drama at the end in Utah last night; Gordon Hayward hit a fadeaway from deep on the right wing as the horn sounded, dropping the Cavaliers to 1-3.

12) Cavaliers made their first ten shots in Portland, five of which were 3-pointers, then shot 28% the rest of the game; they need to find a dependable third scorer to supplement James/Kevin Love’s production.

11) Speaking of James, did the Miami Heat lower its ticket prices once he left? Its fairly obvious they won’t be as good; somehow I doubt they lowered prices, but hopefully they did.

10) FOX Sports 1 basketball analyst Bill Raftery filed for trademarks to his pet phrases "Onions" and "With a kiss" last week, protecting the use of the words as Raftery's during sports broadcasts and on clothes.

9) How did Sacramento let Isaiah Thomas get away? The lefty Washington alum is pretty good and is helping Phoenix bigtime so far. Not like the Kings have so many good guards that they couldn’t use the guy.

8) If you’re in Las Vegas December 17-20, the Jerry Tarkanian Classic will be played, a terrific high school basketball tournament with lot of really good players. I was there the last two years; its worth your time, if you’re in Vegas that week. Most of the games are at Bishop Gorman HS, I think.

7) Next big Cuban baseball star to come here will be 3B/OF Yasmany Tomas, who is said to be a stocky slugger being pursued by both the Phillies and Red Sox. Philly could use the money AJ Burnett just turned down to sign Tomas, who is 24 years old.

6) There are reports the Eagles were souring on Nick Foles even before he got hurt; Philly turned ball over 16 times in their last five games (-9) prompting rumors Eagle brass weren’t happy with him, all of which makes Mark Sanchez’ first Philly start Monday night a little more interesting.

5) Alfonso Soriano retired this week; he is one of six players in history with 400+ doubles, 400+ homers and 250+ steals in his career. Wasn’t much of a fielder, but was a very dangerous hitter.

4) Houston Texans pulled the plug on Ryan Fitzpatrick and will start Ryan Mallett at QB in Week 11; they have this week off. This was inevitable, with Mallett having been acquired from New England for a draft pick- they have to see what they have to see if they want to sign Mallett going forward.

3) Dodgers signed A’s assistant general manager Farhan Zaidi, a Berkeley-educated economist, as their next GM. Zaidi grew up in the Philippines, attended MIT as an undergraduate and, after getting his doctorate at Cal-Berkeley, decided to try to break into baseball after reading Moneyball. Hey, I've seen Moneyball the movie 25 times; can I get a job with the A's?

Not surprising, but it looks like the Dodgers’ new direction under Andrew Friedman will be heavily weighted towards analytics.

2) Timberwolves 98, Nets 91-- Minnesota led 17-2, then Nets went on a 34-14 run, but Wolves closed game on 18-5 run. Rubio had 14 points, 12 assists, 8 rebounds as all five Minnesota starters scored in double figures.

1) I know they do it because they can charge more for those tickets, but it is weird how close some fans sit to the team benches in NBA arenas. At Lakers' home games in Staples Center, the opposing coach often stands right in front of Jack Nicholson. If a guy goes lunging out of bounds for a loose ball, he might knock over people's drinks who are sitting right there. You don't get that in other sports.

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 12:18 PM

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Lookahead spot

The fact Tony Romo even made the trip to London is baffling to some. Dallas jumps the pond to play Jacksonville in London with a laundry list of injuries, and not just to its star quarterback. The defensive corps have been dropping like flies the past two weeks and this overperforming stop unit doesn’t have much depth behind the first teamers.

Limping into Week 10’s neutral-site matchup with the Jaguars on a two-game losing streak, and with the bye week on the horizon, the Cowboys could get caught looking ahead to some time off to lick those wounds. Books that have gone ahead and posted a line for this London game, regardless of Romo's status, have Dallas as high as a touchdown favorite. If he does play it could go as high as Cowboys -10.

Letdown spot

The Florida Gators haven’t had much to play this season. But when it came time to lay the lumber to SEC rival Georgia, UF rolled the Bulldogs in the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” last weekend. The Gators rushed for 418 yards in the 38-20 win as 11.5-point underdogs in Jacksonville, and may have saved head coach Will Muschamp’s job for the time being.

Florida doesn’t have much left on the schedule in terms of motivational factors, besides a season-ending chance to spoil Florida State’s bid for a spot in the College Football Playoff. In the meantime, the Gators waddle into Nashville all fat and cocky, tabbed as 14.5-point road favorites versus Vanderbilt Saturday. The Commodores have been a hot bet, covering in five of their last six games.

Schedule spot

The Dallas Mavericks will be breaking out the Advil and ice packs after their upcoming stretch of schedule, playing three games in four nights. While most teams handle these busy spots with moderate success, few are as ancient as the Mavs. Heading into the 2014-15 season, Dallas is tied with San Antonio as the oldest team in the league, with an average age of 28.7.

The bulk of that youth is coming off the bench while starters like Dirk Nowitzki, Tyson Chandler, Monta Ellis and Jameer Nelson are all old as dirt by NBA standards with 53 combined years of experience between them. Those greybeards could be showing their age by the time this grueling span is over. The Mavericks are at Portland and Utah Thursday and Friday, then back on the court hosting the Heat Sunday.

**Udog** · 11-06-2014, 01:54 PM

Matchup links are working again

Announcement

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/6

Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/6

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