Announcement

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:40 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

College football trends for Saturday's action

-- Underdogs covered eight of last ten North Carolina-Miami games.

-- Kansas State covered eight of last ten as a Big X home favorite.

-- Purdue covered seven of last ten as a road underdog.

-- Air Force covered 13 of last 17 games with Army, but is 0-5 in its last five games as a road favorite.

-- Baylor covered 19 of its last 22 home games.

-- Northwestern covered 14 of its last 21 games as a road underdog.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.....

13) Kevin Durant has a walking boot on his injured foot, Russell Westbrook broke his right hand Thursday night and the Oklahoma City Thunder are 0-2, with not much relief in sight before Thanksgiving. Like we said, its going to take 50 wins to make the playoffs in the west; Thunder aren’t putting a 50-win team on the floor anytime soon.

12) In 2008, NFL teams averaged 211.3 passing yards per game; so far this year, 241.7. That’s a 14.4% increase in six years.

11) ESPN the Magazine had some interesting stuff this month; from 2001-03, NFL tight ends were responsible for 15.8% of a team’s passing yardage. From 2012-now, that number has risen to 22.6%. Spread offenses are said to the reason why.

10) CBS is remaking the Odd Couple again next TV season, with Matthew Perry as Oscar Madison. This will make me sound old(er) but no one could top Jack Klugman as Oscar.

The next few notes are related to college basketball and again, they come from my reading of this week’s ESPN the Magazine…….

9) ESPN’s Jay Bilas says if Kentucky divided its team into two 6-man units, both units would be ranked in the top 25, that show much talent they have. Calipari’s team actually has too much talent; no way he can keep all those guys happy.

8) Wisconsin returns 82% of its minutes from last year; their defense slipped last year, curious to see if what is basically the same team will play better defense this season.

7) Duke’s 2-point FG% defense was 49.1% LY, which ranked 13th……in the 14-team ACC. Freshman C Jahlil Okafor is supposed to be really good, so we’ll see if Duke is better defensively this year.

6) Villanova was 8-1 LY in games decided by 5 or less points, or in OT; the other seven #1/#2 seeds in NCAA’s were a combined 43-22 (66.2%) in close games like those, which infers Villanova may have had luck on its side LY. Wildcats have a veteran team, should win Big East this year.

5) Gonzaga has a freshman named Domantas Sabonis, whose dad Arvydas was the best basketball very few people saw play, at least until he tore his Achilles tendon. The elder Sabonis played for Portland late in his career, after the injury, but was in Russia at the peak of his career, before the Internet. His son is supposed to be very good and should help the Zags win the WCC again.

4) VCU was a bully team in the A-14 last year; they forced turnovers on 23.6% of possessions, rebounded 35.5% of their missed shots, so they were just a lot more athletic than most opponents. But if you didn’t turn the ball over forced them to set up in the half court, they made only 44.6% of their 2-point shots, 9th in a 14-team league. If you held your own on the boards, then they struggled to score.

3) SMU made 37.9% of its 3-pointers last year, which is very good, but they ranked 339th out of 351 D-I teams when it came to %age of shots that were 3’s.

Larry Brown is old-fashioned and doesn’t like the trey, despite playing/coaching in the ABA. We’ll see if Coach Brown, a media darling for sure, gets his team in the NCAAs after they were a disappointment in missing it LY.

2) Syracuse scored 63 or less points in 11 of its last 13 games LY and lost 59% of its minutes played from LY. Boeheim always has players, but his players this year are very young and could struggle some in an improved ACC. Don’t forget, Louisville is in the ACC now.

1) Say what you want about Jameis Winston, but he is 21-0 as a starting QB in college and he’s stared down a few double digit deficits.

His career going forward is going to be fascinating to study, as he heads to the fishbowl that is playing QB in the NFL.

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:45 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Vancouver at Edmonton
The Oilers host a Vancouver team that is 7-18 in its last 25 road games. Edmonton is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+110). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 1-2: Ottawa at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.554; Boston 12.268
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-160); Under

Game 3-4: Chicago at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.531; Toronto 11.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-150); Over

Game 5-6: Washington at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.002; Tampa Bay 11.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Over

Game 7-8: Winnipeg at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.033; NY Rangers 11.657
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-170); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 9.911; Pittsburgh 12.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 3; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-400); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-400); Over

Game 11-12: Philadelphia at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.789; Florida 11.213
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under

Game 13-14: Columbus at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.318; New Jersey 10.224
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+140); Under

Game 15-16: Arizona at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 9.760; Carolina 11.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Arizona (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+100); Over

Game 17-18: Dallas at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.890; Minnesota 11.737
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 19-20: Colorado at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.825; St. Louis 12.431
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-165); Over

Game 21-22: Vancouver at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.579; Edmonton 12.124
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+110); Over

Game 23-24: NY Islanders at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.353; San Jose 11.429
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155); Under

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:49 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 1

Hot teams
-- Toronto won three of its last four games.
-- Lightning won four of its last five games.
-- Flyers won three of their last four games.
-- Rangers won four of their last five games.
-- Penguins won last three games, outscoring foes 14-3.
-- St Louis won its last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Edmonton won four of its last five games. Canucks won last three games, allowing five goals.

Cold teams
-- Boston lost four of last five at home. Senators lost three of their last four games.
-- Chicago lost three of its last five games.
-- Washington lost three of its last four games.
-- Florida lost four of its last five home games.
-- Blue Jackets lost last four games, outscored 18-6. Devils lost five of last seven games.
-- Winnipeg lost six of its last nine games.
-- Buffalo lost six of its last seven games.
-- Carolina is 0-8, with two shootout losses. Coyotes lost five of their last six games.
-- Avalanche lost six of its last eight games.
-- Dallas Stars lost last three games, allowing 13 goals.
-- Islanders lost four of their last six games. San Jose lost five of its last seven.

Series records
-- Bruins lost three of last five games with Ottawa.
-- Blackhawks won six of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Lightning lost five of last six games with Washington.
-- Flyers won seven of last eleven games with Florida.
-- Devils lost three of last four games with Columbus.
-- Rangers lost three of last five games with Winnipeg.
-- Penguins won 12 of last 16 games with Buffalo.
-- Road team won last four Arizona-Carolina games.
-- Blues won four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Stars lost last three visits to Minnesota, outscored 9-3.
-- Canucks won five of last seven games with Edmonton.
-- Islanders won two of last three vs San Jose, after losing previous five.

Totals
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Ottawa-Boston games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Chicago games.
-- 12 of last 15 Washington-Tampa Bay games went over.
-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Philadelphia games.
-- Three of last four Devil games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Winnipeg games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Pittsburgh games.
-- Four of last five Carolina games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 12 Colroado-St Louis games stayed under.
-- Last four Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Edmonton games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Islander-Shark games stayed under.

**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 08:51 AM

NHL

Saturday, November 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. CAROLINA
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. PITTSBURGH
Buffalo is 7-16-2 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Buffalo

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Chicago

7:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. NEW JERSEY
Columbus is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Jersey
Columbus is 1-5-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Columbus
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus

7:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Ottawa's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Washington

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games
Winnipeg is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
NY Rangers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games
Colorado is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MINNESOTA
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Dallas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Dallas

10:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. SAN JOSE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Islanders last 11 games
NY Islanders are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

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**Udog** · 11-01-2014, 09:37 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 1

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OTTAWA (5-2-0-2, 12 pts.) at BOSTON (6-6-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 11-21 ATS (-12.5 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 354-340 ATS (-72.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
BOSTON is 144-125 ATS (+277.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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CHICAGO (6-3-0-1, 13 pts.) at TORONTO (5-4-0-1, 11 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 14-21 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 147-152 ATS (-20.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TORONTO is 104-123 ATS (-85.8 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 1-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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WASHINGTON (4-3-0-2, 10 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (7-3-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 19-7 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 283-361 ATS (+647.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-2-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.2 Units)

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WINNIPEG (4-5-0-1, 9 pts.) at NY RANGERS (5-4-0-0, 10 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 157-153 ATS (-74.3 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 54-65 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 5-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 102-108 ATS (-58.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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BUFFALO (2-8-0-1, 5 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (6-2-0-1, 13 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 23-70 ATS (+139.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-5 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (4-4-0-2, 10 pts.) at FLORIDA (3-2-0-3, 9 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 145-171 ATS (+340.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 42-67 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
FLORIDA is 132-163 ATS (-69.9 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 282-327 ATS (+680.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 3-3 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

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COLUMBUS (4-6-0-0, 8 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (5-3-0-2, 12 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 75-152 ATS (+289.3 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-1 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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ARIZONA (3-5-0-1, 7 pts.) at CAROLINA (0-6-0-2, 2 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (+0.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 53-78 ATS (+131.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
CAROLINA is 90-104 ATS (-58.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CAROLINA is 35-46 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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DALLAS (4-2-0-4, 12 pts.) at MINNESOTA (6-3-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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COLORADO (3-4-0-4, 10 pts.) at ST LOUIS (5-3-0-1, 11 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 187-141 ATS (+23.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
COLORADO is 153-120 ATS (+23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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VANCOUVER (7-3-0-0, 14 pts.) at EDMONTON (4-5-0-1, 9 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 68-47 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 19-6 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-13 ATS (+19.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-26 ATS (+42.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 7-4 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 7-4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (6-4-0-0, 12 pts.) at SAN JOSE (6-4-0-2, 14 pts.) - 11/1/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 6-18 ATS (+24.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 25-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 164-123 ATS (+37.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 6-10 ATS (-11.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 2-1 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 2-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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Announcement

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/1

Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 11/1

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